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Tuesday Numbers (April 5)
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Author:  xiayun [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 3:33 pm ]
Post subject:  Tuesday Numbers (April 5)

1 SIN CITY $2,450,000(estimate) 2.1% / $759 $33,970,000
2 GUESS WHO $728,445 6.4% / $231 $42,453,369
3 BEAUTY SHOP $678,017 -4% / $255 $18,031,628
4 MISS CONGENIALITY 2: ARMED AND FABULOUS $553,453 8.2% / $171 $32,192,054
5 ROBOTS $443,421 -3.8% / $147 $105,325,178
6 THE RING TWO $349,078 2.7% / $110 $68,734,992
7 THE UPSIDE OF ANGER $300,000 (estimate) 13.2% / $270 $9,169,000
8 THE PACIFIER $298,893 3% / $105 $96,706,864
9 HITCH $195,460 14% / $105 $171,633,588
10 HOSTAGE $190,000 (estimate) 15.2% / $110 $30,644,000
11 ICE PRINCESS $149,670 -1% / $83 $19,054,113
12 MILLION DOLLAR BABY $116,490 18.4% / $83 $96,877,243

Author:  xiayun [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 3:34 pm ]
Post subject: 

Looks like college basketball final did affect Sin City's Monday number, as this is a fantastic Tuesday hold. Very interesting.

Author:  zingy [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 3:34 pm ]
Post subject: 

Sin City actually increased. That's a bit shocking...

Author:  The Scottie [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 3:37 pm ]
Post subject: 

With this increase, do you think Sin City will get a good hold?

Author:  Joker's Thug #3 [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 3:38 pm ]
Post subject: 

Great for Sin City, hopefully it ends up holding pretty well this weekend.

Author:  Libs [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 3:40 pm ]
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Sin City with a 45% drop wouldn't surprise me. I believe the original Kill Bill only dropped by about that much.Since I'm assuming Sahara will falter, it looks like it may be a close race between it and Fever Pitch for #1.

Author:  Andrew [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 3:40 pm ]
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blooming heck, amazing for Sin CIty, and a nice (and much needed) jump for M$B too. these numbers make me happy :smile:

Author:  DP07 [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 3:42 pm ]
Post subject: 

Wow, that's amazing for Sin City.

Author:  xiayun [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 3:43 pm ]
Post subject: 

Kill Bill Vol 2 drop 7.1% on its first Tuesday, but it had a little better Monday hold without the NCAA basketball distraction. Right now Sin City is 22.9% ahead of Vol 2's Tuesday, so if it has similar drops/holds from now on, it will gross 12.8M for the weekend. However, I do believe it will fare better than that. Kill Bill Vol 2 has to face Man on Fire and 13 Going on 30 the second weekend, both of which grossed over $20M, and Man on Fire was certainly a direct competition. Sin City has only to face Sahara and Fever Pitch. While those two have similarities with Man on Fire and 13 Going on 30, respectively, I don't believe both can gross over $20M, so I don't see Sin City dropping nearly as hard as Vol 2 now.

Author:  Flava'd vs The World [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 3:43 pm ]
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I knew it! This bolds very well for Sin City. If it keeps up like this through the week then an under 50% drop should be easy. With good weekdays like this, it could hit the $100M mark.

Author:  bABA [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 3:52 pm ]
Post subject: 

i remember a time when most movies used to increase on tuesdays due to matinees

Author:  JMorphin [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 4:54 pm ]
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Yes, but movies that open to 20 million+ tend to not increase on Tuesday for their first week out. :wink:

Author:  BJ [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 5:20 pm ]
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:raving on: SIN CITY INCREASED ON ITS FIRST TUESDAY!!! :rock: Take that all you nay sayers :twisted: :razz: :raving off:

:BJ speaking:

YAY! Sin City increased :smile:

Author:  xXVincentxX [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 6:39 pm ]
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Incredible for Sin City! The Upside Of Anger also did amazing. Million Dollar Baby had a nice increase, but I still think $100 million is out of the question.

Author:  MovieDude [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 6:47 pm ]
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Wow, maybe this is a sign that Sin City's great WOM and lack of competition will counteract the usual frontloadedness of a movie like it *cough cough* :mrgreen:

Author:  Maverikk [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 6:57 pm ]
Post subject: 

Great for Sin City! It definitely fits into the mold of a potential "it" movie, and should that happen, a $30 million dollar opening and a $100 million dollar final gross are very real possibilities!

