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 Japan Box Office: Spring Break 2019 
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Don't Dream It, Be It
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Friday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016: Showa Day
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Friday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

14,207 > 32,984 > 42,876 - Zootopia (WK2)
16,411 > 30,236 > 42,339 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
18,074 > 25,765 > 41,244 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
x7,703 > 17,620 > 23,371 - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
x6,583 > 15,868 > 19,688 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
x6,290 > x8,121 > x9,659 - Terra Formars (NEW)
x2,054 > x4,320 > x6,469 - The Revenant (WK2)
xx,xxx > x3,500 > x5,904 - I Am a Hero (WK2)
x1,596 > x2,699 > x3,524 - Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (WK9)
xx,xxx > xx,xxx > x3,332 - Assassination Classroom: Graduation (WK6)


Now this is a close race for the #1 spot; only 1,632 admissions separating the Top 3 as of noon.

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Thu Apr 28, 2016 11:27 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Friday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016: Showa Day
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Friday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

14,207 > 32,984 > 42,876 > 60,087 - Zootopia (WK2)
16,411 > 30,236 > 42,339 > 54,484 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
18,074 > 25,765 > 41,244 > 46,531 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
x7,703 > 17,620 > 23,371 > 34,536 - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
x6,583 > 15,868 > 19,688 > 30,784 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
x6,290 > x8,121 > x9,659 > 18,882 - Terra Formars (NEW)
xx,xxx > x3,500 > x5,904 > 10,948 - I Am a Hero (WK2)
x2,054 > x4,320 > x6,469 > x8,890 - The Revenant (WK2)
xx,xxx > xx,xxx > x3,332 > x4,528 - Assassination Classroom: Graduation (WK6)
x1,275 > xx,xxx > xx,xxx > x4,056 - Scanner (Toei)


Zootopia has pulled away a bit now and is performing spectacularly. However, both Detective Conan and Captain America will play better in the evening/night than it, so it's still too early to say which film will win the first day of Golden Week.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Apr 29, 2016 12:31 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Friday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016: Showa Day
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Friday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

14,207 > 32,984 > 42,876 > 60,087 > 72,151 - Zootopia (WK2)
16,411 > 30,236 > 42,339 > 54,484 > 69,714 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
18,074 > 25,765 > 41,244 > 46,531 > 50,219 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
x7,703 > 17,620 > 23,371 > 34,536 > 39,518 - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
x6,583 > 15,868 > 19,688 > 30,784 > 34,703 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
x6,290 > x8,121 > x9,659 > 18,882 > 20,743 - Terra Formars (NEW)
xx,xxx > x3,500 > x5,904 > 10,948 > 13,070 - I Am a Hero (WK2)
x2,054 > x4,320 > x6,469 > x8,890 > 10,418 - The Revenant (WK2)
x1,275 > xx,xxx > xx,xxx > x4,056 > x5,395 - Scanner (NEW)
xx,xxx > xx,xxx > x3,332 > x4,528 > x5,075 - Assassination Classroom: Graduation (WK6)

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Apr 29, 2016 1:04 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Friday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016: Showa Day
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Friday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

16,411 > 30,236 > 42,339 > 54,484 > 69,714 > 106,708 > 118,305 > 126,755 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
18,074 > 25,765 > 41,244 > 46,531 > 50,219 > x85,303 > 100,529 > 124,160 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
14,207 > 32,984 > 42,876 > 60,087 > 72,151 > 105,146 > 114,099 > 120,314 - Zootopia (WK2)
x6,583 > 15,868 > 19,688 > 30,784 > 34,703 > x54,859 > x61,078 > x68,432 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
x7,703 > 17,620 > 23,371 > 34,536 > 39,518 > x54,133 > x54,595 > x54,621 - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
x6,290 > x8,121 > x9,659 > 18,882 > 20,743 > x30,587 > x34,280 > x39,129 - Terra Formars (NEW)
xx,xxx > x3,500 > x5,904 > 10,948 > 13,070 > x24,163 > x29,380 > x34,313 - I Am a Hero (WK2)
x2,054 > x4,320 > x6,469 > x8,890 > 10,418 > x18,141 > x19,769 > x24,461 - The Revenant (WK2)
xx,xxx > xx,xxx > x3,332 > x4,528 > x5,075 > xx9,675 > x10,803 > x10,890 - Assassination Classroom: Graduation (WK6)
xx,xxx > xx,xxx > xx,xxx > xx,xxx > xx,xxx > xxx,xxx > xx8,774 > xx9,522 - Yu-Gi-Oh! The Dark Side of Dimensions (WK2)


Detective Conan and Captain America overtook Zootopia once the evening/night showings began and with only ~2 hours of showtimes remaining, it's still not certain which of them will come out on top today, though Conan is the slight favorite now.

