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Scores With Estimates
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=7240
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Author:  MikeQ. [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 12:27 pm ]
Post subject:  Scores With Estimates

Amityville Horror will certainly go way down and help my score with the actuals. The sunday projection for the film seems ridiculous, in my opinion. I also hope Robots goes down. And King's Ransom stays as high as possible! :razz:

The Interpreter - (21.5 / 22.8) -- Accuracy: 94.30%
The Amityville Horror - (9.8 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 69.01%
Sahara - (8.4 / 9.0) -- Accuracy: 93.33%
A Lot Like Love - (9.0 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 83.12%
Kung Fu Hustle - (7.8 / 7.3) -- Accuracy: 93.15%
Fever Pitch - (5.5 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Sin City - (3.7 / 3.7) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Guess Who - (3.0 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 85.71%
Robots - (2.5 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 75.76%
King's Ransom - (2.8 / 2.3) -- Accuracy: 78.26%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 87.26%

New Release: 85.23%
Still in Theater: 88.14%

PEACE, Mike ;)

Author:  Rev [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 12:33 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Interpreter - (18.5 / 22.8) -- Accuracy: 81.14%
The Amityville Horror - (10.2 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 71.83%
Sahara - (7.6 / 9) -- Accuracy: 84.44%
A Lot Like Love - (8.5 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 89.61%
Kung Fu Hustle - (8.5 / 7.3) -- Accuracy: 83.56%
Fever Pitch - (5.2 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 94.55%
Sin City - (3.6 / 3.7) -- Accuracy: 97.30%
Guess Who - (2.5 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 71.43%
Robots - (2.4 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 72.73%
King's Ransom - (5.0 / 2.3) -- Accuracy: 0.00% ](*,)

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 74.66%

New Release: 56.92%
Still in Theater: 82.26%

Author:  xiayun [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 12:34 pm ]
Post subject: 

Great score, Mike!

Author:  Andrew [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 12:36 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Interpreter - (21.8 / 22.8) -- Accuracy: 95.61%
The Amityville Horror - (10.2 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 71.83%
Sahara - (8.1 / 9) -- Accuracy: 90.00%
A Lot Like Love - (8 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 96.10%
Kung Fu Hustle - (9.1 / 7.3) -- Accuracy: 75.34%
Fever Pitch - (4.7 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 85.45%
Sin City - (3.7 / 3.7) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Guess Who - (2.9 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 82.86%
Robots - (2.4 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 72.73%
King's Ransom - (2.3 / 2.3) -- Accuracy: 100.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 86.99%

New Release: 97.24%
Still in Theater: 82.60%

Pretty much nailed the openers, shame about the holdovers!!

Author:  sako [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 12:37 pm ]
Post subject: 

1 The Interpreter 16.8 22.8 73.68%
2 The Amityville Horror 9.6 14.2 67.61%
3 Sahara 8.6 9 95.56%
4 A Lot Like Love 10.8 7.7 59.74%
5 Kung Fu Hustle 8.2 7.3 87.67%
6 Fever Pitch 5.5 5.5 100.00%
7 Sin City 3.8 3.7 97.30%
8 Guess Who 2.8 3.5 80.00%
9 Robots 2.5 3.3 75.76%
10 King's Ransom 2.4 2.3 95.65%

Average
OVERALL (estimate) 83.30%
New Release 76.36%
Still in Theater 86.27%


1 The Interpreter 16.8 22.8 73.68%
2 The Amityville Horror 9.3 14.2 65.49%
3 Sahara 8.6 9 95.56%
4 A Lot Like Love 11.1 7.7 55.84%
5 Kung Fu Hustle 8.2 7.3 87.67%
6 Fever Pitch 5.3 5.5 96.36%
7 Sin City 3.9 3.7 94.59%
8 Guess Who 2.8 3.5 80.00%
9 Robots 2.4 3.3 72.73%
10 King's Ransom 2.4 2.3 95.65%

Average
OVERALL (estimate) 81.76%
New Release 75.06%
Still in Theater 84.63%


1 The Interpreter 16.6 22.8 72.81%
2 The Amityville Horror 9.6 14.2 67.61%
3 Sahara 8.7 9 96.67%
4 A Lot Like Love 10.9 7.7 58.44%
5 Kung Fu Hustle 8.2 7.3 87.67%
6 Fever Pitch 5.5 5.5 100.00%
7 Sin City 3.8 3.7 97.30%
8 Guess Who 2.9 3.5 82.86%
9 Robots 2.5 3.3 75.76%
10 King's Ransom 1.9 2.3 82.61%

Average
OVERALL (estimate) 82.17%
New Release 71.29%
Still in Theater 86.84%


1 The Interpreter 17.1 22.8 75.00%
2 The Amityville Horror 9.6 14.2 67.61%
3 Sahara 8.8 9 97.78%
4 A Lot Like Love 11 7.7 57.14%
5 Kung Fu Hustle 8.5 7.3 83.56%
6 Fever Pitch 5.3 5.5 96.36%
7 Sin City 3.7 3.7 100.00%
8 Guess Who 3 3.5 85.71%
9 Robots 2.6 3.3 78.79%
10 King's Ransom 2.2 2.3 95.65%

Average
OVERALL (estimate) 83.76%
New Release 75.93%
Still in Theater 87.12%

Author:  Michael. [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 12:53 pm ]
Post subject: 

Horrible weeekend for me inspite of nailing The Interpreters opening; i went way too high on A Lot Like Love and who could have know that Amityville would have legs? Oh well!

