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Scores with Estimates
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=6961
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Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 11:17 am ]
Post subject:  Scores with Estimates

You know the drill.

I have around 90.3% at UC6

Author:  Anonymous [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 11:24 am ]
Post subject: 

88.26% with the Ring 2 on $1.4m.

Author:  The Scottie [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 12:33 pm ]
Post subject: 

What are the projections? Please show them here.

Author:  zingy [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 12:33 pm ]
Post subject: 

87.81% with The Ring Two at $1.4M. Unpredicted all the holdovers.

Author:  xiayun [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 12:36 pm ]
Post subject: 

Except for probably The Ring Two, Derby average rocks this time.

Author:  JMorphin [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 12:43 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Amityville Horror - (22.2 / 23.4) -- Accuracy: 94.87%
Sahara - (11.1 / 11.8) -- Accuracy: 94.07%
Fever Pitch - (7.7 / 8.7) -- Accuracy: 88.51%
Sin City - (7.7 / 7.4) -- Accuracy: 95.95%
Guess Who - (4.4 / 4.7) -- Accuracy: 93.62%
Beauty Shop - (4 / 3.6) -- Accuracy: 88.89%
Robots - (3.3 / 3) -- Accuracy: 90.00%
Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (2.2 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 78.57%
The Pacifier - (2 / 2.3) -- Accuracy: 86.96%
The Ring 2 - (1.5 / 1.3) -- Accuracy: 84.62%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 89.60%

New Release: 94.87%
Still in Theater: 89.02%

I used 1.3 for the Ring 2 to be pessimistic, surprised at MC2's hold, otherwise yay! :wink:

Author:  Rev [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 12:57 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Amityville Horror - (21.5 / 23.4) -- Accuracy: 91.88%
Sahara - (9.9 / 11.8) -- Accuracy: 83.90%
Fever Pitch - (7.0 / 8.7) -- Accuracy: 80.46%
Sin City - (7.9 / 7.4) -- Accuracy: 93.24%
Guess Who - (4.2 / 4.7) -- Accuracy: 89.36%
Beauty Shop - (3.7 / 3.6) -- Accuracy: 97.22%
Robots - (3.0 / 3) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (2.2 / 2.8) -- Accuracy: 78.57%
The Pacifier - (1.9 / 2.3) -- Accuracy: 82.61%
The Upside of Anger - (1.5 / 1.8) -- Accuracy: 83.33%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 88.06%

New Release: 91.88%
Still in Theater: 87.63%

Author:  The Scottie [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 1:11 pm ]
Post subject: 

If the 1.3 prediction "Rings" true, my score would be a 90.95%

If it's 1.4, then my score is 91.77%

Nethertheless, a very impressive game.

Author:  Rev [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 1:23 pm ]
Post subject: 

Scott Vasquez wrote:
If the 1.3 prediction "Rings" true, my score would be a 90.95%

If it's 1.4, then my score is 91.77%

Nethertheless, a very impressive game.


good job like always.

Author:  Vovanik [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 1:50 pm ]
Post subject: 

OVERALL (estimate) -90.25% with The Ring Two at $1.4M

Author:  MGKC [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 2:14 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Amityville Horror - 84.19% ( 27.1 / 23.4 )
Sahara - 87.29% ( 10.3 / 11.8 )
Sin City - 90.54% ( 8.1 / 7.4 )
Fever Pitch - 77.01% ( 6.7 / 8.7 )
Guess Who - 87.23% ( 4.1 / 4.7 )
Beauty Shop - 88.89% ( 4.0 / 3.6 )
Robots - 96.67% ( 2.9 / 3.0 )
Miss Congeniality 2 - 89.29% ( 2.5 / 2.8 )
The Pacifier - 86.96% ( 2.0 / 2.3 )
The Ring Two - 76.92% ( 1.0 / 1.3 )

Score: 86.498%

I feel the chick flick movies (Beauty Shop, Fever Pitch, Guess Who, and Miss Congeniality 2) are going to have abnormally bad multipliers this weekend. I agree with all the other projections, except the Ring Two. I hope it's $1.0.

Author:  matatonio [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 3:20 pm ]
Post subject: 

With the Ring, 87.48%
With Upside of Anger, 89.23%

Author:  Doomsday [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 4:33 pm ]
Post subject: 

With Upside of Anger i get 90.57 %

Not bad for my first predictions in 5 months.
I guess i still have it!! :razz:

Author:  xiayun [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 5:26 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Ring Two earned $440,000 Friday. Using last weekend's multiplier, it will translate to 1.33M weekend. So we're looking at either 1.3 or 1.4. Personally, I think its multiplier will be a little higher this weekend since Friday should be impacted by The Amityville Horror the most.

Author:  Animosity Reigns [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 10:20 pm ]
Post subject: 

I dropped Fever Pitch to much (it really is a pos zzzz movie) and thus wound up with a 86ish % :???:

Author:  xiayun [ Sat Apr 16, 2005 10:32 pm ]
Post subject: 

Fever Pitch reminded me of Mean Girls, where the weak weekdays tricked a lot of us. I certainly didn't expect Fever Pitch to increase 300 some % on Friday.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Apr 17, 2005 4:08 am ]
Post subject: 

xiayun wrote:
Fever Pitch reminded me of Mean Girls, where the weak weekdays tricked a lot of us. I certainly didn't expect Fever Pitch to increase 300 some % on Friday.


Me neither, even though I expected at least 230%. However, looking at romcoms like 13 Going on 30 last year and some others, I expect a multiplier around 3, no more.

Author:  MAD MAX [ Sun Apr 17, 2005 5:01 am ]
Post subject: 

85.5 %

Author:  Michael. [ Sun Apr 17, 2005 7:00 am ]
Post subject: 

Wow those are horrible projections this week. Horrible.

Author:  The_Game_1 [ Sun Apr 17, 2005 11:02 am ]
Post subject: 

The Amityville Horror - (23.1 / 23.3) -- Accuracy: 99.14%
Sahara - (10.4 / 13.1) -- Accuracy: 79.39%
Fever Pitch - (7.3 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 82.95%
Sin City - (7.3 / 6.7) -- Accuracy: 91.04%
Guess Who - (4.0 / 4.9) -- Accuracy: 81.63%
Beauty Shop - (3.7 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 97.37%
Robots - (2.9 / 3.6) -- Accuracy: 80.56%
Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (2.3 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 79.31%
The Pacifier - (1.9 / 2.4) -- Accuracy: 79.17%
The Ring Two - (1.3 / 1.4) -- Accuracy: 92.86%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 86.34%

New Release: 99.14%
Still in Theater: 84.92%

edit
with estimates

Author:  xiayun [ Sun Apr 17, 2005 12:35 pm ]
Post subject: 

All estimates go against me. Now I'm down to 84%'ish.

Author:  Anonymous [ Sun Apr 17, 2005 12:36 pm ]
Post subject: 

Same here, 4% down.

The Amityville Horror - (20 / 23.3) -- Accuracy: 85.84%
Sahara - (10.2 / 13.1) -- Accuracy: 77.86%
Fever Pitch - (6.8 / 8.8) -- Accuracy: 77.27%
Sin City - (8 / 6.7) -- Accuracy: 80.60%
Guess Who - (4.2 / 4.9) -- Accuracy: 85.71%
Beauty Shop - (4 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 94.74%
Robots - (2.8 / 3.6) -- Accuracy: 77.78%
Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (2.5 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 86.21%
The Pacifier - (2 / 2.4) -- Accuracy: 83.33%
The Ring Two - (1.5 / 1.4) -- Accuracy: 92.86%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 84.22%

New Release: 85.84%
Still in Theater: 84.04%

Author:  The Scottie [ Sun Apr 17, 2005 2:31 pm ]
Post subject: 

I scored an 87.98%. Satisfactory game for me.

Author:  Animosity Reigns [ Sun Apr 17, 2005 2:51 pm ]
Post subject: 

84.98% ... its all due to fever pitch and pacifier :razz:
at least i was right on the money with Amityville and Sahara makes me feel a little better anyways.

a below par game for me :down: not to sound to full of myself or anything...*cough*

Author:  zingy [ Sun Apr 17, 2005 2:59 pm ]
Post subject: 

83.71%.

Terrible score. Underpredicted all the holdovers, except Sin City, which I overestimated.

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