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Plot
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 9:40 pm
Posts: 2987
Location: Free Country, USA
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 Derby score with projections The Grudge - (20 / 35) -- Accuracy: 57.14%
Shark Tale - (14.5 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 97.89%
Shall We Dance? - (9.7 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 85.88%
Friday Night Lights - (7.6 / 7.6) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Team America: World Police - (7 / 7) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Ladder 49 - (5.3 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 96.36%
Surviving Christmas - (9.5 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 0.00%
Taxi - (3.9 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 92.86%
The Forgotten - (3.6 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 87.80%
I Heart Huckabees - (4.5 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 63.64%
OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 78.16%
New Release: 28.57%
Still in Theater: 90.55%
Another horrible week for me 
_________________
"How you uh, how you comin' on that novel you're working on? Huh? Gotta a big, uh, big stack of papers there? Gotta, gotta nice litte story you're working on there? Your big novel you've been working on for 3 years? Got a, got a compelling protaganist? Yeah? Gotta obstacle for him to overcome? Working on, working on that for quite some time?"
Battle of the 2005 movies - Vote Now!
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:12 pm |
 
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e1828
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 12:01 pm
Posts: 577
Location: In your mind
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Bleh, got killed on Survivng Christmas
The Grudge - (23.5 / 35) -- Accuracy: 67.14%
Shark Tale - (14.4 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 98.59%
Shall We Dance? - (8.3 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 97.65%
Friday Night Lights - (6.3 / 7.6) -- Accuracy: 82.89%
Team America: World Police - (5.8 / 7) -- Accuracy: 82.86%
Ladder 49 - (5.2 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 94.55%
Surviving Christmas - (7.4 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 35.56%
Taxi - (3.9 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 92.86%
The Forgotten - (3.6 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 87.80%
I Heart Huckabees - (3.7 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 87.88%
OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 82.78%
New Release: 51.35%
Still in Theater: 90.63%
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:15 pm |
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Anonymous
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77.24% Derby, Survivor 4 and Dom vs Int, quite bad as I was overpredicted SC and Huckabees.
85.11% on UC4, only behind Ragnarok there.
Atleast one reason to smile.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:17 pm |
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sako
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 6:07 pm
Posts: 1684
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Rank Film Predicted Estimate Est. Accuracy
1 The Grudge 17.6 35 50.29%
2 Shark Tale 14.9 14.2 95.07%
3 Shall We Dance? 7.6 8.5 89.41%
4 Friday Night Lights 8.2 7.6 92.11%
5 Team America: World Police 6 7 85.71%
6 Ladder 49 5.8 5.5 94.55%
7 Surviving Christmas 11.6 4.5 0.00%
8 Taxi 5 4.2 80.95%
9 The Forgotten 3.7 4.1 90.24%
10 I Heart Huckabees 3.5 3.3 93.94%
Average
OVERALL (estimate) 77.23%
New Release 25.14%
Still in Theater 90.25%
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:17 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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The Grudge - (24.3 / 35) -- Accuracy: 69.43%
Shark Tale - (15.2 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 92.96%
Shall We Dance? - (8.5 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Friday Night Lights - (7.8 / 7.6) -- Accuracy: 97.37%
Team America: World Police - (7.0 / 7) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Ladder 49 - (5.3 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 96.36%
Surviving Christmas - (12.1 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 0.00%
Taxi - (4.9 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 83.33%
The Forgotten - (3.5 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 85.37%
I Heart Huckabees - (5.5 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 33.33%
OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 75.82%
New Release: 34.71%
Still in Theater: 86.09%
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:35 pm |
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Anonymous
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This whole month sucks for me and Derby game. No score over 80%.
Well, atleast I got drunk quite often.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:36 pm |
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rusty
rustiphica
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 7:59 pm
Posts: 8687
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Nebs wrote: This whole month sucks for me and Derby game. No score over 80%.
