World of KJ :: View topic - scores w/ estimates

xiayun wrote:

I don't see Guess Who has that low of a multiplier, considering how Johnson Family Vacation did.

Scott Vasquez wrote:

My score would be an 88.78%. I was too high on the openers, but I nailed all of the holdovers, hence the high score.

Samweis Gamdschie wrote:

xiayun wrote:

I don't see Guess Who has that low of a multiplier, considering how Johnson Family Vacation did.

We based our projections on weekends like this one:

http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/char ... -18&p=.htm

MG Casey wrote:

Ha ha! I own you all, and I knew Be Cool would kill most of you!

Guess Who - 81.73% ( 24.6 / 20.8 )
Miss Congeniality 2 - 95.92% ( 15.3 / 14.7 )
The Ring Two - 91.11% ( 12.3 / 13.5 )
Robots - 94.21% ( 12.8 / 12.1 )
The Pacifier - 96.30% ( 7.8 / 8.1 )
Ice Princess - 89.47% ( 4.2 / 3.8 )
Hitch - 97.56% ( 4.2 / 4.1 )
Hostage - 94.44% ( 3.4 / 3.6 )
Be Cool - 92.00% ( 2.7 / 2.5 )
Million Dollar Baby - 92.00% ( 2.7 / 2.5 )

Score: 92.475%

Ragnorak is at 91.28%.

Author:	Ghostooze [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 1:12 pm ]
Post subject:	scores w/ estimates
Dont know much they'll change: http://www.boxofficefactor.com/calculate/Calculation.htm im around 85% :???:

Author:	Samweis Gamdschie [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 1:15 pm ]
Post subject:
no, please wait... Dr. Lecter and I are updating the projections... give us 2 minutes... :wink:

Author:	Samweis Gamdschie [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 1:19 pm ]
Post subject:
Meh.... ](,) Guess Who - (20 / 20.8)* -- Accuracy: 96.15% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (20 / 14.7) -- Accuracy: 63.95% The Ring Two - (11.5 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 85.19% Robots - (14 / 12.1) -- Accuracy: 84.30% The Pacifier - (8.1 / 8.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00% Hitch - (4.4 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 92.68% Ice Princess - (4.4 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 84.21% Hostage - (3.4 / 3.6) -- Accuracy: 94.44% Be Cool - (3.1 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 76.00% Million Dollar Baby - (2.7 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 92.00% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 86.89% New Release: 80.05% Still in Theater: 88.60%

Author:	xiayun [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 1:19 pm ]
Post subject:
I don't see Guess Who has that low of a multiplier, considering how Johnson Family Vacation did.

Author:	Ghostooze [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 1:22 pm ]
Post subject:
Wildbill - 90.21% Brandon Gray - 84.14%

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scores w/ estimates http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=5959	Page 1 of 3

Author:	Rev [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 1:26 pm ]
Post subject:
Guess Who - (18 / 20.8) -- Accuracy: 86.54% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (21 / 14.7) -- Accuracy: 57.14% The Ring Two - (16 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 81.48% Robots - (11 / 12.1) -- Accuracy: 90.91% The Pacifier - (7.8 / 8.1) -- Accuracy: 96.30% Hitch - (3.0 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 73.17% Ice Princess - (3.0 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 78.95% Hostage - (2.6 / 3.6) -- Accuracy: 72.22% Be Cool - (2.4 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 96.00% Million Dollar Baby - (2.6 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 96.00% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 82.87% New Release: 71.84% Still in Theater: 85.63%

Author:	The Scottie [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 1:32 pm ]
Post subject:
My score would be an 88.78%. I was too high on the openers, but I nailed all of the holdovers, hence the high score.

Author:	xiayun [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 1:36 pm ]
Post subject:
Samweis Gamdschie wrote: xiayun wrote: I don't see Guess Who has that low of a multiplier, considering how Johnson Family Vacation did. We based our projections on weekends like this one: http://www.boxofficemojo.com/daily/char ... -18&p=.htm Yeah, the new openers didn't do well in the internal multipliers last year, but I just doubt Guess Who will drop 20% on Saturday as Holes and Malibu's Most Wanted did. Either way, this weekend is hard to project since IM for each film could be anywhere from 2.3 to 2.8. I agree with a lot of other projections. Million Dollar Baby should have one of the better Saturday increases considering both Chicago and A Beautiful Mind increased about 10% in their respective Easter Saturday.

