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Act of Valor Predictions
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Author:  bl1222 [ Tue Feb 07, 2012 12:07 am ]
Post subject:  Act of Valor Predictions
At first, I thought this would flop but after looking at the TV Spots from Super Bowl last night, I'm convinced that this will be another hit for Relativity Media. I'm predicting something like $15 million with a $40-$50 million total. I think this will be a surprise.
Author:  Dil [ Tue Feb 07, 2012 12:15 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
bl1222 wrote:
At first, I thought this would flop but after looking at the TV Spots from Super Bowl last night, I'm convinced that this will be another hit for Relativity Media. I'm predicting something like $15 million with a $40-$50 million total. I think this will be a surprise.



LOL! I know right. This movie looked like a complete failure from the start and then Relativity pulled out those awesome tv spots during the SuperBowl and people pretty much ate it up. What a turn around.

16/45
Author:  David [ Tue Feb 07, 2012 12:29 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
Wish this would come out already, so I can stop seeing advertising for it. Barf.

15/42
Author:  Libs [ Tue Feb 07, 2012 12:44 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
Yeah I actually think this will do relatively well. The high-profile country soundtrack will probably help.
Author:  David [ Tue Feb 07, 2012 12:45 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
Holy shit, it has a country soundtrack?! lol
Author:  Libs [ Tue Feb 07, 2012 12:46 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
David wrote:
Holy shit, it has a country soundtrack?! lol


Quote:
1. For You (Keith Urban)
2. Guide Me Home (Sugarland)
3. I Was Here (Lady Antebellum)
4. The Best I Can (Jake Owen)
5. If The Sun Comes Up (Trace Adkins)
6. Two Soldiers Coming Home (Lori McKenna)
7. What It Takes (Montgomery Gentry)
8. The Best Of Me (Josh Kelley)
9. Where We Left Off (Hunter Hayes)
10. Whatever Brings You Back (Wynonna Judd)


That's a pretty nutso lineup. The Keith Urban song is over the end credits.
Author:  DP07 [ Wed Feb 08, 2012 12:17 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
14m/43m
Author:  Crux [ Wed Feb 08, 2012 12:53 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
19/61
Author:  Thegun [ Wed Feb 08, 2012 2:47 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
David wrote:
Wish this would come out already, so I can stop seeing advertising for it. Barf.

15/42


Especially since I've seen so many actors in it that aren't really seals.
Author:  Dil [ Thu Feb 16, 2012 9:18 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
Relativity seems to have alot of faith in this. It's being released in 3,000 theatres next week. I could see it topping $20M now.
Author:  bl1222 [ Thu Feb 16, 2012 9:26 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
And it will 99.99% likely be number one since Tyler Perry's next movie, isn't getting as good buzz as his previous ones.
Author:  Libs [ Thu Feb 16, 2012 11:03 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
I actually think this could do numbers similar to Red Tails a few weeks ago.
Author:  David [ Thu Feb 16, 2012 11:16 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
This is being screened on military bases.
Author:  Jack Sparrow [ Fri Feb 17, 2012 6:16 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
To me this looks really bad and the trailers have given me the feeling of a B-grade action movie. It might do well though given the marketing and the spot, plus Relativity seems to be confident in it so you never know...
Author:  Proud Ryu [ Fri Feb 17, 2012 11:51 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
This movie was tracking better last week with males 25+ than Ghost Rider, which is crazy.
Author:  Libs [ Fri Feb 17, 2012 11:57 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
I also still think this is going to be helped by having a popular soundtrack. It has new tracks from Sugarland and Lady Antebellum, among others. And this is Keith Urban's original track (that may be a single, not sure yet) that will play over the end credits:
Author:  Magic Mike [ Mon Feb 20, 2012 5:23 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
I could honestly see this breaking out kind of big. Maybe high 20's. People seem to be eating up the whole "real SEALs, real families, real combat action" angle. I couldn't be more turned off by it and hope it does not breakout, but I'm thinking it will. It's nothing more than a propaganda film, IMO. Looks like one long recruitment ad.

I also agree with Libs that the country soundtrack will only help.
Author:  David [ Mon Feb 20, 2012 8:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
Indeed. I've heard lots of people discussing it, many of them people who rarely go to the movies or whom I wouldn't associate with being "hip" to new films. It's going to bring a potent audience of conservatives, religious types, military families, etc. out, in addition to the usual action crowd. And the whole "REAL SEALS, REAL TACTICS" angle has been effective.

Walmart has these big ACT OF VALOR standees in their electronic departments. Military and action Blu-rays being sold with Act of Valor Movie Cash. (I needed to do heavy breathing when I saw my beloved Master and Commander included.) But, in a fun twist, amongst the Men of Honors and Wolverines, there was Lions for Lambs. :P Clearly they, as with most of America, didn't watch Lions for Lambs. The Act of Valor crowd will love those end credits where high school graduates, fathers, sons, etc. disappear from photographs to represent their deaths in Iraq and Afghanistan.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Tue Feb 28, 2012 10:24 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
It will make at least $55 million now whch should inevitably lead to a sequel and maybe other similar films. You kno,w starring real firemen, real policemen....real accountants?! :funny:
Author:  David [ Tue Feb 28, 2012 6:14 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
"Real Navy SEALs" was such a brilliant ploy. Not only perfectly timed with the Osama assassination a few months ago, but they are also the ultimate...how to say it, you know, the shrouded-in-mystery super-badasses.
Author:  Magic Mike [ Tue Feb 28, 2012 9:45 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
Magnus wrote:
I don't think lightning will strike twice with this. I think the whole "real NAVY seals" gimmick works once really. I'm sure you could make a sequel profitable, but it will be a drop-off from this.


Yeah, that wouldn't work again.
Author:  jmovies [ Tue Feb 28, 2012 10:04 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
Dr. Lecter wrote:
It will make at least $55 million now whch should inevitably lead to a sequel and maybe other similar films. You kno,w starring real firemen, real policemen....real accountants?! :funny:


Margin Call 2!
Author:  David [ Tue Feb 28, 2012 10:48 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
Author:  jmovies [ Tue Feb 28, 2012 11:10 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
that was indeed awesome
Author:  Crux [ Wed Feb 29, 2012 12:12 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Act of Valor Predictions
Magnus wrote:
I don't think lightning will strike twice with this. I think the whole "real NAVY seals" gimmick works once really. I'm sure you could make a sequel profitable, but it will be a drop-off from this.


:funny:

Maybe they'll market MIB:3 like that. "Now with Real Aliens!"
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