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 HK 5/11 THU: GOTG 3 holds at #1 on a quiet week 
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KJ's Leading Idiot

Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36917
Post Re: HK 4/24 EST: Avengers 4 insane, breaks all records; #1 N
Algren wrote:
#18 is not #7. Numbers aren't that difficult. ;)


FYI it moved to #10 WW after 6 days WW so I don't think being #7 in HK after 6 days is that far off.


Tue Apr 30, 2019 5:59 pm
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Post Re: HK 5/1 PRE-SALES: Avengers 4 increases from OD pre-sales
Wednesday adm.May 1
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Avengers: Endgame144,870138,923-4.1%+45.8%
2Still Human2,5407,094+179.3%+50.1%
3The Queen's Corgi9613,631+277.8%+349.4%
4Hotel Mumbai4681,781+280.6%+8.5%
5Wonder Park9371,297+38.4%--
6The Curse of La Llorona606888+46.5%+72.8%
7Chibi Maruko Chan Movie: Ono & Sugiyama320854+166.9%--
8The Upside--756--+185.3%
9P Storm322606+88.2%+63.3%
10Cold War315372+18.1%+51.8%
The holiday really brought out some joy for all films. Every film in the top 10 besides Avengers 4 enjoyed some sort of increase with animation films and Hotel Mumbai leading the way with triple % gains.

Avengers 4 day 8 estimate - $2,388,000
Total (to date -- 8 day, estimate) - $17,400,000

That total would push it past Avengers 2 for #3 all time.

Beating Avengers 3 will likely take a few more days as walk-ins have looked troublesome since Monday and theaters will start to add more 2D showtimes into the mix. Saturday seems most likely at this point while Avatar could be dethroned as early as Tuesday next week but most likely on Thursday or Friday if walk-ins continue to be sluggish.

Thursday adm.(so far)May 2
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Avengers: Endgame77,53026,459-65.9%-77.1%
Hard to judge this drop as it is coming off of a holiday but it could have held better as there was no major new release this week. It will need to have much better walk-ins if it wants to break 35-40m.

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Wed May 01, 2019 2:01 pm
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Post Re: HK: Avengers: Endgame #1 film of all time in 13 days
Top 50 Films of All Time (Hong Kong)
RankMovieHK GrossUS Gross
1Avengers: Endgame$179,958,364$22,930,508
2Avatar*$178,248,295$22,712,609
3Avengers: Infinity War$153,301,337$19,549,780
4Avengers: Age of Ultron$133,061,397$17,121,674
5Titanic**$115,306,690$14,826,276
6Captain America: Civil War$112,654,686$14,365,941
7Iron Man 3$106,389,801$13,723,457
8Transformers 4$98,196,851$12,601,288
9The Avengers$96,705,670$12,474,280
10Jurassic World$96,295,976$12,357,355
11Toy Story 3$89,364,118$11,527,276
12Jurassic Park: Fallen Kingdom$88,649,003$11,304,980
13Transformers 3$84,703,797$10,926,131
14Star Wars: The Force Awakens$81,701,193$10,512,900
15The Dark Knight Rises$80,269,966$10,354,201
16Minions$78,404,191$10,088,659
17Monsters University$77,407,664$9,984,987
18Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2$76,785,999$9,904,797
19Captain Marvel$76,590,738$9,767,247
20Aquaman$75,625,663$9,644,176
21Incredibles 2$71,205,663$9,080,282
22Train to Busan$68,004,629$8,672,080
23Beauty and the Beast$67,232,357$8,573,598
24Cold War 2$66,244,171$8,447,583
25Inside Out$66,016,979$8,418,611
26Spider-Man: Homecoming$65,760,306$8,385,880
27Black Panther$63,312,121$8,073,682
28Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice$62,286,926$7,942,948
29The Amazing Spider-Man$61,983,852$7,904,299
30Jurassic Park$61,898,795$7,893,452
31You Are the Apple of My Eye$61,857,826$7,888,228
32Kung Fu Hustle$61,278,697$7,863,699
33Shaolin Soccer$60,739,847$7,794,550
34Mission Impossible: Fallout$60,449,812$7,708,675
35Ip Man 3$60,261,407$7,684,650
36Furious 7$59,634,515$7,604,707
37The Dark Knight$58,524,393$7,531,944
38Inception$58,380,823$7,513,467
39Deadpool$58,332,555$7,535,722
40The Lost World: Jurassic Park$58,231,885$7,494,299
41Police Story 4: First Strike$57,518,795$7,402,526
42Ant-Man and the Wasp$57,068,721$7,277,512
43Rumble in the Bronx$56,912,536$7,257,595
44Captain America: The Winter Soldier$56,552,117$7,211,634
45The Mermaid$56,224,292$7,169,829
46Infernal Affairs$55,057,176$7,085,722
47Spider-Man 3$55,016,986$7,080,550
48The Amazing Spider-Man 2$54,692,104$6,974,441
49Deadpool 2$54,597,460$6,962,372
50Along With the Gods: The Two Worlds$54,431,267$6,941,179

* - without re-release (Re-release included: $183,411,471 HK)
** - without re-release (Re-release included: $128,003,033 HK)
* - still in release

Avengers: Endgame is now the #1 film of all time in Hong Kong. Many sites are still using the $183m HK number for Avatar, however, I have decided to remove Avatar's re-release numbers from its total.

Avengers: Endgame managed to beat Avatar's 9 and a half year record in 13 days. With Avatar's re-release included, Avengers: Endgame will definitively pass Avatar on Wednesday in 15 days.

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Tue May 07, 2019 8:06 am
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Post Re: HK: Avengers: Endgame #1 film of all time in 13 days
Top 10 Single Days
RankMovieHK GrossUS Gross
1Avengers: Endgame$22,244,356$2,846,582
2Avengers: Endgame$20,875,620$2,661,704
3Avengers: Endgame$19,873,480$2,543,184
4Avengers: Endgame$17,113,779$2,190,029
5Avengers: Endgame$16,180,698$2,070,624
6Avengers: Infinity War$15,868,268$2,022,749
7Avengers: Age of Ultron$15,763,405$2,009,382
8Avengers: Infinity War$14,930,841$1,903,254
9Captain America 3$14,273,486$1,819,460
10Avengers: Age of Ultron$14,270,111$1,819,030

Now updated with official figures. #1 is Saturday's gross. #2 is Wednesday's (opening day). #3 is Sunday's. #4 is Friday's and #5 is Thursday's gross.

Top 25 Opening Weekends
RankMovieHK GrossUS Gross
1Avengers: Endgame$96,288,283$12,321,893
2Avengers: Infinity War$60,123,409$7,665,537
3Captain America 3$50,929,068$6,570,480
4Avengers: Age of Ultron$49,517,186$6,405,895
5Transformers 3$39,672,804$5,132,356
6Captain Marvel$38,950,000$4,822,105
7Transformers: Age of Extinction$37,274,585$4,738,124
8Iron Man 3$36,625,419$4,450,499
9Minions$34,402,090$4,431,091
10The Avengers$34,252,069$4,211,876
11Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice$32,603,311$4,156,815
12Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom$32,357,961$4,125,533
13Jurassic World$31,253,631$3,984,735
14Deadpool$28,930,446$3,648,661
15Spider-Man 3$28,663,114$3,633,084
16Ant-Man and the Wasp$28,326,143$3,611,490
17Harry Potter 7-2$28,203,934$3,447,541
18The Mermaid$28,160,742$3,443,409
19Star Wars: The Force Awakens$26,645,964$3,333,614
20The Amazing Spider-Man 2$26,617,352$3,332,877
21Deadpool 2$26,116,168$3,329,725
22Incredibles 2$25,957,682$3,309,519
23Monsters University$25,768,640$3,285,176
24The Dark Knight Rises$25,762,940$3,284,449
25Toy Story 3$25,703,435$3,276,863
Official opening weekend number now in for Avengers: Endgame.

