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 HK 2/6 THU: Birds of Prey feasts on competition 
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post HK 2/6 THU: Birds of Prey feasts on competition
Old thread can be found here.
Release DateMovie Title
December 3Point Break
The Vanished Murderer
Port of Call
In the Heart of the Sea
The Crow's Egg
Ryuzo and the Seven Henchmen
December 10Legend
Freeheld
Burnt
Go Lala Go 2
Before We Go
Sinister 2
Initiation Love
December 17Star Wars: The Force Awakens
Love the Coopers
December 24Ip Man 3
The Little Prince
Yo Kai-Watch Movie
Snoopy: The Peanuts Movie
December 31Joy
Secret in Their Eyes
The Boy and the Beast
Anniversary

Release DateMovie Title
January 8The Revenant
January 14Steve Jobs
The 5th Wave
Salut d'Amour
January 21Our Brand is Crisis
13 Hours: The Secret Soldiers of Benghazi
Love in Late Autumn
February 4The Good Dinosaur
Deadpool
February 11Alvin and the Chipmunks: The Road Chip
February 25Zoolander 2
The Danish Girl
March 17Kung Fu Panda 3
March 24Batman v Superman: Dawn of Justice
June 9Warcraft: The Beginning

2013 Summer Blockbuster Schedule

Release DateMovie Title
April 11Oblivion
April 25Iron Man 3
May 16Star Trek Into Darkness
May 23The Fast and the Furious 6
June 20World War Z
Evil Dead
June 27Kick-Ass 2
Epic
July 4Despicable Me 2
July 11Monsters University
July 18Turbo
July 25The Wolverine
August 1The Lone Ranger
The Smurfs 2
August 8Elysium
August 15Planes
August 22Percy Jackson: Sea of Monsters

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Last edited by Bluebomb on Thu Feb 06, 2020 1:52 pm, edited 952 times in total.



Sun Aug 22, 2010 6:15 am
Profile
Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK: New thread with updated information! - See post 2
2012 OW:

1. The Avengers - $4,468,694
2. The Dark Knight Rises - $3,322,868
3. The Amazing Spider-Man - $2,686,872 (3-day)
4. Men in Black 3 - $2,152,021
5. Ice Age: Continental Drift - $1,988,675 (including previews)
6. Skyfall - $1,905,190
7. Cold War - $1,627,610 (including previews)
8. Prometheus - $1,482,406 (including previews)
9. Resident Evil: Retribution - 1,421,512
10. Madagascar: Europe's Most Wanted - 1,335,920

2012 Releases with $1m+ weekends:

1. Journey 2: The Mysterious Island - $1,133,044 - Jan. 19
2. A Simple Life - $1,075,909 - Mar. 9
3. Love in the Buff - $1,202,410 - Mar. 29
4. Battleship - $1,229,915 - Apr. 12
5. The Avengers - $4,468,694 - Apr. 26
6. Men in Black 3 - $2,152,021 - May 24
7. Prometheus - $1,482,406 - Jun. 7
8. The Amazing Spider-Man - $2,686,872 - Jun. 29
9. Ice Age: Continental Drift - $1,988,675 - Jul. 12
10. The Dark Knight Rises - $3,322,868 - Jul. 19
11. Madagascar: Europe's Most Wanted - $1,335,920 - Aug. 2
12. Resident Evil: Retribution - $1,421,512 - Sep. 13
13. The Expendables 2 - $1,067,387 - Sep. 13
14. Ted - $1,348,486 - Sep. 27
15. Skyfall - $1,905,190 - Nov. 1
16. Cold War - $1,627,610 - Nov. 8

Top 10 of 2012

1. The Avengers - $12,468,825
2. The Dark Knight Rises - $10,346,437
3. The Amazing Spider-Man** - $7,950,000
4. Men in Black 3 - $6,118,778
5. Ice Age: Continental Drift - $4,929,128
6. Journey 2: The Mysterious Island - $4,535,404
7. Madagascar: Europe's Most Wanted - $4,149,734
8. Vulgaria - $3,873,246
9. Ted* - $3,800,953
10. Love in the Buff - $3,605,850

* Denotes movie still in release
** Movie originally tagged with incorrect total, above is an estimate only
__________________________________________

2011 OW:

1. Transformers: Dark Of The Moon - $4,302,758 ($5,126,924 incl. previews + Wed.)
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 - $3,640,758
3. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides - $2,333,672
4. Kung Fu Panda 2 - $1,744,330
5. Sex & Zen: Extreme Ecstasy 3D - $1,679,759
6. You Are the Apple of My Eye - $1,482,195
7. I Love Hong Kong - $1,383,839 ($1,602,824 incl. previews)
8. Johnny English Reborn - $1,358,742
9. Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - $1,303,500
10. All's Well That Ends Well 2011 - $1,289,596

2011 Releases with $1m+ weekends:

1. I Love Hong Kong - $1,383,839 - Feb. 3
2. All's Well That Ends Well 2011 - $1,289,596 - Feb. 3
3. Sanctum - $1,008,465 - Feb. 17
4. Sex & Zen: Extreme Ecstasy 3D - $1,679,759 - Apr. 14
5. Thor - $1,060,507 - Apr. 28
6. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides - $2,333,672 - May 19
7. X-Men: First Class - $1,180,064 - Jun. 2
8. Transformers: Dark Of The Moon - $4,302,758 - Jun. 28
9. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 - $3,640,758 - Jul. 14
10. Kung Fu Panda 2 - $1,744,330 - Jul. 21
11. Captain America - $1,225,233 - Aug. 4
12. Rise Of The Planet Of The Apes - $1,082,257 - Aug. 11
13. Johnny English Reborn - $1,358,742 - Sept. 29
14. You Are the Apple of My Eye - $1,482,195 - Oct. 20
15. Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - $1,303,500 - Dec. 15
16. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - $1,038,747 - Dec. 15

Top 10 of 2011

1. Transformers: Dark Of The Moon - $10,883,894
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part 2 - $9,866,229
3. You Are the Apple of My Eye - $7,975,115
4. Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides - $5,827,510
5. Mission Impossible: Ghost Protocol - $5,704,387
6. Sex & Zen: Extreme Ecstasy 3D - $5,290,771
7. Kung Fu Panda 2 - $5,071,620
8. Sherlock Holmes: A Game of Shadows - $3,531,422
9. I Love Hong Kong - $3,425,520
10. X-Men: First Class - $3,325,094

* Denotes movie still in release
__________________________________________

2010 OW:

Spoiler: show
1. Toy Story 3 $3,239,287
2. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I $1,993,704
3. Alice in Wonderland $1,902,019
4. Gulliver's Travels $1,808,033
5. Ip Man 2 $1,736,771
6. Inception $1,674,990 ($1,779,352 incl. previews)
7. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader $1,641,036
8. Shrek Forever After $1,555,601
9. Iron Man 2 $1,529,782
10. Clash of the Titans $1,379,653


2010 Releases with $1m+ weekends:

Spoiler: show
1. 72 Tenants of Prosperity - $1,179,992 (Wk 2 - CNY) - Feb. 18
2. Alice In Wonderland - $1,902,019 (Wk 1) - Mar. 4
3. Clash Of The Titans - $1,379,653 (Wk 1) - Apr. 1
4. Ip Man 2 - $1,736,771 (Wk 1) - Apr. 29
5. Iron Man 2 - $1,529,792 (Wk 1) - Apr. 29
6. Shrek: Forever After - $1,555,601 (Wk 1) - Jul. 1
7. Toy Story 3 - $3,239,287 (Wk 1) - Jul. 15
8. Inception - $1,674,990 (Wk 1) - Jul. 29
9. The Chronicles of Narnia: The Voyage of the Dawn Treader - $1,641,036 (Wk 1) - Dec. 2
10. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I - $1,993,704 (Wk 1) - Dec. 16
11. Gulliver's Travels - $1,808,033 (Wk 1) - Dec. 23


