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 Japan Box-Office: Weekend Actuals (08/08-09); Obon Festival 
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations - Weekend Admissions
Usual Locations - Weekend Admissions (66% of Market)

[01/02-03]
TW (LW) Admissions (% change), [Theaters/Showings], Film (Dis.) Week of Release
01 (01) 335,504 (+12%), [236/5,038], Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Week 3
02 (02) 170,847 (-37%), [229/3,188], Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Toho) Week 3
03 (03) 78,815 (-23%), [219/2,070], Orange (Toho) Week 4
04 (04) 50,139 (+14%), [227/1,617], 007: Spectre (Sony) Week 5
05 (05) 42,660 (+39%), [221/1,752], Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Week 4
06 (06) 34,944 (+31%), [177/1,794], Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Week 2
07 (11) 24,473 (+58%), [222/1,377], Persona Non Grata (Toho) Week 5
08 (12) 21,442 (+128%), [58/196], Girls und Panzer: The Movie (Showgate) Week 7
09 (10) 17,630 (-03%), [168/1,322], Creed (Warner Bros.) Week 2
10 (08) 15,078 (-31%), [197/1,139], Kamen Rider X Kamen Rider Ghost & Drive Movie Wars (Toei) Week 4
11 (09) 13,789 (-24%), [225/1,021], The Peanuts Movie (Fox) Week 5
12 (13) 9,660 (+30%), [203/793], Kainan 1890 (Toei) Week 5
13 (08) 6,023 (-69%), [96/411], High Speed! Free! Starting Days (Shochiku) Week 5
14 (17) 3,576 (-08%), [171/370], The Little Prince (Warner Bros.) Week 7
15 (16) 2,958 (-30%), [11/54], Denki Groove the Movie? (Live Broadcast) Week 2
16 (18) 2,365 (-35%), [29/145], Straight Outta Compton (Sinkers) Week 2
17 (21) 2,007 (-03%), [209/4222], Mozu (Toho) Week 9
18 (19) 1,954 (-23%), [135/292], Raintree Country (Showgate) Week 7
19 (20) 1,329 (-42%), [9/66], Pawn Sacrifice (Gaga) Week 2
20 (22) 916 (-11%), [8/27], The Woman in Gold (Gaga) Week 6

You'll see that some films had increases while others didn't, which may seem a bit odd given the holidays. The cause of this is due to what dates the weekend landed on this year.

Basically, the more appeal a film had for adult audiences, the bigger the increase (or stronger the hold) since business are currently on holiday. The bank holidays at the beginning of January is one the few times during the year that workers/salarymen can attend a movie on their own terms.

And those films that appeal to a younger audience experienced the worse holds over the weekend (or normal holds) since they've been receiving their Winter Break/New Year boost prior to going into the weekend and will continue to receive a boost heading into the next set of weekdays, while the more adult films will drop faster.

Weekend Estimates will be posted shortly.

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Sun Jan 03, 2016 12:15 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (01/02-03)
Weekend Estimates (01/02-03)/2016年01月02日-2016年01月03日
01 (01) ¥790,000,000 ($6.55 million), +09%, ¥6,340,000,000 ($52.74 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Week 3
02 (02) ¥333,000,000 ($2.76 million), -35%, ¥3,660,000,000 ($30.37 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Week 3
03 (03) ¥162,000,000 ($1.34 million), -23%, ¥2,000,000,000 ($16.52 million), Orange (Toho) Week 4
04 (04) ¥120,000,000 ($992,000), +14%, ¥2,525,000,000 ($20.85 million), 007: Spectre (Sony) Week 5
05 (05) ¥114,000,000 ($945,000), +39%, ¥1,295,000,000 ($10.72 million), Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Week 4
06 (06) ¥70,000,000 ($582,000), +30%, ¥350,000,000 ($2.90 million), Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Week 2
07 (09) ¥69,000,000 ($572,000), +54%, ¥850,000,000 ($7.00 million), Persona Non Grata (Toho) Week 5
08 (13) ¥54,000,000 ($447,000), +125%, ¥750,000,000 ($6.19 million), Girls und Panzer: The Movie (Showgate) Week 7
09 (10) ¥42,000,000 ($346,000), -04%, ¥170,000,000 ($1.41 million), Creed (Warner Bros.) Week 2
10 (07) ¥34,000,000 ($284,000), -30%, ¥650,000,000 ($5.41 million), Kamen Rider X Kamen Rider Ghost & Drive Movie Wars (Toei) Week 4

>Star Wars: The Force Awakens may have broke ¥800 million, but I want to be "conservative" since its actual went up last weekend. It's outpacing Attack of the Clones and Revenge of the Sith by pretty significant amounts now after seeing a debut on par/below them, and it's incredibly likely to exceed the ¥10 billion milestone. It may come closer to The Phantom Menace's total than originally expected.

>Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! is down quite a bit once again this weekend, but its weekdays going into the weekend were notably strong, and it's likely to perform well over the next few days as well. It's still down over 30% from last year's film by comparison, but is still on track to exceed the ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone. And since its ticket prices are so low, it may sell over 5 million admissions again this year which is no small task.

Other notable films:

>Spectre is now just ¥200/250 million away from surpassing Skyfall (¥2.75 billion) to become the highest-grossing 007 film. It'll probably get get there next weekend.

>Orange is probably over the ¥2 billion milestone, which will make it the fourth-consecutive live-action shojo manga (teen romance) adaptation to reach the mark. The genre has been on a huge winning streak as of late. But more importantly, Orange is looking at a total north of ¥2.5 billion (and perhaps close to ¥3 billion), which will make it the highest-grossing shoji film since 2009.

>Persona Non Grata's strong weekend showing, combined with its great weekday performance, will allow it to exceed the ¥1 billion milestone. It had a mediocre debut earlier this month, but it's gone on to develop great legs.

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“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Last edited by Corpse on Sun Jan 03, 2016 1:08 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Sun Jan 03, 2016 1:03 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Third Weeks
Biggest Three Week Totals (2001-)

Three Week Total (% of Final Total) - Film (Year)
¥7.22 billion (23.8%) - Spirited Away (2001)
¥6.78 billion (34.6%) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥6.73 billion (33.2%) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥6.67 billion (38.6%) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥6.37 billion (57.9%) - The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥6.34 billion (??.?%) - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) *Estimate*
¥6.13 billion (56.2%) - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥5.96 billion (62.7%) - Jurassic World (2015)
¥5.95 billion (34.2%) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥5.89 billion (49.9%) - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥5.86 billion (43.4%) - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥5.31 billion (54.9%) - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (2011)
¥5.28 billion (20.7%) - Frozen (2014)
¥5.26 billion (33.9%) - Ponyo (2008)
¥5.24 billion (67.2%) - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (2014)
¥5.23 billion (55.6%) - Harry Potter and the Order of the Phoenix (2007)
¥5.23 billion (73.4%) - Spider-Man 3 (2007)
¥5.22 billion (52.1%) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
¥5.18 billion (57.2%) - The Da Vinci Code (2006)
¥5.03 billion (56.7%) - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥5 billion+


Biggest Third Weekends (2001-)

