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Predict November movies
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Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Thu Oct 21, 2004 3:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Predict November movies
I've done the same for August and October and now, here we go with November. :) The oscar season is coming up and the sooner is Christmas the bigger movies will get released. One thing can be said for sure, all kinds of filmfans are in for a treat this November. But how well do you predict the upcoming movies to fare?


Here are my predictions:


November 5


Alfie:

Opening weekend - $7.5 million

Total gross - $21.2 million

The Incredibles:

Opening weekend - $69 million

Total gross - $288 million


November 10


The Polar Express:

Opening weekend (5-day) - $48 million

Total gross - $176 million


November 12


After the Sunset:

Opening weekend - $17.1 million

Total gross - $54.5 million

Seed of Chucky:

Opening weekend - $9.3 million

Total gross - $24.1 million


November 19


Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason:

Opening weekend - $20.1 million

Total gross - $71.8 million

National Treasure:

Opening weekend - $24.9 million

Total gross - $74 million

The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie:

Opening weekend - $29.8 million

Total gross - $109.5 million


November 24


Alexander:

Opening weekend (3-day) - $26.9 million

Total gross - $119 million

Christmas with the Kranks:

Opening weekend (3-day) - $16.2 million

Total gross - $60 million

The month is way too crowded, in my opinion. Especially the weekend before Thanksgiving!
Author:  zingy [ Thu Oct 21, 2004 4:29 pm ]
Post subject: 
Not to jynx it or anything, but I think there is a very small chance that National Treasure can pull a Timeline, but a bit better. I don't know, I think it looks good (which I couldn't say the same for Timeline), and Timeline did very bad. I have no idea why, but I just feel another Timeline in terms of numbers. I hope it does do better, though.

Right now, I'll go with...

Opening- $13.4
Total- $40.2

I'll put up the rest of my predictions later.
Author:  snack [ Thu Oct 21, 2004 5:04 pm ]
Post subject: 
Alfie:
Open: 8
Close; 40

Incredibles:
Open: 70.5
Close: 296

Polar Express:
Opem: 43.7
Close: 151.5

Seed of Chucky
Open: 7.0
Close: 14.5

Bridget Jones:
Open: 17.0
Close: 80.5

National Treasure:
Open:16
Close: 40

Spongebob:
Open:55
Close:159

Alexander:
Open 25.6
Close: 120

CwtK-
Open- 19.7
Close-62.1
Author:  Maximus [ Thu Oct 21, 2004 5:37 pm ]
Post subject: 
November 5


Alfie:

Opening weekend - $7.3 million

Total gross - $34.6 million

The Incredibles:

Opening weekend - $58 million

Total gross - $246 million


November 10


The Polar Express:

Opening weekend (5-day) - $41 million

Total gross - $117 million


November 12


After the Sunset:

Opening weekend - $14.1 million

Total gross - $52.5 million

Seed of Chucky:

Opening weekend - $7.3 million

Total gross - $21.1 million


November 19


Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason:

Opening weekend - $20.1 million

Total gross - $71.8 million

National Treasure:

Opening weekend - $23.6 million

Total gross - $72.1 million

The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie:

Opening weekend - $30.2 million

Total gross - $102.4 million


November 24


Alexander:

Opening weekend (3-day) - $24.9 million

Total gross - $112 million

Christmas with the Kranks:

Opening weekend (3-day) - $27.2 million

Total gross - $103.4 million
Author:  BigMoviePimp [ Fri Nov 05, 2004 1:52 pm ]
Post subject: 
November 5


Alfie:

Opening weekend - $6.1m

Total gross - $16.7m

The Incredibles:

Opening weekend - $71m

Total gross - $280m


November 10


The Polar Express:

Opening weekend (5-day) - $42m

Total gross - $159m


November 12


After the Sunset:

Opening weekend - $18m

Total gross - $51m

Seed of Chucky:

Opening weekend - $10.2m

Total gross - $24.9m

Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason:

Opening weekend (500+ theatres) - $8.3m

Total gross - $88m

November 19


National Treasure:

Opening weekend - $28.2m

Total gross - $90m

The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie:

Opening weekend - $24m

Total gross - $95m


November 24


Alexander:

Opening weekend (3-day) - $24.1m

Total gross - $108m

Christmas with the Kranks:

Opening weekend (3-day) - $18.5m

Total gross - $79m
Author:  DP07 [ Tue Nov 09, 2004 10:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict November movies
November 10


The Polar Express:

Opening weekend (5-day) - $31 million

Total gross - $113 million (how did I end up predicting so high? :? Must me my expectation for a multiplier of nearly 5.5)