Top 10 of 2010:

Spoiler: show
1. Toy Story 3 - $11,502,322
2. Inception - $7,529,950
3. Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part I - $5,770,077
4. Alice in Wonderland - $5,681,087
5. Ip Man 2 - $5,559,550
6. 72 Tenants of Prosperity - $4,436,180
7. Gulliver's Travels - $4,002,668
8. Iron Man 2 - $3,760,485
9. Shrek Forever After - $3,502,671
10. Echoes of the Rainbow - $2,979,277


Top 50 (Local - HK$)

1 You Are the Apple of My Eye 2011 $61,857,826
2 KUNG FU MASTER 2004 $61,278,697
3 SHAOLIN SOCCER 2001 $60,739,847
4 POLICE STORY 4 FIRST STRIKE 1996 $57,518,795
5 INFERRAL AFFAIRS 2002 $55,057,176
6 GOD OF GAMBLERS II 1994 $52,541,028
7 CJ7 2008 $51,402,777
8 JUSTICE, MY FOOT 1992 $49,884,734
9 RUMBLE IN THE BRONX 1995 $56,912,536
10 ALL S WELL END S WELL 1992 $48,992,188
11 LUST, CAUTION 2007 $48,750,175
12 THUNDERBOLT 1995 $45,647,210
13 MR NICE GUY 1997 $45,420,457
14 FIGHT BACK TO SCHOOL 1991 $43,829,449
15 IP MAN II 2010 $42,969,617
16 THE STORM RIDERS 1998 $41,532,235
17 THE SAINT OF GAMBLERS 1990 $41,326,156
18 3D SEX AND ZEN 2011 $41,078,280
19 DRUNKEN MASTER 1994 $40,971,484
20 ROYAL TRAMP 1992 $40,862,831
21 THE GOD OF COOKERY 1996 $40,861,655
22 LOVE ON A DIET 2001 $40,435,886
23 ALL S WELL END S WELL 97 1997 $40,435,675
24 FLIRTING SCHOLAR 1993 $40,171,033
25 THE CON MAN 1990 $40,149,328
26 ARMOUR OF GOD II 1991 $39,048,711
27 WHO AM I 1998 $38,852,845
28 TO BE NUMBER ONE 1991 $38,703,363
29 KING OF BEGGARS 1992 $38,622,449
30 INITIAL D 2005 $37,861,779
31 FROM BEIJING WITH LOVE 1994 $37,523,850
32 IT S A WONDERFUL LIFE 1994 $37,367,669
33 EIGHTH HAPPINESS 1988 $37,090,776
34 TREASURE HUNT 1994 $37,033,685
35 LOVE ON DELIVERY 1994 $36,906,730
36 ROYAL TRAMP II 1992 $36,583,964
37 NOW YOU SEE LOVE...NOW YOU DON T 1992 $36,475,536
38 THE MAGIC TOUCH 1992 $36,399,307
39 GOD OF GAMBLERS 1989 $36,294,029
40 FORBIDDEN CITY COP 1996 $36,051,899
41 ALL S WELL END S WELL, TOO 1993 $35,481,480
42 AMOUR OF GOD 1987 $35,469,408
43 SIXTY MILLION DOLLAR MAN 1995 $35,236,551
44 NEEDING YOU 2000 $35,214,661
45 A BETTER TOMORROW 1986 $34,651,324
46 SWORDSMAN II 1992 $34,462,861
47 72 TENANTS OF PROSPERITY 2010 $34,447,831
48 POLICE STORY II 1988 $34,151,609
49 THE CANTON GODFATHER 1989 $34,036,029
50 FULL THROTTLE 1995 $33,770,736

Top 50 (Foreign - HK$)

1 Avatar 2009 $176,984,565
2 Titanic 1997 $104,615,934
3 Toy Story 3 2008 $89,176,478
4 Transformers Dark of the Moon 2011 $84,703,797
5 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows 2 2011 $76,684,969
6 The Lost World - Jurassic Park 1997 $58,505,480
7 Batman the Dark Knight 2008 $58,440,488
8 Inception 2010 $58,380,823
9 Jurassic Park 1993 $58,360,645
10 Spider Man 3 2007 $54,748,361
11 Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix 2007 $52,244,668
12 Independence Day 1996 $49,375,641
13 Transformers Revenge of Fallen 2009 $48,001,594
14 2012 2009 $46,945,966
15 Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire 2005 $46,460,208
16 Harry Potter and the Half Prince 2009 $45,440,242
17 Pirates of Caribbean On Stranger Tides 2011 $45,335,349
18 Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows 1 2010 $44,878,093
19 Speed 1994 $44,590,580
20 Alice in Wonderland 2010 $44,095,231
21 Mission Impossible Ghost Protocol 2011 $44,075,980
22 Harry Potter and the Sorcerer s Stone 2001 $43,220,610
23 Pirates of the Caribbean At World s End 2007 $41,767,007
24 Day After Tomorrow, The 2004 $41,555,498
25 Transformers 2007 $39,824,065
26 Mission Impossible 1996 $39,631,865
27 Kung Fu Panda 2 2011 $39,394,900
28 King Kong 2005 $39,040,408
29 Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secret 2002 $38,197,714
30 Lord of the Rings Return of the King 2003 $37,895,480
31 Mummy 2 2001 $37,658,745
32 Night at the Museum 2007 $37,532,096
33 Mummy 3 2009 $37,496,322
34 Mission Impossible II 2000 $36,295,660
35 Pirates of the Caribbean Dead Man s Chest 2006 $35,792,787
36 Toy Story 2 2000 $35,541,882
37 Journey to the Center of the Earth 2008 $35,017,051
38 True Lies 1994 $34,862,716
39 Da Vinci Code, The 2006 $34,715,064
40 Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban 2004 $33,844,908
41 Incredibles, The 2005 $33,777,162
42 Up 2009 $33,248,227
43 Forrest Gump 1994 $32,890,560
44 Die Hard III 1995 $32,720,595
45 Ice Age 3: Dawn of the Dinosaurs 2009 $32,446,094
46 Ring, The 1999 $32,014,889
47 Spider Man 2 2004 $31,859,461
48 Finding Nemo 2003 $31,816,876
49 Kung Fu Panda 2008 $31,457,738
50 Gulliver's Travels 2011 $31,116,800
__________________________________________

Records (updated May 28, 2013)

All-time - Avatar ($22,930,191)
Opening Day - Spider-Man 3 ($958,984)
Non-holiday/weekend Opening Day - Iron Man 3 ($851,192; $6,604,302 HK)
Single day - Iron Man 3 ($1,491,612)
Biggest OW - Iron Man 3 ($4,598,493)
Biggest Per Theater Average ever - $104,511 (Iron Man 3)
Biggest 2nd weekend - Avatar ($2,803,821)
Longest run - 3 Idiots (27 weeks)

Avatar
Fastest to 20m (10 weeks)/First movie to 20m
Most weekends over $10,000 PSA: Consecutive/Non-Consecutive - 20 (its entire run)
Most weekends over $20,000 PSA: Consecutive - 6
Most weekends over $20,000 PSA: Non-Consecutive - 14
Most weekends over $30,000 PSA: Non-Consecutive - 3
Highest PSA ever: $43,136
Highest IMAX gross - 2.9 million from 2 screens (after 8 weeks)

Transformers: Dark of the Moon

First movie to break 4m in 4 days (Hong Kong)
First movie to break 5m in 5 days (Hong Kong)
First movie to gross more than 1M on 3 consecutive days (Fri-Sun) (Hong Kong)
First movie to break 500,000 admissions in one weekend/OW (Thu-Sun) (Hong Kong)

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Last edited by Bluebomb on Sat May 04, 2013 2:12 pm, edited 54 times in total.



