Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated!
Probably not, but it would tough not to surpass the original, at least. The first film only opened with ¥77 million ($630,000) on 60,748 admissions in October 2014, and finished around ¥400 million ($3.3 million).
The October release, again, for the sequel certainly isn't encouraging, though, and hints at Sony likely dumping it. October is by far the weakest month of the year.
Denzel Washington, while not having any notable hits or blockbusters in the market, is still a fairly reliable draw, so it's odd how Sony has treated The Equalizer films.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Wed Jul 25, 2018 5:14 pm
Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67043
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated!
His draw is certainly diminishing. He used to be able to get $7m (Man on Fire, Deja Vu) or even $5m (The Book of Eli), but in recent years his actioners have struggled with $1-3m grosses (The Magnificent Seven, 2 Guns). But Flight made $9m, though I guess that was due to its Oscar status.
Wed Jul 25, 2018 9:18 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated!
It appears that Code Blue: The Movie, the film adaptation of the popular TV drama, is going to deliver the biggest opening for a domestic live-action film this year this weekend, and based on the early Friday ticket sales I'm seeing*, could have blockbuster potential. The TV drama, and film, follow the daily lives of a medical team (helicopter doctors) in the HEMS (Helicopter Emergency Medical Service).
*It's around half-capacity across several showings on Umeda's 737 seat screen, on a Friday, and that's a very, very encouraging sign before heading into the weekend frame.
Code Blue TRAILER:
The Japanese film industry, while thriving with the increasing success of animated films, has been desperate for another blockbuster live-action film (franchise) since ~2012, so perhaps Code Blue will finally be the one to follow in the footsteps of Japan's two previous major live-action TV dramas turned blockbuster film franchises, Bayside Shakedown and Umizaru.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Thu Jul 26, 2018 8:22 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated!
Okay, so... Code Blue did extraordinarily well on Friday. It easily earned the biggest day for a domestic live-action film since 2012, even bigger than the fourth and final entries in the Bayside Shakedown and Umizaru franchises that were released that year. I'm estimating it grossed about ¥425 million ($3.8 million) with around 320,000 admissions yesterday.
Saturday and Sunday should both best that number (if this typhoon isn't too affecting...), and while I'm not going to predict it, it very well could debut near ¥1 billion. There hasn't been a domestic live-action film debut above ¥900 million since 2010's Umizaru: The Last Message.
And only four domestic live-action films have ever debuted above ¥1 billion: Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003), Hero (2007), Boys Over Flowers: Final (2008), and Rookies (2009).
Again, I'm not expecting a ¥1 billion+ debut for Code Blue, but it's in the realm of possibility after its incredibly strong Friday results. The Weekend Forecast will be posted later this evening. Could we see a third film enter the Yearly Crown battle?
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Last edited by Corpse on Fri Jul 27, 2018 6:43 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Fri Jul 27, 2018 4:03 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Actuals; Charts Updated!
Also, I noticed it was very strong throughout the course of the entire day on Friday, suggesting it's appealing to adults of all-ages. And looking at various theaters right now (as of 5am), Saturday is looking consistently strong from open-to-close as well.
The 7-10am showings are quite full this morning (senior citizens), the 12-5pm afternoon showings are looking good (middle-aged crowd), and the 7pm-midnight evening showings are also strong (young adults).