Unfortunately, I won't be around for the last update since I work on Fridays, but I'll post the final update along with Friday estimates later today.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Apr 29, 2016 9:05 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Golden Week - 2016
Exciting race...

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Fri Apr 29, 2016 1:17 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Friday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016: Showa Day
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Friday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

16,411 > 30,236 > 42,339 > 54,484 > 69,714 > 106,708 > 118,305 > 126,755 > 126,985 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
18,074 > 25,765 > 41,244 > 46,531 > 50,219 > x85,303 > 100,529 > 124,160 > 125,596 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
14,207 > 32,984 > 42,876 > 60,087 > 72,151 > 105,146 > 114,099 > 120,314 > 120,443 - Zootopia (WK2)
x6,583 > 15,868 > 19,688 > 30,784 > 34,703 > x54,859 > x61,078 > x68,432 > x68,623 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
x7,703 > 17,620 > 23,371 > 34,536 > 39,518 > x54,133 > x54,595 > x54,621 > x54,621 - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
x6,290 > x8,121 > x9,659 > 18,882 > 20,743 > x30,587 > x34,280 > x39,129 > x39,334 - Terra Formars (NEW)
xx,xxx > x3,500 > x5,904 > 10,948 > 13,070 > x24,163 > x29,380 > x34,313 > x34,530 - I Am a Hero (WK2)
x2,054 > x4,320 > x6,469 > x8,890 > 10,418 > x18,141 > x19,769 > x24,461 > x23,553 - The Revenant (WK2)
xx,xxx > xx,xxx > x3,332 > x4,528 > x5,075 > xx9,675 > x10,803 > x10,890 > x10,893 - Assassination Classroom: Graduation (WK6)
xx,xxx > xx,xxx > xx,xxx > xx,xxx > xx,xxx > xxx,xxx > xx8,774 > xx9,522 > xx9,583 - Yu-Gi-Oh! The Dark Side of Dimensions (WK2)


And that's it. A very close race for the top spot, and the first day of Golden Week probably saw two different winners.

Detective Conan managed to hang onto its #1 position once again, in terms of admissions, but it may have slipped to second place in terms of gross since Captain America's avg. ticket price will be notably higher. Weekday actuals are very rarely reported, so we'll probably never know for sure if there were split winners today, but I'll provide some Friday estimates after this post.

And overall, a very strong start to the Golden Week holiday period.

Terra Formars is the only real disappointment among the Top 10. Its pre-sales represented an unhealthy amount of its ticket sales, and its sales throughout the day were lackluster. The good news is that it has most of Golden Week left, so plenty chances of recovering, but based on Saturday's pre-sales... it's not looking likely.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Last edited by Corpse on Fri Apr 29, 2016 8:33 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Fri Apr 29, 2016 8:11 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Golden Week - 2016
Golden Week: 2016 - Daily Estimates (04/29-05/05)

Friday (Showa Day)

¥290,000,000 ($2.7 million) / 190,000-200,000 admissions - Captain America: Civil War (Disney) Day 1
¥280,000,000 ($2.6 million) / 205,000-215,000 admissions - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Toho) Day 14
¥250,000,000 ($2.3 million) / 180,000-190,000 admissions - Zootopia (Disney) Day 7
¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million) / 100,000-105,000 admissions - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (Toho) Day 1
¥110,000,000 ($1.0 million) / 90,000-95,000 admissions - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (Toho) Day 14
¥80,000,000 ($750,000) / 60,000-65,000 admissions - Terra Formars (Warner Bros.) Day 1

Saturday
Sunday
Monday
Tuesday (Constitution Day)
Wednesday (Greenery Day)
Thursday (Children's Day)

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Apr 29, 2016 8:22 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Saturday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