Sun Aug 22, 2010 6:17 am
Profile
Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK: New thread with updated information! - See post 2
Re-posting these numbers from the old thread. Also added Sunday's numbers.

Thursday adm.August 19
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Step Up 3D2102212710-39.5%
2Inception164919722-41.0%
3Cats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D Cantonese)--8464--
4Vampires Suck--4421--
5Toy Story 3 (3D Cantonese)--2620--
6Despicable Me (3D Cantonese)47612355-50.5%

Friday adm.August 20
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Inception2301615362-33.3%+58.0%
2Step Up 3D2019613680-32.3%+7.6%
3Cats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D Cantonese)--7689---9.2%
4Vampires Suck--4423--+0.0%
5Toy Story 3 (3D Cantonese)--2829--+8.0%
Saturday adm.August 21
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Inception4109427667-32.7%+80.1%
2Step Up 3D2562217595-31.3%+28.6%
3Cats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D Cantonese)--11052--+43.7%
4Toy Story 3 (3D Cantonese)--5251--+85.6%
5Despicable Me (3D Cantonese)85194547-46.6%--
Sunday adm.August 22
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Inception3807025470-33.1%-7.9%
2Step Up 3D2578317211-33.2%-2.2%
3Cats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D Cantonese)--14338--+29.7%
4Toy Story 3 (3D Cantonese)104706293-39.9%+19.8%
5Despicable Me (3D Cantonese)106515518-48.2%+21.4%


Weekend adm.August 19-22
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Inception11867178221-34.1%
2*Step Up 3D9262361196-33.9%
3*Cats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (Cantonese)--41543--
4*Toy Story 3 (Cantonese)--16993--


Weekend Summary:

Inception and Step Up 3D had solid holds this week. Step Up 3D, in particular, is holding up better than its predecessor even though it grossed more OW and being shown in 3D. Inception will rule again this weekend although Step Up will come within $100,000 of Inception. Cats & Dogs did slightly better than The Last Airbender and should debut just above The Last Airbender's OW. Toy Story 3 will come in at #4 in terms of gross but Vampires Suck may edge out Toy Story 3 this week in admissions. Toy Story 3 will make $11.3-$11.8m when all is said and done.

Next week: Big weekend coming up. It should be a doozy.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Sun Aug 22, 2010 1:00 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK: 8/26 Avatar/Expend/Shanghai/Stool Pigeon/AAL vie for #1
Pacific Place
NewHoldoversLeaving
Avatar 3D: Special Edition - 4 showingsInception - 5 showings (down from 9 on Wed.)Salt
Bright Star - 4 showingsLetters To Juliet - 1 showing (no change)Vampires Suck
Shanghai - 5 showingsCats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D English) - 4 showings (down from 5)The Last Airbender
The Stool Pigeon - 3 showingsToy Story 3 (3D English) - 1 showing (down from 3)The Sorcerer's Apprentice
The Expendables - 7 showingsStep Up 3D - 1 showing (down from 5)The Karate Kid
Despicable Me (3D English) - 3 showings (down from 6)


Tsuen Wan
NewHoldoversLeaving
All About Love - 4 showingsInception - 3 showings (down from 6)Vampires Suck
The Expendables - 6 showingsAftershock - 1 showing (no change)Toy Story 3 (3D Cantonese)
The Stool Pigeon - 6 showingsCats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D Cantonese) - 3 showings (down from 5)The Last Airbender
Step Up 3D - 2 showings (down from 7)
Despicable Me (3D Cantonese) - 1 showing (down from 3)


Festival Walk
NewHoldoversLeaving
Avatar 3D: Special Edition - 5 showingsToy Story 3 (3D Cantonese) - 1 showing (down from 4)Toy Story 3 (3D English)
All About Love - 5 showingsCats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D Cantonese) - 3 showings (down from 5)Cats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D English)
Shanghai - 5 showingsAftershock - 1 showing (down from 3)Crayon Shin Chan 2010
The Stool Pigeon - 5 showingsInception - 5 showings (no change)The Last Airbender
The Expendables - 6 showingsLetters To Juliet - 1 showing (no change)The Sorcerer's Apprentice
Vampires Suck - 1 showing (down from 5)
Step Up 3D - 4 showings (down from 7)
Despicable Me (3D English) - 2 showings (down from 3)
Despicable Me (3D Cantonese) - 1 showing (down from 4)
The Karate Kid - 1 showing (down from 2)


Times Square
NewHoldoversLeaving
All About Love - 3 showingsCats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D Cantonese) - 3 showings (down from 5)Toy Story 3 (3D Cantonese)
Shanghai - 5 showingsStep Up 3D - 3 showings (down from 5)Aftershock
The Stool Pigeon - 7 showingsInception - 3 showings (down from 5)Crayon Shin Chan 2010
The Expendables - 3 showingsThe Last Airbender
Despicable Me (3D Cantonese)
City Under Siege


August 26 Preview

Intense competition from the new openers will pulverize the remaining holdovers as 5 new releases vie for #1. The last week in August will bring much needed business back to the box office as last week was underwhelming with Vampires Suck/Cats & Dogs 2 disappointing and with the aftermath of the hostage situation in Manila, theaters hope to take advantage of the unfortunate event and entertain people for 2 hours to take their minds off this tragic incident.

Avatar is the most talked about new release this week as 9 extra minutes are being added into the film. Many theaters are opting not to show this in favor of other movies and ticket prices are not as expensive as last time. Still, this will draw a considerable amount in IMAX and several locations. I think around $250,000-700,000 is a good estimate of the range it will gross. Even in IMAX, the bigger IMAX theatre is not giving the screen solely to Avatar. Instead, Avatar will share the screen with Inception and Toy Story 3. This has a shot at #1 but with the lack of screens, it is becoming seemingly unlikely that it will return to the #1 spot. It will generate a HUGE PSA though.

The Expendables is one of the most anticipated movies this week. It's summer action fun packed into 2 hours and it could be just what the public needs after yesterday's hostage situation in Manila. It will be shown in most theaters although some places have given it limited amount of screenings on Thursday. It could gross anywhere from $500,000 to $1.2m. Unfortunately, it'll have big competition from...

The Stool Pigeon is the other big release this week. It stars Nicholas Tse and Nick Cheung and is a role reversal for both men from The Beast Stalker. This is playing in almost all theaters and is being given prime spot release times (night time). The Beast Stalker only grossed $375,000 but this has gotten better reviews than that movie and should be able to generate more. I also see this in a rage of about $500,000 - $1m. The mitigating factor with these 2 movies not grossing over $1m is that there are so many releases this week. Besides these 3 movies, 2 more movies are expected to do solid business this weekend.

Shanghai will finally be released this weekend as it searches for an audience not interested in 80's nostaglia, blue aliens part deux, cop/criminal drama relationships or lesbian affairs. This will be expected to pick up business as it deals with Chinese history: the invasion of China by Japanese forces. This will open semi-saturated as about 70% of theaters will show this. It could get lost in the shuffle with 6 other new releases this week but it is generating some buzz. Look for a weekend opening about $150,000 - $500,000. It won't be enough to challenge for the top spot but it will definitely take away some business from other films.