Friday adm.(so far)June 28
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Spider-Man: Far From Home--46,628----
Decent for Spider-Man: Far From Home.

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Thu Jun 27, 2019 12:48 pm
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Post HK: Can Toy Story 4 beat Minions' OW record and TS3 all time
Top 15 Opening Days
RankMovieUS GrossHK Gross
1Avengers: Endgame$2,661,704$20,875,620
2Avengers: Infinity War$1,322,460$10,371,539
3Avengers: Age of Ultron$1,231,169$9,616,749
4The Amazing Spider-Man 2$1,224,002$9,560,768
5Spider-Man: Far From Home$1,161,266$9,070,735
6Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice$1,005,746$7,889,383
7Transformers: Age of Extinction$1,002,263$7,862,060
8Captain America 3$972,500$7,628,590
9Spider-Man 3$963,280$7,556,265
10Pirates of the Caribbean 3$889,366$6,976,457
11Iron Man 3$851,192$6,614,837
12Captain Marvel$819,689$6,429,897
13Harry Potter 7-2$811,801$6,368,018
14The Avengers$779,647$6,044,881
15Deadpool$753,891$5,848,267
Spider-Man: Far From Home's opening day comes in at #5, however, if you add in the Thursday midnight previews, it all adds up to $9.56m HK. Spider-Man: Far From Home's opening day was the 2nd highest attended movie in opening day history with 105,790 admissions behind only Avengers: Endgame.

Top 25 Opening Weekends
RankMovieHK GrossUS Gross
1Avengers: Endgame$96,288,283$12,321,893
2Avengers: Infinity War$60,123,409$7,665,537
3Captain America 3$50,929,068$6,570,480
4Avengers: Age of Ultron$49,517,186$6,405,895
5Transformers 3$39,672,804$5,132,356
6Captain Marvel$38,950,000$4,822,105
7Transformers: Age of Extinction$37,274,585$4,738,124
8Iron Man 3$36,625,419$4,450,499
9Minions$34,402,090$4,431,091
10The Avengers$34,252,069$4,211,876
11Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice$32,603,311$4,156,815
12Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom$32,357,961$4,125,533
13Jurassic World$31,253,631$3,984,735
14Spider-Man: Far From Home$30,614,409$3,919,362
15Deadpool$28,930,446$3,648,661
16Spider-Man 3$28,663,114$3,633,084
17Ant-Man and the Wasp$28,326,143$3,611,490
18Harry Potter 7-2$28,203,934$3,447,541
19The Mermaid$28,160,742$3,443,409
20Star Wars: The Force Awakens$26,645,964$3,333,614
21The Amazing Spider-Man 2$26,617,352$3,332,877
22Deadpool 2$26,116,168$3,329,725
23Incredibles 2$25,957,682$3,309,519
24Monsters University$25,768,640$3,285,176
25The Dark Knight Rises$25,762,940$3,284,449
This Spider-Man: Far From Home opening weekend number is only an estimate at this time. A news source reported it taking in $27.50m HK up until 5:40 pm on Sunday so this number looks pretty close to accurate.

Spider-Man: Far From Home's gross up until yesterday (Tuesday) stands at $67,044,829 HK ($8,583,310), surpassing Spider-Man: Homecoming's gross in 12 days and is ranked #24 all time.

Daily adm. (OW)
PreviewsThursdayFridaySaturdaySundayTotal
Toy Story 4110,6360000110,636
Toy Story 371,66371,042112,971119,140374,816
Monsters University59,87060,94484,28290,898295,994
Gap (from Toy Story 3)110,63638,973-32,069-145,040-264,180
Gap (from Monsters University)110,63650,766-10,178-94,460-185,358
It's time to turn our attention to Toy Story 4 where it just had 5 days of previews. It has already amassed 110,000 admissions and Wednesday's admissions were +6% higher than Monday's which is an encouraging sign for this weekend.

Toy Story 4 won't beat Toy Story 3's opening weekend admissions on a day-to-day basis, however, it has a shot at beating Monsters University's though.

Does it have a chance at beating Minion's OW? Yeah, it does. To this day, Toy Story 3 holds the all time animated record and was only knocked out of the top 10 by Avengers 4 almost 9 years after its release. With inflation on its side, revenue will be sky high.

It has already taken away some IMAX showings of Spider-Man: Far From Home from Friday onwards and theaters have responded to the demand by adding more showtimes on Friday. Saturday and Sunday will see more showtimes head toward Toy Story 4.

The loss of 3D will barely be felt so right now it is aiming for an OW of 4.5m-5m including previews.

Thursday adm.(so far)July 11
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 4--18,123----
2Spider-Man: Far From Home--3,811----
Toy Story 4 matches 56% of Toy Story 3's 3D Cantonese admissions only. Walk-ins during the past 3 weekday previews have been strong with less than 50% coming from pre-sales so we may see 60-65% of opening day admissions come from walk-ins.

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Wed Jul 10, 2019 12:15 pm
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Post Re: HK: Can Toy Story 4 beat Minions' OW record and TS3 all
At 3 PM, Toy Story 4 has crossed 31,000 admissions. It is aiming for about 50,000 admissions today.
_________________
As of Tuesday, Avengers: Endgame has grossed $222,098,372 HK or $28,413,652 US. I believe this total also includes the longer clips version too.

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Thu Jul 11, 2019 3:15 am
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Post Re: HK: Can Toy Story 4 beat Minions' OW record and TS3 all
ThursdayJuly 11
RankMovieLWTW% chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 4--46,329----
2Spider-Man: Far From Home--14,201----
OK opening day for Toy Story 4. It came in at the lower end of my expectations today. Spider-Man: Far From Home had a good hold. I believe it's only down 50-60% from last Thursday.

Reviews for Toy Story 4 are in and it's sitting at a very good 4.5/5 from users.

Toy Story 4 opening day actual (including previews) - $1,630,048

Spider-Man: Far From Home will either pass $70m HK ($8.95m US) on Friday or very early Saturday.

Friday adm.(so far)July 12
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 4--24,935--+37.6%
2Spider-Man: Far From Home--6,055--+58.9%
Good increases for both.

Daily admissions (OW)
PreviewsThursdayFridaySaturdaySundayTotal
Toy Story 4110,63646,329000156,965
Toy Story 371,66371,042112,971119,140374,816
Monsters University59,87060,94484,28290,898295,994
Gap (from Toy Story 3)110,63685,30214,260-98,711-217,851
Gap (from Monsters University)110,63697,09536,151-48,131-139,029
Opening day for Toy Story 4 comes in well below Monsters University's OD, however, Monsters University did not have any sneaks unlike Toy Story 4.

We can't really compare how Toy Story 4's opening weekend will play out using Toy Story 3 or MU's multiplier. I expect Toy Story 4 to sport a solid Friday increase and it will really blossom this weekend, potentially flirting with 100,000 admissions on both Saturday/Sunday.

Minions' OW record is still within reach but Thursday has definitely let it down so this record might come down to the wire.

Why did Toy Story 4 have previews when it's a big tentpole?

This is mainly due to what's coming. The White Storm 2 will be opening on Tuesday and it made over 1.3m OW/4.1m total back in 2013. If Toy Story 4 stuck to its opening day date, it would have only 5 days to itself and theaters would have to cut back for the new local movie. Also, Spider-Man is still playing well so TS4's opening weekend gross would have been muted because theaters would not be able to accommodate the demand for both Toy Story 4 and Spider-Man: Far From Home plus the other new openers and holdovers.