Third Weekend Gross (% change) - Film (Year)
¥1.205 billion (-11%) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥1.196 billion (-15%) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥1.078 billion (+05%) - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥1.012 billion (-16%) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥998.9 million (-21%) - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥935.7 million (-20%) - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥890.0 million (-09%) - Spirited Away (2001)
¥881.2 million (+01%) - Frozen (2014)
¥848.1 million (-22%) - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥799.6 million (-24%) - Rookies (2009)
¥790.0 million (+09%) - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) *Estimate*
¥776.5 million (-05%) - Ponyo (2008)
¥772.9 million (-30%) - The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥719.7 million (-23%) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge (2003)
¥710.3 million (-13%) - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
¥692.4 million (-37%) - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥683.5 million (-34%) - The Da Vinci Code (2006)
¥665.4 million (+30%) - Big Hero 6 (2014)
¥636.9 million (-06%) - Avatar (2009)
¥624.6 million (-27%) - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥597.5 million (-37%) - Jurassic World (2015)
¥584.5 million (-15%) - Umizaru: The Last Message (2010)
¥580.4 million (-23%) - Boys Over Flowers: Final (2008)
¥574.1 million (-19%) - Umizaru: The Limit of Love (2006)
¥559.1 million (-54%) - Spider-Man (2002)
¥555.6 million (-31%) - The Wind Rises (2013)
¥548.8 million (-09%) - Arrietty (2010)
¥547.1 million (-13%) - Monsters University (2013)
¥540.6 million (-22%) - Star Wars: Episide II - Attack of the Clones (2002)
¥538.4 million (-09%) - Monsters, Inc. (2002)
¥536.5 million (-20%) - Bayside Shakedown: Set the Guys Loose! (2010)
¥536.2 million (-26%) - Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥533.8 million (-14%) - Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince (2009)
¥531.7 million (+46%) - The Eternal Zero (2013)
¥525.2 million (-22%) - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part - 2 (2011)
¥522.0 million (-09%) - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004)
¥515.5 million (-12%) - Tales from Earthsea (2006)
¥511.1 million (-28%) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
¥506.2 million (-18%) - Yo-Kai Watch: It's th Secret of Birth, Nyan! (2014)
¥506.1 million (-39%) - Hero (2007)
¥504.8 million (-01%) - The Last Samurai (2003)
¥500 million+

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Sun Jan 03, 2016 1:04 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekday Estimates (01/02-03)
How many admissions so far for the dynamic duo?

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Sun Jan 03, 2016 1:10 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekday Estimates (01/02-03)
Star Wars: The Force Awakens probably exceeded 4 million over the weekend (I have it at ~4.07 million) after three weeks.

Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! should be closing in on 3.5 million (I have it at ~3.41 million) after three weeks.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Sun Jan 03, 2016 1:16 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekday Estimates (01/02-03)
THX!

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Sun Jan 03, 2016 1:18 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekday Estimates (01/02-03)
No problem. And for final estimates,

Yo-Kai Watch 2 is aiming for around 5 million admissions. It shouldn't deviate much from a 4.9-5.1 million range.

Star Wars VII is harder to project since there aren't any good comparisons for it from this time of year. However, I'm pretty confident it'll exceed 7 million admissions and wouldn't rule out 8 million yet, though that'd be an uphill climb.

For comparison, The Phantom Menace sold 8.3 million; Attack of the Clones sold 6.8 million; and Revenge of the Sith sold 6.6 million. None of the films from the original trilogy sold over 5 million admissions, otherwise it'd be reported (though Return of the Jedi had to be close).

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Sun Jan 03, 2016 1:28 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals (01/02-03)
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Weekend Actuals (01/02-03)/2016年01月02日-2016年01月03日
01 (01) ¥826,655,600 ($6.85 million), +14%, ¥6,401,002,302 ($53.04 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Week 3
02 (02) ¥374,386,900 ($3.10 million), -27%, ¥3,783,116,800 ($31.39 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Week 3
03 (03) ¥168,658,900 ($1.40 million), -20%, ¥2,102,562,500 ($17.36 million), Orange (Toho) Week 4
04 (04) ¥120,300,800 ($998,000), +14%, ¥2,562,423,500 ($21.15 million), 007: Spectre (Sony) Week 5
05 (05) ¥109,649,200 ($909,000), +34%, ¥1,279,741,000 ($10.61 million), Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Week 4
06 (06) ¥73,632,500 ($610,000), +37%, ¥364,674,800 ($3.01 million), Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Week 2
07 (09) ¥66,323,700 ($550,000), +48%, ¥944,479,100 ($7.80 million), Persona Non Grata (Toho) Week 5
08 (13) ¥47,671,400 ($396,000), +96%, ¥767,086,390 ($6.33 million), Girls und Panzer: The Movie (Showgate) Week 7
09 (10) ¥45,910,100 ($381,000), +06%, ¥239,191,900 ($1.99 million), Creed (Warner Bros.) Week 2
10 (07) ¥35,377,700 ($294,000), -27%, ¥617,738,000 ($5.16 million), Kamen Rider X Kamen Rider Ghost & Drive Movie Wars (Toei) Week 4

>Star Wars: The Force Awakens delivered the tenth biggest third weekend of all-time (second biggest this decade), and achieved the fifth highest three week total of all-time (biggest this decade).

The seventh Star Wars entry sold 521,980 tickets over its third weekend, up 17% over last weekend. And after three weeks in release, it's sold 4.15 million admissions.

There aren't any good comparisons to project where it may be heading, but it's looking very likely to exceed 7 million admissions and has assured it that it'll achieve the ¥10 billion ($80 million) uber-blockbuster milestone, making it the second biggest Star Wars film (behind The Phantom Menace), and only the second live-action film this decade to reach the mark as well (the first being Alice in Wonderland).

I don't want to speak too soon, but there's still a chance that The Force Awakens could go on to challenge The Phantom Menace, or at least come quite close to it by grossing around ¥12 billion (~$100 million) on almost 8 million admissions.

>Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! saw an uptick over estimates, and delivered a more favorable second weekend hold and three week total.

The second film in the multi-media phenomenon sold an additional 321,594 tickets over its third weekend, down 29% compared to last weekend, bringing its three week total to 3.42 million admissions.

It it follows its predecessor from here, it'll have no problem exceeding the ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone, and should be aiming for a total of ¥5.5 billion ($45 million) and 5 million admissions. However, its predecessor was very frontloaded, so perhaps there's still a chance it could even hit ¥6 billion ($50 million).

>Spectre continues tracking ahead of Skyfall, by 25%, though it's further into New Year than its predecessor, so the latter will close the gap over the next few weeks. However, Spectre has a commanding lead after four weeks, and will overtake Skyfall to become the highest-grossing 007 film before next weekend begins. It'll come pretty close to the ¥3 billion milestone, and has a fair shot at reaching it.

>Orange has easily exceeded the ¥2 billion milestone already, after four weeks in release, and unlike most shojo live-action adaptations which have little left in the tank when reaching this mark, Orange still has quite a bit left. It'll become the highest-grossing shojo (or josei) live-action adaptation since 2009's Nodame Cantabile as it also aims for the ¥3 billion milestone.