The final semi-major release will be All About Love. This controversial movie held special screenings last week to generate more buzz in advance of the forthcoming release date. This movie is less mainstream than the others but will generate the more artsy folks to take a look at this. With special screenings already added in, this could generate anywhere from $150,000 - $350,000.

Bright Star and Curse of the Deserted are the other two releases this week. These movies won't generate much. Curse of the Deserted looks to be the bigger one of the two and will gross around $5,000-25,000 while Bright Star (playing in only 1 theater) looks to get around $1,000-$15,000.

Holdovers:

Inception - No matter how you cut it, Inception will lose the #1 crown this week. The only question is by how much? Theater owners are being semi-generous. Some have given it Thursday night screenings while others have cut this completely. I am going to predict about a 50-60% drop. Not horrendous but it will effectively cut off its chances of reaching $7m.

Cats & Dogs 2 - It will suffer a horrendous drop thanks to loss of screens and even theaters. A 60% drop is in store.

Vampires Suck - Not only is this movie frontloaded, but it will lose many theaters this weekend. I am going to predict a 70-80% drop here.

Toy Story 3 - Depending on how much it made last weekend, it will determine whether or not if Toy Story 3 can pass $11.5m. No one will be saved this week so expect a horrible drop of about 65-75%.

Step Up 3D - It will be very close but with a fall of about 70-75%, it may just miss $2m.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Tue Aug 24, 2010 9:21 am
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK: 8/26 Avatar/Expend/Shanghai/Stool Pigeon/AAL vie for #1
Thursday adm.(so far)August 26
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1The Expendables5741--
2Step Up 3D62381985-68.2%
3Cats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D Cantonese)--1937--
4Inception42091447-65.6%
5All About Love--1258--


Missing: The Stool Pigeon, Shanghai, Avatar

That is pretty weak for The Expendables. Terrible for every holdover except Cats & Dogs 2. Cats & Dogs 2 may only drop -50% from last Thursday which would be quite good. Not good but expected for All About Love.

_________________
June 27 Predictions, April 25 Predictions, April 11 Predictions

Follow me on Twitter: https://twitter.com/hkreleasedates

Blog: http://hkreleasedates.blogspot.com


Wed Aug 25, 2010 12:21 pm
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK 8/29 SUN: 80,000 protest against handling of bus crisis
80,000 people protest against Philippine government and police, demand justice

Image

An estimated 80,000 people took part in a rally held on Sunday to demand justice for the victims and vented their anger at how the Philippine government and police has handled the crisis. Due to this event, box office was naturally down for most movies, with kids' films and one or two others escaping a decrease from Saturday.

Weekend of August 19-22, 2010:

1 1 Inception WB $625,195 -29.4% 53 +6 $11,796 $6,425,617 4
2 2 Step Up 3-D Golden Scene $519,673 -28.0% 34 - $15,285 $1,668,716 2
3 N Cats & Dogs: Revenge of Kitty Galore WB $367,784 - 34 - $10,817 $367,784 1
4 4 Toy Story 3 Disney $182,195 -37.6% 37 +4 $4,924 $11,235,326 6
5 5 Despicable Me EDKO $146,448 -46.0% 31 -2 $4,724 $1,250,314 3
6 3 The Last Airbender Intercontinental $112,491 -68.4% 28 -3 $4,018 $600,511 2
7 N Vampires Suck Fox $106,840 - 28 - $3,816 $106,840 1
8 7 Chun sing gai bei (City Under Seige) Lark $97,677 -54.0% 28 -6 $3,488 $394,219 2
9 8 Tangshan dadizhen (Aftershocks) n/a $67,973 -42.7% 21 +1 $3,237 $1,903,360 5
10 N Kureyon Shin-chan: Chôjikû! Arashi wo yobu oira no hanayome n/a $66,467 - 21 - $3,165 $66,467 1
11 6 The Sorcerer's Apprentice Disney $58,654 -76.2% 19 -12 $3,087 $1,147,318 3
12 N Au revoir Taipei Golden Scene $29,376 - 3 - $9,792 $29,376 1
13 9 Chou gekijôban Keroro gunsô: Tanjou! Kyuukyoku Keroro - Kiseki no jikuujima de arimasu!! Intercontinental $23,530 -77.4% 19 -7 $1,238 $164,511 2
14 10 Fei Cui Ming Zhu (Jade Pearl) Intercontinental $21,324 -53.7% 9 -10 $2,369 $388,085 3
15 14 Letters to Juliet EDKO $8,787 -28.8% 4 -1 $2,197 $174,540 4
16 13 Salt Sony $6,430 -54.2% 2 -4 $3,215 $1,583,410 5
17 11 The Karate Kid EDKO $6,057 -69.5% 2 -13 $3,029 $166,672 3
18 12 Eiga Doraemon: Nobita no ningyo daikaisen n/a $4,575 -72.8% 5 -3 $915 $349,939 4
19 16 Le Petit Nicolas Golden Scene $3,203 -42.5% 2 -1 $1,602 $25,063 3
20 17 Ganz nah bei Dir (Close to You) n/a $2,455 -21.0% 1 - $2,455 $7,527 2
21 18 Urutora mirakuru rabu sutôrî (Bare Essence of Life Ultra-Miracle Love Story) EDKO $876 -69.0% 1 - $876 $5,243 2

Thursday adm.August 26
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1The Expendables--19573--
2Step Up 3D127104899-61.5%
3Inception97224474-54.0%
4The Stool Pigeon--3997--
5All About Love--3540--


Friday adm.August 27
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Expendables--20035--+2.4%
2The Stool Pigeon--13855--+246.6%
3Inception153626256-59.3%+39.8%
4Step Up 3D136805380-60.7%+9.8%
5All About Love--4198--+18.6%
Saturday adm.August 28
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Expendables--31666--+58.1%
2The Stool Pigeon--22305--+61.0%
3Inception2766712135-56.1%+94.0%
4Step Up 3D175957602-56.8%+41.3%
5All About Love--5755--+37.1%
Sunday adm.August 29
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Expendables--29077---8.2%
2The Stool Pigeon--22501--+0.9%
3Inception2547011914-53.2%-1.8%
4Step Up 3D172117461-56.6%-1.9%
5Cats & Dogs: The Revenge Of Kitty Galore (3D Cantonese)143385561-61.2%--


As expected, most films took a dive on Sunday because of the protest. Next weekend should see better than expected holds on Sunday.

Weekend adm.August 26-29
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1The Expendables--100351--
2The Stool Pigeon--63560--
3Inception7822134779-55.5%
4*Step Up 3D6119625342-58.6%


Thursday's Stool Pigeon number looks way off. Anyways, for now, it looks like Expendables will open with about $800,000, good enough to place in the top 10 for 2010 OW's, while Stool Pigeon will open with around $500,000, Inception with $275,000 and Step Up with $220,000.

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Sun Aug 29, 2010 1:07 pm
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Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK: 9/5 SUN - Stool Pigeon #1; Expend #2; Inc #3; SU3D #4
Partial admissions:

Thursday adm.September 2
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1The Stool Pigeon39976884+72.2%
2The Expendables195736808-65.2%
3Girl$--2709--
4The Hole--2571--
5Step Up 3D48992555-47.8%


Saturday adm.September 4
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Stool Pigeon2230516790-24.7%--
2The Expendables3166616100-49.2%--
3Inception121357721-36.4%--
4Step Up 3D76024660-38.7%--
5Girl$--4400----


Sunday adm.September 5
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1The Stool Pigeon2250113855-38.4%-17.5%
2The Expendables2907712947-55.5%-19.6%
3Inception119146792-43.0%-12.0%
4Step Up 3D74614041-45.8%-13.3%
5Girl$--3666---16.7%


Very good for The Stool Pigeon. About what I expected for Expendables, Inception and Step Up 3D. The III rating helped Girl$ out...solid performance.

