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 HK 2/6 THU: Birds of Prey feasts on competition 
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 8/1 EST: Hobbs & Shaw drives away with the win
19 theaters across the city will be closed the entire day today amidst expected clashes between rioters/police. The breakdown is as follows:

Broadway/AMC - 7/14 theaters closed
MCL - 4/10 theaters closed
UA - 4/7 theaters closed
Cinema City - 2/5 theaters closed + 1 partial = 3/5 theaters affected
Golden Harvest - 2/7 theaters closed

No other theater chains are reporting any closures. I expect by the time the sun sets tomorrow, at least half of theaters will have shut down in some capacity. R.I.P. HK box office. This is a major calamity for everyone in HK. For more than 1/3 of theaters to not be in operation on a public holiday is a disaster.

These theater closures are having a major effect on movies already. Abominable comes out today and in 2 and a half hours, it has gone down from 8,620 admissions at midnight to just 6,439 (2,000+ admissions lost) now.

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Mon Sep 30, 2019 3:23 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 8/1 EST: Hobbs & Shaw drives away with the win
2 PM update: More theaters have shutdown. Breakdown is below.

Broadway/AMC - 8/14 theaters closed
UA - 7/7 theaters closed
MCL - 5/10 theaters closed + 1 more to close after 5 PM.
Cinema City - 3/5 theaters closed
Golden Harvest - 2/7 theaters closed

These 5 theater chains represent more than 75% of HK's box office. 25 theaters have closed and 1 more will be added after 5 PM.

I am shocked they haven't closed some theaters in the hot spots yet. They should shut down every theater. There's no need to jeopardize public safety like this especially when nearly all locations are reporting lower than normal ticket sales.

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Tue Oct 01, 2019 2:18 am
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 10/3 THU: Joker teases to nearly 40k adm.
Thursday admissions (October 3)

1. Joker - 39,547 adm.

2/3 of business comprised of walk-ins. With its impeccable 4.7/5 in opening day reviews so far, this seems poised to blow up this weekend.

Depending on ticket prices and multipliers, it is aiming for an opening weekend of 2.2-2.7m, better than 2.1m OW achieved by The Dark Knight. If it performs on the high end of that range, it will gross 3/4 of The Dark Knight Rises OW.

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Thu Oct 03, 2019 12:09 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 10/3 THU: Joker teases to nearly 40k admissions
Joker opening day actual - $433,511

Opening day comparisons

-34.9% from The Dark Knight Rises OD
-42.5% from Deadpool's OD (holiday)
-47.1% from Captain Marvel's OD

Friday admissions (October 4)

1. Joker - 26,603 (-32.7% from Thursday)

Normally films do not drop on Friday, however, 30 theaters closed today during the 6 PM hour or later due to the ongoing riots/unrest which means more than 15,000 potential ticket sales were affected. All IMAX showtimes were cancelled as well. Now, I'm not sure how studios/theaters calculate grosses after theaters close but if they also count revenue from tickets sold for showtimes after 6 PM then Joker's Friday gross should be a lot closer to its OD gross.

Due to the sudden closures of more than half of the theaters today, I am revising Joker's 4-day OW to anywhere between 1.5-2.5m. The reason for the large spread is because if we see theater closures like this again this weekend, Joker's OW will be severely disrupted. With a 5-day OW, I see an OW of around 2-3.4m.

Sunday will be almost every film's best day with the holiday Monday, however, we have seen animation films top their Sunday admissions on Monday.

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Fri Oct 04, 2019 1:12 pm
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Defeats all expectations
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Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm
Posts: 6273
Post Re: HK 10/3 THU: Joker teases to nearly 40k admissions
Joker's OD admissions - 42,000

Comparisons:
Shazam - 25,000
Venom - 41,000
Aquaman - 42,000 (deflated by advanced screenings)
Captain Marvel - 74,000

It's neck-and-neck with Venom. Like Venom, Joker is PG-13 in Hong Kong. It's looking at ~$4.5m total.


Fri Oct 04, 2019 2:12 pm
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Defeats all expectations
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Posts: 6273
Post Re: HK 10/3 THU: Joker teases to nearly 40k admissions
Regarding the massive pro-democracy protests, how can the HK government be so inept? The short answer is the government answers not to the people of Hong Kong but to Beijing. HK people do not have meaningful* voting power, thus no control over the government. What started as anti-extradition bill protests have morphed into an anti-authoritarian movement because people have awakened to a government that de-legitimized itself by using draconian and sometimes extralegal measures to silence people.

I'm glad the support for Hong Kong's democracy movement is deep within society. If the people stand in solidarity, they have a chance to take back the government.