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Fri Jul 12, 2019 3:38 am
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Post Re: HK: Can Toy Story 4 beat Minions' OW record and TS3 all
Note: The White Storm made 1.3 OW and 4.1m total back in 2013. I corrected the above post.

FridayJuly 12
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 4--58,820--+27.0%
2Spider-Man: Far From Home--18,446--+29.9%
3Annabelle Comes Home--6,423----
4Child's Play--4,256----
5Parasite--2,786----
6Aladdin--1,683----
7The Secret Life of Pets 2--772----
8Avengers: Endgame--565----
9Jinpa--475----
10A Long Goodbye--410----
Very strong walk-ins for Toy Story 4. For most of the day, Toy Story 4 had a better daily % increase (QD % change) from Thursday's final admissions than Spider-Man: Far From Home, even though Spider-Man started off Friday 21% above Toy Story 4's pre-sales. Spider-Man: Far From Home seems to be fading.

Saturday adm.(so far)July 13
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 4--45,296--+81.7%
2Spider-Man: Far From Home--8,512--+40.6%
3Annabelle Comes Home--1,637----
4Child's Play--1,114----
5Parasite--1,033----
6Aladdin--583----
7The Secret Life of Pets 2--414----
8Avengers: Endgame--251----
9A Long Goodbye--211----
10Jinpa--153----
Very good jump for Toy Story 4. I think it will land in the 85-90k range. 100,000 admissions seems like a stretch. Not good for Spider-Man.

A rant about theater scheduling. I am shocked at how theaters scheduled Toy Story 4 this weekend. Here's what I saw with Toy Story 4's showtimes on Saturday/Sunday from some theaters.

1. One 11 AM showtime in high traffic weekend morning theaters. (what?! This completely backfired as Toy Story 4 was already more than 50% full by 12 PM today.)
2. Giving Spider-Man the biggest theater at 11 AM on Saturday over Toy Story 4 (WHAT?! -- They weren't oblivious about it because they actually gave Toy Story 4 the biggest theater on Sunday.)
3. Decreasing Saturday/Sunday showtimes from Friday (what?!) (Have they seen how kids movies act on the weekend?)
4. Having more screens allocated at 9 PM than in the morning (Shouldn't this be flipped? I know Toy Story 4 isn't a regular kids movie but it's still a kids movie.)

Daily admissions (OW)
PreviewsThursdayFridaySaturdaySundayTotal
Toy Story 4110,63646,32958,82000215,785
Toy Story 371,66371,042112,971119,140374,816
Monsters University59,87060,94484,28290,898295,994
Gap (from Toy Story 3)110,63685,30273,080-39,891-159,031
Gap (from Monsters University)110,63697,09594,97110,689-80,209
After an exceptional Friday, Toy Story 4 is on pace to beat Toy Story 3's OW admissions.

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Fri Jul 12, 2019 4:17 pm
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Post HK 7/13 SAT: Toy Story 4 breaks 100k adm.; OW record in peri
SaturdayJuly 13
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 4--100,246--+70.4%
2Spider-Man: Far From Home--28,754--+55.9%
3Annabelle Comes Home--7,464--+16.2%
4Child's Play--5,013--+17.8%
5Parasite--4,947--+77.6%
6Aladdin--2,419--+43.7%
7The Secret Life of Pets 2--1,509--+95.5%
8Avengers: Endgame--834--+47.6%
9A Long Goodbye--776--+89.3%
10Jinpa--583--+3.2%

"Hi, I'm Toy Story 4 and I'm going to prove Bluebomb wrong."

Shocking. I really thought it wasn't going to break 100,000 admissions today. Some theaters were being really stingy with their showtimes today but when you have an 11:45 PM showtime 82% full for a kids movie, it was going to get there. I didn't see a whole lot of sellouts today but every showtime, except after 10:30 PM, was over 80% full.

If Toy Story 4 was given an extra screen from every theater, I believe it could have cleared 130,000 today.

OK for Spider-Man. Anything was going to look weaker when being compared with Toy Story 4.

Sunday adm.(so far)July 14
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 4--55,887--+23.4%
2Spider-Man: Far From Home--9,712--+14.1%
3Annabelle Comes Home--1,568---4.2%
4Parasite--1,388--+34.4%
5Child's Play--1,335--+19.8%
6Aladdin--721--+23.7%
7The Secret Life of Pets 2--570--+37.7%
8Avengers: Endgame--295--+17.5%
9A Long Goodbye--227--+7.6%
10Jinpa--213--+39.2%
Strong for Toy Story 4. I wonder if it could hit 110k today.

Daily adm. (OW)
PreviewsThursdayFridaySaturdaySundayTotal
Toy Story 4110,63646,32958,820100,2460316,031
Toy Story 371,66371,042112,971119,140374,816
Monsters University59,87060,94484,28290,898295,994
Gap (from Toy Story 3)110,63685,30273,08060,355-58,785
Gap (from Monsters University)110,63697,09594,971110,93520,037
The quick progression away from Monsters University's gap is interesting. Going from a -13,000 gap on Thursday to an almost +16,000 gap on Saturday.

Toy Story 4 opening weekend estimate - $4,510,000 (including previews)

After a somewhat muted Thursday, Toy Story 4 has come back fighting with huge increases on Friday and Saturday. This is after theaters didn't give it enough showtimes on the weekend.

Looking forward to the animated OW record, Minions also had sneak previews on its opening weekend so it will come down to multiplier but I think Toy Story 4 will win the animated OW record when actuals come in.

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Sat Jul 13, 2019 2:27 pm
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Post HK 7/11 WKD: Toy Story 4 is the new animated OW record holde
SundayJuly 14
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 4--101,793--+1.5%
2Spider-Man: Far From Home--26,401---8.2%
3Annabelle Comes Home--6,723---9.9%
4Parasite--4,613---6.8%
5Child's Play--4,512---10.0%
6Aladdin--2,751--+13.7%
7The Secret Life of Pets 2--1,834--+21.5%
8A Long Goodbye--766---1.3%
9Avengers: Endgame--719---13.8%
10Jinpa--504---13.6%

Aside from family friendly films, every film fell on Sunday.
Weekend adm.Jul 11-14
RankMovieLWTW% chg
1Toy Story 4--307,188--
2Spider-Man: Far From Home--87,802--


Weekend EstimatesJuly 11
RankMovieTW% chgTotal
1Toy Story 4$4,510,000$4,510,000
2Spider-Man: Far From Home$965,000-57.3%$9,640,000
Great opening for Toy Story 4. Spider-Man: Far From Home is close to passing 10m. It should break 10m by Wednesday or Thursday depending on how badly it is affected by The White Storm 2 opening on Tuesday.

From Deadline
Quote:
With $4.6M in Hong Kong, TS4 posted the highest animated opening of all time from any studio

Daily adm. (OW)
PreviewsThursdayFridaySaturdaySundayTotal
Toy Story 4110,63646,32958,820100,246101,793417,824
Toy Story 371,66371,042112,971119,140374,816
Monsters University59,87060,94484,28290,898295,994
Gap (from Toy Story 3)110,63685,30273,08060,35543,008
Gap (from Monsters University)110,63697,09594,971110,935121,830
Toy Story 4 finishes with over 400,000 admissions including previews.

Tuesday adm.(so far)July 16
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 4--14,898--+14.6%
2The White Storm 2: Drug Lords--8,386----
3Spider-Man: Far From Home--3,086----
Solid increase for Toy Story 4 despite White Storm 2 opening. Slightly disappointing for The White Storm 2. These types of movies can come back with walk-ins though.