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Sun Sep 05, 2010 1:05 pm
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Post Re: HK: 9/9 WKD Preview: 9 films hits theaters. 4 #1 contenders.
9 new films invade theaters this week and holdovers are already feeling the effects with theaters rolling out their schedules for Thursday. Every holdover will lose a massive amount of screens or showtimes this weekend.

The #1 contenders are:

Piranha 3D - Solid reviews and the most likely of the three III-rated films to succeed. Will battle it out with Street Dance 3D for #1. The III rating might hurt its chances of grabbing #1.

Street Dance 3D - Buoyed by the success of Step Up, it hopes to capitalize on the dance fever that is going around and grab most of the audience that came out for Step Up. This and Piranha are prime candidates for #1.

Frozen - Another suspense/thriller movie coming out this week. This probably would have been a major #1 contender had Piranha been released any other week but, it looks like it will have to settle for a top 5 placing. Piranha will steal away most of its audiences but one thing that is going for it is that it is rated IIB, which means teens can satisfy their thriller craving with this flick and it gives this movie a chance to claim #1.

Going The Distance - Those not interested in suspense thrillers will flock to this romance movie. It avoided the III rating which will help to generate major business from teen couples. This could turn out to be a surprise #1.

Holdovers will suffer. Weekend holds will plummet. As of right now, it looks like Inception will make around 7.2m while Toy Story 3 will miss the 11.5m milestone by about $100,000. Step Up is looking like it will drop about 80-90%. The Expendables is fading and won't survive this massacre. The Stool Pigeon may be the lucky winner and could avoid severe showtime cuts. It may also come out on top if all newcomers underperform. Avatar will definitely get cut as business has been poor. It'll survive in IMAX due to bristling business there. Last week's openers will not get any relief as only one opener made the top 5 in admissions.

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Mon Sep 06, 2010 2:20 pm
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Post Re: HK: 9/9 WKD Preview: 9 films hits theaters. 4 #1 contenders.
What has Step Up 3D grossed overall? And how does it compare to Step Up 2 if you have that information.

I ask because some has mentioned how well Step Up 3D has done OS so far this year.

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Mon Sep 06, 2010 8:45 pm
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Post Re: HK: 9/9 WKD Preview: 9 films hits theaters. 4 #1 contenders.
Corpse wrote:
What has Step Up 3D grossed overall? And how does it compare to Step Up 2 if you have that information.

I ask because some has mentioned how well Step Up 3D has done OS so far this year.


Let me post last week's chart.

Weekend of August 26-29, 2010:

1 N The Expendables Golden Scene $622,860 - 36 - $17,302 $622,860 1
2 N The Stool Pigeon Lark $582,136 - 42 - $13,860 $582,136 1
3 1 Inception WB $264,989 -57.6% 42 -11 $6,309 $6,899,556 5
4 2 Step Up 3-D Golden Scene $220,587 -57.6% 30 -4 $7,353 $2,146,440 3
5 N Duk haan chau faan (All About Love) Newport $198,745 - 35 - $5,678 $198,745 1
6 3 Cats & Dogs: Revenge of Kitty Galore WB $153,060 -58.4% 34 - $4,502 $688,392 2
7 N Avatar: Special Edition Fox $134,178 - 11 - $12,198 $134,178 1
8 N Shanghai Cable $93,261 - 26 - $3,587 $93,261 1
9 4 Toy Story 3 Disney $82,343 -54.8% 22 -15 $3,743 $11,327,304 7
10 5 Despicable Me EDKO $55,601 -62.0% 17 -14 $3,271 $1,368,012 4
11 10 Kureyon Shin-chan: Chôjikû! Arashi wo yobu oira no hanayome n/a $21,099 -68.3% 13 -8 $1,623 $123,657 2
12 N Huang Cun Gong Yu Gala $17,374 - 15 - $1,158 $17,374 1
13 11 The Sorcerer's Apprentice Disney $14,584 -75.1% 8 -11 $1,823 $1,188,590 4
14 9 Tangshan dadizhen (Aftershocks) n/a $12,732 -81.3% 21 - $606 $1,942,889 6
15 12 Au revoir Taipei Golden Scene $12,419 -57.7% 4 +1 $3,105 $52,208 2
16 N Bright Star Golden Scene $9,423 - 3 - $3,141 $9,423 1
17 8 Chun sing gai bei (City Under Seige) Lark $9,022 -90.8% 28 - $322 $444,099 3
18 7 Vampires Suck Fox $8,037 -92.5% 28 - $287 $164,146 2
19 6 The Last Airbender Intercontinental $6,310 -94.4% 28 - $225 $648,949 3
20 14 Fei Cui Ming Zhu (Jade Pearl) Intercontinental $5,319 -75.1% 5 -4 $1,064 $404,089 4
21 15 Letters to Juliet EDKO $4,345 -50.6% 3 -1 $1,448 $183,899 5
22 13 Chou gekijôban Keroro gunsô: Tanjou! Kyuukyoku Keroro - Kiseki no jikuujima de arimasu!! Intercontinental $3,465 -85.3% 4 -15 $866 $179,094 3
23 16 Salt Sony $2,525 -60.7% 2 - $1,263 $1,588,682 6
24 19 Le Petit Nicolas Golden Scene $1,485 -53.6% 1 -1 $1,485 $27,627 4
25 17 The Karate Kid EDKO $929 -84.7% 1 -1 $929 $169,906 4
26 18 Eiga Doraemon: Nobita no ningyo daikaisen n/a $860 -81.2% 1 -4 $860 $353,072 5
27 20 Ganz nah bei Dir (Close to You) n/a $635 -74.1% 1 - $635 $9,836 3
28 21 Urutora mirakuru rabu sutôrî (Bare Essence of Life Ultra-Miracle Love Story) EDKO $290 -66.9% 1 - $290 $5,893

Step Up 3D has grossed the bolded part above and will end up with about $2.3-$2.5m. It has already made the top 10 highest grossing movies of the year which is a HUGE surprise. Even without 3D prices, this movie still would have beaten Step Up 2 by a large margin.

Comparison:

Step Up - $313,659 - In 2006, BOM only tracked the top 10 films each week so this could have ended up with around $340,000.
Step Up 2 - $1,051,045

October must be Japan movies month. Confessions, Bayside Shakedown 3 and Liar Game (after being pushed back 4 times) all come out. I have no data for the first 2 Bayside Shakedown movies but it'll be interesting to see how well all these movies do.