12,135 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
11,151 - Zootopia (WK2)
x8,399 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
x6,397 - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
x3,615 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
x2,875 - Yu-Gi-Oh! The Dark Side of Dimensions (WK2)
x1,703 - Terra Formars (NEW)
x1,577 - The Revenant (WK2)
x1,273 - Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (WK9)
x1,179 - Chihayafuru - Part 1 (WK7)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Apr 29, 2016 9:29 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Golden Week - 2016 (Fri. Estimates)
Hey Corpse,

What is your take on these friday to saturday drops ? The Civil War drop in particular (nearly 55%) looks pretty ugly to me. :unsure:

Any weekend forecast coming up ? :thumbsup:


Fri Apr 29, 2016 9:32 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Saturday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

11,151 > 27,308 - Zootopia (WK2)
12,135 > 22,610 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
x6,397 > 14,815 - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
x8,399 > 13,261 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
x3,615 > x9,875 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
x2,875 > x4,178 - Yu-Gi-Oh! The Dark Side of Dimensions (WK2)
x1,703 > x3,835 - Terra Formars (NEW)
x1,577 > x3,577 - The Revenant (WK2)
xx,xxx > x3,006 - I am a Hero (WK2)
x1,273 > x2,293 - Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (WK9)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Apr 29, 2016 10:19 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Golden Week - 2016 (Fri. Estimates)
Cynosure wrote:
Hey Corpse,

What is your take on these friday to saturday drops ? The Civil War drop in particular (nearly 55%) looks pretty ugly to me. :unsure:

Any weekend forecast coming up ? :thumbsup:


I wouldn't worry much about the Fri-Sat drops. They're all expected since Friday was Showa Day and the start of Golden Week (the drops will look worse for the openers because this, too). Saturday will probably end up being the weakest day of Golden Week this year.

I'm going to skip the forecast this weekend since I'll be updating practically all weekend (and into next week) on an hourly basis in the evenings/mornings.

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Apr 29, 2016 10:22 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Golden Week - 2016 (Fri. Estimates)
Corpse wrote:
Cynosure wrote:
Hey Corpse,

What is your take on these friday to saturday drops ? The Civil War drop in particular (nearly 55%) looks pretty ugly to me. :unsure:

Any weekend forecast coming up ? :thumbsup:


I wouldn't worry much about the Fri-Sat drops. They're all expected since Friday was Showa Day and the start of Golden Week (the drops will look worse for the openers because this, too). Saturday will probably end up being the weakest day of Golden Week this year.

I'm going to skip the forecast this weekend since I'll be updating practically all weekend (and into next week) on an hourly basis in the evenings/mornings.


I know about the Fri-Sat drops but CA3's day to day drop was/is pretty ugly compared to Zootopia and Conan's, that's why I asked.

Ok. That's even better. Thanks for answering. :mer:


Fri Apr 29, 2016 10:25 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Golden Week - 2016 (Fri. Estimates)
Captain America should improve upon its Sat. drop as the day progresses. Its Satuday pre-sales were ahead of Detective Conan and Zootopia prior to the start of day, so there's a lot of ticket sales still to come in since it's trailing so much this morning.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Apr 29, 2016 10:30 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Saturday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

11,151 > 27,308 > 34,620 - Zootopia (WK2)
12,135 > 22,610 > 31,692 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
x8,399 > 13,261 > 23,388 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
x6,397 > 14,815 > 20,262 - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
x3,615 > x9,875 > 12,353 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
x1,703 > x3,835 > x5,688 - Terra Formars (NEW)
x2,875 > x4,178 > x5,466 - Yu-Gi-Oh! The Dark Side of Dimensions (WK2)
x1,577 > x3,577 > x5,390 - The Revenant (WK2)
xx,xxx > x3,006 > x4,938 - I Am a Hero (WK2)
x1,273 > x2,293 > x2,806 - Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (WK9)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Fri Apr 29, 2016 11:20 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Saturday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

11,151 > 27,308 > 34,620 > 48,552 - Zootopia (WK2)
12,135 > 22,610 > 31,692 > 40,912 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
x6,397 > 14,815 > 20,262 > 29,103 - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
x8,399 > 13,261 > 23,388 > 26,979 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
x3,615 > x9,875 > 12,353 > 20,118 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
xx,xxx > x3,006 > x4,938 > x8,837 - I Am a Hero (WK2)
x1,703 > x3,835 > x5,688 > x8,110 - Terra Formars (NEW)
x1,577 > x3,577 > x5,390 > x7,243 - The Revenant (WK2)
x2,875 > x4,178 > x5,466 > x6,713 - Yu-Gi-Oh! The Dark Side of Dimensions (WK2)
xx,xxx > xx,xxx > xx,xxx > x3,312 - Assassination Classroom: Graduation (WK6)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sat Apr 30, 2016 12:29 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Saturday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