*To have meaningful voting power, HK people should have equal rights to stand for elections, whether in governor (CE) or Legislative Council elections . It means no more puppets picked by Beijing or political screening by HK government. And to abide by the law and alleviate people's discontent, Beijing needs to stop interfering in HK's internal affairs.


Fri Oct 04, 2019 2:36 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 10/3 THU: Joker teases to nearly 40k admissions
SaturdayOctober 5
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Joker--43,298--+62.8%
2Abominable--5,132--+184.3%
3Ready or Not--1,889----
4Ad Astra--1,647---18.7%
25 theaters were affected today either with full day closures or partial ones.

Good increase for Joker. Really bad for Abominable. It even has a better user score than Joker (4.7 vs. 4.6 for Joker) but it looks like families are staying away from theaters for the time being. Terrible for Ad Astra.

Weekly Gross (Mon-Sun)Sep 23-29
LWTWTitleLast Week (HKD)This Week (HKD)Days in release% chgTotal (HKD)This Week (USD)Total (USD)
--1Ad Astra--$3,931,9924--$3,931,992$501,647$501,647
--2Rambo: The Last Blood--$3,056,33611--$6,861,413$389,930$875,385
--3Ready or Not--$2,439,2954--$2,439,295$311,207$311,207
--4It: Chapter 2--$2,388,39418--$14,810,011$304,713$1,889,475
--5Fagara--$1,679,89818--$6,350,377$214,323$810,187
--6Anna--$743,51125--$7,089,824$94,857$904,526
--7Exit--$579,68725--$5,347,093$73,957$682,187
--8Angel Has Fallen--$478,38032--$16,391,190$61,032$2,091,203
--9Ossan's Love: Love or Dead--$443,22218--$3,095,024$56,546$394,866
--10Good Boys--$315,51125--$3,732,900$40,253$476,247
Really bare at the moment. When the top film is only making $500,000 in 7 days, there's something extremely wrong going on.

Top 50 Films of All Time (Hong Kong)
RankMovieHK GrossUS Gross
1Avengers: Endgame$223,089,935$28,462,030
2Avatar*$178,248,295$22,964,414
3Avengers: Infinity War$153,301,337$19,549,780
4Avengers: Age of Ultron$133,061,397$17,121,674
5Titanic**$115,306,690$14,826,276
6Captain America: Civil War$112,654,686$14,365,941
7Iron Man 3$106,389,801$13,723,457
8Transformers 4$98,196,851$12,601,288
9The Avengers$96,705,670$12,474,280
10Jurassic World$96,295,976$12,357,355
11Toy Story 3$89,364,118$11,527,276
12Jurassic Park: Fallen Kingdom$88,649,003$11,304,980
13Toy Story 4*$88,541,985$11,296,272
14Spider-Man: Far From Home*$85,393,469$10,894,581
15Transformers 3$84,703,797$10,804,696
16Star Wars: The Force Awakens$81,701,193$10,512,900
17The Dark Knight Rises$80,269,966$10,354,201
18Minions$78,404,191$10,088,659
19Monsters University$77,407,664$9,984,987
20Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2$76,785,999$9,904,797
21Captain Marvel$76,590,738$9,767,247
22Aquaman$75,625,663$9,644,176
23Incredibles 2$71,205,663$9,080,282
24Train to Busan$68,004,629$8,672,080
25Beauty and the Beast$67,232,357$8,573,598
26Cold War 2$66,244,171$8,447,583
27Inside Out$66,016,979$8,418,611
28Spider-Man: Homecoming$65,760,306$8,385,880
29Black Panther$63,312,121$8,073,682
30Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice$62,286,926$7,942,948
31The Amazing Spider-Man$61,983,852$7,904,299
32Jurassic Park$61,898,795$7,893,452
33You Are the Apple of My Eye$61,857,826$7,888,228
34Kung Fu Hustle$61,278,697$7,863,699
35Shaolin Soccer$60,739,847$7,794,550
36Mission Impossible: Fallout$60,449,812$7,708,675
37Ip Man 3$60,261,407$7,684,650
38Aladdin*$60,026,865$7,658,285
39Doctor Strange$59,793,472$7,627,170
40Furious 7$59,634,515$7,604,707
41The Dark Knight$58,524,393$7,531,944
42Inception$58,380,823$7,513,467
43Deadpool$58,332,555$7,535,722
44The Lost World: Jurassic Park$58,231,885$7,494,299
45Police Story 4: First Strike$57,518,795$7,402,526
46Ant-Man and the Wasp$57,068,721$7,277,512
47Rumble in the Bronx$56,912,536$7,257,595
48Captain America: The Winter Soldier$56,552,117$7,211,634
49The Mermaid$56,224,292$7,169,829
50Infernal Affairs$55,057,176$7,085,722
* - without re-release (Re-release included: $183,411,471 HK)
** - without re-release (Re-release included: $128,003,033 HK)
* - still in release

Avengers 4 finished its run weeks ago. Toy Story 4 will end up missing its predecessor's total by less than 1m HK. There's a slim chance that it could pass Jurassic Park: Fallen Kingdom for #12 but it's only about a 10% chance. Aladdin finally passes 60m HK.