>Persona Non Grata is experiencing the biggest New Years boost, in terms of percentage, and will exceed the ¥1 billion milestone before the holiday frame is over. Its legs have been exceptional following its mediocre debut, and will approach a multiplier of 10.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Mon Jan 04, 2016 9:22 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Third Weeks
Biggest Third Weekends/Third Week Totals (2001-)

¥1.205 billion, (-11%), ¥6.73 billion, Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥1.196 billion, (-15%), ¥6.67 billion, Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥1.150 billion, (-02%), ¥6.30 billion, Your Name. (2016) *Projection*
¥1.078 billion, (+05%), ¥5.89 billion, Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥1.012 billion, (-16%), ¥6.78 billion, Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥998.9 million, (-21%), ¥5.86 billion, Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥935.7 million,(-20%), ¥6.13 billion, Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥890.0 million, (-09%), ¥7.22 billion, Spirited Away (2001)
¥881.2 million, (+01%), ¥5.28 billion, Frozen (2014)
¥848.1 million, (-22%), ¥4.98 billion, Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥826.7 million, (+14%), ¥6.40 billion, Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015)
¥799.6 million, (-24%), ¥4.86 billion, Rookies (2009)
¥776.5 million, (-05%), ¥5.26 billion, Ponyo (2008)
¥772.9 million, (-30%), ¥6.37 billion, The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥719.7 million, (-23%), ¥5.95 billion, Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge (2003)
¥710.3 million, (-13%), ¥4.91 billion, The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
¥692.4 million, (-37%), ¥5.03 billion, Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥683.5 million, (-34%), ¥5.18 billion, The Da Vinci Code (2006)
¥665.4 million, (+30%), ¥4.14 billion, Big Hero 6 (2014)
¥636.9 million, (-06%), ¥4.67 billion, Avatar (2009)
¥624.6 million, (-27%), ¥4.59 billion, Finding Nemo (2003)
¥597.5 million, (-37%), ¥5.95 billion, Jurassic World (2015)
¥584.5 million, (-15%), ¥4.68 billion, Umizaru: The Last Message (2010)
¥580.4 million, (-23%), ¥3.79 billion, Boys Over Flowers: Final (2008)
¥574.1 million, (-19%), ¥3.55 billion, Umizaru: The Limit of Love (2006)
¥559.1 million, (-54%), ¥3.68 billion, Spider-Man (2002)
¥555.6 million, (-31%), ¥4.36 billion, The Wind Rises (2013)
¥548.8 million, (-09%), ¥3.98 billion, Arrietty (2010)
¥547.1 million, (-13%), ¥3.44 billion, Monsters University (2013)
¥540.6 million, (-22%), ¥4.42 billion, Star Wars: Episide II - Attack of the Clones (2002)
¥538.4 million, (-09%), ¥2.84 billion, Monsters, Inc. (2002)
¥536.5 million, (-20%), ¥3.66 billion, Bayside Shakedown: Set the Guys Loose! (2010)
¥536.2 million, (-26%), ¥3.88 billion, Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥533.8 million, (-14%), ¥4.75 billion, Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince (2009)
¥531.7 million, (+46%), ¥3.20 billion, The Eternal Zero (2013)
¥525.2 million, (-22%), ¥5.31 billion, Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows Part - 2 (2011)
¥522.0 million, (-09%), ¥2.79 billion, Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004)
¥515.5 million, (-12%), ¥3.77 billion, Tales from Earthsea (2006)
¥511.1 million, (-28%), ¥5.22 billion, Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
¥506.2 million, (-18%), ¥5.42 billion, Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (2014)
¥506.1 million, (-39%), ¥4.48 billion, Hero (2007)
¥504.8 million, (-01%), ¥3.18 billion, The Last Samurai (2003)
¥500 million+

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Last edited by Corpse on Sat Sep 10, 2016 1:13 pm, edited 1 time in total.



Mon Jan 04, 2016 11:46 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekday Estimates (01/04-08)
Weekday Estimates (01/04-08)

Monday Estimates (01/04)
¥285,000,000 ($2.38 million), +02%, ¥6,686,000,000 ($55.42 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 18
¥165,000,000 ($1.38 million), -27% ¥3,948,000,000 ($32.77 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 17
¥84,000,000 ($701,000), -10%, ¥2,186,000,000 ($18.06 million), Orange (Toho) Day 24
¥39,000,000 ($328,000), +03%, ¥2,601,000,000 ($21.48 million), 007: Spectre (Sony) Day 32
¥36,000,000 ($300,000), +56%, ¥1,315,000,000 ($10.91 million), Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Day 24


Tuesday Estimates (01/05)
¥160,000,000 ($1.35 million), -55%, ¥6,846,000,000 ($56.77 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 19
¥115,000,000 ($965,000), -57% ¥4,063,000,000 ($33.74 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 18
¥63,000,000 ($529,000), -50%, ¥2,249,000,000 ($18.59 million), Orange (Toho) Day 25
¥30,000,000 ($252,000), -26%, ¥425,000,000 ($3.53 million), Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Day 15
¥18,000,000 ($151,000), -62%, ¥2,619,000,000 ($21.66 million), 007: Spectre (Sony) Day 33


% changes versus last week.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Tue Jan 05, 2016 7:13 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: First Page Preview/Updated (Finally)
Alright, so I've finally updated the first post on the first of this thread as promised several times last year.

There, you'll find a link to the beginning of each year's box office discussion in this thread, as well as that year's stats and Top 10 films. I even added asterisks (*) to December releases, which count toward the following box office year, for you mark66.

Below is how the first page will look, however, you'll also see a regularly updated All-Time Top 150 films and Most Attended Films below the individual years. If there's anything else anyone would like to see kept updated in the first post on the first page, please say so.

2015 Box Office (Pages 223-282)
2015 Box Office Stats:
Spoiler: show
COMING SOON! [Last Week of January]

Top 10 Films [Preliminary]:
01. ¥9.51 billion ($77.9 million) - Jurassic World (Toho-Towa)
02. ¥9.16 billion ($77.7 million) - Big Hero 6 (Disney)*
03. ¥7.80 billion ($66.2 million) - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (Toho)*
04. ¥5.85 billion ($47.7 million) - The Boy and the Beast (Toho)
05. ¥5.73 billion ($46.6 million) - Cinderella (Disney)
06. ¥5.21 billion ($42.9 million) - Minions (Toho-Towa)
07. ¥5.11 billion ($42.1 million) - Mission: Impossible - Rogue Nation (Paramount)
08. ¥4.67 billion ($38.4 million) - Hero 2 (Toho)
09. ¥4.48 billion ($37.1 million) - Detective Conan: Sunflowers of Inferno (Toho)
10. ¥4.03 billion ($33.5 million) - Inside Out (Disney)
*2014 Release


2014 Box Office (Pages 171-223)
2014 Box Office Stats:
Spoiler: show
Yearly Box Office - ¥207.03 billion ($1.96 billion)
Yearly Admissions - 161.11 million
Japanese Film Share (58.4%) / Imported Film Share (41.6%)
Films Released - 1,184 (615 Japanese, 569 Imported)
Number of ¥1 billion earners - 56
Average Ticket Price - ¥1,285

Top 10 Films:
01. ¥25.48 billion ($249.6 million) - Frozen (Disney)
02. ¥8.76 billion ($85.1 million) - The Eternal Zero (Toho)*
03. ¥8.38 billion ($80.2 million) - Stand By Me, Doraemon (Toho)
04. ¥6.54 billion ($63.5 million) - Maleficent (Disney)
05. ¥5.22 billion ($50.0 million) - Rurouni Kenshin: Kyoto Inferno (Warner Bros.)
06. ¥4.42 billion ($43.4 million) - Thermae Romae II (Toho)
07. ¥4.35 billion ($40.6 million) - Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (Warner Bros.)
08. ¥4.26 billion ($41.1 million) - Lupin III vs. Detective Conan (Toho)*
09. ¥4.11 billion ($40.3 million) - Detective Conan: The Sniper from Another Dimension (Toho)
10. ¥3.58 billion ($35.2 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Great Demon - Peko and the Exploration Party (Toho)
*2013 Release


2013 Box Office (Pages 131-171)
2013 Box Office Stats:
Spoiler: show
Yearly Box Office - ¥194.23 billion ($1.98 billion)
Yearly Admissions - 155.88 million
Japanese Film Share (60.6%) / Imported Film Share (39.4%)
Films Released - 1,117 (591 Japanese, 526 Imported)
Number of ¥1 billion earners - 56
Average Ticket Price - ¥1,246