The Interpreter - (22.7 / 22.8) -- Accuracy: 99.56%
The Amityville Horror - (10.6 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 74.65%
Sahara - (8.9 / 9) -- Accuracy: 98.89%
A Lot Like Love - (9.5 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 76.62%
Kung Fu Hustle - (8.7 / 7.3) -- Accuracy: 80.82%
Fever Pitch - (5.2 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 94.55%
Sin City - (3.2 / 3.7) -- Accuracy: 86.49%
Guess Who - (3.1 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 88.57%
Robots - (2.6 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 78.79%
King's Ransom - (5.6 / 2.3) -- Accuracy: 0.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 77.89%

New Release: 58.73%
Still in Theater: 86.11%

Author:  dar [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 12:58 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Interpreter - (16.5 / 22.8) -- Accuracy: 72.37%
The Amityville Horror - (11 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 77.46%
Sahara - (9.9 / 9) -- Accuracy: 90.00%
A Lot Like Love - (9 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 83.12%
Kung Fu Hustle - (7 / 7.3) -- Accuracy: 95.89%
Fever Pitch - (5.2 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 94.55%
Sin City - (3.6 / 3.7) -- Accuracy: 97.30%
Guess Who - (3.5 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Robots - (2.8 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 84.85%
King's Ransom - (4.2 / 2.3) -- Accuracy: 17.39%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 81.29%

New Release: 57.63%
Still in Theater: 91.44%

I did quite ok with holdovers... but King´s ransom killed me. :budo:

Author:  xiayun [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 1:07 pm ]
Post subject: 

I need King's Ransom to drop 50% on Sunday from its $0.987M Saturday, since that could drag its total down to 2.14 and round to 2.1.

Author:  Anonymous [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 1:23 pm ]
Post subject: 

73.68% for various games in BO Games forum.

Think it's even lower for Derby.

Author:  Samweis Gamdschie [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 2:13 pm ]
Post subject: 

Nebs wrote:
73.68% for various games in BO Games forum.

Think it's even lower for Derby.


Don't worry, mine is around 75%ish... but I don't care, I didn't put much effort into my predictions... :wink:

Author:  The Scottie [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 2:32 pm ]
Post subject: 

76.95%. Well, Samweis, it looks like we died together.

Author:  xiayun [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 3:11 pm ]
Post subject: 

Reversed from last week. Look like I'll lose ground on Casey, but make up on Scott on the yearly chart.

Author:  Kris K [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 6:46 pm ]
Post subject: 

AMITYVILLE's drop officially surprised everyone.

Author:  Animosity Reigns [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 7:03 pm ]
Post subject: 

82 % and yet for another week Robots screwed me over im getting so tired of that movie and its damn rollercoaster

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 7:06 pm ]
Post subject: 

I have around 79.5% in most games. King's Ransom and Kung Fu Hustle killed me.

Author:  MGKC [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 10:25 pm ]
Post subject: 

Scott Vasquez wrote:
76.95%. Well, Samweis, it looks like we died together.

Sweet, looks like we'll switch ranks for about the billionth time.

The Interpreter - 80.70% ( 18.4 / 22.8 )
A Lot Like Love - 76.62% ( 9.5 / 7.7 )
King's Ransom - 91.30% ( 2.5 / 2.3 )
The Amityville Horror - 74.65% ( 10.6 / 14.2 )
Kung Fu Hustle - 87.67% ( 6.4 / 7.3 )
Sahara - 95.56% ( 9.4 / 9.0 )
Fever Pitch - 96.36% ( 5.7 / 5.5 )
Sin City - 94.59% ( 3.9 / 3.7 )
Guess Who - 82.86% ( 2.9 / 3.5 )
Robots - 81.82% ( 2.7 / 3.3 )

Score: 86.214%

Author:  zingy [ Sun Apr 24, 2005 10:27 pm ]
Post subject: 

80.54%. Stupid Kung-Fu Hustle, King's Ransom, A Lot Like Love, and Robots. :mad:

Author:  STEVE ROGERS [ Mon Apr 25, 2005 4:23 am ]
Post subject: 

Michael wrote:
Horrible weeekend for me inspite of nailing The Interpreters opening; i went way too high on A Lot Like Love and who could have know that Amityville would have legs? Oh well!