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Fri Jul 27, 2018 4:18 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (07/28-29)
(C)2018「劇場版コード・ブルー －ドクターヘリ緊急救命－」製作委員会
Weekend Forecast (07/28-29) 01 (---) ¥850,000,000 ($7.6 million), 0, ¥1,275,000,000 ($11.4 million), Code Blue: The Movie (Toho) NEW 02 (01) ¥529,000,000 ($4.8 million), -30%, ¥4,800,000,000 ($42.7 million), Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (Toho-Towa) WK3 03 (02) ¥272,000,000 ($2.5 million), -32%, ¥1,150,000,000 ($10.3 million), Mirai of the Future (Toho) WK2 04 (03) ¥165,000,000 ($1.5 million), -30%, ¥1,625,000,000 ($14.6 million), Pokemon: Everyone's Story (Toho) WK3 05 (04) ¥74,000,000 ($665,000), -45%, ¥365,000,000 ($3.3 million), Bleach (Shochiku) WK2 06 (05) ¥51,000,000 ($460,000), -41%, ¥1,985,000,000 ($17.9 million), Solo: A Star Wars Story (Disney) WK5 07 (06) ¥46,000,000 ($415,000), -38%, ¥4,180,000,000 ($37.8 million), Shoplifters (Gaga) WK8 08 (07) ¥25,000,000 ($225,000), -40%, ¥1,680,000,000 ($15.0 million), Recall (Shochiku) WK7 09 (09) ¥25,000,000 ($225,000), -32%, ¥500,000,000 ($4.5 million), Anpanman: Shine! Kurun and the Star of Life (Tokyo Theaters, Co.) WK5 10 (08) ¥24,000,000 ($215,000), -36%, ¥475,000,000 ($4.3 million), Rainbow Days (Shochiku) WK4
Alright, so... Typhoon Jongdari (Cat 2) is going to hit Japan today (Saturday) after making a surprising turn going into the weekend. This is likely to deflate the overall weekend, especially Saturday, so it's going to be hard to gauge the performance of any film. The "good" news (besides ending the record heat) for the box-office is that it has deviated a bit and isn't going to impact the Kansai or Kanto regions (which represent ~70% of the country's box-office) as much, but it'll still keep some people indoors.
Code Blue: The Movie is still going to deliver the biggest opening weekend for a domestic live-action film since 2012, by far, and if it wasn't for the typhoon, it may have come close to debuting above the ¥1 billion milestone over the weekend frame. However, even with the storm, pre-sales are very strong, and if the storm dissipates before Sunday afternoon, it's still likely to open above ¥800 million. If it does, then it could enter the battle for the yearly crown of 2018 since a total over ¥7 billion ($60 million+) would be likely, and ¥8 billion ($70 million+) would be doable.
There's not much to really say for the holdovers because of the typhoon affecting the weekend making predictions difficult, but if any of them would experience a harsh decline as a result of the storm, you can expect it to recover heading into August. 30/40% drops may not look poor, or harsh, but they would be for this particular weekend which typically sees much stronger holds.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Fri Jul 27, 2018 6:23 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Recent ¥1 Billion Openers
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Hourly Saturday Ticket Sales
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Last edited by Corpse on Fri Jul 27, 2018 9:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Fri Jul 27, 2018 9:17 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (07/28-29)
Very good for Code Blue so far, up about 6% versus Friday at the same point in time, and pretty comparable with many of the other live-action films on the list above.
And that's with Typhoon Jongdari approaching the mainland. It'll make landfall late Saturday (10-12 hours from now, probably), so we'll see if it'll have more of an impact, causing the box-office to stall, as the storm gets closer.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Fri Jul 27, 2018 9:21 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Recent ¥1 Billion Openers
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Hourly Saturday Ticket Sales
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Fri Jul 27, 2018 10:49 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Recent ¥1 Billion Openers
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Hourly Saturday Ticket Sales
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Fri Jul 27, 2018 11:24 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Recent ¥1 Billion Openers
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Hourly Saturday Ticket Sales
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sat Jul 28, 2018 12:15 am
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Recent ¥1 Billion Openers
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Hourly Saturday Ticket Sales
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Last edited by Corpse on Sat Jul 28, 2018 6:39 am, edited 1 time in total.
Sat Jul 28, 2018 6:34 am
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (07/28-29)
A few updates left, and while Code Blue has been performing extremely well, especially with a typhoon about to hit, it does seem to be losing some steam. The storm is only a couple hours away from making landfall now, and some evacuations being ordered. But while the night showings aren't weak, they're noticeably below Friday, so it's probably going to stall-out a bit in the final 3-4 hours of showings (which includes the very strong 8-9pm hour, unfortunately).
If the storm does weakens enough once on land, and goes far enough west (irregular path, this storm) before Sunday afternoon, I'm anticipating Sunday to potentially be very strong since Saturday night is being stunted.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sat Jul 28, 2018 6:39 am
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Recent ¥1 Billion Openers
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Hourly Saturday Ticket Sales
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sat Jul 28, 2018 8:07 am
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Domestic Live Action Box Office Histor
In anticipation for Code Blue delivering one of the biggest openings for a domestic live-action film in years, and Saturday numbers suggesting a ¥900 million+ debut (and still a chance at ¥1 billion) despite a cat 2 typhoon affecting central and western parts of the country, here's a look at the the market's biggest domestic live-action releases.
Domestic Live-Action Box-Office & TV History (1998-):
Opening Weekends: ¥1.237 billion ($10.5 million) / 865,586 - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003) ¥1.226 billion ($12.9 million) / 987,387 - Rookies (2009) ¥1.010 billion ($8.8 million) / 749,807 - Hero (2007) ¥1.005 billion ($9.6 million) / 805,350 - Boys Over Flower: Final (2008) ¥971.9 million ($11.1 million) / 707,399 - Bayside Shakedown: Set the Guys Loose! (2010) ¥965.3 million ($8.5 million) / 674,345 - Umizaru: Limit of Love (2006) ¥956.9 million ($11.3 million) / 612,211 - Umizaru: The Last Message (2010) ¥919.4 million ($8.7 million) / 717,948 - Rurouni Kenshin: The Legend Ends (2014) ¥878.2 million ($11.1 million) / 686,977 - Umizaru: Brave Hearts (2012) ¥873.8 million ($9.2 million) / 677,063 - 20th Century Boys - Chapter 3: The Final Chapter (2009) ¥804.3 million ($10.3 million) / 604,090 - Bayside Shakedown: The Final (2012) ¥760.8 million ($6.4 million) / 575,510 - Death Note: The Last Name (2006) ¥732.8 million ($5.9 million) / 540,963 - Hero 2 (2015) ¥644.5 million ($5.7 million) / 455,000 - The Suspect: Muroi Shinji (2005) ¥639.1 million ($5.7 million) / 544,641 - Assassination Classroom: Graduation (2016) ¥626.5 million ($5.5 million) / 427,000 - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004) ¥624.6 million ($6.1 million) / 412,302 - Shin Godzilla (2016) ¥622.1 million ($6.9 million) / 556,354 - 20th Century Boys - Chapter 2: The Last Hope (2009) ¥615.9 million ($5.2 million) / 465,956 - Nobunaga Concerto (2016) ¥604.5 million ($5.2 million) / 456,200 - The Sinking of Japan (2006) ¥603.5 million ($4.9 million) / 466,953 - Attack on Titan - Part 1 (2015)
Totals: ¥17.35 billion ($164.5 million) / 12.60 million - Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! (2003) ¥11.00 billion ($46.0 million) / 8.00 million - Antarctica (1983) ¥10.10 billion ($85.0 million) / 7.10 million - Bayside Shakedown (1998) ¥8.76 billion ($85.1 million) / 7.16 million - The Eternal Zero (2013) ¥8.55 billion ($94.5 million) / 6.95 million - Rookies (2009) ¥8.50 billion ($76.5 million) / 6.23 million - Crying Out Love in the Center of the World (2004) ¥8.25 billion ($79.1 million) / 5.69 million - Shin Godzilla (2016) ¥8.15 billion ($76.0 million) / 6.29 million - Hero (2007) ¥8.04 billion ($97.3 million) / 5.37 million - Umizaru: The Last Message (2010) ¥7.75 billion ($72.0 million) / 6.30 million - Boys Over Flowers: Final (2008) ¥7.33 billion ($93.6 million) / 5.75 million - Umizaru: Brave Hearts (2012) ¥7.31 billion ($88.4 million) / 5.70 million - Bayside Shakedown: Set the Guys Loose! (2010) ¥7.10 billion ($58.4 million) / 5.30 million - Umizaru: Limit of Love (2006) ¥6.48 billion ($61.0 million) / 5.00 million - Departures (2008) ¥6.08 billion ($49.6 million) / 4.70 million - The Ecstasy Hotel (2006) ¥5.98 billion ($76.3 million) / 4.71 million - Thermae Romae (2012) ¥5.97 billion ($75.9 million) / 4.65 million - Bayside Shakedown: The Final (2012) ¥5.34 billion ($44.0 million) / 4.20 million - The Sinking of Japan (2006) ¥5.22 billion ($50.0 million) / 4.04 million - Rurouni Kenshin: Kyoto Inferno (2014) ¥5.20 billion ($45.0 million) / 4.10 million - Death Note: The Last Name (2006)
And since many of these films, especially the most successful ones, are also TV dramas, here's how they compare to one another at home:
Average Household Viewership TV Ratings (Seasons and Specials):
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sat Jul 28, 2018 10:17 am
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Recent ¥1 Billion Openers
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Hourly Saturday Ticket Sales
Biggest Saturday Results (Two-Thirds of Market) [2015-]: Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings] - Film Title 348,024/605,267 (57.4% capacity), [239/1,676] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017) 345,143/655,976 (52.6% capacity), [249/1,832] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018) 330,349/701,865 (47.1% capacity), [247/2,864] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017) 317,709/530,456 (59.9% capacity), [231/1,727] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015) 293,246/714,702 (41.0% capacity), [236/2,789] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015) 289,656/530,905 (54.5% capacity), [230/1,502] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016) 286,726/658,842 (43.5% capacity), [231/2,256] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016) 283,482/670,255 (42.3% capacity), [254/2,527] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017) 266,911/816,498 (32.7% capacity), [251/3,196] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018) 262,671/667,610 (39.3% capacity), [245/2,327] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017) 241,332/608,132 (39.7% capacity), [250/1,979] - Code Blue (July, 2018)
Very strong, and since Saturday night was deflated due to the typhoon (otherwise, it probably would have done 275,000+), expect a big increase on Sunday as a result, that could put it in ¥1 billion territory.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sat Jul 28, 2018 11:56 am
Chaplainfan
Angels & Demons
Joined: Fri Mar 24, 2017 9:12 pm Posts: 252
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (07/28-29)
I wonder how the Disney-Fox merger which was approved by shareholders yesterday will have an impact on the Japanese Box Office like for instance how much percentage would they have combined over the Japanese Box Office.
_________________ クリス・ジェームス
Sat Jul 28, 2018 12:41 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (07/28-29)
If Disney will be distributing Fox releases in the market in the future, it honestly still won't have too much of an impact. Fox isn't very successful in Japan (at least not over the past decade+), often struggling to release more than one or two films a year that even grosses over $10 million. Once every few years Fox gets lucky (like this year with The Greatest Showman) with a hit film, but they typically average just 3-5% of the yearly box-office in the market.
Disney has been the #1 foreign distributor in Japan for a while now, but they still "only" account for 15-20% of the yearly box-office in recent years. Adding Fox's releases to their total would help them consistently remain on the high-end of that range, and sometimes break 20%.
In terms of the yearly box-office revenue, the past 5+ years has looked kind of like this:
~35-45% - Toho (they've been #1 for 12-consecutive years now) ~15-20% - Disney ~10-12% - Warner Bros. ~10-12% - Toho-Towa ~5-10% - Shochiku ~5-10% - Toei ~3-5% - Fox ~3-5% - Sony ~1-3% - Gaga ~1-3% - Kadokawa ~1% - All Others (Asmik Ace, Aniplex, Tokyo Theaters, Co., Kino, Star Pictures, etc.)
These aren't the ranges 100% of the time, but they're typically the range the studios fall in on normal years. If one of the smaller distributors on the list releases a big film that connects, then they obviously shoot up several percentage points above their usual range that year.
Toho-Towa, a subsidiary of Toho that releases foreign films, is also growing after acquiring the distribution rights to Universal releases a couple years ago. They've beat Warner Bros. the past two years, and should become the regular third place distributor for the foreseeable future.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sat Jul 28, 2018 2:28 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Sunday Debuts Since 2015
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Hourly Sunday Ticket Sales
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Last edited by Corpse on Sat Jul 28, 2018 10:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Sat Jul 28, 2018 9:11 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Weekend Forecast (07/28-29)
Massive start to Sunday, up almost 30% versus Saturday, and it's definitely on track to exceed 300,000.
And if it does exceed 300,000 today, then it's likely to exceed the ¥1 billion milestone for the weekend frame. If that happens, it'll be only the fifth domestic live-action film to ever achieve this, and the first since 2009.
Also, while I don't have Sunday data for Bayside Shakedown: Save the Rainbow Bridge! or Rookies, it's likely both of them had Saturday's that were greater than their Sunday's, so it's possible that Code Blue could earn the biggest Sunday ever for a domestic live-action film.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sat Jul 28, 2018 9:16 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Sunday Debuts Since 2015
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Hourly Sunday Ticket Sales
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sat Jul 28, 2018 10:11 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Sunday Debuts Since 2015
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Hourly Sunday Ticket Sales
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sat Jul 28, 2018 11:14 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Sunday Debuts Since 2015
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Hourly Sunday Ticket Sales
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sun Jul 29, 2018 5:31 am
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Sunday Debuts Since 2015
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Hourly Sunday Ticket Sales
Biggest Sunday Results (Two-Thirds of Market) [2015-]: Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings], Film Title 357,985/643,941 (55.6% capacity), [249/1,793] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018) 328,862/595,145 (55.3% capacity), [240/1,648] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017) 316,396/810,365 (39.0% capacity), [251/3,159] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018) 303,414/524,359 (57.9% capacity), [231/1,688] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015) 288,800/558,006 (51.7% capacity), [250/1,859] - Code Blue (July, 2018) 282,386/512,761 (55.1% capacity), [226/1,434] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016) 275,491/670,208 (41.1% capacity), [236/2,636] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015) 264,078/659,166 (40.1% capacity), [254/2,486] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017) 263,634/633,723 (41.6% capacity), [245/2,241] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017) 219,122/687,402 (31.9% capacity), [247/2,805] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017) 207,464/639,737 (32.4% capacity), [231/2,205] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016)
Not quite 300,000, but still incredibly strong; especially the 50%+ capacity accomplishment, which makes this the first time I've seen any live-action achieve 50%+ capacity.
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Sun Jul 29, 2018 1:33 pm
Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
Re: Japan Box Office: Biggest Openers Since 2015
Usual Locations (Two-Thirds of Market) - Weekend Admissions
Biggest Openers Since 2015 (¥1 Billion+ Debuts)
Saturday Results (Two-Thirds of Market): Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings], Film Title 348,024/605,267 (57.4% capacity), [239/1,676] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017) 345,143/655,976 (52.6% capacity), [249/1,832] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018) 330,349/701,865 (47.1% capacity), [247/2,864] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017) 317,709/530,456 (59.9% capacity), [231/1,727] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015) 293,246/714,702 (41.0% capacity), [236/2,789] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015) 289,656/530,905 (54.5% capacity), [230/1,502] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016) 286,726/658,842 (43.5% capacity), [231/2,256] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016) 283,482/670,255 (42.3% capacity), [254/2,527] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017) 266,911/816,498 (32.7% capacity), [251/3,196] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018) 262,671/667,610 (39.3% capacity), [245/2,327] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017) 241,332/608,132 (39.7% capacity), [250/1,979] - Code Blue (July, 2018)
Sunday Results (Two-Thirds of Market): Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings], Film Title 357,985/643,941 (55.6% capacity), [249/1,793] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018) 328,862/595,145 (55.3% capacity), [240/1,648] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017) 316,396/810,365 (39.0% capacity), [251/3,159] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018) 303,414/524,359 (57.9% capacity), [231/1,688] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015) 288,800/558,006 (51.7% capacity), [250/1,859] - Code Blue (July, 2018) 282,386/512,761 (55.1% capacity), [230/1,434] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016) 275,491/670,208 (41.1% capacity), [236/2,636] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015) 264,078/659,166 (40.1% capacity), [254/2,486] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017) 263,634/633,723 (41.6% capacity), [245/2,241] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017) 219,122/687,402 (31.9% capacity), [247/2,805] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017) 207,464/639,737 (32.4% capacity), [231/2,205] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016)
Weekend Results (Two-Thirds of Market): Tickets Sold/Available Tickets (% Capacity), [Theaters/Showings], Film Title 703,128/1,299,917 (54.1% capacity), [249/3,625] - Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (Apr., 2018) 676,886/1,200,412 (56.4% capacity), [240/3,324] - Detective Conan: Crimson Love Letter (Apr., 2017) 621,123/1,051,181 (59.1% capacity), [231/3,415] - Yo-Kai Watch: Great King Enma and the 5 Stories, Nyan! (Dec., 2015) 583,307/1,626,823 (35.9% capacity), [251/6,355] - Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom (July, 2018) 572,042/1,043,666 (54.8% capacity), [230/2,936] - Detective Conan: The Darkest Nightmare (Apr., 2016) 569,497/1,392,147 (40.9% capacity), [236/5,431] - Star Wars: The Force Awakens (Dec., 2015) 549,579/1,389,766 (39.6% capacity), [247/5,670] - Pirates of the Caribbean: Dead Men Tell No Tales (July, 2017) 547,821/1,330,179 (41.2% capacity), [254/5,015] - Star Wars: The Last Jedi (Dec., 2017) 530,132/1,116,138 (47.5% capacity), [250/3,838] - Code Blue (July, 2018) 526,470/1,302,175 (40.4% capacity), [245/4,570] - Beauty and the Beast (Apr., 2017) 494,190/1,298,579 (38.1% capacity), [231/4,461] - One Piece Film Gold (July, 2016)
“Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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