11,151 > 27,308 > 34,620 > 48,552 > 61,514 - Zootopia (WK2)
12,135 > 22,610 > 31,692 > 40,912 > 54,248 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
x6,397 > 14,815 > 20,262 > 29,103 > 34,130 - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
x8,399 > 13,261 > 23,388 > 26,979 > 30,203 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
x3,615 > x9,875 > 12,353 > 20,118 > 23,373 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
x1,703 > x3,835 > x5,688 > x8,110 > 11,346 - Terra Formars (NEW)
xx,xxx > x3,006 > x4,938 > x8,837 > 11,109 - I Am a Hero (WK2)
x1,577 > x3,577 > x5,390 > x7,243 > x8,777 - The Revenant (WK2)
x2,875 > x4,178 > x5,466 > x6,713 > x7,520 - Yu-Gi-Oh! The Dark Side of Dimensions (WK2)
xx,xxx > xx,xxx > xx,xxx > xx,xxx > x4,547 - I've Always Liked You: Confession Executive Committee (WK2)

_________________
Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sat Apr 30, 2016 1:07 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Saturday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

12,135 > 22,610 > 31,692 > 40,912 > 54,248 > 86,510 > 96,614 > 105,660 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
11,151 > 27,308 > 34,620 > 48,552 > 61,514 > 88,992 > 96,930 > 103,244 - Zootopia (WK2)
x8,399 > 13,261 > 23,388 > 26,979 > 30,203 > 57,029 > 67,747 > x84,191 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
x3,615 > x9,875 > 12,353 > 20,118 > 23,373 > 38,477 > 42,271 > x47,390 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
x6,397 > 14,815 > 20,262 > 29,103 > 34,130 > 46,832 > 47,269 > x47,295 - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
xx,xxx > x3,006 > x4,938 > x8,837 > 11,109 > 20,807 > 25,684 > x30,871 - I Am a Hero (WK2)
x1,703 > x3,835 > x5,688 > x8,110 > 11,346 > 18,906 > 21,173 > x25,272 - Terra Formars (NEW)
x1,577 > x3,577 > x5,390 > x7,243 > x8,777 > 15,930 > 17,222 > x21,061 - The Revenant (WK2)
x2,875 > x4,178 > x5,466 > x6,713 > x7,520 > 11,618 > 13,730 > x15,051 - Yu-Gi-Oh! The Dark Side of Dimensions (WK2)
xx,xxx > xx,xxx > xx,xxx > x3,312 > xx,xxx > x7,764 > x8,915 > xx8,986 - Assassination Classroom: Graduation (WK6)


Only one update to go with only ~2 hours of showtimes remaining for the day.

Detective Conan has once again managed to overtake Zootopia in the evening/night and is going to win its 15th consecutive day at the box office, at least in terms of admissions (Captain America may have beaten it yesterday in terms of gross). It won't have to worry about losing the day in gross, however, since today its admissions are comfortably higher than Captain America's.

Terra Formars continues to be the weak link among the Top 10 and has even fallen behind I Am a Hero in its second weekend... Not good, at all, and if it doesn't recover in the next day or two, then it might be labeled a bomb (or at least a big disappointment).

I'll have Saturday estimates posted after the final admission update in a couple hours.

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Japan Box Office

“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sat Apr 30, 2016 9:28 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Golden Week - 2016 (Fri. Estimates)
Before I post Saturday's final update and estimates, here's how Captain America: Civil War compared to the biggest openings of the most recent superhero films on Saturday:

45% behind Avengers: Age of Ultron
17% ahead of The Amazing Spider-Man 2
12% ahead of Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice

Using these three comparisons, we get an early weekend range of ~¥425-475 million for Captain America: Civil War. This range also puts it a bit higher than Iron Man 3 (¥414 million), but also a little below The Amazing Spider-Man (¥580 million) and The Avengers (¥500 million).

And needless to say, the opening will be above the previous Captain America films by enormous margins (maybe over 500% higher than the first film; and over 200% higher than the second). The solo MCU films, Iron Man 3 aside, have all be big disappointments in the market.

It's in pretty good company right now. However, we are in the midst of a holiday week and with Sunday being the 1st (discount day nationwide will fuel ticket sales, but lower avg. ticket prices), its number could change drastically once tomorrow is taken into consideration.

Marvel/DC Box-Office History
Spoiler: show
Image

Top Opening Weekends
¥1.226 billion ($9.6 million) - Spider-Man (2002)
¥1.207 billion ($10.1 million) - Spider-Man 3 (2007)
¥1.084 billion ($10.0 million) - Spider-Man 2 (2004)
¥793.9 million ($6.5 million) - Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015)
¥580.9 million ($7.4 million) - The Amazing Spider-Man (2012)
¥500.9 million ($6.3 million) - The Avengers (2012)
Captain America: Civil War (2016) [Likely Ranking Slot]
¥420.3 million ($4.1 million) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014)
¥414.7 million ($4.3 million) - Iron Man 3 (2013)

¥372.0 million ($4.6 million) - The Dark Knight Rises (2012)
¥371.3 million ($3.3 million) - Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016)
¥368.9 million ($3.4 million) - Superman Returns (2006)
¥361.9 million ($3.1 million) - X2: X-Men United (2003)
¥333.2 million ($3.1 million) - The Dark Knight (2008)
¥290.2 million ($2.7 million) - Batman Begins (2005)

¥276.6 million ($2.4 million) - X-Men: The Last Stand (2006)
¥272.5 million ($2.7 million) - X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014)

¥268.3 million ($2.8 million) - Man of Steel (2013)
¥264.6 million ($2.9 million) - Iron Man 2 (2010)
¥247.5 million ($2.1 million) - Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer (2007)
¥224.1 million ($2.1 million) - Guardians of the Galaxy (2014)
¥211.7 million ($2.0 million) - Iron Man (2008)
¥204.7 million ($1.9 million) - Fantastic Four (2005)
¥200.4 million ($1.7 million) - Ant-Man (2015)
¥198.4 million ($1.9 million) - Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014)
¥194.3 million ($1.6 million) - Daredevil (2003)
¥187.1 million ($1.8 million) - Thor: The Dark World (2014)
¥184.3 million ($1.9 million) - The Wolverine (2013)
¥176.8 million ($1.9 million) - X-Men Origins: Wolverine (2009)
¥160.9 million ($1.4 million) - Hulk (2003)
¥158.5 million ($1.9 million) - X-Men: First Class (2011)
¥129.9 million ($1.6 million) - Thor (2011)

¥109.7 million ($1.2 million) - Watchmen (2009)
¥88.3 million ($1.1 million) - Captain America: The First Avenger (2011)
¥65.1 million ($0.6 million) - Catwoman (2004)
¥42.6 million ($0.6 million) - The Green Lantern (2011)

¥41.5 million ($0.4 million) - The Incredible Hulk (2008)


Top Grossing Films
¥7.50 billion ($59.2 million) - Spider-Man (2002) #68 All-Time
¥7.12 billion ($66.9 million) - Spider-Man 3 (2007) #73 All-Time
¥6.70 billion ($61.1 million) - Spider-Man 2 (2004) #83 All-Time
¥3.61 billion ($46.2 million) - The Avengers (2012)
¥3.21 billion ($26.0 million) - Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015)
¥3.16 billion ($39.1 million) - The Amazing Spider-Man (2012)
¥3.14 billion ($30.7 million) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014)

¥3.00 billion ($20.0 million) - Batman (1989)
¥2.57 billion ($26.4 million) - Iron Man 3 (2013)
¥2.55 billion ($12.0 million) - Superman II (1981)
¥1.97 billion ($24.2 million) - The Dark Knight Rises (2012)
¥1.85 billion ($18.1 million) - X-Men (2000)
¥1.80 billion ($15.9 million) - X2: X-Men United (2003)

¥1.75 billion ($15.7 million) - Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016) [5 Weeks in Release]
¥1.60 billion ($15.8 million) - The Dark Knight (2008)
¥1.53 billion ($14.3 million) - X-Men: The Last Stand (2006)
¥1.50 billion ($11.9 million) - Superman Returns (2006)
¥1.40 billion ($14.1 million) - Batman Begins (2005)
¥1.21 billion ($10.0 million) - Ant-Man (2015)
¥1.20 billion ($13.7 million) - Iron Man 2 (2010)
¥1.07 billion ($9.7 million) - Guardians of the Galaxy (2014)
¥1.03 billion ($10.1 million) - X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014)

¥970 million ($9.8 million) - Man of Steel (2013)
¥950 million ($10.1 million) - Fantastic Four (2005)
¥900 million ($9.3 million) - Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer (2007)
¥900 million ($9.8 million) - X-Men Origins: Wolverine (2009)
¥850 million ($8.2 million) - Hulk (2003)
¥830 million ($6.9 million) - Daredevil (2003)
¥820 million ($8.4 million) - The Wolverine (2013)
¥800 million ($8.9 million) - Iron Man (2008)
¥750 million ($8.0 million) - X-Men: First Class (2011)
¥700 million ($6.8 million) - Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014)
¥650 million ($6.3 million) - Thor: The Dark World (2014)
¥550 million ($7.0 million) - Thor (2011)

¥420 million ($4.2 million) - Watchmen (2009)
¥400 million ($5.0 million) - Captain America: The First Avenger (2011)
¥370 million ($3.3 million) - Catwoman (2004)
¥240 million ($2.0 million) - The Incredible Hulk (2008)
¥200 million ($1.9 million) - Green Lantern (2011)

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Sat Apr 30, 2016 11:50 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Saturday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

12,135 > 22,610 > 31,692 > 40,912 > 54,248 > 86,510 > 96,614 > 105,660 > 106,015 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
11,151 > 27,308 > 34,620 > 48,552 > 61,514 > 88,992 > 96,930 > 103,244 > 103,484 - Zootopia (WK2)
x8,399 > 13,261 > 23,388 > 26,979 > 30,203 > 57,029 > 67,747 > x84,191 > x85,816 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
x3,615 > x9,875 > 12,353 > 20,118 > 23,373 > 38,477 > 42,271 > x47,390 > x47,558 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
x6,397 > 14,815 > 20,262 > 29,103 > 34,130 > 46,832 > 47,269 > x47,295 > x47,295 - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
xx,xxx > x3,006 > x4,938 > x8,837 > 11,109 > 20,807 > 25,684 > x30,871 > x31,208 - I Am a Hero (WK2)
x1,703 > x3,835 > x5,688 > x8,110 > 11,346 > 18,906 > 21,173 > x25,272 > x25,536 - Terra Formars (NEW)
x1,577 > x3,577 > x5,390 > x7,243 > x8,777 > 15,930 > 17,222 > x21,061 > x21,212 - The Revenant (WK2)
x2,875 > x4,178 > x5,466 > x6,713 > x7,520 > 11,618 > 13,730 > x15,051 > x15,163 - Yu-Gi-Oh! The Dark Side of Dimensions (WK2)
xx,xxx > xx,xxx > xx,xxx > x3,312 > xx,xxx > x7,764 > x8,915 > xx8,986 > xx8,988 - Assassination Classroom: Graduation (WK6)


Compared to last Saturday: Detective Conan (-22%); Zootopia (+8%); Crayon Shin-chan (+9%); I Am a Hero (-34%); The Revenant(-48%); Yu-Gi-Oh! (-57%); Assassination Classroom (-33%).


Saturday Estimates will be up soon.

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Sat Apr 30, 2016 11:58 am
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Golden Week - 2016
Golden Week: 2016 - Daily Estimates (04/29-05/05)

Friday (Showa Day)
¥290,000,000 ($2.7 million) / 190,000-200,000 admissions - Captain America: Civil War (Disney) Day 1
¥280,000,000 ($2.6 million) / 205,000-215,000 admissions - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Toho) Day 14
¥250,000,000 ($2.3 million) / 180,000-190,000 admissions - Zootopia (Disney) Day 7
¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million) / 100,000-105,000 admissions - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (Toho) Day 1
¥110,000,000 ($1.0 million) / 90,000-95,000 admissions - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (Toho) Day 14
¥80,000,000 ($750,000) / 60,000-65,000 admissions - Terra Formars (Warner Bros.) Day 1


Saturday
¥230,000,000 ($2.2 million) / 175,000-185,000 admissions - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Toho) Day 15
¥215,000,000 ($2.0 million) / 160,000-170,000 admissions - Zootopia (Disney) Day 8
¥205,000,000 ($1.9 million) / 130,000-140,000 admissions - Captain America: Civil War (Disney) Day 2
¥95,000,000 ($890,000) / 75,000-80,000 admissions - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (Toho) Day 2
¥95,000,000 ($890,000) / 80,000-85,000 admissions - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (Toho) Day 15
¥55,000,000 ($525,000) / 40,000-45,000 admissions - Terra Formars (Warner Bros.) Day 2


Sunday (Discount Day)
Monday
Tuesday (Constitution Day)
Wednesday (Greenery Day)
Thursday (Children's Day)

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Sat Apr 30, 2016 12:08 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Golden Week - 2016 (Sat. Estimates)
After briefly checking various theaters this morning, it's clear that Sunday is going to be an enormous day at the box office. Not only will Sunday greatly outdo Saturday's results, but it may also outpace Friday (admissions).

Most films, those ranking in the Top 10 and even outside, are reaching 50%+ capacity for nearly all their showtimes all the way to at least 5PM on pre-sales alone at many, many locations (and it's only 9:30AM right now).

Sunday's first ticket sales will be posted in ~30 minutes.

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Sat Apr 30, 2016 8:38 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Sunday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Sunday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

30,633 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
28,738 - Zootopia (WK2)
16,936 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
12,167- Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
x6,585 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
x4,086 - Chihayafuru - Part 1 (WK7)
x4,053 - The Revenant (WK2)
x3,805 - Terra Formars (NEW)
x3,637 - Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (WK9
x3,307 - I Am a Hero (WK2)


Well, as you can see (by comparing to Saturday a few posts up), Sunday is currently outpacing Saturday by over 100% or better across the board so far. It's also outpacing Friday by quite a significant margin as well. It's going to be a monstrous day.

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Sat Apr 30, 2016 9:22 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Sunday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Sunday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

28,738 > 55,244 - Zootopia (WK2)
30,633 > 50,692 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
12,167 > 25,847 - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
16,936 > 23,953 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
x6,585 > 18,052 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
x3,805 > x8,030 - Terra Formars (NEW)
x4,053 > x7,930 - The Revenant (WK2)
x3,307 > x7,568 - I Am a Hero (WK2)
x4,086 > x5,894 - Chihayafuru - Part 1 (WK7)
x3,637 > x5,670- Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (WK9

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Japan Box Office

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"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sat Apr 30, 2016 10:14 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Sunday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Sunday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

30,633 > 50,692 > 70,242 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
28,738 > 55,244 > 70,036 - Zootopia (WK2)
16,936 > 23,953 > 42,130 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
12,167 > 25,847 > 33,916 - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
x6,585 > 18,052 > 22,985 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
x3,805 > x8,030 > 12,039 - Terra Formars (NEW)
x4,053 > x7,930 > 11,732 - The Revenant (WK2)
x3,307 > x7,568 > 10,918 - I Am a Hero (WK2)
x3,637 > x5,670 > x6,544 - Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (WK9)
x4,086 > x5,894 > x6,532 - Chihayafuru - Part 1 (WK7)

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sat Apr 30, 2016 11:18 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Sunday Admissions
Golden Week - 2016
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Sunday Admissions (Real-Time Ticket Sales)

10AM > 11AM > 12PM > 1PM > 2PM > 5PM > 7PM > 10PM > FINAL

28,738 > 55,244 > 70,036 > 89,924 - Zootopia (WK2)
30,633 > 50,692 > 70,242 > 87,841 - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (WK3)
16,936 > 23,953 > 42,130 > 48,484 - Captain America: Civil War (NEW)
12,167 > 25,847 > 33,916 > 48,379 - Crayon Shin-chan: Assault on the Dreaming World (WK3)
x6,585 > 18,052 > 22,985 > 35,600 - Chihayafuru - Part 2 (NEW)
x3,307 > x7,568 > 10,918 > 18,459 - I Am a Hero (WK2)
x3,805 > x8,030 > 12,039 > 17,686 - Terra Formars (NEW)
x4,053 > x7,930 > 11,732 > 14,782 - The Revenant (WK2)
x3,637 > x5,670 > x6,544 > x6,905 - Doraemon: Nobita and the Birth of Japan (WK9)
xx,xxx > xx,xxx > xx,xxx > x6,746 - Yu-Gi-Oh! The Dark Dimensions (WK2)

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"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."


Sun May 01, 2016 12:24 am
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