The Interpreter - (22.7 / 22.8) -- Accuracy: 99.56%
The Amityville Horror - (10.6 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 74.65%
Sahara - (8.9 / 9) -- Accuracy: 98.89%
A Lot Like Love - (9.5 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 76.62%
Kung Fu Hustle - (8.7 / 7.3) -- Accuracy: 80.82%
Fever Pitch - (5.2 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 94.55%
Sin City - (3.2 / 3.7) -- Accuracy: 86.49%
Guess Who - (3.1 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 88.57%
Robots - (2.6 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 78.79%
King's Ransom - (5.6 / 2.3) -- Accuracy: 0.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 77.89%

New Release: 58.73%
Still in Theater: 86.11%


See?? I told everyone Amityville would have good legs and that's because the movie's kick ass.. There's definitely an audience for this in the coming weekends..

Author:  STEVE ROGERS [ Mon Apr 25, 2005 4:26 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Scores With Estimates

MikeQ. wrote:
Amityville Horror will certainly go way down and help my score with the actuals. The sunday projection for the film seems ridiculous, in my opinion. I also hope Robots goes down. And King's Ransom stays as high as possible! :razz:

The Interpreter - (21.5 / 22.8) -- Accuracy: 94.30%
The Amityville Horror - (9.8 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 69.01%
Sahara - (8.4 / 9.0) -- Accuracy: 93.33%
A Lot Like Love - (9.0 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 83.12%
Kung Fu Hustle - (7.8 / 7.3) -- Accuracy: 93.15%
Fever Pitch - (5.5 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Sin City - (3.7 / 3.7) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Guess Who - (3.0 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 85.71%
Robots - (2.5 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 75.76%
King's Ransom - (2.8 / 2.3) -- Accuracy: 78.26%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 87.26%

New Release: 85.23%
Still in Theater: 88.14%

PEACE, Mike ;)


Why does this seem ridiculous??? :-k It's a kick ass movie and better than any horror movie we've seen in a long time..

Author:  MikeQ. [ Mon Apr 25, 2005 3:08 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Scores With Estimates

BKB_The_Man wrote:
MikeQ. wrote:
Amityville Horror will certainly go way down and help my score with the actuals. The sunday projection for the film seems ridiculous, in my opinion. I also hope Robots goes down. And King's Ransom stays as high as possible! :razz:

The Interpreter - (21.5 / 22.8) -- Accuracy: 94.30%
The Amityville Horror - (9.8 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 69.01%
Sahara - (8.4 / 9.0) -- Accuracy: 93.33%
A Lot Like Love - (9.0 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 83.12%
Kung Fu Hustle - (7.8 / 7.3) -- Accuracy: 93.15%
Fever Pitch - (5.5 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Sin City - (3.7 / 3.7) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Guess Who - (3.0 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 85.71%
Robots - (2.5 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 75.76%
King's Ransom - (2.8 / 2.3) -- Accuracy: 78.26%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 87.26%

New Release: 85.23%
Still in Theater: 88.14%

PEACE, Mike ;)


Why does this seem ridiculous??? :-k It's a kick ass movie and better than any horror movie we've seen in a long time..


I'm not trying to put down the film or say it's a crappy film. I haven't actually seen it, so I could really like it for all I know. I just meant strictly in terms of box office, the sunday projection by the studio is going to be way off, in my opinion. Only a 30% drop while all others films drop in the 40% range? Doesn't seem right to me, although who knows...

PEACE, Mike ;)

Author:  xiayun [ Mon Apr 25, 2005 3:24 pm ]
Post subject: 

Nielsen has King's Ransom at 2.42M: http://www.entdata.com/charts/index.html. Since all the other numbers still look the same as BOM's estimates, I assume they haven't updated to actuals and simply had a different estimate for Ransom. Still, it kept going higher and doesn't look good for my score.

Author:  matatonio [ Mon Apr 25, 2005 3:33 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Interpreter - (20.2 / 22.8) -- Accuracy: 88.60%
The Amityville Horror - (10.3 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 72.54%
Sahara - (8.8 / 9) -- Accuracy: 97.78%
A Lot Like Love - (11.2 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 54.55% :mad:
Kung Fu Hustle - (7 / 7.3) -- Accuracy: 95.89%
Fever Pitch - (5.4 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 98.18%
Sin City - (3.9 / 3.7) -- Accuracy: 94.59%
Guess Who - (2.7 / 3.5) -- Accuracy: 77.14%
Robots - (2.4 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 72.73%
King's Ransom - (4.1 / 2.3) -- Accuracy: 21.74% :mad:

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 77.37%

New Release: 54.96%
Still in Theater: 86.98%

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