Well, atleast I got drunk quite often. that's all that really counts in the end 
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:38 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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I nailed almost all the holdovers, but Surviving Christmas killed me.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 1:14 pm |
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Coasterman2002
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 6:23 pm
Posts: 1010
Location: New Yawk
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The Grudge - (16.4 / 35) -- Accuracy: 46.86%
Shark Tale - (16.4 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 84.51%
Shall We Dance? - (8.1 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 95.29%
Friday Night Lights - (7.8 / 7.6) -- Accuracy: 97.37%
Team America: World Police - (6.5 / 7) -- Accuracy: 92.86%
Ladder 49 - (5.7 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 96.36%
Surviving Christmas - (6.5 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 55.56%
Taxi - (4.5 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 92.86%
The Forgotten - (3.6 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 87.80%
I Heart Huckabees - (3.3 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 84.95%
New Release: 51.21%
Still in Theater: 93.38%
_________________
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Liberalism is a Mental Disorder - BUY THE BOOK NOW!!! On New York Times Best Seller List 9 Weeks in a Row
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 1:18 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm
Posts: 36662
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Coasterman, great score.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 1:32 pm |
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xiayun
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 3:41 pm
Posts: 25109
Location: San Mateo, CA
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Oh, I think Ragnarok is going to win this weekend again with a 89% score.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 1:38 pm |
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e1828
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 12:01 pm
Posts: 577
Location: In your mind
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xiayun wrote: Oh, I think Ragnarok is going to win this weekend again with a 89% score. It's going to be close between him and Brandon. Here are Brandon's projected scores:
The Grudge - (22.3 / 35) -- Accuracy: 63.71%
Shark Tale - (14.5 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 97.89%
Shall We Dance? - (9.1 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 92.94%
Friday Night Lights - (7.4 / 7.6) -- Accuracy: 97.37%
Team America: World Police - (6.7 / 7) -- Accuracy: 95.71%
Ladder 49 - (5.2 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 94.55%
Surviving Christmas - (6.0 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 66.67%
Taxi - (4.3 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 97.62%
The Forgotten - (3.7 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 90.24%
I Heart Huckabees - (3.7 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 87.88%
OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 88.46%
New Release: 65.19%
Still in Theater: 94.27%
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 1:45 pm |
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mikepepsi
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 2:23 pm
Posts: 76
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I was going to do a projection accuracy for the NF7 predictions...But the projections are pretty bad this week.....
_________________
The Joy Of Pepsi!
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 1:52 pm |
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Coasterman2002
Indiana Jones IV
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 6:23 pm
Posts: 1010
Location: New Yawk
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Zingaling wrote: Coasterman, great score. Grazie, even though i still predicted low for that ben assleck crap i still only got 55% :o
_________________
Michael Savage's "The Savage Nation" On Radio Monday through Friday 8pm-11pm (Eastern Time)
Liberalism is a Mental Disorder - BUY THE BOOK NOW!!! On New York Times Best Seller List 9 Weeks in a Row
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 1:57 pm |
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Anonymous
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...
Last edited by Anonymous on Sat Oct 23, 2004 2:26 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 1:59 pm |
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mikepepsi
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 2:23 pm
Posts: 76
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_________________
The Joy Of Pepsi!
Last edited by mikepepsi on Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:29 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 2:09 pm |
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The Scottie
King Albert!
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:04 pm
Posts: 11838
Location: The Happiest City on Earth
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I would score an 83.46% with those projections. I have a feeling that Shall We Dance will go higher than that.
_________________Visit My Youtube Account and here is what you will see.    and many more.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 2:47 pm |
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Ragnarok
Speed Racer
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 3:35 pm
Posts: 131
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xiayun wrote: Oh, I think Ragnarok is going to win this weekend again with a 89% score. I doubt it. My holdovers are not good enough.
About projections, I agree that Shall we Dance seems a little low. Also The Grudge will also probably be higher unless the friday actual is much lower than estimated.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:17 pm |
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Eagle
Site Owner
Joined: Wed Sep 15, 2004 1:09 pm
Posts: 14631
Location: Pittsburgh
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Someone wanna tell me mine?