November 12


After the Sunset:

Opening weekend - $18 million

Total gross - $65 million

Seed of Chucky:

Opening weekend - $13 million

Total gross - $29 million

Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason:

Opening weekend (500 theaters) - $16 million

Total gross - $95 million



November 19



National Treasure:

Opening weekend - $39.9 million

Total gross - $135 million

The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie:

Opening weekend - $33 million

Total gross - $112 million


November 24


Alexander:

Opening weekend (5-day) - $38 million

Total gross - $72 million

Christmas with the Kranks:

Opening weekend (5-day) - $34 million

Total gross - $82 million
Author:  zingy [ Tue Nov 09, 2004 10:20 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict November movies
November 10


The Polar Express:

Opening weekend (5-day) - $32.3 million

Total gross - $123.1 million


November 12


After the Sunset:

Opening weekend - $15.4 million

Total gross - $53.9 million

Seed of Chucky:

Opening weekend - $12.1 million

Total gross - $26.6 million

Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason:

Opening weekend (500 theaters) - $6.5 million

Total gross - $86.5 million



November 19



National Treasure:

Opening weekend - $25.3 million

Total gross - $88.6 million

The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie:

Opening weekend - $49.1 million

Total gross - $171.9 million


November 24


Alexander:

Opening weekend (5-day) - $35.5 million

Total gross - $130.7 million

Christmas with the Kranks:

Opening weekend (5-day) - $38.8 million

Total gross - $108.3 million
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Wed Nov 10, 2004 12:20 pm ]
Post subject: 
My revised Birdget Jones: The Edge of Reason predictions:

Opening weekend (500+ theatres) - $8 million

Total gross - $85 million
Author:  Goldie [ Tue Nov 16, 2004 11:06 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict November movies
Dr. Lecter wrote:
I've done the same for August and October and now, here we go with November. :) The oscar season is coming up and the sooner is Christmas the bigger movies will get released. One thing can be said for sure, all kinds of filmfans are in for a treat this November. But how well do you predict the upcoming movies to fare?


Here are my predictions:


November 5


Alfie:

Opening weekend - $7.5 million

Total gross - $21.2 million

The Incredibles:

Opening weekend - $69 million

Total gross - $288 million


November 10


The Polar Express:

Opening weekend (5-day) - $48 million

Total gross - $176 million


November 12


After the Sunset:

Opening weekend - $17.1 million

Total gross - $54.5 million

Seed of Chucky:

Opening weekend - $9.3 million

Total gross - $24.1 million


November 19


Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason:

Opening weekend - $20.1 million

Total gross - $71.8 million

National Treasure:

Opening weekend - $24.9 million

Total gross - $74 million

The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie:

Opening weekend - $29.8 million

Total gross - $109.5 million


November 24


Alexander:

Opening weekend (3-day) - $26.9 million

Total gross - $119 million

Christmas with the Kranks:

Opening weekend (3-day) - $16.2 million

Total gross - $60 million

The month is way too crowded, in my opinion. Especially the weekend before Thanksgiving!


Looking at the thread's predictions, here are my 2 big comments.

In my opinion, personally, I think your prediction of 60 million total for the Kranks is very under-rated. Especially with this movie opening over the 5 day Thanksgiving weekend.

Also, I think your estimate of 176 for the Polar Express will be proven wrong. I am wondering if you will revise that as you did with Bridget.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Tue Nov 16, 2004 11:09 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict November movies
Goldie wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
I've done the same for August and October and now, here we go with November. :) The oscar season is coming up and the sooner is Christmas the bigger movies will get released. One thing can be said for sure, all kinds of filmfans are in for a treat this November. But how well do you predict the upcoming movies to fare?


Here are my predictions:


November 5


Alfie:

Opening weekend - $7.5 million

Total gross - $21.2 million

The Incredibles:

Opening weekend - $69 million

Total gross - $288 million


November 10


The Polar Express:

Opening weekend (5-day) - $48 million

Total gross - $176 million


November 12


After the Sunset:

Opening weekend - $17.1 million

Total gross - $54.5 million

Seed of Chucky:

Opening weekend - $9.3 million

Total gross - $24.1 million


November 19


Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason:

Opening weekend - $20.1 million

Total gross - $71.8 million

National Treasure:

Opening weekend - $24.9 million

Total gross - $74 million

The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie:

Opening weekend - $29.8 million

Total gross - $109.5 million


November 24


Alexander:

Opening weekend (3-day) - $26.9 million

Total gross - $119 million

Christmas with the Kranks:

Opening weekend (3-day) - $16.2 million

Total gross - $60 million

The month is way too crowded, in my opinion. Especially the weekend before Thanksgiving!


