With estimates I have 100% on new openers.
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| Weekend Estimates http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=6001 |
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| Author: | Anonymous [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 11:55 am ] |
| Post subject: | Weekend Estimates |
Guess Who Sony $21,000,000 NEW $6,673 $21,000,000 Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous WB $14,510,000 NEW $4,488 $17,610,000 The Ring 2 DW $13,800,000 -60.6% $4,130 $58,085,000 Robots Fox $13,000,000 -38.2% $3,788 $87,356,000 The Pacifier BV $8,541,000 -31.8% $2,753 $86,287,000 Hitch Sony $4,300,000 -33.6% $1,925 $166,459,000 Hostage Mira. $4,111,000 -31.4% $2,079 $26,175,000 Ice Princess BV $3,702,000 -45.6% $1,480 $13,312,000 Be Cool MGM $2,850,000 -51.5% $1,513 $52,383,000 Million Dollar Baby WB $2,610,000 -35.1% $1,526 $94,160,000 Constantine WB $1,215,000 -47.8% $1,208 $72,660,000 Diary of a Mad Black Woman Lions $1,000,000 -58.4% $1,246 $49,451,000 |
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| Author: | Levy [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 12:18 pm ] |
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Until BOM has the estimates: Here ar Saturday Numbers from Showbizdata GUESS WHO 8.2 16.4 MISS CONGENIALITY 2: ARMED AND FABULOUS 5.4 14.2 RING 2, THE 5.3 55.0 ROBOTS 4.9 84.2 PACIFIER, THE 3.1 84.1 HITCH 1.7 165.4 HOSTAGE 1.6 25.1 ICE PRINCESS 1.4 12.5 BE COOL 1.2 51.6 MILLION DOLLAR BABY 1.1 93.5 |
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| Author: | Levy [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 1:09 pm ] |
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From Mojo: Guess Who: 21 MC2: 14.51 Ring Two 13.8 Robots 13 Pacifier 8.541 Hitch 4.3 Hostage 4.111 Ice Princess 3.702 Be Cool 2.85 Million Dollar Baby 2.61 Constantine 1.215 |
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| Author: | Jeff 42 [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 1:11 pm ] |
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With estimates I have 100% on new openers.
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| Author: | Anonymous [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 1:12 pm ] |
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Is it me, or those sunday drops are really small. Wow, indeed Jeff...just been checking UC page. Nice going. And excellent holdover predictions as well. |
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| Author: | BJ [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 1:15 pm ] |
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Nebs wrote: Is it me, or those sunday drops are really small. chech last year, 03, and 02 dailys, they are suposed to be small. |
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| Author: | Anonymous [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 1:17 pm ] |
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You know dates BJ? I don't know when easter was those years... |
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| Author: | Jeff 42 [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 1:18 pm ] |
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The top ten is filled out now with Ring 2 estimated at $13.8m. |
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| Author: | BJ [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 1:24 pm ] |
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Nebs wrote: You know dates BJ? I don't know when easter was those years... http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/ ... =15&p=.htm http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/ ... =16&p=.htm http://boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/ ... =12&p=.htm those are the wknd charts http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?s ... -09&p=.htm http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?s ... -18&p=.htm http://boxofficemojo.com/daily/chart/?s ... -29&p=.htm 03 and 04 are not within spring break. |
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| Author: | Anonymous [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 1:29 pm ] |
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Thanks. |
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| Author: | Rev [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 1:45 pm ] |
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WOO HOO! \:D/ Ring2 -60% say bye,bye to $100 mill. |
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| Author: | RB652 [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 1:46 pm ] |
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i congratulate all who thought the ring 2 would drop 60% on it's second weekend. October would have been the ideal month to release it. could the ring 2 make it even to 80 million? |
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| Author: | The Dark Shape [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 1:59 pm ] |
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Day 10: Freddy Vs. Jason: $62,466,607 Alien Vs. Predator: $64,218,548 The Ring Two: $58,085,000 It's definitely got a chance -- depends on the weekdays. Its second weekend was better than both FVJ's and AVP's. |
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| Author: | xiayun [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 2:18 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Much better for my derby. 