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Mon Jul 15, 2019 1:18 pm
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Post Re: HK 7/11 WKD: Toy Story 4 new animated OW record holder
Top Animated Films (in HKD)

Toy Story 3 - $89,364,118
Minions - $78,404,191
Monsters University - $77,407,664
Incredibles 2 - $71,205,663
Inside Out - $66,016,979
Zootopia - $51,865,101
Despicable Me 3 - $49,892,324
Finding Dory - $49,524,251
Stand By Me Doraemon - 46,891,675
Kung Fu Panda 2 - $39,469,375
Ice Age 4: Continental Drift - $38,236,658
Toy Story 2 - $35,732,127
Big Hero 6 - $34,340,162 (estimate)
The Incredibles - $33,777,162
Up - $33,248,227
Despicable Me 2 - $32,603,704
Ice Age 3: Dawn of the Dinosaurs - $32,446,094
Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted - $32,191,416
Finding Nemo - $31,816,876
Your Name - more than $31,478,296
Kung Fu Panda - $31,457,738
The Secret Life of Pets - $30,460,851

Note: This list does not include Toy Story 4's gross.

Since HK MPIA only publishes box office based on the calendar year, winter animation releases such as Big Hero 6 and Your Name's full grosses were not revealed.

For Big Hero 6, I used the number from BOM to convert it into HKD. Your Name's gross is the official number up until December 31.

Tuesday adm.July 16
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 4--40,336--+6.1%
2The White Storm 2: Drug Lords--29,359----
3Spider-Man: Far From Home--10,272--+3.6%
4Annabelle Comes Home--3,324---20.7%
5Child's Play--2,170---7.1%
6Parasite--1,861---2.6%
7Aladdin--1,317---19.1%
8The Secret Life of Pets 2--773--+2.8%
9Avengers: Endgame--364---15.3%
10A Long Goodbye--309---9.4%
Good increase for Toy Story 4. Much better for The White Storm 2. Toy Story 4 increased its lead in admissions in the morning, afternoon and early evening but The White Storm 2 pushed back late at night. The White Storm 2's opening day score stands at an OK 3.9/5. We'll see if that average word of mouth will sink its weekend.

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Tue Jul 16, 2019 1:28 pm
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Post HK 7/18 THU: Toy Story 4 in fierce battle with The White Sto
Toy Story 4 opening weekend actual - $34,490,000 HKD (#9 opening weekend all time, +34.2% higher than Toy Story 3's opening weekend)

This is being reported from news sources. Official number will be released later.

Top 25 Opening Weekends
RankMovieHK GrossUS Gross
1Avengers: Endgame$96,288,283$12,321,893
2Avengers: Infinity War$60,123,409$7,665,537
3Captain America 3$50,929,068$6,570,480
4Avengers: Age of Ultron$49,517,186$6,405,895
5Transformers 3$39,672,804$5,132,356
6Captain Marvel$38,950,000$4,822,105
7Transformers: Age of Extinction$37,274,585$4,738,124
8Iron Man 3$36,625,419$4,450,499
9Toy Story 4$34,490,000$4,412,461
10Minions$34,402,090$4,401,214
11The Avengers$34,252,069$4,382,021
12Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice$32,603,311$4,156,815
13Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom$32,357,961$4,125,533
14Jurassic World$31,253,631$3,984,735
15Spider-Man: Far From Home$30,614,409$3,919,362
16Deadpool$28,930,446$3,648,661
17Spider-Man 3$28,663,114$3,633,084
18Ant-Man and the Wasp$28,326,143$3,611,490
19Harry Potter 7-2$28,203,934$3,447,541
20The Mermaid$28,160,742$3,443,409
21Star Wars: The Force Awakens$26,645,964$3,333,614
22The Amazing Spider-Man 2$26,617,352$3,332,877
23Deadpool 2$26,116,168$3,329,725
24Incredibles 2$25,957,682$3,309,519
25Monsters University$25,768,640$3,285,176


ThursdayJuly 18
RankMovieLWTW% chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 446,32930,895-33.3%-8.9%
2The White Storm 2: Drug Lords--21,754---5.0%
3Spider-Man: Far From Home14,2017,101-50.0%-12.6%
Decent hold for Toy Story 4 but last Thursday was deflated due to sneak previews. The real test will be this weekend. Good for The White Storm 2. The White Storm 2 closed the gap by 2,000 admissions from Wednesday's gap. Not bad for Spider-Man although it will experience some screen/showtime cuts this weekend due to the Toy Story 4/White Storm 2 battle.

Friday adm.(so far)July 19
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 424,93516,392-34.3%+49.8%
2The White Storm 2: Drug Lords--8,236--+55.3%
3Spider-Man: Far From Home6,0552,912-51.9%+50.0%
Good hold for Toy Story 4. It was the only movie in the top 3 to increase from its Tuesday pre-sales today. It is aiming for about 43,000-44,000 admissions today. OK for The White Storm 2 but this is a walk-in movie. Every day since its release on Tuesday, it has done 70% of its business through walk-ins. It is shooting for 32,000 today. Spider-Man: Far From Home, like White Storm 2, has also seen 70% or more of its business come from walk-ins. It should slip under the 70% mark today so a total of about 9,000 admissions is expected.

Theater reports

Toy Story 4 is doing well with pre-sales, however, theaters have been reluctant to give Toy Story 4 another screen this weekend even though it broke 100,000 admissions on both Saturday/Sunday last weekend. Some theaters have given the biggest screen to White Storm 2 with the 10 PM and midnight showings while earlier showtimes has seen Toy Story 4 grab the biggest screen. Most seem content to give both films 2 screens each. Spider-Man is still on almost 1 screen and the last screen (if any) goes to any other film.
______________________
The Lion King has started IMAX pre-selling but it is looked pretty weak so far. There's a chance that Toy Story 4 could threepeat if it does not get its act together.

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Thu Jul 18, 2019 3:59 pm
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Post Re: HK 7/18 WKD: Toy Story 4 defeats White Storm 2's 6 day O
FridayJuly 19
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 458,82040,303-31.5%+30.5%
2The White Storm 2: Drug Lords--27,364--+25.8%
3Spider-Man: Far From Home18,4469,087-50.7%+28.0%
4Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane--3,581----
5Parasite2,7861,981-28.9%--
6Annabelle Comes Home6,4231,637-74.5%--
7Child's Play4,2561,558-63.4%--
8Aladdin1,6831,314-21.9%--
9Ma--1,196----
10The Secret Life of Pets 2772567-26.6%--

Saturday adm.(so far)July 20
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 445,29627,553-39.2%+68.1%
2The White Storm 2: Drug Lords--12,253--+48.8%
3Spider-Man: Far From Home8,5123,883-54.4%+33.3%
4Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane--1,433----
5Parasite1,033642-37.9%--
6Ma--459----
7Child's Play1,114424-61.9%--
8Annabelle Comes Home1,637359-78.1%--
9Aladdin583341-41.5%--
10The Secret Life of Pets 2414224-45.9%--

SaturdayJuly 20
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 4100,24668,045-32.1%+68.8%
2The White Storm 2: Drug Lords--44,291--+61.9%
3Spider-Man: Far From Home28,75413,704-52.3%+50.8%
4Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane--4,739--+32.3%
5Parasite4,9473,600-27.2%+81.7%
6Child's Play5,0131,954-61.0%+25.4%
7Annabelle Comes Home7,4641,749-76.6%+6.8%
8Ma--1,702--+42.3%
9Aladdin2,4191,679-30.6%+27.8%
10The Secret Life of Pets 21,509887-41.2%+56.4%

Sunday adm.(so far)July 21
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 455,88732,982-41.0%+19.7%
2The White Storm 2: Drug Lords--14,638--+19.5%
3Spider-Man: Far From Home9,7123,946-59.4%+1.6%
4Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane--1,767--+23.3%
5Parasite1,388853-38.5%+32.9%
6Annabelle Comes Home1,568488-68.9%+35.9%
7Child's Play1,335468-64.9%+10.4%
8Ma--453---1.3%
9Aladdin721356-50.6%+4.4%
10Jesus--317----