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Tue Sep 07, 2010 1:51 am
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Cream of the Crop

Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK: 9/9 THU - 4 openers in top 5. Piranha #1; StreetDance #2
Weekend of September 2-5, 2010:

1 2 The Stool Pigeon Lark $367,286 -36.9% 40 -2 $9,182 $1,209,017 2
2 1 The Expendables Golden Scene $299,617 -51.9% 37 +1 $8,098 $1,161,486 2
3 N The Hole (2010) Lark $178,019 - 21 - $8,477 $178,019 1
4 3 Inception WB $171,541 -35.3% 36 -6 $4,765 $7,157,570 6
5 4 Step Up 3-D Golden Scene $122,856 -44.3% 27 -3 $4,550 $2,374,886 4
6 5 Duk haan chau faan (All About Love) Newport $87,654 -55.9% 28 -7 $3,131 $376,492 2
7 N Girl$ n/a $87,124 - 11 - $7,920 $87,124 1
8 7 Avatar: Special Edition Fox $78,996 -41.1% 11 - $7,181 $267,734 2
9 9 Toy Story 3 Disney $55,456 -32.7% 23 +1 $2,411 $11,400,586 8
10 N Frozen Gala $47,974 - 27 - $1,777 $47,974 1
11 10 Despicable Me EDKO $39,509 -28.9% 13 -4 $3,039 $1,430,054 5
12 6 Cats & Dogs: Revenge of Kitty Galore WB $33,349 -78.2% 29 -5 $1,150 $783,365 3
13 8 Shanghai Cable $25,763 -72.4% 20 -6 $1,288 $151,517 2
14 N Wild Target Golden Scene $22,312 - 4 - $5,578 $22,312 1
15 N El secreto de sus ojos EDKO $19,178 - 2 - $9,589 $19,178 1
16 N Memoirs of a Teenage Amnesiac Golden Scene $11,645 - 5 - $2,329 $11,645 1
17 11 Kureyon Shin-chan: Chôjikû! Arashi wo yobu oira no hanayome n/a $10,465 -50.4% 9 -4 $1,163 $144,544 3
18 15 Au revoir Taipei Golden Scene $8,619 -30.6% 3 -1 $2,873 $66,344 3
19 14 Tangshan dadizhen (Aftershocks) n/a $6,069 -52.3% 5 -16 $1,214 $1,951,331 7
20 12 Huang Cun Gong Yu Gala $4,439 -74.5% 6 -9 $740 $32,858 2
21 13 The Sorcerer's Apprentice Disney $4,147 -71.6% 5 -3 $829 $1,197,444 5
22 16 Bright Star Golden Scene $3,880 -58.8% 3 - $1,293 $17,253 2
23 N Kamui gaiden Panasia $3,672 - 3 - $1,224 $3,672 1
24 21 Letters to Juliet EDKO $3,481 -19.9% 1 -2 $3,481 $188,662 6
25 23 Salt Sony $969 -61.6% 1 -1 $969 $1,590,620 7
26 17 Chun sing gai bei (City Under Seige) Lark $797 -91.2% 1 -27 $797 $447,614 4
27 24 Le Petit Nicolas Golden Scene $730 -50.8% 1 - $730 $28,921 5
28 27 Ganz nah bei Dir (Close to You) n/a $331 -47.9% 1 - $331 $10,399 4
29 22 Chou gekijôban Keroro gunsô: Tanjou! Kyuukyoku Keroro - Kiseki no jikuujima de arimasu!! Intercontinental $166 -95.2% 1 -3 $166 $180,523 4

Very good for The Stool Pigeon. It should get to about $1.5m.

The Expendables had a pretty average 2nd week drop and 3rd weekend is showing signs of major collapse. More on that later. $1.3-1.4m is looking final.

The Hole opened to decent results. It'll bank around $350,000-400,000.

Inception had a good hold although next weekend will be another story. Half of the theaters are cutting this next weekend to make room for new releases. The total looks a bit off as well. $100,000 should be coming off of its total so it should stand at about $7.06m. $7.2-7.3m sounds about right.

Step Up continues its amazing run. Already in the top 10 highest grossing movies of the year. Street Dance will open next weekend so it should be able to cross the $2.5m milestone before it gets crushed.

All About Love actually had a solid hold considering previews were included in last week's weekend total. Total will be around $0.5m.

Girl$ had a nice opening with a good PSA of almost $8,000. Unfortunately, it has little time left before it gets its screens cut so $200,000 seems like the most it will make.

Avatar had a decent hold thanks to IMAX. It may claw to $500,000 if demand is still high enough in IMAX.

Toy Story 3 continues its amazing run with a 32% drop. Even though its total is slightly inflated, it won't reach $11.5m. It will finish with $11.47m.

The Chinese movie Frozen opened to weak response and only managed a $1,777 PSA. A total of around $85,000 should be its ending point.

Opening in limited release, The Secret In Their Eyes opened to very big crowds thanks to the Oscar and rave reviews. It could even push past $70,000-80,000 which would be terrific for a foreign language release.

Thursday adm.September 9
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Piranha 3D--8687--
2StreetDance 3D--6939--
3Going The Distance--2399--
4The Stool Pigeon68842369-65.6%
5Frozen--2229--


Not bad for Piranha but solid for StreetDance. StreetDance should overtake Piranha from now on as the target audience will watch it over the weekend rather than on the weekdays as schools are now in session. Going The Distance opened to ok results. Comparing its opening day to When In Rome, it is beating it by about 500 admissions. A total near or just above When In Rome will probably be its weekend total. The Stool Pigeon had a good hold. While a 66% drop may look horrendous, it's not bad considering how many screens the new openers took away from it. At least it's doing better than The Expendables...

Speaking of which, I compared last Thursday's presale admissions for it with this Thursday's 5th place finisher (since it did not make the top 5) for presales (Frozen with 455 admissions) and Expendables fell by 92.2%. Drops for today will be inflated though due to school and new openers so the weekend drops should be much better.

Friday adm.(so far)September 10
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1StreetDance 3D--4892--
2Piranha 3D--3434--
3Going The Distance--2141--
4Frozen--915--
5The Stool Pigeon3089883-71.4%

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Thu Sep 09, 2010 1:00 pm
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Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
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Post Re: HK: 9/9 WKD: Piranha #1; StreetDance #2
Friday adm.September 10
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Piranha 3D--8512---2.0%
2StreetDance 3D--7767--+11.9%
3Going The Distance--4480--+86.7%
4The Stool Pigeon--3289--+38.8%
5Frozen--2675--+20.0%


Saturday adm.(so far)September 11
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Piranha 3D--6868--+100.0%
2StreetDance 3D--4791---2.1%
3Going The Distance--2279--+6.4%
4The Stool Pigeon--1812--+105.2%
5Frozen--978--+6.9%


Sunday adm.September 12
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Piranha 3D--15180----
2StreetDance 3D--8232----
3The Stool Pigeon138555630-59.4%--
4Going The Distance--4993----
5Frozen--3841----


This is quite shocking. Not only did StreetDance barely increase over the weekend, but Piranha bucked the trend of most horror/thriller films. Ok for The Stool Pigeon. Decent for Going The Distance. Weak for Frozen.

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Sun Sep 12, 2010 12:57 pm
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Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK: RE4/Wall Street/Chen Zhen/Devil open 9/22! Who will win?
Notes:

- Advanced ticketing for Resident Evil 4, Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps, The Legend of Fist: Return of Chen Zhen and Devil are now available. Sneak peeks start September 22. Right now, it is looking like Resident Evil will come out on top, Wall Street in 2nd and Chen Zhen in 3rd.

- No changes in IMAX. Avatar: Special Edition is still showing in both theaters but it is sharing the bigger IMAX screen with Inception.

- New theater The ONE has just opened. It is the first theater that offers both vibrating and non-vibrating seats.

Thursday adm.(so far)September 16
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Piranha 3D--3487--
2Killers--1500--
3The Housemaid--865--
4Splice--695--
5StreetDance 3D--605--

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Wed Sep 15, 2010 12:41 pm
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Post Re: HK: RE4/Wall Street/Chen Zhen/Devil open 9/22! Who will win?
Thursday adm.September 16
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Piranha 3D86875382-38.0%
2Killers--3153--
3Splice--2560--
4The Housemaid--2537--
5The Stool Pigeon2369895-62.2%


Good hold for Piranha.

Friday adm.(so far)September 17
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Piranha 3D34343489+1.6%
2Killers--2070--
3Splice--1136--
4The Housemaid--1049--
5Going The Distance2141835-61.0%


Wow, excellent for Piranha!

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Thu Sep 16, 2010 1:16 pm
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Post Re: HK: RE4/Wall Street/Chen Zhen/Devil open 9/22! Who will win?
Friday adm.September 17
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Piranha 3D85125591-34.3%+3.9%
2Killers--5111--+62.1%
3Splice--2891--+12.9%
4The Housemaid--2753--+8.5%
5Going The Distance44801385-69.1%+54.7%


Huge drop for Going the Distance.

Saturday adm.(so far)September 18
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Piranha 3D68684538-33.9%+30.1%
2Killers--2369--+14.4%
3Splice--1720--+51.4%
4The Housemaid--1247--+18.9%
5Going The Distance22791028-54.9%+23.1%


Weekend of September 9-12, 2010:

1. Piranha 3D Sundream $548,593 1 33 $16,624 0 $548,593
2. StreetDance 3D Golden Scene $215,031 1 32 $6,720 0 $215,031
3. Stool Pigeon, The Lark/Emperor $154,857 3 39 $3,971 -58 $1,479,479
4. Going The Distance Warner Bros. Int'l $119,073 1 27 $4,410 0 $119,073
5. Frozen UA Films $111,838 1 11 $10,167 0 $111,838
6. Inception Warner Bros. Int'l $93,976 7 21 $4,475 -46 $7,206,032
7. Expendables, The Golden Scene $64,627 3 32 $2,020 -79 $1,312,641
8. Girls Mei Ah Films $50,213 2 11 $4,565 -41 $186,835
9. Hole, The Lark Films $45,499 2 20 $2,275 -75 $295,737
10. Descent: Part 2 Panasia Films $32,206 1 12 $2,684 0 $32,206

BOM does not list Frozen so I will be using Variety's numbers this week.

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Fri Sep 17, 2010 2:23 pm
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Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2007 10:53 am
Posts: 2860
Post Re: HK: RE4/Wall Street/Chen Zhen/Devil open 9/22! Who will win?
Notes:

- The theater in Kwai Fong has suspended all of their screens except for 1 for renovations. It will re-open in mid December.

- Next Thursday is a holiday so business will be booming Wednesday night and Thursday. As I previously reported, Resident Evil 4, Wall Street, Chen Zhen and Devil are all being released early to take advantage of this.

Saturday adm.September 18
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Piranha 3D--7443--+33.1%
2Killers--7300--+42.8%
3Splice--4609--+59.4%
4The Housemaid--3721--+35.2%
5The Stool Pigeon--2539----


Sunday adm.(so far)September 19
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Piranha 3D--5035--+11.0%
2Killers--2870--+21.1%
3Splice--1921--+11.7%
4The Housemaid--1479--+18.6%
5The Stool Pigeon--1019----


Based on last Sunday's admissions, it looks like Piranha fell by more than 50% on Saturday.

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Sat Sep 18, 2010 2:57 pm
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Post Re: HK: RE4/Wall Street/Chen Zhen/Devil open 9/22! Who will win?
Do you expect big numbers for RE4?

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Sun Sep 19, 2010 2:37 am
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Post Re: HK: RE4/Wall Street/Chen Zhen/Devil open 9/22! Who will win?
Corpse wrote:
Do you expect big numbers for RE4?


I do. For now, I'm expecting it to beat RE3's gross ($1.389m) to become the highest grossing film of the series (RE2 stands at about $943,000, RE - $827,000). I am, however, still waiting on how they will schedule this coming weekend first before I make any predictions for its opening weekend and total.

Chen Zhen, Devil and Wall Street were originally scheduled to be released on Sept. 23 (Thursday) and Resident Evil the following week but the holiday has changed things. I don't know if these special screenings are for 1-2 days or if the sneak previews will continue on for the weekend or even for the whole week. Theaters have not released their Thursday schedules yet and most have not scheduled Wednesday either. I will post some theater schedules later on when they come out.

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Sun Sep 19, 2010 6:26 am
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Post Re: HK: WKD adm up! X-Mas week even more crowded. Arrietty 12/25
Sunday adm.September 19
RankTitleLWTWWKD % chgQD % chg
1Piranha 3D151807687-49.4%+3.3%
2Killers--6431---11.9%
3Splice--4064---11.8%
4The Housemaid--3692---0.8%
5The Stool Pigeon56302390-57.5%-5.9%


Weekend adm.September 16-19
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Piranha 3D--26103--
2Killers--21995--
3Splice--14124--
4The Housemaid--12703--


_______________________

The Borrower Arrietty has been scheduled for release on Christmas Day. This is a blow to all films released that week as it targets their main demographic which is children.

Japanese films have a huge following here. Ponyo banked just over $3m ($3,029,041). Non-animated films like Okuribito, the Death Note movies, Yôgisha X no kenshin (Suspect X) have all made off with more than $1.5m.

As it stands right now, Christmas is going to be huge with Harry Potter leading the way. Unfortunately, this does not bode well for Narnia. Narnia will be released on December 9th but is unlikely to move up a week or after January. I really hope it reconsiders in the event that the Christmas Weekend release schedule is final.

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Sun Sep 19, 2010 1:55 pm
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Post Re: HK 9/23 THU: Schedules posted; Chen Zhen leads all new films
Note: All holdovers are compared with Tuesday's schedule, not Wednesday's.
Note 2: Resident Evil sneak peeks start at 3 PM; no morning or mid-afternoon shows.
Note 3: All showtimes are for Thursday.

Olympian City
NewHoldoversLeaving
Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D - 7 showingsToy Story 3 (3D Cantonese) - 1 showing (down from 2 on Tues.)Adventure Of The King
Legend Of The Fist: The Return Of Chen Zhen - 12 showingsKillers - 2 showings (down from 5)Frozen
Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps - 6 showingsInception - 1 showing (down from 2)Going The Distance
Devil - 6 showingsSplice - 1 showing (down from 5)StreetDance 3D (Tuesday)
The Housemaid - 2 showings (down from 6)The Stool Pigeon
Piranha 3D - 1 showing (down from 5)Step Up 3D (Tuesday)
All About Love - 1 showing (no change)
Despicable Me (3D Cantonese) - 1 showing (up from 0)


Palace APM
NewHoldoversLeaving
Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D - 11 showingsInception - 1 showing (no change)Adventure Of The King
Legend Of The Fist: The Return Of Chen Zhen - 15 showingsKillers - 2 showings (down from 5)Going The Distance
Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps - 6 showingsSplice - 2 showings (down from 6)StreetDance 3D (Tuesday)
Devil - 7 showingsThe Housemaid - 3 showings (down from 7)Girl$
Frozen - 1 showing (down from 4)The Stool Pigeon
Piranha 3D - 1 showing (down from 7)
Step Up 3D - 1 showing (down from 2)


The One
NewHoldoversLeaving
Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D - 8 showingsKillers - 2 showings (down from 5)Going The Distance (Tuesday)
Legend Of The Fist: The Return Of Chen Zhen - 14 showingsInception - 1 showing (down from 4)StreetDance 3D (Tuesday)
Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps - 6 showingsSplice - 2 showings (down from 5)The Stool Pigeon (Tuesday)
Devil - 8 showingsThe Housemaid - 1 showing (down from 6)Piranha 3D


Early Thursday admission rankings:

Judging based on a few select theaters (non-business areas), here's how I would rank the new openers so far:

1. Legend of the Fist: The Return of Chen Zhen
2. Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D
3. Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps
4. Devil

Resident Evil's #s are all over the place. In some theaters, it is doing poorly while flourishing in others.

Palace IFC
NewHoldoversLeaving
Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D - 4 showingsInception - 1 showing (down from 4)StreetDance 3D (Tuesday)
Legend Of The Fist: The Return Of Chen Zhen - 6 showingsThe Housemaid - 3 showings (down from 6)Toy Story 3 3D English (Tuesday)
Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps - 10 showingsVincere - 1 showing (down from 5)
Devil - 5 showingsGoing The Distance - 1 showing (down from 4)
Despicable Me (3D English) - 1 showing (no change)
The Secret In Their Eyes - 1 showing (down from 4)


Pacific Place
NewHoldoversLeaving
Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D - 4 showingsInception - 1 showing (down from 4)Shanghai
Legend Of The Fist: The Return Of Chen Zhen - 7 showingsKillers - 6 showings (no change)The Expendables
Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps - 10 showingsSplice - 2 showings (down from 6)Letters To Juliet
Devil - 5 showingsToy Story 3 (3D English) - 1 showing (up from 0)Step Up 3D (Tuesday)
Going The Distance - 1 showing (down from 4)StreetDance 3D (Monday)
Despicable Me (3D English) - 1 showing (down from 2)


Business districts are another story. Wall Street is well out in front. Chen Zhen is in 2nd. Resident Evil is running 3rd which is somewhat surprising.

Early Thursday rankings (business):

1. Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps
2. Legend of the Fist: The Return of Chen Zhen
3. Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D
4. Devil

For the rankings, I only compared the showtimes after 3 PM for the 3 films.

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Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:50 am
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Post Re: HK 9/23 THU: Schedules posted; Chen Zhen leads all new films
Wednesday adm.(so far)September 22
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D--6820--
2The Legend of the Fist: The Return of Chen Zhen--5819--
3Killers--2160--
4Piranha 3D--1914--
5Devil--1389--


Missing: Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps

Not bad for Resident Evil. Almost all theaters start showing it at 9 PM so this is a pretty good number. It did have 1 week of pre-selling unlike Chen Zhen or Wall Street which was released traditionally 2 days in advance.

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Tue Sep 21, 2010 1:42 pm
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Post Re: HK 9/23 Presales: Chen Zhen #1; WStreet #2; RE4 disappoints
Wednesday adm.September 22
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1The Legend of the Fist: The Return of Chen Zhen--20597--
2Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D--15909--
3Devil--6877--
4Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps--6461--
5Killers--4101--


Very good for Chen Zhen. Decent for Resident Evil. Surprised that Devil beat out Wall Street but it's no big deal, Wall Street will be far ahead of Devil when this weekend is over.

Thursday adm.(so far)September 23
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1The Legend of the Fist: The Return of Chen Zhen--18202--
2Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps--10283--
3Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D--9301--
4Devil--3241--
5Killers15001343-10.5%


The first official numbers of the weekend is here! Chen Zhen is really maximizing the holiday and is distancing itself from the other openers. Wall Street is having a strong holiday Thursday. No surprise that Resident Evil fell to 3rd place. It hasn't looked that great in presales in most theaters (although there are a few outliers). It would be a shock if it decreases from its opening day since Thursday is a holiday and sneaks started at 3 PM compared with 9 PM on Wednesday. It is looking like it will barely finish ahead of Wednesday's tally.

Chen Zhen is looking at 30,000-40,000 admissions today and around 90,000-110,000 total for the weekend. Wall Street should be around 18,000-24,000 admissions and a weekend tally of about 70,000-85,000 admissions. Resident Evil hasn't played well and is decreasing in showtimes as the weekend goes along so a total of about 35,000-48,000 admissions sounds right. The good thing for Resident Evil is that it officially comes out next week so next week's drop shouldn't be too bad. It still has a chance of beating RE3. Devil, meanwhile, may just scrape by 20,000 admissions when all is said and done.

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Wed Sep 22, 2010 1:22 pm
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Post Re: HK 9/23 Presales: Chen Zhen #1; WStreet #2; RE4 disappoints
Wow that is very very good for WS. I am surprised as the anticipation for this movie is very high here as well. The advance sales have been very good in Singapore and Malaysia as well


Wed Sep 22, 2010 8:44 pm
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Post Re: HK 9/23 THU: Chen Zhen #1; WStreet, RE4 neck and neck for #2
Jack Sparrow wrote:
Wow that is very very good for WS. I am surprised as the anticipation for this movie is very high here as well. The advance sales have been very good in Singapore and Malaysia as well


I'm not surprised. Hong Kong is a financial hub so widespread business here is expected. Not surprised about Singapore or Malaysia either.

Thursday adm.September 23
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1The Legend of the Fist: The Return of Chen Zhen--42888--
2Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D--21855--
3Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps--21464--
4Devil--10585--
5Killers31533604+14.3%

Impressive for Chen Zhen. Resident Evil nipped Wall Street in the end. Nice.

Friday adm.(so far)September 24
RankTitleLWTW% chg
1The Legend of the Fist: The Return of Chen Zhen--5403--
2Resident Evil: Afterlife 3D--5090--
3Wall Street: Money Never Sleeps--4901--
4Devil--1267--
5Killers2070524-74.7%


Wow, only 500 admissions separate the 3 openers. It's getting interesting...

Weekend of Sept. 16-19, 2010:

1. Piranha 3D Sundream $243,144 2 31 $7,843 -56 $1,045,272
2. Killers Panasia Films $160,992 1 29 $5,551 0 $160,992
3. Splice Golden Scene $130,086 1 29 $4,486 0 $130,086
4. Housemaid, The Edko $68,663 1 12 $5,722 0 $68,663
5. Inception Warner Bros. Int'l $63,200 8 18 $3,511 -33 $7,294,877
6. Stool Pigeon, The Lark/Emperor $62,009 4 37 $1,676 -60 $1,591,224
7. StreetDance 3D Golden Scene $53,175 2 28 $1,899 -75 $339,215
8. Going The Distance Warner Bros. Int'l $45,686 2 23 $1,986 -62 $200,749
9. Adventure of the King Mei Ah Films $44,118 1 15 $2,941 0 $44,118
10. Frozen UA Films $40,412 2 11 $3,674 -64 $188,406

Piranha has done well for itself. It will finish with around $1.2 or $1.3m.

Killers and Splice opened to underwhelming results. The Housemaid couldn't capitalize on its III rating and only opened with a slightly better PSA than Killers.

Inception is still playing well but time is running out and it won't make $7.5m. $7.38m seems final.

The Stool Pigeon is a HUGE success. It has already increased 33% over The Beast Stalker.

StreetDance suffered from being British and for being virtually unknown.

Terrible for Going the Distance. It won't even beat The Bounty Hunter (made just over $300,000).

Really poor for Adventure of the King. Bad for Frozen.

People are pretty much waiting for Resident Evil 4, Wall Street and Chen Zhen to open.

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Last edited by Bluebomb on Sat Sep 25, 2010 1:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Thu Sep 23, 2010 2:13 pm
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Post Re: HK 9/23 THU: Chen Zhen #1; WStreet, RE4 neck and neck for #2
Movies like Wall Street are not known for good business in Singapore and Malaysia. Not sure about HK but from what I have seen they don't do very good business in HK as well. Being a financial hub does not really mean that a movie will breakout even if it is HK and the movie's name is Wall Street. I mean it is in contention with Chen Zhen (though a bit far but not as much as I first expected it to be)


Thu Sep 23, 2010 2:35 pm
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