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Scores with Estimates
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=6705
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Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 12:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Scores with Estimates

Mine is around 84.5% :)

Author:  MGKC [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 12:57 pm ]
Post subject: 

Fever Pitch - 65.38% ( 17.5 / 13.0 )
Sahara - 69.73% ( 12.9 / 18.5 )
Sin City - 97.16% ( 13.7 / 14.1 )
Beauty Shop - 97.18% ( 6.9 / 7.1 )
Guess Who - 92.96% ( 7.6 / 7.1 )
Robots - 61.70% ( 6.5 / 4.7 )
Miss Congeniality 2 - 87.80% ( 4.6 / 4.1 )
The Pacifier - 73.33% ( 3.8 / 3.0 )
The Ring Two - 96.55% ( 2.8 / 2.9 )
The Upside of Anger - 100.00% ( 2.6 / 2.6 )

Score: 84.181%

I wonder if I'll pass Scott V for the yearly chart. It'll be pretty close.

Author:  Anonymous [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 1:01 pm ]
Post subject: 

Sahara - (20 / 18.5) -- Accuracy: 91.89%
Sin City - (12.2 / 14.1) -- Accuracy: 86.52%
Fever Pitch - (16.8 / 13) -- Accuracy: 70.77%
Beauty Shop - (6.7 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 94.37%
Guess Who - (7 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 98.59%
Robots - (6.6 / 5.2) -- Accuracy: 73.08%
Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (4.9 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 80.49%
The Pacifier - (3.8 / 3) -- Accuracy: 73.33%
The Ring Two - (2.8 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 96.55%
The Upside of Anger - (2.7 / 2.6) -- Accuracy: 96.15%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 86.17%

New Release: 81.33%
Still in Theater: 87.39%

Author:  Samweis Gamdschie [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 1:02 pm ]
Post subject: 

Okayish...

Sahara - (16 / 18.5) -- Accuracy: 86.49%
Sin City - (14.2 / 14.1) -- Accuracy: 99.29%
Fever Pitch - (19.1 / 13) -- Accuracy: 53.08%
Beauty Shop - (6.9 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 97.18%
Guess Who - (7.6 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 92.96%
Robots - (5.3 / 5.2) -- Accuracy: 98.08%
Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (4.7 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 85.37%
The Pacifier - (3.5 / 3) -- Accuracy: 83.33%
The Ring Two - (2.5 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 86.21%
The Upside of Anger - (2.8 / 2.6) -- Accuracy: 92.31%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 87.43%

New Release: 69.78%
Still in Theater: 91.84%

Author:  xiayun [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 1:04 pm ]
Post subject: 

86'ish. Made all the wrong changes at the last moment (3.1 to 3.5 for Pacifier, 16 to 18 for Fever Pitch, and 2.9 to 2.5 for Ring Two).

Author:  MGKC [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 1:05 pm ]
Post subject: 

The Derby Avg is 80.42%, so most of us should rank pretty high.

Author:  zingy [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 1:06 pm ]
Post subject: 

Sahara - (12.6 / 18.5) -- Accuracy: 68.11%
Sin City - (13.1 / 14.1) -- Accuracy: 92.91%
Fever Pitch - (17.9 / 13) -- Accuracy: 62.31%
Beauty Shop - (7.1 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Guess Who - (8.2 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 84.51%
Robots - (6.9 / 5.2) -- Accuracy: 67.31%
Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (4.9 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 80.49%
The Pacifier - (4.1 / 3) -- Accuracy: 63.33%
The Ring Two - (2.9 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
The Upside of Anger - (2.9 / 2.6) -- Accuracy: 88.46%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 80.74%

New Release: 65.21%
Still in Theater: 84.63%

Yuuuuuuuuuuck.

Author:  MAD MAX [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 1:08 pm ]
Post subject: 

It's TERRIBLE data!! :mad: :mad: I have lost 4 % !!! And now i have only 89.7 ](*,)

Of course now the victory does not shine :-k


Gray 85.54 only

Author:  xiayun [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 1:08 pm ]
Post subject: 

I think the yearly race just got tighter, not just between the top two.