SundayJuly 21
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Toy Story 4101,79368,186-33.0%+0.2%
2The White Storm 2: Drug Lords--42,286---4.5%
3Spider-Man: Far From Home26,40112,028-54.4%-12.2%
4Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane--5,799--+22.4%
5Parasite4,6132,974-35.5%-37.2%
6Aladdin2,7511,734-37.0%+3.3%
7Child's Play4,5121,544-65.8%-21.0%
8Annabelle Comes Home6,7231,487-77.9%-15.0%
9Ma--1,436---15.6%
10The Secret Life of Pets 21,834964-47.4%+8.7%
Very good for Toy Story 4. It not only had the best hold of the top 10 but it also was the only holdover film to slip less than 1% from its week-to-week Saturday % drop. Family film holdovers such as Aladdin and The Secret Life of Pets fell more than 6% on Sunday from its Saturday % drop. Good for White Storm 2. Spider-Man has seen its week-to-week drops increase every day this weekend.

Weekend adm.Jul 18-21
RankMovieLWTW% chg
1Toy Story 4307,188207,429-32.5%
2The White Storm 2: Drug Lords--135,695--
3Spider-Man: Far From Home87,80241,920-52.3%


Weekend EstimatesJuly 18
RankMovieTW% chgTotal
1Toy Story 4$2,105,000-52.3%$7,625,000
2The White Storm 2: Drug Lords$1,815,000$1,815,000
3Spider-Man: Far From Home$445,000-53.9%$10,495,000
4Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane$165,000$165,000
Very good hold for Toy Story 4. Its drop is being compared to its opening weekend with 5 days of sneak previews added in. By its 4th weekend, it will have passed 10m and Minions. Taking down Toy Story 3 should be done by its 5th week.

The White Storm 2: Drug Lords opened pretty well. It will finish higher than its predecessor but it may only barely crack 5m. It doesn't have strong word of mouth and these types of films tend to fade faster than most.

Spider-Man: Far From Home broke 10m this week but it has steadily dropped larger every day this weekend. A finish of about 11.5-12m looks likely, putting it just below the top 10 of all time.

Not great for Crayon Shin-Chan: Honeymoon Hurricane.
_________________________
The Lion King IMAX pre-sales continue to look very weak. Pre-sales for the 7 PM showtime on Friday at the 2 biggest IMAX theaters are 20% and <20% full respectively. Pre-sales at regular theaters seem to be slow as well.

I still think it will win next weekend with about 2m but it is tracking like The Jungle Book in pre-sales so far, which made 1.23m OW.

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Sun Jul 21, 2019 2:25 pm
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Post Re: HK 7/18 WKD: Toy Story 4 defeats White Storm 2's 6 day O
Actuals

Toy Story 4 - $59,886,759 HK ($7,669,473 US)
Spider-Man: Far From Home - $81,863,074 HK ($10,483,898 US)

Spider-Man: Far From Home scurries into the top 15 all time (#14) while Toy Story 4 enters the top 40 (#38).

Thursday Schedules

The Lion King will be on either 1 or 2 screens and has taken away the biggest screen from Toy Story 4. Toy Story 4 gets the 2nd biggest screen at almost all locations during the entire day with the exception of its 10 PM showtime. The White Storm 2 is 3rd. Spider-Man: Far From Home is down to 1 or 2 showtimes at most theaters. At the remaining theaters, they have either cut it completely or put it on 3 or 4 showtimes.

Pre-sales

The Lion King is still looking sluggish in IMAX at the moment. It is now up to 40% filled capacity Thursday night and 25-30% on Friday night. At regular theaters, The Lion King is crushing it in the business district and in most places on HK Island. In Kowloon though, Toy Story 4 is out in front Friday night at most locations. Right now, The Lion King leads 65-35% over Toy Story 4 on Friday night excluding IMAX theaters and early pre-selling showtimes of The Lion King. That number increases to about 80-20% including everything.

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Tue Jul 23, 2019 6:32 am
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Post Re: HK 7/18 WKD: Toy Story 4 defeats White Storm 2's 6 day O
Thursday adm.(so far)July 25
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Lion King--13,263----
2Toy Story 410,9395,293-51.6%-29.5%
3Once Upon A Time in Hollywood--1,992----
4The White Storm 2: Drug Lords5,3031,981-62.6%-42.3%
5The Confidence Man JP: The Movie--958----
6Spider-Man: Far From Home1,941451-76.8%-67.3%
Decent for The Lion King. It should be able to get over 35,000 admissions today. Good hold for Toy Story 4. Great for Once Upon A Time in Hollywood. It actually beat The Hateful Eight's opening day admissions with just its pre-sales. Not great for The White Storm 2. Terrible for The Confidence Man JP. A lot of theaters are reporting showtimes nearly empty aside from a handful of showtimes. Disaster for Spider-Man.

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Wed Jul 24, 2019 2:05 pm
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Post HK 7/25 THU: Lion King roars but is trouble looming?; TS4 #2
ThursdayJuly 25
RankMovieLWTW% chgQD % chg
1The Lion King--34,670----
2Toy Story 430,89517,249-44.2%-16.6%
3The White Storm 2: Drug Lords21,7548,983-58.7%-28.3%
4Once Upon A Time in Hollywood--6,985----
5The Confidence Man JP: The Movie--2,837----
6Spider-Man: Far From Home7,1012,184-69.2%-54.4%
7Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane--1,616---43.7%
8Parasite--727---40.1%
9Children of the Sea--690----
10Annabelle Comes Home--542---48.6%
The Lion King couldn't break through 35,000 admissions. It's still a good opening day though. Opening day reviews are in and its user score sits at an average 3.5/5. If that continues throughout this weekend, this might be worrying for the lions.

Opening day estimate - $375,000

Solid for Toy Story 4. Meh for White Storm 2. Great opening day for Once Upon A Time in Hollywood. Poor opening for Confidence Man JP. Spider-Man was wiped out.

Friday adm.(so far)July 26
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Lion King--13,758--+3.7%
2Toy Story 416,3927,717-52.9%+45.8%
3The White Storm 2: Drug Lords8,2362,974-63.9%+50.1%
4Once Upon A Time in Hollywood--2,537--+27.4%
5The Confidence Man JP: The Movie--1,029--+7.4%
6Spider-Man: Far From Home2,912622-78.6%+37.9%
Wow. That is a troubling sign for The Lion King. If it decreases on Friday, that would be shocking. All the holdovers saw slightly bigger drops on Friday. Another good hold for Toy Story 4. Ho-hum for White Storm 2. Very nice for Once Upon A Time in Hollywood.

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Thu Jul 25, 2019 12:50 pm
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Post Re: HK 7/25 THU: Lion King roars but is trouble looming?; TS
FridayJuly 26
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Lion King--34,939--+0.8%
2Toy Story 440,30321,322-47.1%+23.6%
3The White Storm 2: Drug Lords27,36411,452-58.1%+27.5%
4Once Upon A Time in Hollywood--7,900--+13.1%
5The Confidence Man JP: The Movie--3,544--+24.9%
6Spider-Man: Far From Home9,0872,688-70.4%+23.1%
7Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane3,5811,586-55.7%-1.9%
8Parasite1,9811,163-41.3%+60.0%
9Annabelle Comes Home1,637651-60.2%+20.1%
10Children of the Sea--606---12.2%
The Lion King managed to squeak out an increase within the last 2 hours. User score is still at a very low 3.6/5. Aside from horror films, it is the lowest major release out in theaters right now. Not bad for Toy Story 4. Average for The White Storm 2. Excellent for Once Upon A Time in Hollywood. Not good for Confidence Man JP. Disaster for Spider-Man.