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| Author: | Goldie [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 2:22 pm ] |
| Post subject: | Re: Weekend Estimates |
Nebs wrote: Guess Who Sony $21,000,000 NEW $6,673 $21,000,000 Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous WB $14,510,000 NEW $4,488 $17,610,000 The Ring 2 DW $13,800,000 -60.6% $4,130 $58,085,000 Robots Fox $13,000,000 -38.2% $3,788 $87,356,000 The Pacifier BV $8,541,000 -31.8% $2,753 $86,287,000 Hitch Sony $4,300,000 -33.6% $1,925 $166,459,000 Hostage Mira. $4,111,000 -31.4% $2,079 $26,175,000 Ice Princess BV $3,702,000 -45.6% $1,480 $13,312,000 Be Cool MGM $2,850,000 -51.5% $1,513 $52,383,000 Million Dollar Baby WB $2,610,000 -35.1% $1,526 $94,160,000 Constantine WB $1,215,000 -47.8% $1,208 $72,660,000 Diary of a Mad Black Woman Lions $1,000,000 -58.4% $1,246 $49,451,000 So will MDB get 100 - going to be close? And GW beats MC2 even with the extra days MC2 has. |
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| Author: | Spidey [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 2:25 pm ] |
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M$B is a lock for $100m. The Ring Two will finish with around $80-85m. |
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| Author: | Jeff [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 2:36 pm ] |
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Actually, The Ring Two's weekend gross is quite good. Consider two films from last year that dropped heavily on their first Saturday: AvP and The Village. Both dropped over 67% their second weekend, so 60% is good. It is still a dissapointment, and unless the film has equally strong weekdays as it did last week, I expect it to finish with around $85 million. |
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| Author: | Michael. [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 2:39 pm ] |
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http://naturalflux7.com/forums/showthre ... #post12527 Ive got it pegged at around $82.5m; thats 25% less than "The Grudge" or a 2.35 multiplier. |
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| Author: | MovieDude [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 2:40 pm ] |
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Hostage's WOM is spreading further and further. Last weekend it dropped less then expected, this weekend it had the smallest drop of the top 10.
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| Author: | Jeff [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 2:42 pm ] |
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I was still hoping to see it cross $100 million, but unless it has a very shallow drop next weekend (unlikely) that is not going to happen. |
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| Author: | The Dark Shape [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 2:57 pm ] |
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I think it's funny that one of my original analogies is a bit more true than I would've expected. For this "new wave" of horror films, The Ring is like Halloween and The Grudge is like Friday the 13th. Grudge took what made Ring successful, the scares, stripped away the story, shipped that out to theaters, and was a success. Now Ring Two comes out and does less than The Grudge (similar to Halloween II doing less than Friday the 13th), but still does quite well for itself (again, similar to H2). Sony better pray Grudge doesn't follow the pattern with The Grudge 2. |
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| Author: | Michael. [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 3:13 pm ] |
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The Grudge 2 is going to kick ass. I dont know how; but i just think its going to be alot better than The Ring Two's psychodrama. |
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| Author: | Spidey [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 3:22 pm ] |
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The Grudge 2 will do around $80m. The WOM was not good for the original. |
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| Author: | MovieDude [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 3:39 pm ] |
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It all depends on how they market it. Sony should really pull all stops on the trailer, push it to the limit of intensity. Samara crawling on the ceiling would definitely sell. But personally, I think they should have the trailer open just like the original Grudge sequel. Just give us a black screen with that throat sound increasing, then a quick flash of the ghost. That'd be awesome. |
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| Author: | The Dark Shape [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 3:56 pm ] |
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Michael wrote: The Grudge 2 is going to kick ass. I dont know how; but i just think its going to be alot better than The Ring Two's psychodrama. I doubt it, unless it actually develops a story this time around. A completely unscary movie with no story? Not a good combination. I'd be surprised if Grudge 2 tops $70 million. |
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