Sunday pre-sales

Joker - 11,155

Sunday pre-sales are down from Saturday's pre-sales by about 20%. It seems like everyone including theater owners are taking a wait-and-see approach to today. Yesterday, 17 theaters made the decision to close down for the entire day by 1 AM. Today, only 6 theaters have purged their Sunday schedules so far.

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Sat Oct 05, 2019 1:02 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post HK 10/3 WKD: Joker leads but bleeds as riots/terrorism grip
Re-posting this.

7 PM update: The sun has set and more theaters have closed.

Broadway/AMC - 11/14 theaters closed
UA - 7/7 theaters closed
MCL - 6/10 theaters closed + 2 more to be closed
Golden Harvest - 5/7 theaters closed
Cinema City - 4/5 theaters closed
Emperor - 2/3 theaters closed
Newport Circuit - 1/4 theaters closed

If you include the 2 theaters that will close after 8 PM, 38 theaters will have been affected by the riots today. That is 2/3 of the city's entire theater count. Not surprisingly, movies have been greatly affected.

Within a 2 and a half hour period from 4:40 - 7:10 pm, Ad Astra only picked up 400 admissions and it was the top performer over any other film in that time frame. Normally, the top films gains 1,000+ admissions per hour and upwards for 4,000-5,000 admissions for blockbusters on regular weekends.

National Day Admissions - taken at 8 PM

1. Abominable - 12,158 adm.
2. Ad Astra - 6,218
3. Ready or Not - 3,226
4. Rambo: The Last Blood - 2,497 (-67.8%)
5. The Climbers - 1,805
6. Fagara - 1,779 (-49.2%)
7. It: Chapter 2 - 1,468 (-62.3%)

Abominable would have possibly claimed 40,000 admissions today with all theaters operating. The holdovers were crushed hard including Fagara which has been a standout for the past 2 weeks. The remaining 4 hours won't matter much to each film's final admissions.

We started with 44 films with showtimes today but only 30 films managed to squeak out showtimes that have run completely with all the closures popping up.
_______________________________

SundayOctober 6
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Joker--44,787--+3.4%
2Abominable--10,000--+94.9%
3Ad Astra--2,156--+30.9%
4Ready or Not--2,023--+7.1%
5The Climbers--1,319----
6Fagara--1,266----
7Rambo: The Last Blood--1,221----
37 theaters closed fully or partially. 1 more stayed open but reduced showtimes at night.
.
Decent number for Joker. Abominable rebounded from its horrid Saturday number. Most of its showtimes were not affected. Ad Astra also bounced back from Saturday.

Joker 4-day opening weekend admissions - 154,235

Joker 4-day opening weekend estimate - $1,630,000

October 7 pre-sales

Joker - 11,173

There are no theater closures as of yet.

Joker 5-day opening weekend projection - $2,250,000

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Sun Oct 06, 2019 1:34 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 10/3 WK: Joker leads but bleeds as riots/terrorism st
Monday adm.October 7
RankMovieLWTW% chgQD % chg
1Joker--59,847--+33.6%
2Abominable--12,740--+27.4%
3Ad Astra--3,192--+48.1%
4Ready or Not--2,759--+36.4%
5The Climbers--1,848--+40.1%
6Rambo: The Last Blood--1,783--+46.0%
7Fagara--1,503--+18.7%
Only 16 theaters were affected today which allowed many films to climb from yesterday.

Joker's 5-day opening weekend admissions - 214,082
Joker's 5-day opening weekend estimate - $2,270,000

Joker went up from projections so that is good news. Relief probably set in for many theaters after many closures the past few days. I saw a lot of sellouts for Joker yesterday and today and it looks like theaters are retaining most of its Wednesday showtimes on Thursday.