Top 10 Films:
01. ¥12.02 billion ($123.5 million) - The Wind Rises (Toho)
02. ¥8.96 billion ($91.3 million) - Monsters University (Disney)
03. ¥6.87 billion ($77.1 million) - One Piece Film Z (Toei)*
04. ¥5.89 billion ($65.3 million) - Les Miserables (Toho-Towa)*
05. ¥4.23 billion ($46.3 million) - Ted (Toho-Towa)
06. ¥3.98 billion ($43.2 million) - Doraemon: Nobita's Secret Gadget Museum (Toho)
07. ¥3.63 billion ($37.1 million) - Detective Conan: Private Eye in the Distant Sea (Toho)
08. ¥3.33 billion ($34.3 million) - Midsummer Formula (Toho)
09. ¥3.25 billion ($33.8 million) - The After-Dinner Mysteries (Toho)
10. ¥3.20 billion ($33.2 million) - Like Father, Like Son (Gaga)
*2012 Release


2012 Box Office (Pages 94-131)
2012 Box Office Stats:
Spoiler: show
Yearly Box Office - ¥195.19 billion ($2.34 billion)
Yearly Admissions - 155.16 million
Japanese Film Share (65.7%) / Imported Film Share (34.3%)
Films Released - 983 (554 Japanese, 429 Imported)
Number of ¥1 billion earners - 58
Average Ticket Price - ¥1,258

Top 10 Films:
01. ¥7.33 billion ($93.6 million) - Umizaru: Brave Hearts (Toho)
02. ¥5.98 billion ($76.3 million) - Thermae Romae (Toho)
03. ¥5.97 billion ($75.9 million) - Bayside Shakedown: The Final (Toho)
04. ¥5.38 billion ($70.5 million) - Mission: Impossible - Ghost Protocol (Paramount)*
05. ¥5.30 billion ($64.0 million) - Evangelion 3.0: You Can (Not) Redo (Toei)
06. ¥4.22 billion ($53.9 million) - Wolf Children (Toho)
07. ¥3.87 billion ($48.9 million) - Resident Evil: Retribution (Sony)
08. ¥3.62 billion ($46.1 million) - Doraemon: Nobita and the Island of Miracles (Toho)
09. ¥3.61 billion ($46.1 million) - The Avengers (Disney)
10. ¥3.61 billion ($46.0 million) - Pokemon Best Wishes: Kyurem vs The Sacred Swordsmen (Toho)
*2011 Release


2011 Box Office (Pages 58-94)
2011 Box Office Stats:
Spoiler: show
Yearly Box Office - ¥181.19 billion ($2.34 billion)
Yearly Admissions - 144.72 million
Japanese Film Share (54.9%) / Imported Film Share (45.1%)
Films Released - 799 (441 Japanese, 358 Imported)
Number of ¥1 billion earners - 54
Average Ticket Price - ¥1,252

Top 10 Films:
01. ¥9.67 billion ($125.3 million) - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (Warner Bros.)
02. ¥8.87 billion ($114.9 million) - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (Disney)
03. ¥6.86 billion ($88.9 million) - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 1 (Warner Bros.)*
04. ¥4.46 billion ($57.8 million) - From Kokuriko Hill (Toho)
05. ¥4.33 billion ($56.1 million) - Pokemon Best Wishes: Victini and Zekrom/Victini and Reshiram (Toho)
06. ¥4.28 billion ($55.4 million) - A Ghost of a Chance (Toho)
07. ¥4.25 billion ($55.0 million) - Transformers: Dark of the Moon (Paramount)
08. ¥4.10 billion ($53.1 million) - Space Battleship Yamato (Toho)
09. ¥3.45 billion ($44.7 million) - Gantz (Toho)
10. ¥3.33 billion ($42.7 million) - SP: The Motion Picture 2 (Toho)
*2010 Release


2010 Box Office (Pages 05-58)
2010 Box Office Stats:
Spoiler: show
Yearly Box Office - ¥220.74 billion ($2.70 billion)
Yearly Admissions - 174.36 million
Japanese Film Share (53.6%) / Imported Film Share (46.4%)
Films Released - 716 (408 Japanese, 308 Imported)
Number of ¥1 billion earners - 48
Average Ticket Price - ¥1,266

Top 10 Films:
01. ¥15.60 billion ($188.8 million) - Avatar (Fox)
02. ¥11.80 billion ($142.8 million) - Alice in Wonderland (Disney)
03. ¥10.80 billion ($130.7 million) - Toy Story 3 (Disney)
04. ¥9.25 billion ($111.9 million) - Arrietty (Toho)
05. ¥8.04 billion ($97.3 million) - Umizaru: The Last Message (Toho)
06. ¥7.31 billion ($88.4 million) - Bayside Shakedown: Set the Guys Loose! (Toho)
07. ¥5.00 billion ($60.5 million) - Up (Disney)*
08. ¥4.80 billion ($58.1 million) - One Piece Film Strong World (Toei)*
09. ¥4.70 billion ($56.9 million) - Resident Evil: Afterlife (Sony)
10. ¥4.15 billion ($50.3 million) - Pokemon Diamond & Pearl: Zoroark - Master of Illusions (Toho)
*2009 Release

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: First Page Preview/Updated (Finally)
Great work, as usual! :)

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: First Page Preview/Updated (Finally)
Thanks. :)

I didn't realize that 2012 was the last time it was updated. I think I'll add a release schedule to it later this week.

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekday Estimates (01/04-08)
Weekday Estimates (01/04-08)

Monday Estimates (01/04)
¥285,000,000 ($2.38 million), +02%, ¥6,686,000,000 ($55.42 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 18
¥165,000,000 ($1.38 million), -27% ¥3,948,000,000 ($32.77 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 17
¥84,000,000 ($701,000), -10%, ¥2,186,000,000 ($18.06 million), Orange (Toho) Day 24
¥39,000,000 ($328,000), +03%, ¥2,601,000,000 ($21.48 million), 007: Spectre (Sony) Day 32
¥36,000,000 ($300,000), +56%, ¥1,315,000,000 ($10.91 million), Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Day 24


Tuesday Estimates (01/05)
¥160,000,000 ($1.35 million), -55%, ¥6,846,000,000 ($56.77 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 19
¥115,000,000 ($965,000), -57% ¥4,063,000,000 ($33.74 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 18
¥63,000,000 ($529,000), -50%, ¥2,249,000,000 ($18.59 million), Orange (Toho) Day 25
¥30,000,000 ($252,000), -26%, ¥425,000,000 ($3.53 million), Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Day 15
¥18,000,000 ($151,000), -62%, ¥2,619,000,000 ($21.66 million), 007: Spectre (Sony) Day 33


Wednesday Estimates (01/06)
¥150,000,000 ($1.26 million), -61%, ¥6,996,000,000 ($58.03 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 20
¥130,000,000 ($1.10 million), -49% ¥4,193,000,000 ($34.84 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 19
¥57,000,000 ($481,000), -50%, ¥2,306,000,000 ($19.07 million), Orange (Toho) Day 26
¥37,000,000 ($312,000), -16%, ¥462,000,000 ($3.84 million), Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Day 16
¥27,000,000 ($228,000), -10%, ¥1,359,000,000 ($11.28 million), Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Day 26


% changes versus last week.

