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April 8th-10th Predictions
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Author:  Impact [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 4:30 pm ]
Post subject:  April 8th-10th Predictions
go ahead

::title edited to correct the dates::
Author:  El Maskado [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 4:35 pm ]
Post subject: 
1.Sahara 21.0 million
2. Fever Pitch 16.0 million
3. Sin City 15.2 million
Author:  Impact [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 4:40 pm ]
Post subject: 
mine:
1. Sin City 17.0
2. Fever Pitch 15.0
3. Saharah 12.0
4. Beauty Shop 9.0
5. Guess Who 8.5
6. Robots 6.4
7. Miss Congeinality 2 5.3
8. The Pacifier 3.8
9. Upside of Anger 3.0
10. Ring 2 2.6
11. Hitch 2.0
-Ice Princess 1.6
- Hostage 1.2
Author:  MovieDude [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 4:46 pm ]
Post subject: 
Don't underestimate Sahara guys. It has a lot of wide appeal to different audiences like National Treasure (That would've made 40-45 million opening weekend if it weren't for all the competition imo), and so far the reviews are fantastic. I also think Fever Pitch will be a decent hit, but nothing huge since this will be the third movie in three weeks to open that's catering to a more female audience. However, since this isn't a sequel/spin off it might do a bit better thanks to looking fresher and having more male appeal and good WOM. As for Sin City, I'm conflicted. Miramax's movies often tend to have good holds (just look at Hostage, it's going to finish with a 3.8 multiplier! :shock: ), and it does have good WOM, so I think it might drop just under 50% to about 15 million, a solid third.

1. Sahara 25 million
2. Fever Pitch 16 million
3. Sin City 15 million
Author:  Impact [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 4:48 pm ]
Post subject: 
Sahara I think people are taking its plot to seriously, it could be a fun movie.
Author:  MovieDude [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 4:51 pm ]
Post subject: 
Impact wrote:
Sahara I think people are taking its plot to seriously, it could be a fun movie.


Say what? :???:
Author:  movies35 [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 4:52 pm ]
Post subject: 
Estimates for the Weekend of Apirl 9th

SAHARA - $32 million
FEVER PITCH - $17 million
SIN CITY - $16million
BEAUTY SHOP - $8 million
Author:  Joker's Thug #3 [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 5:15 pm ]
Post subject: 
Sahara wont do more then 17mil, it has no hype, i've heard nothing good anticipation wise for this movie, it has no real leading draw, and its trailer is not appealing at all. This wont be the next National Treasure by any means, it wont even be the next Hidalgo, its just gonna be a bomb. Maybe im gonna be wrong, National Treasure was a surprise hit, this could be to, but as of right now theres no indication of that happening.

Sahara - 16.4
Sin City - 15.5
Fever Pitch - 15.3
Author:  MGKC [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 5:19 pm ]
Post subject: 
1. Fever Pitch - $15.5
2. Sin City - $12.3 (-56%)
3. Sahara - $8.8
4. Beauty Shop - $8.6 (-43%)
5. Guess Who - $8.4 (-40%)
6. Robots - $6.7 (-33%)
Author:  movies35 [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 5:21 pm ]
Post subject: 
Killuminati510 wrote:
Sahara wont do more then 17mil, it has no hype, i've heard nothing good anticipation wise for this movie, it has no real leading draw, and its trailer is not appealing at all. This wont be the next National Treasure by any means, it wont even be the next Hidalgo, its just gonna be a bomb. Maybe im gonna be wrong, National Treasure was a surprise hit, this could be to, but as of right now theres no indication of that happening.


There are TV spots all over the place, in my school we're talking about it, and the reaction to the trailer is quite good when it's shown in theaters, at least here. I'm sure it'll be big, and lets not forget about the kickass Superbowl TV spot.
Author:  xXVincentxX [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 5:25 pm ]
Post subject: 
1. Sin City $15.0
2. Fever Pitch $14.8
3. Sahara $10.0
4. Beauty Shop $8.7
Author:  movies35 [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 5:27 pm ]
Post subject: 
People are really underestimating SAHARA ... even if it doesn't do as good as I think it will, it should do better then FEVER PITCH, I've seen almost no TV spots and haven't even seen a trailer for it.
Author:  DP07 [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 5:27 pm ]
Post subject: 
Sahara - 25m
Fever Pitch - 15m
Sin City - 13m (-57%)
Beauty Shop - 7.2m (-46%)

