My $42,000,000 prediction for ROBOTS seems VERY reachable...only an $11,000 pta is needed for that.
Awesome.
If ROBOTOS gets the same PTA as SHARKTALE, it's got $45M in the bank.
| World of KJ http://worldofkj.com/forum/ |
|
| Theater Counts (Robots: 3776, Hostage: 2123) http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=5322 |
Page 1 of 2 |
| Author: | xiayun [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 12:51 am ] |
| Post subject: | Theater Counts (Robots: 3776, Hostage: 2123) |
New Robots 3,775 Hostage 2,123 The Passion Recut 952 The Boys and Girl from County Clare 10 The Upside of Anger 9 Millions 5 In My Country 4 (LA, NYC) Mail Order Wife 2 (LA, NYC) Dot the I 1 (NYC) Expanding The Pacifier 3,166 +35 Million Dollar Baby 2,375 +25 Bride and Prejudice 282 +103 Gunner Palace 50 +42 The Chorus 49 +10 Dear Frankie 14 +9 Steady Be Cool 3,216 The Jacket 1,331 Declining Hitch 2,975 -463 Constantine 2,170 -588 Man of the House 1,903 -519 Because of Winn-Dixie 1,702 -804 Cursed 1,687 -1,118 Diary of a Mad Black Woman 1,605 -98 The Aviator 1,002 -329 Are We There Yet? 843 -902 Sideways 807 -250 Son of the Mask 508 -1,357 Pooh's Heffalump Movie 503 -421 Finding Neverland 500 -143 Hotel Rwanda 487 -88 Meet the Fockers 395 -120 The Wedding Date 390 -395 The Phantom of the Opera 335 -76 Source: BOM http://www.boxofficemojo.com/counts/cha ... =10&p=.htm |
|
| Author: | xiayun [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 12:52 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
Great for Robots. Not so good for Hostage. Pretty good for The Passion Recut. |
|
| Author: | Jeff [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 1:08 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
From an original estimate of 500-750 to over 900, that is excellent for The Passion Recut. It could very easily do over $5 million this weekend. |
|
| Author: | MovieDude [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 1:23 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
Not surprised about Hostage, this is Miramax we're talking about, they never go with a huge amount of theaters. And wow for The Passion, it must just be in some places, because it's not playing anywhere near me. |
|
| Author: | xiayun [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 1:26 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
I actually don't see why The Passion Recut will have that high of a PTA. When LOTR: FOTR and TTT were re-released ahead of ROTK, neither got a PTA higher than $6000, and The Passion Recut is being released in a lot of more theaters, which should drift its PTA even lower. Similar to when TTT was re-released in the December of 2003, it is a year after the film's original release, and it is a film that grossed over $300M in theater as well as a bunch in DVD sales, and TTT at least had the demand from people who wanted to refresh their memory before watching ROTK. I just don't find enough evidence to suggest The Passion Recut will have a high PTA. Considering it only occupies basically 1 screen per theater, I'm going to go quite conservative on it. The only re-issue that I can remember which made significant amount of money and splash was Star-War in 1997. Even E.T. was somewhat of a disappointment when it was re-released. |
|
| Author: | Jeff [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 1:34 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
Remember though, most people under-predicted the original release of the film. It would not surprise me if it increased in its second or third weekend as churches organize groups to go. If it hits 1000 theaters, which is quite possible, I could see it making $3500-$5000 per theater opening weekend. I've not seen that much advertising yet, but that isn't saying much as I watch very little TV. |
|
| Author: | MovieDude [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 1:40 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
RogueCommander wrote: Remember though, most people under-predicted the original release of the film. It would not surprise me if it increased in its second or third weekend as churches organize groups to go. If it hits 1000 theaters, which is quite possible, I could see it making $3500-$5000 per theater opening weekend. I've not seen that much advertising yet, but that isn't saying much as I watch very little TV. Dude, I wouldn't even KNOW this was coming out if I didn't go to WOKJ. :???: |
|
| Author: | matatonio [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 2:07 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
The pasion could be the Derby killer well at least to me, i have no idea if i increase my prediction or leave like it is! :???: |
|
| Author: | xiayun [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 3:21 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
Hmm, Guru is reporting 1,954 theaters for Hostage. |
|
| Author: | Joker's Thug #3 [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 3:24 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
I cant belive how many theaters Passion is getting, I honestly dont see it doing that good. |
|
| Author: | zingy [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 7:25 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
That's good for The Passion Recut. Excellent for Robots, though. |
|
| Author: | Kris K [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 8:43 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
My $42,000,000 prediction for ROBOTS seems VERY reachable...only an $11,000 pta is needed for that. Awesome. If ROBOTOS gets the same PTA as SHARKTALE, it's got $45M in the bank.
|
|
| Author: | Eagle [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 8:43 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
I heard a interview with Bruce Willis this morning where he said he would call back if his movie took #1. I wanted to call in and laugh at him saying he had a better chance of making the movie that beats titantics domestic gross than to be #1 for the weekend. As for Robots, around 3800 which is what I thought it would get. Movie should do a killing. 50+ million seems certain at this point. |
|
| Author: | mary [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 8:54 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
Miramax seems like to dump HOSTAGE...... Bruce is doing many PR jobs, though. |
|
| Author: | Eagle [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 8:57 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
Hostage around ... 15? Meh I will have to look at that one alot closer before predicting. Robots though I am gonna go with my gut. |
|
| Author: | Optimus_Prime [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 10:33 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
Upside of Anger...small count, but I think they are going with the snow ball effect. This movie is getting good reviews, I think they postponed it from Dec., because it would have gotten lost in the award film shuffle. |
|
| Author: | neo_wolf [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 10:57 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
Thats very low for hostage,i thought it would get 3000+ easy,im gonna change my prediction. Robots has a great TC as expected,it should easaly pass 50mill,maybe even get to 60. TPOTC got a bigger TC than i expected,i think it may do about 1.5-2.5 mill. |
|
| Author: | mary [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 11:04 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
HOSTAGE will open on 1954 theaters. http://www.boxofficeguru.com/weekend.htm |
|
| Author: | Animosity Reigns [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 11:34 am ] |
| Post subject: | |
RogueCommander wrote: Remember though, most people under-predicted the original release of the film. It would not surprise me if it increased in its second or third weekend as churches organize groups to go. If it hits 1000 theaters, which is quite possible, I could see it making $3500-$5000 per theater opening weekend. I've not seen that much advertising yet, but that isn't saying much as I watch very little TV. most of the big churches I know around me have a digital projection system in thier gym or whatever and plan on showing the passion on dvd around easter for all the members to come watch.... why go to a theatre and have to pay when you can do it in the church etc etc |
|
| Author: | Jeff [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 12:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
The Churches will still have to pay for licensing fees so either way Mel Gibson will be getting more money off of it. |
|
| Author: | Jeff [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 12:23 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
MovieDude wrote: RogueCommander wrote: Remember though, most people under-predicted the original release of the film. It would not surprise me if it increased in its second or third weekend as churches organize groups to go. If it hits 1000 theaters, which is quite possible, I could see it making $3500-$5000 per theater opening weekend. I've not seen that much advertising yet, but that isn't saying much as I watch very little TV. Dude, I wouldn't even KNOW this was coming out if I didn't go to WOKJ. :???: There has been advertising at my local theater and from what I understand also some TV ads. Churches will likely turn out for this again, but in how large of numbers is unsure of yet. |
|
| Author: | xiayun [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 5:16 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Updated. |
|
| Author: | Jeff [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 5:17 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
952 for The Passion Recut is not bad at all. |
|
| Author: | Joker's Thug #3 [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 5:40 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
Good for MDB, no drops yet. |
|
| Author: | Jeff [ Thu Mar 10, 2005 5:41 pm ] |
| Post subject: | |
I didn't even notice that it is expanding yet again. That is very good to see. |
|
| Page 1 of 2 | All times are UTC - 5 hours [ DST ] |
| Powered by phpBB © 2000, 2002, 2005, 2007 phpBB Group http://www.phpbb.com/ |
|