Author:  Ghostooze [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 1:11 pm ]
Post subject: 

Wildbill - 88.44% =D>

Brandon Gray - 85.54% :-k

Author:  Vovanik [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 1:23 pm ]
Post subject: 

85.57%

Author:  Korrgan [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 1:41 pm ]
Post subject: 

Sahara - (15.1 / 18.5) -- Accuracy: 81.62%
Sin City - (13.5 / 14.1) -- Accuracy: 95.74%
Fever Pitch - (20.3 / 13) -- Accuracy: 43.85%
Beauty Shop - (6.7 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 94.37%
Guess Who - (7.6 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 92.96%
Robots - (5.8 / 5.2) -- Accuracy: 88.46%
Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (4.5 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 90.24%
The Pacifier - (3.8 / 3) -- Accuracy: 73.33%
The Ring Two - (2.7 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 93.10%
The Upside of Anger - (2.9 / 2.6) -- Accuracy: 88.46%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 84.21%

:cry:

Author:  The Scottie [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 2:07 pm ]
Post subject: 

MG Casey wrote:
Fever Pitch - 65.38% ( 17.5 / 13.0 )
Sahara - 69.73% ( 12.9 / 18.5 )
Sin City - 97.16% ( 13.7 / 14.1 )
Beauty Shop - 97.18% ( 6.9 / 7.1 )
Guess Who - 92.96% ( 7.6 / 7.1 )
Robots - 61.70% ( 6.5 / 4.7 )
Miss Congeniality 2 - 87.80% ( 4.6 / 4.1 )
The Pacifier - 73.33% ( 3.8 / 3.0 )
The Ring Two - 96.55% ( 2.8 / 2.9 )
The Upside of Anger - 100.00% ( 2.6 / 2.6 )

Score: 84.181%

I wonder if I'll pass Scott V for the yearly chart. It'll be pretty close.


I will be close. My score is an 82.64%.

Author:  Samweis Gamdschie [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 2:19 pm ]
Post subject: 

I dunno why, but I find the yearly chart very interesting. Okay, lets face it - Ragnarok is still our #1 and it looks like nobody is able to beat him (at the moment :wink: ) - but the race for #2 is pretty exciting... MG Casey, Scott and also xiayun and Jeff 42 have average scores between 82-83%... everytime someone creates a "Scores-With-Estimates-Thread" I post my score and than I look at the scores of these four brilliant predictors....

I really hope this race will keep its suspense till December... :razz:

Author:  Jeff 42 [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 2:30 pm ]
Post subject: 

Guys, most of your scores are wrong because Robots is estimated at $4.7m and on the Calculate page it was shown with $5.2m before I just updated it.

Sahara - (14 / 18.5) -- Accuracy: 75.68%
Sin City - (12.8 / 14.1) -- Accuracy: 90.78%
Fever Pitch - (15.5 / 13) -- Accuracy: 80.77%
Beauty Shop - (6.6 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 92.96%
Guess Who - (7.9 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 88.73%
Robots - (5.5 / 4.7) -- Accuracy: 82.98%
Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (4.6 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 87.80%
The Pacifier - (3.7 / 3) -- Accuracy: 76.67%
The Ring Two - (2.6 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 89.66%
The Upside of Anger - (2.6 / 2.6) -- Accuracy: 100.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 86.60%

New Release: 78.22%
Still in Theater: 88.70%

I think Robots, Pacifier, and Guess Who are underestimated and Beauty Shop is overestimated so I expect my score to go up with actuals.

Author:  sako [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 3:17 pm ]
Post subject: 

DERBY
Average
OVERALL (estimate) 84.73%
New Release 69.92%
Still in Theater 88.43%

Survivor
Average
OVERALL (estimate) 85.73%
New Release 71.53%
Still in Theater 89.28%

Author:  Animosity Reigns [ Sun Apr 10, 2005 4:26 pm ]
Post subject: 

Samweis Gamdschie wrote:

I really hope this race will keep its suspense till December... :razz:


I plan on hanging around in the top ten and then make my move come Nov. Dec, cause we all know that was my best month, won twice in 3 weeks last year :razz:

at least I can dream anyway :razz:

85 ish this week, way overpredicted Robots :???:

Author:  JMorphin [ Mon Apr 11, 2005 12:06 am ]
Post subject: 

Sahara - (10 / 18.5) -- Accuracy: 54.05%
Sin City - (13 / 14.1) -- Accuracy: 92.20%
Fever Pitch - (13 / 13) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Beauty Shop - (6 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 84.51%
Guess Who - (6.5 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 91.55%
Robots - (5 / 4.7) -- Accuracy: 93.62%
Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (4.5 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 90.24%
The Pacifier - (3.5 / 3) -- Accuracy: 83.33%
The Ring Two - (2.5 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 86.21%
The Upside of Anger - (2.5 / 2.6) -- Accuracy: 96.15%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 87.19%

New Release: 77.03%
Still in Theater: 89.73%

WOW, looks like I maintained my score compared to a lot of you with the estimates, WOOT :wink:

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