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Mon Oct 07, 2019 2:08 pm
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Cream of the Crop

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Post Re: HK 10/10 THU: Joker topples Gemini Man/47 Meters Down 2
ThursdayOctober 10
RankMovieLWTW% chgQD % chg
1Joker39,54723,796-39.8%--
2Gemini Man--9,389----
347 Meters Down: Uncaged--3,748----
4Ready or Not--770----
5Bento Harassment--639----
6Abominable--603----
7Fagara--530----
8Ad Astra--517----
9Rambo: The Last Blood--445----
10A Rainy Day in New York--438----
Decent hold for Joker. After last weekend's muted admissions, there was going to be some spillover into this weekend. Not great for Gemini Man. It opens with a 3.9/5 from users. Very little interest for 47 Meters Down: Uncaged.

Friday adm.(so far)October 11
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Joker--7,117----
2Gemini Man--2,867----
347 Meters Down: Uncaged--984----
4Fagara--326----
5Abominable--267----
6Bento Harassment--238----
7A Rainy Day in New York--189----
8Ready or Not--186----
9Ad Astra--173----
10My People, My Country--153----
If there are no riots and terrorism today, Joker should increase from last Friday's admissions.

I believe this weekend will be quieter which should see very solid holds for most films after last weekend's mayhem.

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Thu Oct 10, 2019 3:04 pm
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Cream of the Crop

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Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 10/10 THU: Joker topples Gemini Man/47 Meters Down 2
FridayOctober 11
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Joker26,60332,543+22.3%+36.8%
2Gemini Man--9,532--+1.5%
347 Meters Down: Uncaged--4,636--+23.7%
4Ready or Not--875--+13.6%
5Abominable1,805792-56.1%+31.3%
6Bento Harassment--666--+4.2%
7Fagara--638--+20.4%
8A Rainy Day in New York--579--+32.2%
9Ad Astra2,025557-72.5%+7.7%
10Rambo: The Last Blood--387---13.0%
Fantastic hold for Joker. These superb holds will continue to last for at least the next week or so barring any fresh waves of violence/terrorism.

Notice how Joker posted the best increase from Thursday? That is due to the spillover effect.

Terrible gain from Gemini Man. It collapsed. OK increase from 47 Meters Down 2.

Saturday adm.(so far)October 12
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Joker--11,101--+56.0%
2Gemini Man--3,425--+19.5%
347 Meters Down: Uncaged--1,177--+19.6%
4Abominable--1,028--+285.0%
5Fagara--333--+2.1%
6Bento Harassment--298--+25.2%
7A Rainy Day in New York--250--+32.3%
8My People, My Country--245--+60.1%
9Ad Astra--232--+34.1%
10Ready or Not--184---1.1%
Very solid hold from Joker. It is down about -15% from last Saturday's pre-sales. Ugly increases for both Gemini Man and 47 Meters Down: Uncaged. Abominable could realistically increase from last Saturday's admissions if it does well with walk-ins.

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Fri Oct 11, 2019 12:37 pm
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Cream of the Crop

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Post Re: HK 10/10 PROJ: Joker laughing to a 2nd weekend increase
SaturdayOctober 12
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Joker43,29857,184+32.1%+75.7%
2Gemini Man--12,978--+36.2%
Abominable5,1324,170-18.7%+426.5%
The only accurate numbers here are Joker's and Abominable's.

Joker 2nd weekend projection - $1,745,000 (+1.8% from 4-day opening weekend [$1,715,000])/(-26.3% from 5-day opening weekend [$2,355,150])

With the rampant violence and terror overshadowing box office last weekend, this weekend is shaping up to be a relatively quieter weekend. There were some pockets of criminal acts today but nowhere near the massive destruction of the past week. There were still some demonstrations and occupations of the road held today which affected some theaters on Kowloon side but I did not see any closures. We'll see if that changes tomorrow but should it be relatively quiet like today, Joker will nudge ahead of last weekend's 4-day opening weekend.

The real losers of this weekend are Gemini Man, 47 Meters Down 2 and holdovers like Ad Astra and Ready or Not who fell over -50% today.

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Sat Oct 12, 2019 1:30 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
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Post Re: HK 10/10 EST: Joker revels its 2nd weekend drop
SundayOctober 13
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Joker44,78746,185+3.1%-19.2%
2Gemini Man--14,051--+8.3%
3Abominable10,0006,729-32.7%+61.4%
447 Meters Down: Uncaged--5,666----
5Bento Harassment--1,123----
6Ready or Not2,0231,020-49.6%--
7Ad Astra2,156926-57.1%--
8Fagara1,266730-42.3%--
9A Rainy Day in New York--579----
10Rambo: The Last Blood1,221510-58.2%--

Joker's 2nd weekend admissions - 159,708 (+3.5% from 4-day opening weekend)
Joker's 2nd weekend estimate - $1,645,000 (-4.1% from 4-day opening weekend/-30.2% from 5-day opening weekend)

Although Joker actually increased in admissions from its 4-day opening weekend, no holiday discounts and other various pricing options helped its gross last week.

