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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Shall We Dance? will increase this weekend
Ok, here you hear it first (I think). I will go out on a limb and say that Shall We Dance? will increase by a tiny bit this weekend. The dailis are strong and the movie is expanding by 647 theatres (36% increase in theatres).
It has made $0.965 milllion on Wednesday. Considering its Tuesday number, I expect it to increase slightly on Thursday. I give it a 5% increase leading to a Thursday gross of around $1 million. It will only need a Friday increase of over 270% to match its last Friday. Considering the big Friday increases that adult-oriented films usually have and the hefty expansion as well as the good WoM, I don't think it is going to be a problem. The internal weekend multiplier is probably going to be slightly higher than last weekend, as it usually happens in every movie's 2nd weekend.
That all leads me to believe that Shall We Dance? will make around $12 million this weekend.
Now, it's your turn to bash my prediction! :wink:
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:47 pm |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm Posts: 7286 Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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Re: Shall We Dance? will increase this weekend
Dr. Lecter wrote: Ok, here you hear it first (I think). I will go out on a limb and say that Shall We Dance? will increase by a tiny bit this weekend. The dailis are strong and the movie is expanding by 647 theatres (36% increase in theatres).
It has made $0.965 milllion on Wednesday. Considering its Tuesday number, I expect it to increase slightly on Thursday. I give it a 5% increase leading to a Thursday gross of around $1 million. It will only need a Friday increase of over 270% to match its last Friday. Considering the big Friday increases that adult-oriented films usually have and the hefty expansion as well as the good WoM, I don't think it is going to be a problem. The internal weekend multiplier is probably going to be slightly higher than last weekend, as it usually happens in every movie's 2nd weekend.
That all leads me to believe that Shall We Dance? will make around $12 million this weekend.
Now, it's your turn to bash my prediction! :wink:
Why bash. Right or wrong, it really doesn't matter. This movie is already an afterthought.
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:50 pm |
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Kris K
Horror Hound
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 1:44 pm Posts: 6228
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Ooooh nice. I see how this could happen!
I'm with ya!
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:50 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm Posts: 26066 Location: In good ol' Mexico
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....hmm i dont know!!
maybe it will drop around 15%-25%??
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:50 pm |
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Terminator1997
George A. Romero
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 10:30 pm Posts: 9763 Location: Enjoying a cold pint
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i still think it will drop, just won't be a very steep drop
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:54 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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There is NO way for it to drop more than 20%! It only needs to increase by 200% on FrÃÂday to NOT drop by 20% and considering the expansion, it is very likely that it will increase by 250%.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:57 pm |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm Posts: 7286 Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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I am just wondering why you make up a seperate analysis when it could be done within this weeks prediction poll.
Is your opinion so important that it has to be seperated from everyone else?
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 6:20 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Goldie wrote: I am just wondering why you make up a seperate analysis when it could be done within this weeks prediction poll.
Is your opinion so important that it has to be seperated from everyone else?
Goldie, Lecter has just as much right to making threads as you do. For example, when you made a thread asking what we will see this weekend, and give us 100 different options, that could have all been discussed in many other threads. But, since we allowed yours, we will allow this one to be open, since it is a legitimate possibility.
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 6:23 pm |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm Posts: 7286 Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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Zingaling wrote: Goldie wrote: I am just wondering why you make up a seperate analysis when it could be done within this weeks prediction poll.
Is your opinion so important that it has to be seperated from everyone else? Goldie, Lecter has just as much right to making threads as you do. For example, when you made a thread asking what we will see this weekend, and give us 100 different options, that could have all been discussed in many other threads. But, since we allowed yours, we will allow this one to be open, since it is a legitimate possibility.
OK, I am just asking.You are the MOD so I will leave it to you to decide.
- One question asking what is the movie that people are going to see - with 4 choices - sounds like a good question.
- One doing seperate analysis - 2 times - of existing threads - seems extreme - Should everyone do a seperate analysis.
- Also I see that he has started other threads that were started. Predict November movies, etc.
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 6:30 pm |
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zingy
College Boy Z
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 8:40 pm Posts: 36662
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Goldie wrote: Zingaling wrote: Goldie wrote: I am just wondering why you make up a seperate analysis when it could be done within this weeks prediction poll.
Is your opinion so important that it has to be seperated from everyone else? Goldie, Lecter has just as much right to making threads as you do. For example, when you made a thread asking what we will see this weekend, and give us 100 different options, that could have all been discussed in many other threads. But, since we allowed yours, we will allow this one to be open, since it is a legitimate possibility. OK, I am just asking.You are the MOD so I will leave it to you to decide. - One question asking what is the movie that people are going to see - with 4 choices - sounds like a good question. - One doing seperate analysis - 2 times - of existing threads - seems extreme - Should everyone do a seperate analysis. - Also I see that he has started other threads that were started. Predict November movies, etc.
I understand what you are saying, but the topic of whether it will increase or not is infact a whole different question. It doesn't have to do with the long run, but only this weekend. Your thread, though it does only have 4 choices, is just asking for "thoughts". "What are your thoughts on these movies." Is that against the rules? No. But that could have been discussed elsewhere. Dr. Lecter's thread could have been discussed elsewhere as well, but both of you have decided to make threads, and both will be allowed.
My problem is that you can't go in all of his threads and tell him that his threads are pointless. That is pretty much attacking him and the threads he makes, and we want to refrain from having that here.