Looking at the thread's predictions, here are my 2 big comments.

In my opinion, personally, I think your prediction of 60 million total for the Kranks is very under-rated. Especially with this movie opening over the 5 day Thanksgiving weekend.

Also, I think your estimate of 176 for the Polar Express will be proven wrong. I am wondering if you will revise that as you did with Bridget.


It is unfair to revise initial predictions after the movie's release. I revised Bridget Jones's only when I learned that it going to be released in 500 theatres first. That makes a difference.
Author:  Goldie [ Wed Nov 17, 2004 10:28 am ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict November movies
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Goldie wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
I've done the same for August and October and now, here we go with November. :) The oscar season is coming up and the sooner is Christmas the bigger movies will get released. One thing can be said for sure, all kinds of filmfans are in for a treat this November. But how well do you predict the upcoming movies to fare?


Here are my predictions:


November 5


Alfie:

Opening weekend - $7.5 million

Total gross - $21.2 million

The Incredibles:

Opening weekend - $69 million

Total gross - $288 million


November 10


The Polar Express:

Opening weekend (5-day) - $48 million

Total gross - $176 million


November 12


After the Sunset:

Opening weekend - $17.1 million

Total gross - $54.5 million

Seed of Chucky:

Opening weekend - $9.3 million

Total gross - $24.1 million


November 19


Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason:

Opening weekend - $20.1 million

Total gross - $71.8 million

National Treasure:

Opening weekend - $24.9 million

Total gross - $74 million

The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie:

Opening weekend - $29.8 million

Total gross - $109.5 million


November 24


Alexander:

Opening weekend (3-day) - $26.9 million

Total gross - $119 million

Christmas with the Kranks:

Opening weekend (3-day) - $16.2 million

Total gross - $60 million

The month is way too crowded, in my opinion. Especially the weekend before Thanksgiving!


Looking at the thread's predictions, here are my 2 big comments.

In my opinion, personally, I think your prediction of 60 million total for the Kranks is very under-rated. Especially with this movie opening over the 5 day Thanksgiving weekend.

Also, I think your estimate of 176 for the Polar Express will be proven wrong. I am wondering if you will revise that as you did with Bridget.


It is unfair to revise initial predictions after the movie's release. I revised Bridget Jones's only when I learned that it going to be released in 500 theatres first. That makes a difference.


Actually I was talking about your total which you increased from 71 to 86, I think. That was just a big difference.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Wed Nov 17, 2004 2:59 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: Predict November movies
Goldie wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Goldie wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
I've done the same for August and October and now, here we go with November. :) The oscar season is coming up and the sooner is Christmas the bigger movies will get released. One thing can be said for sure, all kinds of filmfans are in for a treat this November. But how well do you predict the upcoming movies to fare?


Here are my predictions:


November 5


Alfie:

Opening weekend - $7.5 million

Total gross - $21.2 million

The Incredibles:

Opening weekend - $69 million

Total gross - $288 million


November 10


The Polar Express:

Opening weekend (5-day) - $48 million

Total gross - $176 million


November 12


After the Sunset:

Opening weekend - $17.1 million

Total gross - $54.5 million

Seed of Chucky:

Opening weekend - $9.3 million

Total gross - $24.1 million


November 19


Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason:

Opening weekend - $20.1 million

Total gross - $71.8 million

National Treasure:

Opening weekend - $24.9 million

Total gross - $74 million

The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie:

Opening weekend - $29.8 million

Total gross - $109.5 million


November 24


Alexander:

Opening weekend (3-day) - $26.9 million

Total gross - $119 million

Christmas with the Kranks:

Opening weekend (3-day) - $16.2 million

Total gross - $60 million

The month is way too crowded, in my opinion. Especially the weekend before Thanksgiving!


Looking at the thread's predictions, here are my 2 big comments.

In my opinion, personally, I think your prediction of 60 million total for the Kranks is very under-rated. Especially with this movie opening over the 5 day Thanksgiving weekend.

Also, I think your estimate of 176 for the Polar Express will be proven wrong. I am wondering if you will revise that as you did with Bridget.


It is unfair to revise initial predictions after the movie's release. I revised Bridget Jones's only when I learned that it going to be released in 500 theatres first. That makes a difference.


Actually I was talking about your total which you increased from 71 to 86, I think. That was just a big difference.


I revised the total before the movie was released and that was also due to the release strategy of releasing it semi-limited first.
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