Author:	Anonymous [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 1:48 pm ]
Post subject:
I like them projections! Guess Who - (15.5 / 20.8) -- Accuracy: 74.52% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (16.6 / 14.7) -- Accuracy: 87.07% The Ring Two - (13.3 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 98.52% Robots - (13.4 / 12.1) -- Accuracy: 89.26% The Pacifier - (8.1 / 8.1) -- Accuracy: 100.00% Hitch - (4 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 97.56% Ice Princess - (4.2 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 89.47% Hostage - (3.3 / 3.6) -- Accuracy: 91.67% Be Cool - (3 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 80.00% Million Dollar Baby - (2.7 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 92.00% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 90.01% New Release: 80.80% Still in Theater: 92.31%

Author:	MGKC [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 1:52 pm ]
Post subject:
Ha ha! I own you all, and I knew Be Cool would kill most of you! Guess Who - 81.73% ( 24.6 / 20.8 ) Miss Congeniality 2 - 95.92% ( 15.3 / 14.7 ) The Ring Two - 91.11% ( 12.3 / 13.5 ) Robots - 94.21% ( 12.8 / 12.1 ) The Pacifier - 96.30% ( 7.8 / 8.1 ) Ice Princess - 89.47% ( 4.2 / 3.8 ) Hitch - 97.56% ( 4.2 / 4.1 ) Hostage - 94.44% ( 3.4 / 3.6 ) Be Cool - 92.00% ( 2.7 / 2.5 ) Million Dollar Baby - 92.00% ( 2.7 / 2.5 ) Score: 92.475% Ragnorak is at 91.28%.

Author:	The Scottie [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 1:55 pm ]
Post subject:
MG Casey wrote: Ha ha! I own you all, and I knew Be Cool would kill most of you! Guess Who - 81.73% ( 24.6 / 20.8 ) Miss Congeniality 2 - 95.92% ( 15.3 / 14.7 ) The Ring Two - 91.11% ( 12.3 / 13.5 ) Robots - 94.21% ( 12.8 / 12.1 ) The Pacifier - 96.30% ( 7.8 / 8.1 ) Ice Princess - 89.47% ( 4.2 / 3.8 ) Hitch - 97.56% ( 4.2 / 4.1 ) Hostage - 94.44% ( 3.4 / 3.6 ) Be Cool - 92.00% ( 2.7 / 2.5 ) Million Dollar Baby - 92.00% ( 2.7 / 2.5 ) Score: 92.475% Ragnorak is at 91.28%. Dammit, why are you always getting high scores? You are supposed to make me catch up to you.

Author:	torrino [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 2:19 pm ]
Post subject:
86.86% ](*,) I hope all movies plummet 90% today so NO ONE gets anything above 60%.

Author:	Vovanik [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 2:58 pm ]
Post subject:
OVERALL (estimate) 88.10% New Release 92.62% Still in Theater 86.97%

Author:	Rod [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 3:36 pm ]
Post subject:
Even with Easter weekend and a ll, I'm a little skeptical on the estimates. Guess Who - (15 / 20.8) -- Accuracy: 72.12% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (20 / 14.7) -- Accuracy: 63.95% The Ring Two - (12 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 88.89% Robots - (14.2 / 12.1) -- Accuracy: 82.64% The Pacifier - (9 / 8.1) -- Accuracy: 88.89% Hitch - (4.4 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 92.68% Ice Princess - (4.2 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 89.47% Hostage - (3.9 / 3.6) -- Accuracy: 91.67% Be Cool - (3.3 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 68.00% Million Dollar Baby - (3.1 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 76.00% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 81.43%

Author:	MikeQ. [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 6:02 pm ]
Post subject:
Ehh, no offense, but I think these projections are pretty poor. I'll wait until estimates this weekend, because it's Easter weekend. PEACE, Mike

Author:	Ghostooze [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 1:21 pm ]
Post subject:
BUMP FOR ESTIMATES

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Author:	matatonio [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 3:53 pm ]
Post subject:
Guess Who - (23.9 / 20.8) -- Accuracy: 85.10% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (21.5 / 14.7) -- Accuracy: 53.74% The Ring Two - (14.0 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 96.30% Robots - (14.2 / 12.1) -- Accuracy: 82.64% The Pacifier - (8.0 / 8.1) -- Accuracy: 98.77% Hitch - (4.3 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 95.12% Ice Princess - (4.4 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 84.21% Hostage - (3.5 / 3.6) -- Accuracy: 97.22% Be Cool - (2.9 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 84.00% Million Dollar Baby - (2.7 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 92.00% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 86.91% New Release: 69.42% Still in Theater: 91.28%