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Best Selling Systems/Games (2015)
Top Best Selling Systems (2015):
01. 2,189,900 (-30%) / 20,036,956 (lifetime) - 3DS
02. 1,205,163 (+30%) / 2,130,733 (lifetime) - PS4
03. 959,342 (-16%) / 4,382,417 (lifetime) - PS Vita
04. 820,304 (+36%) / 2,943,587 (lifetime) - Wii U
05. 188,207 (-58%) / 10,206,741 (lifetime) - PS3
06. 18,093 (-61%) / 64,051 (lifetime) - Xbox One

Top 10 Best Selling Games (2015):
01. 2,441,977 / NEW, [11.28.15], Monster Hunter X (Capcom) [3DS]
02. 1,965,202 / NEW, [07.11.15], Yo-Kai Watch Busters: Red Cat Team / White Dog Squad (Level5) [3DS]
03. 1,282,880 / NEW, [07.30.15], Animal Crossing: Happy Home Designer (Nintendo) [3DS]
04. 1,064,897 / NEW, [05.28.15], Splatoon (Nintendo) [Wii U]
05. 864,865 / NEW, [08.27.15], Dragon Quest VIII: Journey of the Cursed King (Square Enix) [3DS]
06. 671,194 / NEW, [09.10.15], Super Mario Maker (Nintendo) [Wii U]
07. 636,709 / NEW, [12.17.15], Monster Strike (Mixi) [3DS]

08. 625,223 (-69%) / 2,632,550, [12.13.14], Yo-Kai Watch 2: Shin Uchi (Level5) [3DS]
09. 607,343 / NEW, [06.11.15], Rhythm Heaven: The Best+ (Nintendo) [3DS]
10. 538,669 / NEW, [06.25.15], Fire Emblem Fates: Birthright/Conquest (Nintendo) [3DS]

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekday Estimates (01/04-08)
Weekday Estimates (01/04-08)

Monday Estimates (01/04)
¥285,000,000 ($2.38 million), +02%, ¥6,686,000,000 ($55.42 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 18
¥165,000,000 ($1.38 million), -27% ¥3,948,000,000 ($32.77 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 17
¥84,000,000 ($701,000), -10%, ¥2,186,000,000 ($18.06 million), Orange (Toho) Day 24
¥39,000,000 ($328,000), +03%, ¥2,601,000,000 ($21.48 million), 007: Spectre (Sony) Day 32
¥36,000,000 ($300,000), +56%, ¥1,315,000,000 ($10.91 million), Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Day 24


Tuesday Estimates (01/05)
¥160,000,000 ($1.35 million), -55%, ¥6,846,000,000 ($56.77 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 19
¥115,000,000 ($965,000), -57% ¥4,063,000,000 ($33.74 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 18
¥63,000,000 ($529,000), -50%, ¥2,249,000,000 ($18.59 million), Orange (Toho) Day 25
¥30,000,000 ($252,000), -26%, ¥425,000,000 ($3.53 million), Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Day 14
¥18,000,000 ($151,000), -62%, ¥2,619,000,000 ($21.66 million), 007: Spectre (Sony) Day 33


Wednesday Estimates (01/06)
¥150,000,000 ($1.26 million), -61%, ¥6,996,000,000 ($58.03 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 20
¥130,000,000 ($1.10 million), -49% ¥4,193,000,000 ($34.84 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 19
¥57,000,000 ($481,000), -50%, ¥2,306,000,000 ($19.07 million), Orange (Toho) Day 26
¥37,000,000 ($312,000), -16%, ¥462,000,000 ($3.84 million), Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Day 15
¥27,000,000 ($228,000), -10%, ¥1,359,000,000 ($11.28 million), Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Day 26


Thursday Estimates (01/07)
¥115,000,000 ($977,000), -58%, ¥7,111,000,000 ($59.01 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 21
¥58,000,000 ($493,000), -56% ¥4,251,000,000 ($35.33 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 20
¥40,000,000 ($340,000), -26%, ¥2,346,000,000 ($19.41 million), Orange (Toho) Day 27
¥18,000,000 ($153,000), +24%, ¥1,377,000,000 ($11.43 million), Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Day 27
¥16,000,000 ($136,000), -21%, ¥489,000,000 ($3.98 million), Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Day 16


% changes versus last week.

And that concludes Winter Break/New Year this year. All businesses are operating as usual, and schools will be back in session this morning (Friday).

Note: Living With My Mother was very weak on New Years Eve last week (it's targeting the 50+ crowd), so it actually managed to increase Thursday-to-Thursday.

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Usual Locations Sat. Seating/Showtimes
Usual Locations - Saturday Seating & Showtimes (66% of Market)

[01/09]
TW (LW) Seats (% change), [Theaters/Showings], Film (Dis.) Week of Release
01 (01) 489,657 (-22%), [231/2,083], Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Week 4
02 (02) 321,091 (-30%), [224/1,297], Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Toho) Week 4
03 (--) 216,138 (---), [208/1,053], Life's Promise (Toho) NEW
04 (--) 203,781 (---), [224/1,072], Bridge of Spies (Fox) NEW
05 (--) 161,528 (---), [85/532], Kizumonogatari - Part 1: Blood and Iron (Toho Video Division) NEW

06 (03) 126,759 (-36%), [215/745], Orange (Toho) Week 5
07 (04) 78,523 (-41%), [171/558], Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Week 3
08 (--) 75,728 (---), [73/350], Pink and Gray (Asmik Ace) NEW
09 (06) 72,652 (-38%), [222/477], 007: Spectre (Sony) Week 6
10 (05) 72,337 (-42%), [216/517], Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Week 5
11 (08) 56,372 (-34%), [218/401], Persona Non Grata (Toho) Week 6
12 (07) 51,975 (-44%), [167/377], Creed (Warner Bros.) Week 3
13 (09) 41,138 (-49%), [194/273], Kamen Rider X Kamen Rider Ghost & Drive Movie Wars (Toei) Week 5
14 (11) 34,969 (-30%), [200/232], Kainan 1890 (Toei) Week 6
15 (--) 27,909 (---), [71/209], Hana's Miso Soup (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) NEW
16 (--) 27,770 (---), [21/114], Garakowa: Restore the World (Pony Canyon) NEW

17 (13) 22,883 (-21%), [92/127], High Speed! Free! Starting Days (Shochiku) Week 6
18 (10) 16,943 (-78%), [91/107], The Peanuts Movie (Fox) Week 6
19 (14) 13,591 (-50%), [72/76], The Little Prince (Warner Bros.) Week 8
20 (16) 12,669 (-39%), [50/64], Girls und Panzer: The Movie (Showgate) Week 8
21 (--) 11,113 (---), [13/60], King of Prism by Pretty Rhythm (Avex Pictures) NEW
22 (--) 8,506 (---), [33/65], Tetsuya Kumakawa K-Ballet (Live Broadcast) NEW
23 (--) 8,352 (---), [13/55], Crimson Peak (Toho-Towa) NEW
24 (12) 8,337 (-76%), [58/58], Mozu (Toho) Week 10
25 (--) 6,606 (---), [16/54], Suite Francaise (Long Ride) NEW


2016's first wide openers, and many limited, debut this weekend, though none of them will be capable of supplanting Star Wars or Yo-Kai Watch from the top two positions.