Saturday adm.(so far)July 27
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Lion King--19,129--+39.0%
2Toy Story 427,55310,765-60.9%+39.5%
3The White Storm 2: Drug Lords12,2533,531-71.2%+18.7%
4Once Upon A Time in Hollywood--3,427--+35.1%
5Spider-Man: Far From Home3,883940-75.8%+51.1%
6The Confidence Man JP: The Movie--925---10.1%
7Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane1,433635-55.7%--
8Parasite642330-48.6%--
9Children of the Sea--172----
10Little Q--156----
Terrible increases all around. The Lion King had a very poor increase for Saturday pre-sales. After only increasing 4% from Thursday's pre-sales on Friday, it really should have went above 60% today. If this doesn't make 2m this weekend after its pretty good opening day, it will be a travesty. Bad hold for Toy Story 4. Ugly holds for White Storm 2 and Spider-Man. The best performer out of the top 5 was Once Upon A Time in Hollywood but its gain wasn't all that great either.

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Fri Jul 26, 2019 12:36 pm
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Post Re: HK 7/25 PRO: Depressed market leads to sluggish ticket s
SaturdayJuly 27
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Lion King--51,827--+48.3%
2Toy Story 468,04531,422-53.8%+47.4%
3The White Storm 2: Drug Lords44,29115,200-65.7%+32.7%
4Once Upon A Time in Hollywood--11,763--+48.9%
5The Confidence Man JP: The Movie--4,005--+13.0%
6Spider-Man: Far From Home13,7043,563-74.0%+32.6%
7Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane4,7391,902-59.9%+19.9%
8Parasite3,6001,696-52.9%+45.8%
9Children of the Sea--803--+32.5%
10Aladdin1,679745-55.6%--
Not one movie increased more than 50% from Friday's admissions. There are several reasons for this but the main reason of the sudden slowdown is the tightening of the belt. People are saving money and going out less so this will affect box office. Many places were virtually empty today. The Lion King having mediocre word of mouth didn't help either. Neither does the ongoing violence, riots and unrest.

After the closure of 8 theaters and 9 theaters being affected in total on Monday, moviegoing returned to normal levels on Tuesday. There's been several weeks of data on how protests affect the box office but I've come to the conclusion that they only dent it minimally.

Today, some theaters had near normal business but most saw muted ticket sales which points to a bigger problem than just riots or protests. Though at the site of today's protests, the IMAX theater in Yuen Long recorded ticket sales of just 43, 17 and 8 (from 5-10 pm) for The Lion King. This is a 409 seater that should be more than 75% full on weekends. Toy Story 4 saw above and beyond last weekend on that screen.

Onto next week where Fast & Furious 8 isn't looking great with early pre-sales either. It comes out in just 4 days and showings are bare at the moment.

Sunday adm.(so far)July 28
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Lion King--20,723--+8.3%
2Toy Story 432,98214,288-56.7%+32.7%
3Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration--7,952----
4The White Storm 2: Drug Lords14,6384,321-70.5%+22.4%
5Once Upon A Time in Hollywood--3,798--+10.8%
6The Confidence Man JP: The Movie--1,187--+28.3%
7Spider-Man: Far From Home3,946861-78.2%-8.4%
8Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane1,767600-66.0%-5.5%
9Parasite853411-51.8%+24.5%
10The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Great Jail-Breaker--348----
The Lion King is still in trouble. A 2m opening weekend is most likely out of the question now with those pre-sales unless if it has robust walk-ins today. Holdovers don't look impressive at all although Toy Story 4 has closed the gap in pre-sales from The Lion King to about 6,500. Very good for Doraemon 2019. These are sneak previews and most have only given it 2 showtimes today.

Weekend Projections

1. The Lion King - $1,882,000
2. Toy Story 4 - $1,000,000 (-53.2%)/$9,265,000
3. The White Storm 2: Drug Lords - $500,000 (-72.5%)/$2,625,000
4. Once Upon A Time in Hollywood - $430,000
5. The Confidence Man JP: The Movie - $155,000

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Sat Jul 27, 2019 3:42 pm
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Post Re: HK 7/25 PRO: Depressed market leads to sluggish ticket s
SundayJuly 28
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Lion King--53,539--+3.3%
2Toy Story 468,18636,010-47.2%+14.6%
3The White Storm 2: Drug Lords42,28615,712-62.8%+3.4%
4Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration--12,625----
5Once Upon A Time in Hollywood--11,360---3.4%
6The Confidence Man JP: The Movie--3,862---3.6%
7Spider-Man: Far From Home12,0282,946-75.5%-17.3%
8Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane5,7991,973-66.0%+3.7%
9Parasite2,9741,650-44.5%-2.7%
10Children of the Sea--956--+19.1%
Despite Doraemon 2019 entering the market, the top 3 increased. It's been a very peculiar weekend. Out of this weekend, maybe Thursday is the one day that looked the most normal. Friday usually sees multiple +50% or above increases in pre-sales but now films are struggling to hit even 40%. Saturday's final admissions saw higher daily % increases than its pre-sales! That never happens. Sunday was only a slight correction of Saturday's admissions. The movies that increased weren't really all that impressive.

Weird weekend.

Weekend adm.Jul 25-28
RankMovieLWTW% chg
1The Lion King--174,975--
2Toy Story 4207,429106,003-48.9%
3The White Storm 2: Drug Lords135,69551,347-62.2%
4Once Upon A Time in Hollywood--38,008--
5The Confidence Man JP: The Movie--14,248--
6Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration--12,625--
7Spider-Man: Far From Home41,92011,381-72.9%
8Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane--7,077--
9Parasite--5,236--
10Children of the Sea--3,055--
The Lion King opens below Toy Story 4's 2nd weekend. Doraemon 2019's Sunday sneaks enter the top 10 at #6.

Weekend EstimatesJuly 25
RankMovieTW% chgTotal
1The Lion King$1,892,000$1,892,000
2Toy Story 4$1,025,000-52.0%$9,290,000
3The White Storm 2: Drug Lords$515,000-71.6%$2,640,000
4Once Upon A Time in Hollywood$440,000$440,000
5The Confidence Man JP: The Movie$128,000$128,000
Other contenders for the top 5

Spider-Man: Far From Home - $122,000 (-71.8%)/10,730,000
Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration - $111,000

Disney will be OK with that number. I suspect they expected a range from $1.5-3m OW for The Lion King. With the way the weekend shaped up after Thursday, it is a massive disappointment but overall, it's not bad.

Toy Story 4 saw a bigger dip with outside influences hindering its potential this weekend but it's a good hold. It's up to #22 all time ahead of Incredibles 2 and will pass 10m and both Monsters University and Minions for #2 animated film of all time next week.

The White Storm 2: Drug Lords saw a mediocre hold but the hold above is comparing this weekend's 4 day vs. last week's 6-day opening weekend.

Once Upon A Time in Hollywood had an excellent opening. It is Quentin Tarantino's highest opening weekend of all time here and it beat both Django Unchained and The Hateful Eight's opening weekends combined.

The Confidence Man JP bombed.

Spider-Man: Far From Home might have actually beaten Confidence Man JP for #5 and is included in the text above. I don't think it will pass Transformers 3 for #13 all time. It's too far away and Fast & Furious 8 should clobber its remaining screens next week.

Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration's one day of sneaks has also put it in contention for the top 5, however, one detraction is that most showings were morning showings only which means more admissions but less money made.