Joker saw huge declines today with violence and terrorism occurring in all main regions of the city. The bulk of the violence was situated over the areas that comprise 70% of all theaters in HK including the attempted murder of a police officer that prompted the immediate shutdown of APM mall which houses Palace APM, one of the premier theaters in HK.

5 theaters closed but 12 theaters were affected overall. That still does not compare to the tens of theaters that were severely affected by clashes while remaining open. Theaters in Tsim Sha Tsui and Mong Kok were playing to a reduced capacity as many stayed away while rioters dispersed their mayhem to multiple locations.

Gemini Man slightly rebounded after its mostly lackluster weekend. Good for Abominable.

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Sun Oct 13, 2019 12:59 pm
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Cream of the Crop

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Post Re: HK 10/10 EST: Joker revels its 2nd weekend drop
Thursday adm.(so far)October 17
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil--6,101----
2Joker--3,462----
3Gemini Man--1,024----
4Downton Abbey--746----
5Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV--593----
647 Meters Down: Uncaged--341----
7Pavarotti--164----
8The Captain--163----
9Abominable--123----
10Fagara--87----
Good start for Maleficent 2. It is up 40% from the original in opening day pre-sales. In admissions, it has amassed almost 50% of Maleficent's opening day ticket sales. For reference, the first one opened in the summer and conjured up over 1m in 4 days.

Decent hold for Joker.

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Wed Oct 16, 2019 1:33 pm
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The Dark Knight

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Post Re: HK 10/10 EST: Joker revels its 2nd weekend drop
Maleficent did $5.2M.
Maleficent 2 won't make more than $3.5M...


Wed Oct 16, 2019 4:50 pm
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Cream of the Crop

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Post Re: HK 10/17 THU: Maleficent 2 overpowers Joker
pepe pippen wrote:
Maleficent did $5.2M.
Maleficent 2 won't make more than $3.5M...

pepe pippen wrote:
Maleficent did $5.2M.
Maleficent 2 won't make more than $3.5M...

I'll have to disagree with you there. Maleficent 2 is aiming for 1.3-1.4m OW if there are no riots which is around 30-40% above Maleficent's OW. With slightly weaker word of mouth than the first one, this can make it to 4m total.

Of course, this is all dependent on if there are any clashes the next 2 weeks.

ThursdayOctober 17
RankMovieLWTW% chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil--17,328----
2Joker23,79614,484-39.1%--
3Gemini Man9,3893,608-61.6%--
4Downton Abbey--1,698----
5Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV--1,296----
647 Meters Down: Uncaged3,7481,275-66.0%--
7The Captain--453----
8Ready or Not770298-61.3%--
9Pavarotti--220----
10Abominable603219-63.7%--
Maleficent 2 opens +38% above Maleficent's opening day admissions. Good hold for Joker. Every other holdover fell hard. Weak for Downton Abbey.

Friday adm.(so far)October 18
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil--6,674--+9.4%
2Joker7,1175,131-27.9%+48.2%
3Gemini Man2,8671,182-58.8%+15.4%
4Downton Abbey--838--+12.3%
5Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV--476---19.7%
647 Meters Down: Uncaged984387-60.7%+13.5%
7The Captain--162---0.6%
8Abominable267127-52.4%+3.3%
9Pavarotti--122---25.6%
9A Witness Out of the Blue--122----
Slightly concerning for Maleficent 2. Great hold for Joker.

Saturday schedules

It's a 2 horse race this weekend and the theater chains are having a bit of a dilemma with who to give extra screens to. At the biggest theater chain, Broadway/AMC, Joker is ahead of Maleficent 2 with it getting either the bigger screen or more screens overall. Maleficent 2 has the biggest screen at most Broadway/AMC locations, however, Joker has 2 or 3 screens to offset the seat difference.

UA is leaning slightly towards Maleficent 2.

Meanwhile MCL, Golden Harvest, Cinema City and Emperor are all heavily skewed toward Maleficent 2.

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Thu Oct 17, 2019 3:44 pm
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Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 10/17 THU: Maleficent 2 overpowers Joker
Thursday Actuals (October 17)

1. Maleficent: Mistress of Evil - $178,517 (opening day actual)
2. Joker - $140,263 (-42.1%)/$5,164,242
3. Gemini Man - $31,878 (-62.7%)/$663,063
4. Downton Abbey - $14,026 (opening day actual)
5. Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV - $10,857 (opening day actual)

Maleficent 2 opens about 15% above Maleficent's OD. It is aiming for around 1.3m this weekend barring any disruptions to moviegoing. Good hold for Joker. It is going to pass 6m this weekend and final tally should be around 8-8.5m. Poor hold for Gemini Man. It is looking at a 1m total. Terrible opening for Downton Abbey. Atrocious for Brave Father Online.

FridayOctober 18
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil--21,302--+22.9%
2Joker32,54321,157-35.0%+46.1%
3Gemini Man9,5324,235-55.6%+17.4%
4Downton Abbey--2,079--+22.4%
5Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV--1,607--+24.0%
647 Meters Down: Uncaged4,6361,218-73.7%-4.5%
7The Captain--437---3.5%
8Ready or Not875284-67.5%-4.7%
9Abominable792272-65.7%+24.2%
10Pavarotti--223--+1.4%
Solid for Maleficent 2. It almost matched the % increase that the first one had on Friday in admissions. Nice hold for Joker. Not great for Gemini Man.

Saturday adm.(so far)October 19
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil--10,853--+62.6%
2Joker11,1017,344-33.8%+43.1%
3Gemini Man3,4251,487-56.6%+25.8%
4Downton Abbey--972--+16.0%
5Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV--647--+35.9%
6Abominable1,028442-57.0%+248.0%
747 Meters Down: Uncaged1,177378-67.9%-2.3%
8A Witness Out of the Blue--333--+173.0%
9Fagara333191-42.6%--
10Pavarotti--144--+18.0%
These increases don't look spectacular. Maleficent 2 is targeting around 35k admissions today. Joker looks to get around 33k.

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Fri Oct 18, 2019 4:14 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 10/17 THU: Maleficent 2 overpowers Joker
SaturdayOctober 19
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil--41,375--+94.2%
2Joker57,18437,247-34.9%+76.1%
3Gemini Man12,9786,420-50.5%+51.6%
4Downton Abbey--2,871--+38.1%
5Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV--2,489--+54.9%
6A Witness Out of the Blue--2,186----
747 Meters Down: Uncaged--1,719--+41.1%
8Abominable4,1701,465-64.9%+438.6%
9Ready or Not--547--+92.6%
10The Captain--435---0.5%
Excellent increase for Maleficent 2. It actually increased its gap over Joker at night. Very good hold for Joker.

Sunday adm.(so far)October 20
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil--12,807--+18.0%
2Joker--6,489---11.6%
3Gemini Man--1,675--+12.6%
4Downton Abbey--854---12.1%
5Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV--635---1.9%
6Abominable--583--+31.9%
747 Meters Down: Uncaged--453--+19.8%
8A Witness Out of the Blue--284---14.7%
9Fagara--168---12.0%
10Pavarotti--143---0.7%
Wow, most films are either seeing double digit increases or decreases from Saturday pre-sales.

Weekend projections/estimates to come later today.

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Sat Oct 19, 2019 4:19 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 10/17 WKD: Maleficent 2 tosses Joker aside
Weekend ProjectionsOctober 17
RankMovieTW% chgTotal
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil$1,225,000$1,225,000
2Joker$990,000-39.8%$6,015,000
3Gemini Man$185,000-59.1%$815,000
4Downton Abbey$80,000$80,000
5Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV$70,000$70,000
Maleficent 2 will open above its predecessor's OW even with its muted Sunday this time around. As riots and terrorism continue, Sunday's box office take will be much lower than usual. It may even cause Joker to miss grossing 1m on its 3rd weekend. It does, however, move past 6m total in 3 weekends. Poor hold for Gemini Man. Soft openings for Downton Abbey and Brave Father Online: Final Fantasy XIV.

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Sun Oct 20, 2019 6:06 am
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 10/17 WKD: Maleficent 2 tosses Joker aside
SundayOctober 20
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil--38,561---6.8%
2Joker46,18524,826-46.2%-33.3%
3Gemini Man14,0515,458-61.2%-15.0%
4Abominable6,7292,285-66.0%+56.0%
5Downton Abbey--2,166---24.6%
6Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV--2,108---15.3%
7A Witness Out of the Blue--2,014---7.9%
847 Meters Down: Uncaged5,6661,624-71.3%-5.5%
9The Captain--441--+1.4%
10Ready or Not1,020342-66.5%-37.5%
Huge Sunday crash for most films except for Abominable.

2 theaters shut down while a 3rd theater stopped showing movies early. The trail of destruction and terror caused by the rioters meant a huge chunk of theaters saw lesser than normal admissions for the whole day. If we look at the week-week drops for all holdovers, all of them fell harder on Sunday than Saturday.

Joker's Sunday drop from Saturday is especially ugly. Going from a 200 admissions loss on Friday to a 13,500+ one on Sunday looks awful. I haven't seen a spread like that in a while.

Weekend adm.Oct 17-20
RankMovieLWTW% chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil--118,566--
2Joker159,70897,714-38.8%
3Gemini Man--19,721--
4Downton Abbey--8,814--
5Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV--7,500--
647 Meters Down: Uncaged--5,836--
7Abominable12,2944,241-65.5%
8A Witness Out of the Blue--4,200--
9The Captain--1,766--
10Ready or Not--1,471--

Weekend EstimatesOctober 17
RankMovieTW% chgTotal
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil$1,230,000$1,230,000
2Joker$960,000-41.6%$5,985,000
3Gemini Man$175,000-61.3%$805,000
4Downton Abbey$75,000$75,000
5Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV$65,000$65,000
Maleficent 2 increased while everything else decreased. With that number, Maleficent 2's OW is +19% above Maleficent's OW. It might take Joker an extra day to make 6m.

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Mon Oct 21, 2019 10:36 am
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 10/17 WKD: Maleficent 2 tosses Joker aside
Thursday adm.(so far)October 24
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil6,1013,829-37.2%--
2A Witness Out of the Blue--2,447----
3Joker3,4622,190-36.7%--
4Zombieland: Double Tap--1,176----
5Downton Abbey746382-48.8%--
6Paradise Hills--373----
7Gemini Man1,024258-74.8%--
8Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV59399-83.3%--
947 Meters Down: Uncaged34197-71.6%--
10The King's Avatar: For the Glory--85----
Decent holds for Maleficent 2 and Joker. Meh for A Witness Out of the Blue. Zombieland 2 bombed.

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Wed Oct 23, 2019 2:39 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 10/24 THU: Maleficent 2 thwarts Witness and Joker for
ThursdayOctober 24
RankMovieLWTW% chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil17,32810,877-37.2%--
2A Witness Out of the Blue--9,124----
3Joker14,4848,209-43.3%--
4Zombieland: Double Tap--4,592----
5Downton Abbey1,698988-41.8%--
6Paradise Hills--884----
7Gemini Man3,608834-76.9%--
8Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV1,296332-74.4%--
947 Meters Down: Uncaged1,275265-79.2%--
10Ready or Not298158-47.0%--
Good hold for Maleficent 2. OK start for A Witness Out of the Blue. Decent for Joker. Bad for Zombieland 2.

There doesn't seem to be a whole lot of movement for any film in screens or showtime count this weekend. Zombieland 2 will decrease in showtimes or screens and Maleficent 2 is looking at a slight upgrade but other than that, theaters are content with the trio of Maleficent 2, Joker and A Witness Out of the Blue.

Friday adm.(so far)October 25
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil6,6745,390-19.2%+40.8%
2Joker5,1313,216-37.3%+46.8%
3A Witness Out of the Blue1222,674+2091.8%+9.3%
4Zombieland: Double Tap--1,178--+0.2%
5Downton Abbey838623-25.7%+63.1%
6Paradise Hills--417--+11.8%
7Gemini Man1,182286-75.8%+10.9%
8Fagara--160----
9Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV476111-76.7%+12.1%
9Abominable127101-20.5%--
Very good hold for Maleficent 2. Decent hold for Joker. A Witness's Friday increase is on par with Maleficent 2's increase from last Friday. Poor for Zombieland 2.

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Thu Oct 24, 2019 1:34 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 10/24 THU: Maleficent 2 thwarts Witness and Joker for
FridayOctober 25
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil21,30216,408-23.0%+50.9%
2Joker21,15712,702-40.0%+54.7%
3A Witness Out of the Blue--9,453--+3.6%
4Zombieland: Double Tap--5,493--+19.6%
5Downton Abbey2,0791,663-20.0%+68.3%
6Paradise Hills--1,239--+40.2%
7Gemini Man4,2351,137-73.2%+36.3%
8Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV1,607414-74.2%+24.7%
947 Meters Down: Uncaged1,218332-72.7%+25.3%
10Abominable272252-7.4%+90.9%
Very good hold for Maleficent 2. Not bad for Joker. Very poor increase for A Witness Out of the Blue. It has received a 4.0/5 from users so far. Zombieland 2 didn't fare very well. Nice hold for Downton Abbey.