I agree with MovieDude and Movies35 on Sahara. The TV spots have been effective and prevelent, and this appeals to nearly all demographics. I don't see how this can do less then 20m opening weekend.
Author:  El Maskado [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 5:48 pm ]
Post subject: 
People always underestimate the safari type adventure movies. Last year people underpredicted Hildalgo and it turned out to have wonderful legs despite opening against Starsky and Hutch and then we have National Treasure which people thought SpongeBob would beat by a 15-20 million margin
Author:  Rev [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 5:49 pm ]
Post subject: 
1. Sahara 26 million
2. Sin City 16 million
3. Fever Pitch 13 million
4. Beauty Shop 9 million
Author:  Spidey [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 6:09 pm ]
Post subject: 
It's April 8th-10th guys. Otherwise we would be predicting Easter Weekend 2004.
Author:  KC [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 6:09 pm ]
Post subject: 
1. Sahara- 27 mil
2. Fever Pitch- 16 mil
3. Sin City- 13 mil
4. Beauty Shop- 8 mil
Author:  Joker's Thug #3 [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 6:43 pm ]
Post subject: 
El_masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
People always underestimate the safari type adventure movies. Last year people underpredicted Hildalgo and it turned out to have wonderful legs despite opening against Starsky and Hutch and then we have National Treasure which people thought SpongeBob would beat by a 15-20 million margin
I thought Hidalgo was gonna be a huge hit, 40mil opening weekend.
Author:  DP07 [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 6:45 pm ]
Post subject: 
Killuminati510 wrote:
El_masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
People always underestimate the safari type adventure movies. Last year people underpredicted Hildalgo and it turned out to have wonderful legs despite opening against Starsky and Hutch and then we have National Treasure which people thought SpongeBob would beat by a 15-20 million margin
I thought Hidalgo was gonna be a huge hit, 40mil opening weekend.


hehe, really? Going into the weekend, most people were predicting 10-15m. I was one of the few predicting over 15m (MovieDude too BTW). :wink:
Author:  Joker's Thug #3 [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 7:01 pm ]
Post subject: 
DP07 wrote:
Killuminati510 wrote:
El_masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
People always underestimate the safari type adventure movies. Last year people underpredicted Hildalgo and it turned out to have wonderful legs despite opening against Starsky and Hutch and then we have National Treasure which people thought SpongeBob would beat by a 15-20 million margin
I thought Hidalgo was gonna be a huge hit, 40mil opening weekend.


hehe, really? Going into the weekend, most people were predicting 10-15m. I was one of the few predicting over 15m (MovieDude too BTW). :wink:
Well I also did think it was gonna be a great recieved movie with the critics, but after I saw that it really wasnt I was really iffy on the movie and how it was gonna go by with the audience. Anyways, Sahara wont do better then Hidalgo, it might have a chance though, since it really doesnt have any direct competition.
Author:  MovieDude [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 7:24 pm ]
Post subject: 
DP07 wrote:
Killuminati510 wrote:
El_masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
People always underestimate the safari type adventure movies. Last year people underpredicted Hildalgo and it turned out to have wonderful legs despite opening against Starsky and Hutch and then we have National Treasure which people thought SpongeBob would beat by a 15-20 million margin
I thought Hidalgo was gonna be a huge hit, 40mil opening weekend.


hehe, really? Going into the weekend, most people were predicting 10-15m. I was one of the few predicting over 15m (MovieDude too BTW). :wink:


Haha, yep, another one of those awesome tag team predictions of ours that was dead on like The Grudge. :) This is getting far better WOM and reviews then Hidalgo did too though. Reviews have been really damn good, and test screenings have been wildly positive.
Author:  Impact [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 7:51 pm ]
Post subject: 
As someone put on BOM Sahara could be a surprise Spring hit, or it can be the biggest flop since Alone in the Dark!
Author:  zingy [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 9:09 pm ]
Post subject: 
1. Fever Pitch - $18 million
2. Sahara - $16 million
3. Sin City - $15 million
Author:  MGKC [ Sat Apr 02, 2005 9:14 pm ]
Post subject: 
Sahara reminds me too much of Timeline. It has a no-name cast, and lately these desert-themed movies haven't been a success. Hidalgo was a huge failure in my opinon, I expected so much more. Then there's Flight of the Phoenix, which opened to around 5 million and good marketing. After the Sunset had a deserty type background, it didn't do well either. These aren't great comparisons, but they're still pretty close.

National Treasure opened around Thanksgiving and *only* got 35 million. It was incredible for that movie, but it would have opened to $28-31 in this time frame. Sahara looks like crap compared to it.

This is why I'm saying Sahara won't open to over 10 million.
Author:  Libs [ Sun Apr 03, 2005 12:06 am ]
Post subject: 
Um, pass me that crack when you're done smoking it, guys. $25M?

Fever Pitch: $17 million
Sahara: $12 million
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