Author:  Bodrul [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 7:12 pm ]
Post subject: 

Damn, when was the last time an opener increased on its first tuesday?

Author:  xiayun [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 7:27 pm ]
Post subject: 

hans wrote:
Damn, when was the last time an opener increased on its first tuesday?


That actually happens more often that people may realize, as Ice Princess did when it opened. However, I can't recall another movie which had a Friday-to-Saturday drop and then turned around to have a Tuesday increase right after.

Author:  MovieDude [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 7:31 pm ]
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I think last City is a unique case. It had a lower Saturday and Monday because of NCAA which is probably why it happened.

Author:  Bodrul [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 7:52 pm ]
Post subject: 

xiayun wrote:
hans wrote:
Damn, when was the last time an opener increased on its first tuesday?


That actually happens more often that people may realize, as Ice Princess did when it opened. However, I can't recall another movie which had a Friday-to-Saturday drop and then turned around to have a Tuesday increase right after.


i meant a reasonably high #1 opener

Author:  xiayun [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 8:07 pm ]
Post subject: 

hans wrote:
xiayun wrote:
hans wrote:
Damn, when was the last time an opener increased on its first tuesday?


That actually happens more often that people may realize, as Ice Princess did when it opened. However, I can't recall another movie which had a Friday-to-Saturday drop and then turned around to have a Tuesday increase right after.


i meant a reasonably high #1 opener


That happens quite often as well, such as Ocean's Twelve. :) Increasing on first Tuesday happens about 35% of the time, so by itself is not a big news, but all of them, as far as I can tell, had Friday-to-Saturday increases, and that is what makes this unexpected.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 8:17 pm ]
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That increase for Sin City is simply amazing and unbelievable. It is true that often #1 openers increase on their first Tuesday. However, I can't recall a single #1 opener that declined on Saturday and yet increased on its first Tuesday. I don't expect the Friday, increase to be big, actually, I see it being in the 125-130% range, but even then, the Friday gross is looking to be around $4-7-4.8 million which would lead to a $15 million weekend and a drop of under 50%. I really hope that'll happen. If that, indeed, happens, then I believe the movie can reach $90 million. The $100 million-barrier is still a bit too far away in my opinion.


Moreover, I really don't see why some people are assuming that Million Dollar Baby won't reach $100 million. I mean before hitting the next weekend, it'll stand at around $97 million and unless there is a massive theatre count drop, it'll get close to $98 million by the end of the weekend. It'd need a multiplier of 3 from then on to get to $100 million which I think is not that hard of a feat to achieve for a Best Picture winner. I see it topping out at around $101 million.

I am still surprised at how decent the legs of Hostage actually are. I mean, it is an R-rated action flick with rather okay-ish reviews and it'll end up with a multiplier close to 3.4.

Author:  Raffiki [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 8:30 pm ]
Post subject: 

I think Sin City followed an incredibly respectable Monday gross to a shocking holdover Tuesday gross, inching ahead of Monday.
If this film drops decently this weekend, then it might have a chance at $100 million.
It seems as though word of mouth is going to be key for this film.
Another great feature is how many actors are actually in this movie but are not heavily advertised.
You have Micheal Madsen, Josh Hartnett, the Gimore Girls chick, and I think one more noticeable face.
If the NCAA really was a factor, then it's even better.

I think it should fall just short of $40 million by Thursday and quite possibly pull in around $17-18 million in its second weekend with no real direct threat. Fever Pitch won't do more than $12-13 million as history has shown countless times and I hope Sahara flops. That would give Sin City $57 million. It would be a hard up-hill climb but it's possible.

Author:  Alex Y. [ Wed Apr 06, 2005 9:25 pm ]
Post subject: 

I actually find Tuesday's increase for Sin City to be a less impressive feat than its Sunday and Monday numbers, where it had the lowest day-to-day percentage drop of any movie in the top 13.

Author:  MovieDude [ Thu Apr 07, 2005 3:22 am ]
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Lecter my man, the reason Hostage is going to have some of the best legs so far this year, and fantastic ones for the genre, is because it's a damn good movie and the WOM spread over time about that fact. It has yet to drop much over 45%, and in it's third weekend had the best drop of the weekend, quite the feat for an R rated action movie.

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