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Sun Jul 28, 2019 1:58 pm
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Post Re: HK 7/25 PRO: Depressed market leads to sluggish ticket s
Thursday adm.(so far)August 1
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw--8,716----
2The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker--5,576----
3The Lion King13,2633,461-73.9%-50.1%
4Toy Story 45,2932,626-50.4%-37.7%
5Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration--923---49.3%
6Once Upon A Time in Hollywood1,992759-61.9%-40.6%
7The White Storm 2: Drug Lords1,981532-73.1%-64.1%
8The Confidence Man JP: The Movie958226-76.4%-54.0%
9Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane--143----
10Psycho-Pass: Sinners of the System - Case 1--139----
Weak opening day pre-sales for the Fast & Furious spinoff. The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes opening day pre-sales seem to be largely concentrated at 2 movie theater chains. 9 AM showtimes are full or nearly sold out at most MCL/Emperor theaters, however, other theater chains are seeing slow business so far throughout the day. Decent opening day pre-sales for the anime flick. All holdovers saw inflated drops in pre-sales today due to a storm paralyzing the city yesterday leading to Sunday-like admissions on Wednesday. Out of the top 9, only 2 films saw drops on Wednesday compared with Tuesday's final admissions. We should expect deflated holds for all holdovers this weekend.

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Wed Jul 31, 2019 12:39 pm
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Post Re: HK 8/1 THU: Hobbs & Shaw laps other films to finish #1
ThursdayAugust 1
RankMovieLWTW% chgQD % chg
1Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw--32,046----
2The Lion King34,67014,087-59.4%-45.3%
3Toy Story 417,2499,462-45.1%-39.8%
4The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker--9,382----
5Once Upon A Time in Hollywood6,9852,858-59.1%-54.4%
6The White Storm 2: Drug Lords8,9832,848-68.3%-67.0%
7Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration--1,885---40.1%
8The Confidence Man JP: The Movie2,837829-70.8%-64.1%
9Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane1,616823-49.1%-46.0%
10Spider-Man: Far From Home2,184761-65.2%-59.5%
Strong walk-ins for Hobbs & Shaw. Opening day reviews are in and it has started off with a solid 4.2/5. Due to its performance today, it will get another screen on Saturday/Sunday pushing down The Lion King/Toy Story 4 and The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes. Decent walk-ins for The Lion King. Its hold isn't great but still acceptable for now. Good hold for Toy Story 4. It had the best hold of the top 10 and just snuck in ahead of The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes for #3 within the last 2 hours. The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker had good pre-sales but fell apart with walk-ins. As this is a frontloaded movie, expect a drop on Friday with a slight rebound for Saturday/Sunday. OK for Once Upon A Time in Hollywood. Today's drops were going to be slightly more inflated with yesterday suddenly becoming a half-day holiday. The White Storm 2 had a bad hold. Doraemon 2019 is still in sneaks mode and will be officially out next Thursday.

Friday adm.(so far)August 2
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw--8,364---4.0%
2The Lion King13,7585,317-61.4%+53.6%
3The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker--3,370---39.6%
4Toy Story 47,7173,128-59.5%+19.1%
5Once Upon A Time in Hollywood2,5371,461-42.4%+92.5%
6Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration--1,251--+35.5%
7The White Storm 2: Drug Lords2,974903-69.6%+69.7%
8The Confidence Man JP: The Movie1,029295-71.3%+30.5%
9Spider-Man: Far From Home622238-61.7%--
10Parasite--142----
Ouch for Hobbs & Shaw. Very good increase from Thursday's pre-sales for The Lion King. Terrible drop in pre-sales for The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes. Toy Story 4 had its first weak hold and its Friday increase is its worst since it opened. It will pass 10m today. Good hold for Once Upon A Time in Hollywood.

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Thu Aug 01, 2019 1:09 pm
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Post Re: HK 8/1 THU: Hobbs & Shaw laps other films to finish #1
FridayAugust 2
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw--31,758---0.9%
2The Lion King34,93917,540-49.8%+24.5%
3Toy Story 421,32210,860-49.1%+14.8%
4The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker--7,527---19.8%
5Once Upon A Time in Hollywood7,9004,599-41.8%+60.9%
6The White Storm 2: Drug Lords11,4523,800-66.8%+33.4%
7Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration--2,207--+17.1%
8Spider-Man: Far From Home2,6881,571-41.6%+106.4%
9The Confidence Man JP: The Movie3,5441,260-64.4%+52.0%
10Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane1,586842-46.9%+2.3%
Hobbs & Shaw drops from Thursday although it is almost flat. Fast & Furious films aren't usually the frontloaded type. We'll see if this drop will have an effect on its admissions this weekend. Most holdovers held alright with Once Upon A Time in Hollywood and Spider-Man: Far From Home holding above average. The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes declined sharply on Friday, down a whopping 20% from Thursday. Poor hold for White Storm 2. It seems like this might miss out on making 4m which would be a disappointing result given the first film grossed 4.1m under less inflation and in the wintertime as well.

Saturday adm.(so far)August 3
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw--12,299--+47.0%
2The Lion King19,1298,000-58.2%+50.5%
3Toy Story 410,7654,839-55.0%+54.7%
4The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker--3,345---0.7%
5Once Upon A Time in Hollywood3,4271,840-46.3%+25.9%
6Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration--1,657--+32.5%
7Weathering with You--1,414----
8The White Storm 2: Drug Lords3,5311,002-71.6%+11.0%
9Detective Conan: The Fist of Blue Sapphire--367----
10The Confidence Man JP: The Movie925349-62.3%+18.3%
Average increases for almost all films. Hobbs & Shaw looks like it will target 46-47k admissions today. The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes decreases from its Friday pre-sales. Yikes. If it decreases on Saturday, it might be the first animated film ever to fall on Saturday. Down in 7th, Weathering with You begins its sneak previews with only 1 or 2 showtimes at theaters showing this ahead of its full release next Thursday.

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Fri Aug 02, 2019 12:50 pm
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Post Re: HK 8/1 THU: Hobbs & Shaw laps other films to finish #1
SaturdayAugust 3
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw--49,678--+56.4%
2The Lion King51,82728,415-45.2%+62.0%
3Toy Story 431,42218,027-42.6%+66.0%
4The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker--9,163--+21.7%
5Once Upon A Time in Hollywood11,7636,903-41.3%+50.1%
6The White Storm 2: Drug Lords15,2005,466-64.0%+43.8%
7Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration--5,432--+146.1%
8The Confidence Man JP: The Movie4,0051,896-52.7%+50.5%
9Weathering with You--1,800----
10Spider-Man: Far From Home3,5631,188-66.7%-5.7%
Today was walk-ins day as every film from this morning increased from its pre-sales %. Hobbs & Shaw saw a decent increase from yesterday. The top 3 holdovers saw good holds. The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes managed to snag an increase but it still fell from its Thursday admissions.

Hobbs & Shaw opening weekend projection - $2,065,000

After recalculating the multiplier due to 3D IMAX showings, Hobbs & Shaw is looking at a weekend over 2m.

Sunday adm.(so far)August 4
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw--17,224--+40.0%
2The Lion King20,72312,107-41.6%+51.3%
3Toy Story 414,2888,401-41.2%+73.6%
4The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Great Jail-Breaker3485,873+1587.6%+75.6%
5Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration7,9523,979-50.0%+140.1%
6Once Upon A Time in Hollywood3,7981,769-53.4%-3.9%
7The White Storm 2: Drug Lords4,3211,602-62.9%+59.9%
8Weathering with You--1,374---2.8%
9The Confidence Man JP: The Movie1,187597-49.7%+71.1%
10Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane600432-28.0%--
Those increases are insane. 6 films over 50% higher than Saturday pre-sales. Even Hobbs & Shaw is rocking a 40% increase. It's probably because of a planned city wide strike on Monday which will wreak havoc on admissions and Thursday scheduling for theaters. The Lion King went from -73% with Thursday pre-sales to only -42% today. Similarly, The Confidence Man went from -76% on Thursday to -50% today.