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekday Estimates (01/04-08)
Weekday Estimates (01/04-08)

Monday Estimates (01/04)
¥285,000,000 ($2.38 million), +02%, ¥6,686,000,000 ($55.42 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 18
¥165,000,000 ($1.38 million), -27% ¥3,948,000,000 ($32.77 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 17
¥84,000,000 ($701,000), -10%, ¥2,186,000,000 ($18.06 million), Orange (Toho) Day 24
¥39,000,000 ($328,000), +03%, ¥2,601,000,000 ($21.48 million), 007: Spectre (Sony) Day 32
¥36,000,000 ($300,000), +56%, ¥1,315,000,000 ($10.91 million), Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Day 24


Tuesday Estimates (01/05)
¥160,000,000 ($1.35 million), -55%, ¥6,846,000,000 ($56.77 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 19
¥115,000,000 ($965,000), -57% ¥4,063,000,000 ($33.74 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 18
¥63,000,000 ($529,000), -50%, ¥2,249,000,000 ($18.59 million), Orange (Toho) Day 25
¥30,000,000 ($252,000), -26%, ¥425,000,000 ($3.53 million), Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Day 14
¥18,000,000 ($151,000), -62%, ¥2,619,000,000 ($21.66 million), 007: Spectre (Sony) Day 33


Wednesday Estimates (01/06)
¥150,000,000 ($1.26 million), -61%, ¥6,996,000,000 ($58.03 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 20
¥130,000,000 ($1.10 million), -49% ¥4,193,000,000 ($34.84 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 19
¥57,000,000 ($481,000), -50%, ¥2,306,000,000 ($19.07 million), Orange (Toho) Day 26
¥37,000,000 ($312,000), -16%, ¥462,000,000 ($3.84 million), Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Day 15
¥27,000,000 ($228,000), -10%, ¥1,359,000,000 ($11.28 million), Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Day 26


Thursday Estimates (01/07)
¥115,000,000 ($977,000), -58%, ¥7,111,000,000 ($59.01 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 21
¥58,000,000 ($493,000), -56% ¥4,251,000,000 ($35.33 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 20
¥40,000,000 ($340,000), -26%, ¥2,346,000,000 ($19.41 million), Orange (Toho) Day 27
¥18,000,000 ($153,000), +24%, ¥1,377,000,000 ($11.43 million), Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Day 27
¥16,000,000 ($136,000), -21%, ¥489,000,000 ($3.98 million), Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Day 16


Friday Estimates (01/08)
¥105,000,000 ($895,000), -76%, ¥7,216,000,000 ($59.91 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Day 22
¥77,000,000 ($656,000), 0, ¥77,000,000 ($656,000), Kizumonogatari - Part 1: Blood and Iron (Toho Video Division) Day 1
¥32,000,000 ($273,000), 0, ¥32,000,000 ($273,000), Bridge of Spies (Fox) Day 1

¥23,000,000 ($196,000), -47%, ¥2,369,000,000 ($19.69 million), Orange (Toho) Day 28
¥20,000,000 ($171,000), -85% ¥4,271,000,000 ($35.51 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Day 21


% changes versus last week.

Everything is way, way down compared to last Friday (though Orange managed to hold on well) since last Friday was New Years Day (first of the month discounts and a holiday, so...).

As for the debuts...

Star Wars VII still posting a ¥100 million daily is impressive and it'll remain atop the box-office for at least two more weeks.

Yo-Kai Watch 2 is way down now that school is back in session since 90% of its audience consists of elementary aged children (and their parents). It'll be making an overwhelming majority of its earnings over the weekends from this point forward, so don't let the huge decline be misleading.

Kizumonogatari - Part 1: Blood and Iron performed very well, but these films are usually a bit frontloaded and don't perform as well over the weekend after opening on Friday. It's hard to predict these films and it's barely a wide release (108 screens), so it's doing just fine from what I can tell, and should break ¥100 million this weekend pretty easily.

Bridge of Spies had a mediocre first day, which is to be expected. Its audience is probably exclusively adults with a small portion of the senior crowd, so there won't be any initial frontloading due to the Friday release, and it'll hold fine going into the weekend. I'm not sure that it'll reach the ¥100 million mark, or if it does, it won't be by much.

I'll post the Weekend Forecast in a bit.

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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekday Estimates (01/04-08)
Go TFA, Go!!! :D

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Fri Jan 08, 2016 9:26 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (01/09-10)
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Weekend Forecast (01/09-10)/2016年01月09日-2016年01月10日
01 (01) ¥512,000,000 ($4.4 million), -38%, ¥7,730,000,000 ($64.3 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Week 4
02 (02) ¥255,000,000 ($2.2 million), -32%, ¥4,530,000,000 ($37.7 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Week 4
03 (--) ¥140,000,000 ($1.2 million), 0, ¥220,000,000 ($1.9 million), Kizumonogatari - Part 1: Blood and Iron (Toho Video Division) NEW
04 (03) ¥118,000,000 ($1.0 million), -29%, ¥2,490,000,000 ($20.7 million), Orange (Toho) Week 5
05 (--) ¥115,000,000 ($980,000), 0, ¥145,000,000 ($1.2 million), Bridge of Spies (Fox) NEW
06 (--) ¥90,000,000 ($765,000), 0, ¥90,000,000 ($765,000), Life's Promise (Toho) NEW
07 (--) ¥70,000,000 ($595,000), 0, ¥70,000,000 ($595,000), Pink and Gray (Asmik Ace) NEW

08 (04) ¥60,000,000 ($510,000), -50%, ¥2,720,000,000 ($22.7 million), 007: Spectre (Sony) Week 6
09 (05) ¥58,000,000 ($495,000), -47%, ¥1,450,000,000 ($12.1 million), Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Week 5
10 (06) ¥49,000,000 ($420,000), -33%, ¥555,000,000 ($4.5 million), Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Week 3

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Fri Jan 08, 2016 9:31 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (01/09-10)
Usual Locations - Saturday Admissions (66% of Market)

[01/09]
01 (01) 99,899 (-42%), [235/2,179], Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Week 4
02 (02) 52,624 (-34%), [227/1,348], Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Toho) Week 4
03 (--) 46,948 (---), [86/542], Kizumonogatari Part 1 - Blood and Iron (Toho Video Division) NEW
04 (--) 26,992 (---), [227/1,127], Bridge of Spies (Fox) NEW
05 (--) 26,057 (---), [74/354], Pink and Gray (Asmik Ace) NEW

06 (03) 24,936 (-17%), [219/783], Orange (Toho) Week 5
07 (--) 20,009 (---), [213/1,101], Life's Promise (Toho) NEW
08 (04) 11,591 (-54%), [226/507], 007: Spectre (Sony) Week 6
09 (06) 10,211 (-33%), [175/584], Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Week 3
10 (05) 9,756 (-53%), [221/547], Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Week 5
11 (--) 8,801 (---), [21/113], Garakowa: Restore the World (Pony Canyon) NEW
12 (07) 8,471 (-36%), [49/62], Girls und Panzer: The Movie (Showgate) Week 8
13 (08) 4,260 (-65%), [223/428], Persona Non Grata (Toho) Week 6
14 (09) 3,788 (-57%), [167/393], Creed (Warner Bros.) Week 3
15 (13) 3,647 (+24%), [94/132], High Speed! Free! Starting Days (Shochiku) Week 6
16 (10) 3,057 (-56%), [197/287], Kamen Rider X Kamen Rider Ghost & Drive Movie Wars (Toei) Week 5
17 (--) 2,717 (---), [13/54], Crimson Peak (Toho-Towa) NEW
18 (12) 2,689 (-42%), [203/243], Kainan 1890 (Toei) Week 6
19 (--) 2,111 (---), [13/58], King of Prism by Pretty Rhythm (Avex Pictures) NEW
20 (--) 1,647 (---), [71/216], Hana's Miso Soup (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) NEW

21 (11) 1,645 (-73%), [92/115], Th Peanuts Movie (Fox) Week 6
22 (--) 1,338 (---), [9/34], It Follows (Pony Canyon) NEW

>Star Wars VII is holding as expected, and a possible sub-40% weekend drop following last weekend's increase is solid. It doesn't appear it'll drop-off drastically after the holidays.

>Yo-Kai Watch 2 is also holding fine post the holidays. If it can manage to drop closer to 30% (or sub-30%) this weekend, it'll continue its streak of improving upon last year's weekend holds.