Author:	Amos [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 4:25 pm ]
Post subject:
Guess Who - (18.4 / 20.8) -- Accuracy: 88.46% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (17.6 / 14.7) -- Accuracy: 80.27% The Ring Two - (14.1 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 95.56% Robots - (13.3 / 12.1) -- Accuracy: 90.08% The Pacifier - (8.8 / 8.1) -- Accuracy: 91.36% Hitch - (4.2 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 97.56% Ice Princess - (4.2 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 89.47% Hostage - (3.3 / 3.6) -- Accuracy: 91.67% Be Cool - (3 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 80.00% Million Dollar Baby - (2.9 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 84.00% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 88.84% New Release: 84.37% Still in Theater: 89.96%

Author:	JMorphin [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 5:53 pm ]
Post subject:
Guess Who - (30 / 20.8) -- Accuracy: 55.77% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (15 / 14.7) -- Accuracy: 97.96% The Ring Two - (13 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 96.30% Robots - (12.3 / 12.1) -- Accuracy: 98.35% The Pacifier - (8 / 8.1) -- Accuracy: 98.77% Hitch - (4.5 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 90.24% Ice Princess - (4.5 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 81.58% Hostage - (3.5 / 3.6) -- Accuracy: 97.22% Be Cool - (2.7 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 92.00% Million Dollar Baby - (2.7 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 92.00% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 90.02% New Release: 76.86% Still in Theater: 93.31% Staying in contention :wink: Too bad Guess Who? didn't do better, or I would've killed everybody \:D/

Author:	zingy [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 6:27 pm ]
Post subject:
Guess Who - (22 / 20.8) -- Accuracy: 94.23% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (15 / 14.7) -- Accuracy: 97.96% The Ring Two - (14 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 96.30% Robots - (13.6 / 12.1) -- Accuracy: 87.60% The Pacifier - (9 / 8.1) -- Accuracy: 88.89% Hitch - (4.7 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 85.37% Ice Princess - (4.2 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 89.47% Hostage - (3.7 / 3.6) -- Accuracy: 97.22% Be Cool - (3.2 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 72.00% Million Dollar Baby - (3 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 80.00% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 88.90% New Release: 96.09% Still in Theater: 87.11%

Author:	Jason Ng [ Sat Mar 26, 2005 6:30 pm ]
Post subject:
Guess Who - (20.6 / 20.8) -- Accuracy: 99.04% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (17.8 / 14.7) -- Accuracy: 78.91% The Ring Two - (13.3 / 13.5) -- Accuracy: 98.52% Robots - (13 / 12.1) -- Accuracy: 92.56% The Pacifier - (8.4 / 8.1) -- Accuracy: 96.30% Hitch - (4.2 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 97.56% Ice Princess - (4 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 94.74% Hostage - (3.5 / 3.6) -- Accuracy: 97.22% Be Cool - (3.2 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 72.00% Million Dollar Baby - (3 / 2.5) -- Accuracy: 80.00% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 90.68% New Release: 88.98% Still in Theater: 91.11% [quote=MikeQ.]Ehh, no offense, but I think these projections are pretty poor. I'll wait until estimates this weekend, because it's Easter weekend. [/quote] I think they're pretty good. :wink:

Author:	Anonymous [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 1:23 pm ]
Post subject:
Guess Who - (15.5 / 21) -- Accuracy: 73.81% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (16.6 / 14.5) -- Accuracy: 85.52% The Ring Two - (13.3 / 13.8) -- Accuracy: 96.38% Robots - (13.4 / 13) -- Accuracy: 96.92% The Pacifier - (8.1 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 95.29% Hitch - (4 / 4.3) -- Accuracy: 93.02% Hostage - (3.3 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 80.49% Ice Princess - (4.2 / 3.7) -- Accuracy: 86.49% Be Cool - (3 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 96.55% Million Dollar Baby - (2.7 / 2.6) -- Accuracy: 96.15% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 90.06% New Release: 79.66% Still in Theater: 92.66%

Author:	Jeff 42 [ Sun Mar 27, 2005 1:28 pm ]
Post subject:
Guess Who - (21 / 21) -- Accuracy: 100.00% Miss Congeniality 2: Armed and Fabulous - (14.5 / 14.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00% The Ring Two - (13 / 13.8) -- Accuracy: 94.20% Robots - (13 / 13) -- Accuracy: 100.00% The Pacifier - (8.6 / 8.5) -- Accuracy: 98.82% Hitch - (4.2 / 4.3) -- Accuracy: 97.67% Hostage - (3.8 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 92.68% Ice Princess - (4.6 / 3.7) -- Accuracy: 75.68% Be Cool - (3 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 96.55% Million Dollar Baby - (2.7 / 2.6) -- Accuracy: 96.15% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 95.18% New Release: 100.00% Still in Theater: 93.97% Argh, stupid Ice Princess. :wink: