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Scores with estmates http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=6436 |
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Author: | Dr. Lecter [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 1:51 pm ] |
Post subject: | Scores with estmates |
Well, mine ranges in the 91% range. This is a weekend of great scores. |
Author: | Vovanik [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:06 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
BOM estimates ........... 89.72%.......... |
Author: | xiayun [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:09 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Yeah, the score looks really good, especially Scott's. |
Author: | Impact [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:11 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
I don't want to know what it could of been since this was the one time I didn't do it, and they look close to my early predictions from last week. |
Author: | Samweis Gamdschie [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:11 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Derby: 90.87% Duels: 92.58% Ultimate Champion 6: 91.22% BO55: 93.82% There could easily be a new record for the highest score ever this weekend, because the Derby average score is 86.91%… |
Author: | Samweis Gamdschie [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:13 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Scott Vasquez's score: Sin City - (25.1 / 28.1) -- Accuracy: 89.32% Beauty Shop - (14.4 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 93.33% Guess Who - (11.6 / 13) -- Accuracy: 89.23% Robots - (8.3 / 10) -- Accuracy: 83.00% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (7.7 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 91.67% The Pacifier - (5.6 / 6.1) -- Accuracy: 91.80% The Ring Two - (6.1 / 5.8) -- Accuracy: 94.83% The Upside of Anger - (4.1 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00% Hitch - (3.0 / 3) -- Accuracy: 100.00% Hostage - (2.3 / 2.2) -- Accuracy: 95.45% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 92.86% New Release: 94.22% Still in Theater: 92.28% =D> |
Author: | xiayun [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:17 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
The only small chance I have is for Upside of Anger having a good Sunday hold and get $4.3M and Hitch dropping a little more to 2.9. For most other movies, I'm on the wrong side, even just by a few decimals. |
Author: | zingy [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:19 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Derby: 84.93% Survivor: 88.24% #-o |
Author: | Ghostooze [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:23 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Wildbill got a 87%ish...ouch |
Author: | Korrgan [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:28 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
My score in Survivor is 91.37%. ![]() |
Author: | The Scottie [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:31 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Samweis Gamdschie wrote: Scott Vasquez's score: Sin City - (25.1 / 28.1) -- Accuracy: 89.32% Beauty Shop - (14.4 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 93.33% Guess Who - (11.6 / 13) -- Accuracy: 89.23% Robots - (8.3 / 10) -- Accuracy: 83.00% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (7.7 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 91.67% The Pacifier - (5.6 / 6.1) -- Accuracy: 91.80% The Ring Two - (6.1 / 5.8) -- Accuracy: 94.83% The Upside of Anger - (4.1 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00% Hitch - (3.0 / 3) -- Accuracy: 100.00% Hostage - (2.3 / 2.2) -- Accuracy: 95.45% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 92.86% New Release: 94.22% Still in Theater: 92.28% =D> See this guys, this is the reason why you should vote for me in the Best Predictor category. |
Author: | Samweis Gamdschie [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:32 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Scott Vasquez wrote: Samweis Gamdschie wrote: Scott Vasquez's score: Sin City - (25.1 / 28.1) -- Accuracy: 89.32% Beauty Shop - (14.4 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 93.33% Guess Who - (11.6 / 13) -- Accuracy: 89.23% Robots - (8.3 / 10) -- Accuracy: 83.00% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (7.7 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 91.67% The Pacifier - (5.6 / 6.1) -- Accuracy: 91.80% The Ring Two - (6.1 / 5.8) -- Accuracy: 94.83% The Upside of Anger - (4.1 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00% Hitch - (3.0 / 3) -- Accuracy: 100.00% Hostage - (2.3 / 2.2) -- Accuracy: 95.45% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 92.86% New Release: 94.22% Still in Theater: 92.28% =D> See this guys, this is the reason why you should vote for me in the Best Predictor category. You have my vote... :wink: |
Author: | Anonymous [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:34 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
4% rise from projections... Sin City - (17.8 / 28.1) -- Accuracy: 63.35% Beauty Shop - (14.2 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 94.81% Guess Who - (9.7 / 13) -- Accuracy: 74.62% Robots - (8.3 / 10) -- Accuracy: 83.00% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (6.9 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 82.14% The Pacifier - (5.6 / 6.1) -- Accuracy: 91.80% The Ring Two - (5.7 / 5.8) -- Accuracy: 98.28% The Upside of Anger - (3.7 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 90.24% Hitch - (2.7 / 3) -- Accuracy: 90.00% Hostage - (2.1 / 2.2) -- Accuracy: 95.45% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 86.37% New Release: 82.80% Still in Theater: 87.90% |
Author: | Anonymous [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:36 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Scott Vasquez wrote: Samweis Gamdschie wrote: Scott Vasquez's score: Sin City - (25.1 / 28.1) -- Accuracy: 89.32% Beauty Shop - (14.4 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 93.33% Guess Who - (11.6 / 13) -- Accuracy: 89.23% Robots - (8.3 / 10) -- Accuracy: 83.00% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (7.7 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 91.67% The Pacifier - (5.6 / 6.1) -- Accuracy: 91.80% The Ring Two - (6.1 / 5.8) -- Accuracy: 94.83% The Upside of Anger - (4.1 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00% Hitch - (3.0 / 3) -- Accuracy: 100.00% Hostage - (2.3 / 2.2) -- Accuracy: 95.45% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 92.86% New Release: 94.22% Still in Theater: 92.28% =D> See this guys, this is the reason why you should vote for me in the Best Predictor category. I'm voting for you in most humble category. |