>Kizumonogatari Part 1 remains difficult to read, but the fact that its Saturday is well-below its Friday is evidence it's pretty frontloaded. It'll still, quite comfortably, exceed the ¥100 million mark this weekend, so that's impressive enough.

>Bridge of Spies is off to a slow start, but assuming it increases today (Sunday) or stays flat due to skewing older, it still has a good chance of exceeding the ¥100 million mark this weekend.

>Pink and Gray is a limited release (77% of locations accounted for above), so it won't make the Top 5, though it's still looking at a decent debut.

>Life's Promise is underwhelming and looks to miss a ¥100 million debut this weekend. Not too surprising, but still disappointing.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Sat Jan 09, 2016 2:04 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (01/09-10)
Biggest Four Week Totals (2001-)

Four Week Gross (% of Total) - Film (Year)
¥10.75 billion (35.4%) - Spirited Away (2001)
¥8.45 billion (43.1%) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥8.43 billion (41.5%) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥8.38 billion (71.0%) - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥8.13 billion (47.0%) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥7.72 billion (??.?%) - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) *Projection*
¥7.71 billion (30.3%) - Frozen (2014)
¥7.55 billion (68.6%) - The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥7.45 billion (68.3%) - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥7.21 billion (46.5%) - Ponyo (2008)
¥7.20 billion (41.5%) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003)
¥7.11 billion (52.7%) - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥7.09 billion (74.5%) - Jurassic World (2015)
¥6.39 billion (66.1%) - Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows - Part 2 (2011)
¥6.37 billion (63.4%) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
¥6.26 billion (69.1%) - The Da Vinci Code (2006)
¥6.23 billion (70.2%) - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥6.18 billion (79.2%) - Yo-Kai Watch: It's the Secret of Birth, Nyan! (2014)
¥6.15 billion (59.7%) - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
¥6.02 billion (70.4%) - Rookies (2009)
¥6 billion+

Biggest Fourth Weekends (2001-)

Fourth Weekend Gross (% change) - Film (Year)
¥972.2 million (-19%) - Harry Potter and the Sorcerer's Stone (2001)
¥953.2 million (-06%) - Howl's Moving Castle (2004)
¥940.0 million (+06%) - Spirited Away (2001)
¥922.9 million (-21%) - Harry Potter and the Chamber of Secrets (2002)
¥850.9 million (-04%) - Frozen (2014)
¥765.7 million (+07%) - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge (2003)
¥755.2 million (-03%) - Ponyo (2008)
¥733.5 million (-27%) - Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (2004)
¥683.5 million (-27%) - Pirates of the Caribbean: At World's End (2007)
¥657.9 million (-05%) - Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides (2011)
¥618.6 million (-23%) - Rookies (2009)
¥617.1 million (+15%) - Toy Story 3 (2010)
¥604.4 million (-22%) - The Matrix Reloaded (2003)
¥565.4 million (-12%) - Finding Nemo (2003)
¥556.0 million (-34%) - Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire (2005)
¥543.9 million (-07%) - Umizaru: The Last Message (2010)
¥542.8 million (+07%) - The Last Samurai (2003)
¥524.4 million (-26%) - The Lord of the Rings: The Return of the King (2004)
¥521.6 million (-52%) - Alice in Wonderland (2010)
¥520.8 million (-01%) - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004)
¥519.9 million (+09%) - Stand By Me, Doraemon (2014)
¥518.5 million (-01%) - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Man's Chest (2006)
¥510.3 million (-07%) - The Wind Rises (2013)
¥510.1 million (-20%) - Avatar (2009)
¥505.0 million (-40%) - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (2015) *Projection*
¥503.4 million (-09%) - Monsters, Inc. (2002)
¥501.2 million (-27%) - The Da Vinci Code (2006)
¥500 million+

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Sat Jan 09, 2016 4:44 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (01/09-10)
Usual Locations - Weekend Admissions (66% of Market)

[01/09-10]
TW (LW) Admissions (% change), [Theaters/Showings], Film (Dis.) Week of Release
01 (01) 246,994 (-27%), [235/4,308], Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Week 4
02 (02) 135,192 (-21%), [227/2,690], Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Toho) Week 4
03 (--) 88,079 (---), [86/1,065], Kizumonogatari Part 1 - Blood and Iron (Toho Video Division) NEW
04 (03) 64,547 (-18%), [219/1,554], Orange (Toho) Week 5
05 (--) 63,449 (---), [227/2,238], Bridge of Spies (Fox) NEW
06 (--) 49,652 (---), [74/705], Pink and Gray (Asmik Ace) NEW
07 (--) 44,435 (---), [213/2,190], Life's Promise (Toho) NEW

08 (04) 27,594 (-45%), [227/1,005], 007: Spectre (Sony) Week 6
09 (06) 27,061 (-23%), [175/1,168], Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Week 3
10 (05) 23,486 (-45%), [221/1,086], Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Week 5
11 (--) 19,043 (---), [93/182], Love Live! μs Live In Theater (Live Broadcast) NEW
12 (07) 16,147 (-25%), [49/119], Girls und Panzer: The Movie (Showgate) Week 8
13 (--) 15,154 (---), [21/230], Garakowa: Restore the World (Pony Canyon) NEW
14 (08) 10,663 (-57%), [223/847], Persona Non Grata (Toho) Week 6
15 (09) 9,391 (-47%), [168/791], Creed (Warner Bros.) Week 3
16 (10) 8,426 (-44%), [197/566], Kamen Rider X Kamen Rider Ghost & Drive Movie Wars (Toei) Week 5
17 (13) 7,151 (+19%), [94/250], High Speed! Free! Starting Days (Shochiku) Week 6
18 (12) 6,260 (-35%), [203/480], Kainan 1890 (Toei) Week 6
19 (--) 5,598 (---), [13/107], Crimson Peak (Toho-Towa) NEW
20 (11) 4,394 (-68%), [93/227], The Peanuts Movie (Fox) Week 6
21 (--) 4,035 (---), [71/429], Hana's Miso Soup (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) NEW
22 (--) 3,921 (---), [13/117], King of Prism by Pretty Rhythm (Avex Pictures) NEW
23 (--) 2,770 (---), [9/66], It Follows (Pony Canyon) NEW

24 (16) 1,798 (-24%), [28/89], Straight Outta Compton (Sinkers) Week 3
25 (--) 1,622 (---), [16/105], Suite Francaise (Long Ride) NEW

And incredible Sunday performance by nearly every film has resulted in some excellent post-New Year holds across the board. Star Wars likely broke ¥600 million in its fourth weekend.

I'll post the Weekend Estimates shortly.

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"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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Sun Jan 10, 2016 1:32 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Estimates (01/09-10)
Weekend Estimates (01/09-10)/2016年01月09日-2016年01月10日
01 (01) ¥608,000,000 ($5.19 million), -28%, ¥7,820,000,000 ($65.10 million), Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Week 4
02 (02) ¥292,000,000 ($2.49 million), -22%, ¥4,580,000,000 ($38.19 million), Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories (Toho) Week 4
03 (--) ¥155,000,000 ($1.32 million), 0, ¥235,000,000 ($2.00 million), Kizumonogatari - Part 1: Blood and Iron (Toho Video Division) NEW
04 (03) ¥136,000,000 ($1.16 million), -19%, ¥2,510,000,000 ($20.85 million), Orange (Toho) Week 5
05 (--) ¥130,000,000 ($1.11 million), 0, ¥160,000,000 ($1.36 million), Bridge of Spies (Fox) NEW
06 (--) ¥92,000,000 ($784,000), 0, ¥92,000,000 ($784,000), Life's Promise (Toho) NEW
07 (--) ¥83,000,000 ($709,000), 0, ¥83,000,000 ($709,000), Pink and Gray (Asmik Ace) NEW

08 (04) ¥66,000,000 ($562,000), -45%, ¥2,725,000,000 ($22.75 million), 007: Spectre (Sony) Week 6
09 (05) ¥61,000,000 ($523,000), -44%, ¥1,455,000,000 ($12.14 million), Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Week 5
10 (06) ¥56,000,000 ($477,000), -24%, ¥560,000,000 ($4.54 million), Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Week 3

Thanks to a very strong Sunday, the post-New Year drops this year are notably good.