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 6:36 pm |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm Posts: 7286 Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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OK. Point noted. No big deal either way.
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 6:43 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Goldie wrote: I am just wondering why you make up a seperate analysis when it could be done within this weeks prediction poll.
Is your opinion so important that it has to be seperated from everyone else?
Yes
Oh and BTW, you play Gold Master in a very convincing way.
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 6:57 pm |
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Goldie
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 20, 2004 12:38 pm Posts: 7286 Location: TOP*SECRET ******************** ******************** ******************** ********************
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Goldie wrote: I am just wondering why you make up a seperate analysis when it could be done within this weeks prediction poll.
Is your opinion so important that it has to be seperated from everyone else? Yes Oh and BTW, you play Gold Master in a very convincing way.
OK, I can see why you needed to start 3 duplicate threads that I quickly saw on first glance. Plus all of the other threads that you started. Looks like it will be like BOM all over again with you controlling the front pages.
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:10 pm |
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matatonio
Teh Mexican
Joined: Fri Oct 15, 2004 11:56 pm Posts: 26066 Location: In good ol' Mexico
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Goldie wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Goldie wrote: I am just wondering why you make up a seperate analysis when it could be done within this weeks prediction poll.
Is your opinion so important that it has to be seperated from everyone else? Yes Oh and BTW, you play Gold Master in a very convincing way. OK, I can see why you needed to start 3 duplicate threads that I quickly saw on first glance. Plus all of the other threads that you started. Looks like it will be like BOM all over again with you controlling the front pages.
Goldie, can i ask what was for BOM Username??
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:16 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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matatonio wrote: Goldie wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Goldie wrote: I am just wondering why you make up a seperate analysis when it could be done within this weeks prediction poll.
Is your opinion so important that it has to be seperated from everyone else? Yes Oh and BTW, you play Gold Master in a very convincing way. OK, I can see why you needed to start 3 duplicate threads that I quickly saw on first glance. Plus all of the other threads that you started. Looks like it will be like BOM all over again with you controlling the front pages. Goldie, can i ask what was for BOM Username??
You should ask him about his UsernameS as he has 7 of them!
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:25 pm |
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bABA
Commander and Chef
Joined: Mon Oct 11, 2004 12:56 am Posts: 30505 Location: Tonight ... YOU!
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Not all of us have to agree with every thread that gets started. Lord knows Lecter knows that better than anyone else when it comes to him.
Goldie, i hate to make this comparison but your threads are pretty much similar to Lecter's as well so far in what I've been noticing.
Secondly, if you have a problem with someone's threads (as you've mentioned so far a few times), please drop us a line in 'The Site' so all the mods can take a look and see if you are correct or not instead of just the one who might chance across it.
So please for next time, do that. For this moment, I'll consider the matter closed as Zingaling has already stated if this thread should go on or not. I will not question nor ask any other mod to validate his decision.
Thank you.
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 8:05 pm |
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Optimus_Prime
Okay, I Believe You But My Tommy Gun Don't
Joined: Thu Oct 21, 2004 7:34 pm Posts: 816
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Increasing this weekend could very well happen. If they put in more theaters (like 200 more), than I would definetley say so, but I see a small drop to around 9 mil this weekend.
_________________ "Do we look like the type of store that sells "I Just Called To Say I Loved You," go to the mall."
I HATE MICHAEL BAY
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 8:14 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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Optimus_Prime wrote: Increasing this weekend could very well happen. If they put in more theaters (like 200 more), than I would definetley say so, but I see a small drop to around 9 mil this weekend.
Well they DID increase the theatre count by 647
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Thu Oct 21, 2004 8:19 pm |
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1981
The Producer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:06 am Posts: 484
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It's not a good comparsion, but I have a feeling that "Shall We Dance?" will be this year's "The Ring". Somehow I want to see that film too.
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Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:19 am |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm Posts: 28292 Location: ... siiiigh...
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Lecter may be right.
_________________ Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:25 am |
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Plot
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 9:40 pm Posts: 2987 Location: Free Country, USA
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I predicted a 10-15% drop, because I'm trying not to overpredict like I did last week.
But I'm not counting out an increase either.
_________________ "How you uh, how you comin' on that novel you're working on? Huh? Gotta a big, uh, big stack of papers there? Gotta, gotta nice litte story you're working on there? Your big novel you've been working on for 3 years? Got a, got a compelling protaganist? Yeah? Gotta obstacle for him to overcome? Working on, working on that for quite some time?"
Battle of the 2005 movies - Vote Now!
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Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:34 am |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm Posts: 28292 Location: ... siiiigh...
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I say a small drop is in order. I felt a "good legs" vibe when I saw it. But no increase.
_________________ Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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Sat Oct 23, 2004 10:42 am |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm Posts: 92093 Location: Bonn, Germany
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*Dr. Lecter comes in, takes a bite of the crow pie*
Yummy
_________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:26 pm |
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Mister Ecks
New Server, Same X
Joined: Wed Oct 13, 2004 7:07 pm Posts: 28292 Location: ... siiiigh...
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Dr. Lecter wrote: *Dr. Lecter comes in, takes a bite of the crow pie* Yummy
_________________ Ecks Factor: Cancelled too soon
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Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:29 pm |
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mikepepsi
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Fri Oct 22, 2004 2:23 pm Posts: 76
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-27% isnt a rise.
Still a drop of less than 20% will probobly be the weekend over.
_________________
The Joy Of Pepsi!
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Sat Oct 23, 2004 12:29 pm |
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