Author: | zingy [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:39 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Nebs wrote: Scott Vasquez wrote: Samweis Gamdschie wrote: Scott Vasquez's score: Sin City - (25.1 / 28.1) -- Accuracy: 89.32% Beauty Shop - (14.4 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 93.33% Guess Who - (11.6 / 13) -- Accuracy: 89.23% Robots - (8.3 / 10) -- Accuracy: 83.00% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (7.7 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 91.67% The Pacifier - (5.6 / 6.1) -- Accuracy: 91.80% The Ring Two - (6.1 / 5.8) -- Accuracy: 94.83% The Upside of Anger - (4.1 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00% Hitch - (3.0 / 3) -- Accuracy: 100.00% Hostage - (2.3 / 2.2) -- Accuracy: 95.45% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 92.86% New Release: 94.22% Still in Theater: 92.28% =D> See this guys, this is the reason why you should vote for me in the Best Predictor category. I'm voting for you in most humble category. =D> |
Author: | The Scottie [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:42 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
And speaking of humble, let's look at MgCasey's score. Sin City - (17.8 / 28.1) -- Accuracy: 63.35% Beauty Shop - (16.5 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 77.78% Guess Who - (11.7 / 13) -- Accuracy: 90.00% Robots - (8.2 / 10) -- Accuracy: 82.00% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (7.9 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 94.05% The Pacifier - (5.3 / 6.1) -- Accuracy: 86.89% The Ring Two - (6.2 / 5.8) -- Accuracy: 93.10% The Upside of Anger - (5.2 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 73.17% Hitch - (2.8 / 3) -- Accuracy: 93.33% Hostage - (2.1 / 2.2) -- Accuracy: 95.45% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 84.91% New Release: 71.43% Still in Theater: 90.69% It looks like I'll definetly pass him up for second place. |
Author: | torrino [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:48 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Scott, if I worked at a theater and had the ability to track the amount of advance tickets each movie had in comparison to past releases, I'd be getting 90 percents too. Stop debasing others just because they can't match your score. It's rude and, if anything, won't get you the nomination that you supposedly "deserve." |
Author: | The Scottie [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:51 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
torrino wrote: Scott, if I worked at a theater and had the ability to track the amount of advance tickets each movie had in comparison to past releases, I'd be getting 90 percents too. Stop debasing others just because they can't match your score. It's rude and, if anything, won't get you the nomination that you supposedly "deserve." Sorry if I was being rude. Actually, the advanced sales had nothing to do with my prediction for Sin City. I used the Kill Bill Per Screen Average to determine my prediction. I use my theater mostly for projections, not predictions. |
Author: | zingy [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:52 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
I think the fact that MG Casey (who is a 14-16 year old, forget the exact age) can match a person who works at a theater and as records of all box office performances for the past few years is pretty darn impressive. |
Author: | The Scottie [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 2:55 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Zingaling wrote: I think the fact that MG Casey (who is a 14-16 year old, forget the exact age) can match a person who works at a theater and as records of all box office performances for the past few years is pretty darn impressive. I am amazed myself. But hey, that's what debates are for. |
Author: | torrino [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 3:06 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Scott Vasquez wrote: torrino wrote: Scott, if I worked at a theater and had the ability to track the amount of advance tickets each movie had in comparison to past releases, I'd be getting 90 percents too. Stop debasing others just because they can't match your score. It's rude and, if anything, won't get you the nomination that you supposedly "deserve." Sorry if I was being rude. Actually, the advanced sales had nothing to do with my prediction for Sin City. I used the Kill Bill Per Screen Average to determine my prediction. I use my theater mostly for projections, not predictions. You still have the advantage... Predicting box office is geeky anyways. But, to compete over it is even worse. |
Author: | Jeff 42 [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 3:19 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Ragnarok is obviously the best predictor anyway. The only one who could match up was Gemini, but he apparently has retired. Funny how the two best predictors are European... |
Author: | Anonymous [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 3:25 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Would be great if Ragnarok join International side in Dom/Int game. :-) |
Author: | Ragnarok [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 4:17 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Nebs, count me in for the Domestic vs International game, but keep in mind that I'll probably quit halfway through(due to summer vacation). |
Author: | Anonymous [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 4:32 pm ] |
Post subject: | |
Ok, thanks Ragnarok. I'll add you for now, and hopefully when you're off to vacation we'll find someone to replace you. The game will probably start on the 15th-17th April weekend, 2 weeks from now, and will finish on Sunday, 17th of July, as we have now 14 domestic players, and thus 14 weeks of play. You're 10th btw, 4 more international players needed. Vovanik, Algren, Snrub? Not sure who's from US and Canada, and who isn't. |
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