>Star Wars: The Force Awakens easily retains its position atop the box office, and delivered quite the impressive fourth weekend based on estimates. A sub-30% drop would be very strong after its increase last weekend over the holiday frame.

After four weeks, it's either extremely close to 5 million admissions or just exceeded the mark. The Force Awakens should go on to exceed 7 million admissions, if not make a play at 8 million admissions. So, it's looking at a final gross around the ¥11 billion ($90-100 million) mark.

>Yo-Kai Watch 2 achieved its third-consecutive improvement upon its predecessor's weekend holds, so it's bound to continue this trend for most, if not all, of its remaining time in theaters giving it better legs than the first film.

After four weeks, Yo-Kai Watch 2 likely exceeded 4 million admissions (~4.1 million) and should be on course to eventually reach 5 million admissions for a gross around ¥5.5 billion ($45-50 million).

>Kizumonogatari - Part 1: Blood and Iron is barely a wide release, playing on 108 screens, so a debut possibly above ¥150 million is quite impressive. And since Friday, it likely exceeded ¥200 million as well.

>Bridge of Spies is off to a modest start, but I imagine legs should be good or even strong if it does well this awards season in the U.S. However, I'm not following the award season, but it doesn't look that strong to me. All of the Oscar contenders are released between January-April in Japan to take advantage of any potential nominations/wins at the Academy Awards.

>Life's Promise and Pink and Gray missed the ¥100 million mark, which is disappointing for the former, but no so much for the latter. Pink and Gray had the better debut of the two seeing as it's a limited release playing on 96 screens; so in that regard, its debut is pretty solid.

>Orange looks to have exceeded the ¥2.5 billion mark after five weeks, or should be super close to the milestone. Either way, come the next couple days, it'll have outgrossed every other shojo/josei manga live-action adaptation since 2009's Nodame Cantabile. It's been one of the most impressive performers of the past several months.

>Spectre is very close (~¥25 million) to overtaking Skyfall to become the highest-grossing 007 film. If it doesn't get there with actuals, it'll certainly do so on Monday.

Monday is a national holiday, Coming of Age Day, so weekend actuals will be delayed until Tuesday.

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"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Sun Jan 10, 2016 2:31 pm
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Post Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Results (01/09-10)
Alright, so the weekend actuals for the full Top 10 has almost certainly been delayed for the week. So, I'll just proceed with the older weekend results format that I used to post every week instead.

All of the updated totals have been released, so the only numbers missing will be the weekend grosses of a couple holdovers in the Top 10.

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Weekend Results (01/09-10)

01 (01) Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Disney) Week 4
02 (02) Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Toho) Week 4
03 (--) Kizumonogatari - Part 1: Blood and Iron (Toho Video Division) NEW
04 (--) Bridge of Spies (Fox) NEW

05 (03) Orange (Toho) Week 5
06 (--) Pink and Gray (Asmik Ace) NEW
07 (--) Life's Promise (Toho) NEW

08 (04) Living With My Mother (Shochiku) Week 5
09 (05) 007: Spectre (Sony) Week 6
10 (06) Chibi Maruko-chan: The Movie (Toho) Week 3

>Star Wars: The Force Awakens retains its position atop the box office, and did so by posting an impressive 25% drop coming off an increase over last weekend's holiday frame.

The seventh entry in the Star Wars series grossed ¥619,644,800 ($5.28 million) with 391,207 admissions, which after including Monday's earnings (holiday), brings its four week total up to an incredible ¥8,241,016,200 ($68.69 million) with 5,337,920 admissions.

Its running total is the fifth highest of all-time after four weeks in release, and the impressive post-New Year hold is an indication that post-holiday legs should be solid. It'll exceed the ¥10 billion ($85-90 million) uber-blockbuster milestone by the end of the month with ~6.5 million admissions (possibly in two weeks time), making it the first live-action film since 2010's Alice in Wonderland to achieve this milestone.

Also, at its current pace and projecting solid-to-good legs from this point forward, it'll probably exceed the ¥11 billion ($90-95 million) mark as well (~7.1 million admissions), and I wouldn't rule out ¥12 billion ($100-105 million) with ~7.8 million admissions yet either. In terms of revenue and admissions, it'll easily beat Episode II and Episode III and come quite close to matching Episode I in both categories as well.

>Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! stays strong in second place, dropping an impressive 21% in its fourth weekend, and yet again improving upon last year's film's weekly holds.

The second Yo-Kai Watch film grossed ¥297,244,600 ($2.53 million) with 258,016 admissions over its fourth weekend frame, and after including Monday's take (holiday), brings its running four week total up to an impressive ¥4,812,386,500 ($40.17 million) with 4,398,002 admissions.

Since it has improved upon its predecessor's weekly holds every week, that's unlikely to change, so its post-holiday legs should be pretty decent. It will exceed the ¥5 billion blockbuster milestone over the upcoming weekend with ~4.6 million admissions, and should go on to exceed ¥5.5 billion admissions with 5 million+ admissions by the end of its run.

>Kizumonogatari - Part 1: Blood and Iron debuted quite impressively in third place, despite playing on just 108 screens. The first film in the planned series grossed ¥177,058,000 ($1.51 million) with 131,973 admissions over the weekend.

>Bridge of Spies settles for a fourth place debut, which is slightly disappointing rank wise, but considering the two blockbusters from December still holding strong, it's better than it looks.

Spielberg's latest earned ¥141,867,600 ($1.21 million) with 112,937 admissions across 348 screens over the weekend. And after including its Friday and Monday earnings (first day and holiday), its four day total reached ¥251,898,600 ($2.14 million) with 203,974 admissions. Unless legs prove to be unexpectedly poor (unlikely), it'll be a safe ¥1 billion earner.

>Orange continues its excellent performance into its fifth weekend by remaining in the Top 5.

After five weeks in release, and including Monday's earnings (holiday), its total is up to a nice ¥2,649,859,500 ($22.03 million) with 2,257,418 admissions. It has outgrossed every shojo/josei manga adaptation since 2009, and has a good shot actually reaching the ¥3 billion mark (~2.5 million admissions).

>Pink and Gray only came in sixth place, but its debut in rather impressive for a limited release; especially since it managed to edge out the film below in gross (a bit less in admissions). The Yukisada Isao directed film earned ¥102,127,000 ($870,000) with 77,769 admissions on 96 screens. Not bad, not bad.

>Life's Promise settles for a very poor seveenth place debut, but on the bright side, it managed to barely break the ¥100 million mark over the weekend. Playing on 291 screens, it earned ¥100,525,200 ($856,000) with 81,868 admissions over its debut weekend. It won't become a ¥1 billion earner, so its ultimately going to be a disappointment.

>And finally, but certainly not least considering the major accomplishment, Spectre has grossed ¥2,776,435,900 ($23.19 million) with 2,112,130 admissions after six weeks in release. It has officially outgrossed Skyfall's ¥2.75 billion total to become the highest grossing 007 film of all-time in the market.

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“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”


Wed Jan 13, 2016 4:11 pm
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