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Sat Aug 03, 2019 3:10 pm
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Post Re: HK 8/1 EST: Hobbs & Shaw drives away with the win
SundayAugust 4
RankMovieLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw--49,297---0.8%
2The Lion King53,53928,977-45.9%+2.0%
3Toy Story 436,01019,074-47.0%+5.8%
4The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker--11,160--+21.8%
5Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration12,6257,968-36.9%+46.7%
6Once Upon A Time in Hollywood11,3605,710-49.7%-17.3%
7The White Storm 2: Drug Lords15,7125,318-66.2%-2.7%
8Weathering with You--2,262--+25.7%
9The Confidence Man JP: The Movie3,8621,756-54.5%-7.4%
10Crayon Shin-chan: Honeymoon Hurricane1,9731,405-28.8%--
Big Sunday crash for all films. The most telling examples were The White Storm 2 and The Confidence Man JP. Going from a 60% increase in pre-sales to a decrease in final admissions. Most holdovers had good holds overall. Hobbs & Shaw performed pretty well today.

Weekend adm.Aug 1-4
RankMovieLWTW% chg
1Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw--162,779--
2The Lion King174,97589,019-49.1%
3Toy Story 4106,00357,423-45.8%
4The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Greatest Jail-Breaker--37,232--
5Once Upon A Time in Hollywood38,00820,070-47.2%
6Doraemon: Nobita's Chronicle of the Moon Exploration12,62517,492+38.6%
7The White Storm 2: Drug Lords51,34717,432-66.1%
8The Confidence Man JP: The Movie14,2485,741-59.7%

Weekend EstimatesAugust 1
RankMovieTW% chgTotal
1Fast & Furious: Hobbs & Shaw$1,970,000$1,970,000
2The Lion King$850,000-55.1%$3,500,000
3Toy Story 4$565,000-44.9%$10,330,000
4The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes: The Great Jail-Breaker$335,000$335,000
5Once Upon A Time in Hollywood$255,000-46.9%$870,000
With Sunday being well overestimated, Hobbs & Shaw is now unlikely to pass 2m. The Lion King had an iffy hold. Though it held better as the weekend went along, this was either on the 2nd or 3rd screen which meant that it had the seats to hold well. Unlike The Lion King, Toy Story 4 had a good hold. When a movie is on the 3rd or 4th biggest screen, it can be a huge difference when two theaters can hold over 200 seats and the other 2 can only seat 70 for example. Toy Story 4 was on the 3rd, 4th or 5th biggest screen depending on Hobbs & Shaw's performance at individual theaters. Logic dictates that this will pass Toy Story 3 for the biggest animated movie of all time but there's a lot of uncertainty with moviegoing right now. The Great Detective Sherlock Holmes had a seesaw weekend. Very good opening day followed by a shocking Friday along with a weak Saturday only to come back on Sunday. Once Upon A Time in Hollywood will pass 1m next week.

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Sun Aug 04, 2019 4:17 pm
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Post Re: HK 8/1 EST: Hobbs & Shaw drives away with the win
Top Animated Films (in HKD) (updated as of August 5, 2019)

Toy Story 3 - $89,364,118
Toy Story 4 - $81,499,994 - still in release
Minions - $78,404,191
Monsters University - $77,407,664
Incredibles 2 - $71,205,663
Inside Out - $66,016,979
Zootopia - $51,865,101
Despicable Me 3 - $49,892,324
Finding Dory - $49,524,251
Stand By Me Doraemon - 46,891,675
The Boss Baby - 41,766,789
Coco - 40,701,893
Kung Fu Panda 2 - $39,469,375
Ice Age 4: Continental Drift - $38,236,658
Ralph Breaks the Internet - $38,200,000 (estimate)
Toy Story 2 - $35,732,127
Big Hero 6 - $34,340,162 (estimate)
The Incredibles - $33,777,162
Up - $33,248,227
Despicable Me 2 - $32,603,704
Ice Age 3: Dawn of the Dinosaurs - $32,446,094
Madagascar 3: Europe's Most Wanted - $32,191,416
Finding Nemo - $31,816,876
Your Name - more than $31,478,296
Kung Fu Panda - $31,457,738
The Secret Life of Pets - $30,460,851

@Omni Updated.

Top 50 Films of All Time (Hong Kong)
RankMovieHK GrossUS Gross
1Avengers: Endgame*$223,047,953$28,451,680
2Avatar*$178,248,295$22,964,414
3Avengers: Infinity War$153,301,337$19,549,780
4Avengers: Age of Ultron$133,061,397$17,121,674
5Titanic**$115,306,690$14,826,276
6Captain America: Civil War$112,654,686$14,365,941
7Iron Man 3$106,389,801$13,723,457
8Transformers 4$98,196,851$12,601,288
9The Avengers$96,705,670$12,474,280
10Jurassic World$96,295,976$12,357,355
11Toy Story 3$89,364,118$11,527,276
12Jurassic Park: Fallen Kingdom$88,649,003$11,304,980
13Spider-Man: Far From Home*$84,843,161$10,822,473
14Transformers 3$84,703,797$10,804,696
15Star Wars: The Force Awakens$81,701,193$10,512,900
16Toy Story 4*$81,499,994$10,396,023
17The Dark Knight Rises$80,269,966$10,354,201
18Minions$78,404,191$10,088,659
19Monsters University$77,407,664$9,984,987
20Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2$76,785,999$9,904,797
21Captain Marvel$76,590,738$9,767,247
22Aquaman$75,625,663$9,644,176
23Incredibles 2$71,205,663$9,080,282
24Train to Busan$68,004,629$8,672,080
25Beauty and the Beast$67,232,357$8,573,598
26Cold War 2$66,244,171$8,447,583
27Inside Out$66,016,979$8,418,611
28Spider-Man: Homecoming$65,760,306$8,385,880
29Black Panther$63,312,121$8,073,682
30Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice$62,286,926$7,942,948
31The Amazing Spider-Man$61,983,852$7,904,299
32Jurassic Park$61,898,795$7,893,452
33You Are the Apple of My Eye$61,857,826$7,888,228
34Kung Fu Hustle$61,278,697$7,863,699
35Shaolin Soccer$60,739,847$7,794,550
36Mission Impossible: Fallout$60,449,812$7,708,675
37Ip Man 3$60,261,407$7,684,650
38Doctor Strange$59,793,472$7,627,170
39Aladdin*$59,788,008$7,626,473
40Furious 7$59,634,515$7,604,707
41The Dark Knight$58,524,393$7,531,944
42Inception$58,380,823$7,513,467
43Deadpool$58,332,555$7,535,722
44The Lost World: Jurassic Park$58,231,885$7,494,299
45Police Story 4: First Strike$57,518,795$7,402,526
46Ant-Man and the Wasp$57,068,721$7,277,512
47Rumble in the Bronx$56,912,536$7,257,595
48Captain America: The Winter Soldier$56,552,117$7,211,634
49The Mermaid$56,224,292$7,169,829
50Infernal Affairs$55,057,176$7,085,722
* - without re-release (Re-release included: $183,411,471 HK)
** - without re-release (Re-release included: $128,003,033 HK)
* - still in release

Updated as of August 5, 2019.

Avengers 4 is still chugging along. Top 10 looks safe with Toy Story 4 fading. Toy Story 4 will leapfrog over Spider-Man: Far From Home this week. 60m HK might not be impossible for Aladdin. It will depend on how many showtimes it gets this weekend.

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Tue Aug 06, 2019 3:54 pm
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