I dunno how 
KJ
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:20 pm |
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Anonymous
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Eagle, just go here: http://www.boxofficefactor.com/calculat ... lation.htm
and write your numbers in boxes.
Then check easy posting, click Calculate and that's it. Copy/paste what you got here.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:22 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 63026
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Ok here are my scores:
I refuse to post em, they're too bad. I mean, 20 mil for Grudge, 15 mil for Surviving.......... I'll just stop there
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 3:30 pm |
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neo_wolf
Extraordinary
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 10:19 pm
Posts: 10906
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The Grudge - (21.5 / 35) -- Accuracy: 61.43%
Shark Tale - (14.9 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 95.07%
Shall We Dance? - (7.4 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 87.06%
Friday Night Lights - (7.6 / 7.6) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Team America: World Police - (7.4 / 7) -- Accuracy: 94.29%
Ladder 49 - (5.2 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 94.55%
Surviving Christmas - (8.8 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 4.44%
Taxi - (4.2 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
The Forgotten - (3.9 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 95.12%
I Heart Huckabees - (3.3 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 83.20%
New Release: 32.94%
Still in Theater: 95.76%
I would have had a great score if it wasent for Surviving christmas.Ben Affleck you suck!
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 4:41 pm |
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John Doe
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 10:44 pm
Posts: 571
Location: NYC
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The Grudge - (21.4 / 35) -- Accuracy: 61.14%
Shark Tale - (14.8 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 95.77%
Shall We Dance? - (8 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 94.12%
Friday Night Lights - (7.5 / 7.6) -- Accuracy: 98.68%
Team America: World Police - (6.3 / 7) -- Accuracy: 90.00%
Ladder 49 - (5.1 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 92.73%
Surviving Christmas - (8.8 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 4.44%
Taxi - (4.2 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
The Forgotten - (3.5 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 85.37%
I Heart Huckabees - (4.1 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 75.76%
OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 79.80%
New Release: 32.79%
Still in Theater: 91.55%
That's the third consecutive week that I suck big time...
_________________
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 5:13 pm |
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e1828
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 12:01 pm
Posts: 577
Location: In your mind
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neo_wolf wrote: The Grudge - (21.5 / 35) -- Accuracy: 61.43%
Shark Tale - (14.9 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 95.07%
Shall We Dance? - (7.4 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 87.06%
Friday Night Lights - (7.6 / 7.6) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Team America: World Police - (7.4 / 7) -- Accuracy: 94.29%
Ladder 49 - (5.2 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 94.55%
Surviving Christmas - (8.8 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 4.44%
Taxi - (4.2 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
The Forgotten - (3.9 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 95.12%
I Heart Huckabees - (3.3 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 83.20%
New Release: 32.94%
Still in Theater: 95.76%
I would have had a great score if it wasent for Surviving christmas.Ben Affleck you suck! Yup, excellent job on the holdovers.
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 5:27 pm |
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MGKC
---------
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 10:42 pm
Posts: 11808
Location: Kansas City, Kansas
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The Grudge - (19.7 / 35) -- Accuracy: 56.29%
Shark Tale - (14.5 / 14.2) -- Accuracy: 97.89%
Shall We Dance? - (8.5 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Friday Night Lights - (7.5 / 7.6) -- Accuracy: 98.68%
Team America: World Police - (6.8 / 7) -- Accuracy: 97.14%
Ladder 49 - (5.5 / 5.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Surviving Christmas - (6.8 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 48.89%
Taxi - (4.7 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 88.10%
The Forgotten - (3.5 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 85.37%
I Heart Huckabees - (4.2 / 3.3) -- Accuracy: 72.73%
OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 84.51%
New Release: 52.59%
Still in Theater: 92.49%
Not too dreadful....
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| Sat Oct 23, 2004 5:40 pm |
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