Saturday adm.(so far)October 26
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil10,8537,870-27.5%+46.0%
2Joker7,3444,231-42.4%+31.6%
3A Witness Out of the Blue3333,856+1058.0%+44.2%
4Zombieland: Double Tap--1,532--+30.1%
5Downton Abbey972607-37.6%-2.6%
6Paradise Hills--449--+7.7%
7Gemini Man1,487425-71.4%+48.6%
8Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV647288-55.5%+159.5%
9Fagara191160-16.2%+0.0%
10Abominable442139-68.6%+37.6%
Great hold for Maleficent 2. Joker's drops in pre-sales are getting bigger with each passing day. Meh for A Witness Out of the Blue. Weak for Zombieland. It had the smallest increase of the top 4 on Saturday.

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Fri Oct 25, 2019 2:28 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 10/24 THU: Maleficent 2 thwarts Witness and Joker for
SaturdayOctober 26
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil41,37527,842-32.7%+69.7%
2Joker37,24719,610-47.4%+54.4%
3A Witness Out of the Blue--14,662--+55.1%
4Zombieland: Double Tap--8,638--+57.3%
5Downton Abbey2,8712,151-25.1%+29.3%
6Gemini Man6,4201,841-71.3%+61.9%
7Paradise Hills--1,202---3.0%
8Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV2,489987-60.3%+138.4%
9Abominable1,465535-63.5%+112.3%
1047 Meters Down: Uncaged1,719491-71.4%+47.9%
These increases are a bit pedestrian. I wonder if we're seeing more people watch movies on the weekdays and staying away on the weekends.

Sunday adm.(so far)October 27
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil12,8078,935-30.2%+13.5%
2A Witness Out of the Blue2844,085+1338.4%+5.9%
3Joker6,4893,911-39.7%-7.6%
4Zombieland: Double Tap--1,657--+8.2%
5Downton Abbey854605-29.2%-0.3%
6Paradise Hills--466--+3.8%
7Gemini Man1,675444-73.5%+4.5%
8Abominable583306-47.5%+120.1%
9Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV635261-58.9%-9.4%
1047 Meters Down: Uncaged453162-64.2%--
If we had anything like last Sunday's walk-ins, Maleficent 2 could be headed for a 45% drop from last Sunday while Joker could lose more than 55% of last Sunday's business. OK for A Witness Out of the Blue.

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Sat Oct 26, 2019 2:27 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 10/24 WKD: Maleficent 2 casts Witness and Joker aside
Weekly Gross (Mon-Sun)Oct 7-13
LWTWTitleLast Week (HKD)This Week (HKD)Days in release% chgTotal (HKD)This Week (USD)Total (USD)
11Joker$13,617,562$21,731,37911+59.6%$35,348,941$2,772,814$4,510,346
--2Gemini Man$146,942$3,746,4804+2449.6%$3,893,422$478,031$496,781
23Abominable$2,529,584$1,871,17913-26.0%$4,400,763$238,753$561,515
--447 Meters Down: Uncaged--$1,480,6934--$1,480,693$188,928$188,928
--5My People, My Country$961,087$974,84113+1.4%$1,935,928$124,384$247,014
46Ready or Not$2,363,972$743,51118-68.5%$4,803,267$94,868$612,872
37Ad Astra$2,436,811$579,68718-76.2%$6,368,803$73,965$812,627
68Fagara$1,352,031$478,38032-64.6%$7,702,408$61,038$982,788
59Rambo: The Last Blood$1,556,929$443,22225-71.5%$8,418,342$56,552$1,074,137
--10A Rainy Day in New York$237,687$354,59811+49.2%$592,285$45,244$75,572

SundayOctober 27
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil38,56128,159-27.0%+1.1%
2Joker24,82616,600-33.1%-15.3%
3A Witness Out of the Blue2,01414,899+639.8%+1.6%
4Zombieland: Double Tap--7,910---8.4%
5Gemini Man5,4581,788-67.2%-2.9%
6Downton Abbey2,1661,680-22.4%-21.9%
7Paradise Hills--1,069---11.1%
8Abominable2,2851,043-54.4%+95.0%
9Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV2,108876-58.4%+78.4%
1047 Meters Down: Uncaged1,624617-62.0%+25.7%
Better than what happened last Sunday but still below what films were doing on Sunday's pre-riots.

Weekend adm.Oct 24-27
RankMovieLWTW% chg
1Maleficent: Mistress of Evil118,56683,286-29.8%
2Joker97,71458,036-40.6%
3A Witness Out of the Blue4,20047,223+1024.4%
4Zombieland: Double Tap--26,633--
5Downton Abbey8,8146,482-26.5%
6Gemini Man19,7215,600-71.6%
7Paradise Hills--4,394--
8Brave Father Online: Our Story of Final Fantasy XIV7,5002,609-65.2%
9Abominable4,2411,962-53.7%
1047 Meters Down: Uncaged5,8361,705-70.8%

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Sun Oct 27, 2019 1:08 pm
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