World of KJ :: View topic - scores w/ estimates

xiayun wrote:

Son of the Mask probably won't gross 3.8M since at best it had $0.9M on Friday, although it should have an over 4 multiplier.

I shouldn't have lowered my predictions for the oscar movies. ](*,)

Eagle wrote:

Hitch - (19.8 / 19.5) -- Accuracy: 98.46%
Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (5.9 / 19.1) -- Accuracy: 30.89%
Constantine - (13.2 / 11.8) -- Accuracy: 88.14%
Cursed - (17.5 / 10) -- Accuracy: 25.00%
Man of the House - (10.0 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 83.72%
Because of Winn-Dixie - (6.8 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 90.67%
Million Dollar Baby - (6.0 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 84.51%
Sideways - (3.3 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 80.49%
The Aviator - (3.8 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 90.48%
Son of the Mask - (3.2 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 94.12%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 76.65%

New Release: 46.54%
Still in Theater: 89.55%

Diary and Cursed Murdered my derby, I am calling the police.

BJ wrote:

I got a 75.58%

I also think that every film was under predicted in those projections.

newfoundglorysp wrote:

BJ wrote:

I got a 75.58%

I also think that every film was under predicted in those projections.

what did you predict for diary of a mad black woman? im curious to find out something.

newfoundglorysp wrote:

BJ wrote:

I got a 75.58%

I also think that every film was under predicted in those projections.

what did you predict for diary of a mad black woman? im curious to find out something.

BJ wrote:

newfoundglorysp wrote:

BJ wrote:

I got a 75.58%

I also think that every film was under predicted in those projections.

what did you predict for diary of a mad black woman? im curious to find out something.

I predicted 7m

newfoundglorysp wrote:

BJ wrote:

newfoundglorysp wrote:

BJ wrote:

I got a 75.58%

I also think that every film was under predicted in those projections.

what did you predict for diary of a mad black woman? im curious to find out something.

I predicted 7m

the day that BJ underpredicts a movie. wowwwwza. haha that makes me soo happy. its crazy.

Author:	Ghostooze [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 1:33 pm ]
Post subject:	scores w/ estimates
Should be rather interesting... http://www.boxofficefactor.com/calculate/Calculation.htm Projections should change when Mojo has #s up, if that ever happens...

Author:	Samweis Gamdschie [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 1:35 pm ]
Post subject:
Well, Son of the Mask is missing and its better to wait for the Friday numbers of BOM - it could change everything dramatically! :???:

Author:	MGKC [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 1:41 pm ]
Post subject:
Cursed - 0.00% ( 22.4 / 10.2 ) Diary of a Mad Black Woman - 36.14% ( 7.3 / 20.2 ) Man of the House - 64.21% ( 6.1 / 9.5 ) Hitch - 95.26% ( 22.1 / 21.1 ) Constantine - 78.81% ( 14.3 / 11.8 ) Because of Winn-Dixie - 95.59% ( 7.1 / 6.8 ) Son of the Mask - 73.68% ( 4.8 / 3.8 ) Million Dollar Baby - 79.75% ( 6.3 / 7.9 ) Are We There Yet? - 81.25% ( 5.7 / 4.8 ) Boogeyman - 95.45% ( 2.1 / 2.2 ) The Aviator - 90.00% ( 3.6 / 4.0 ) Sideways - 79.49% ( 3.1 / 3.9 ) Score: 72.470% I am sure every single person beat me. The Derby Average Score: 75.09%

Author:	zingy [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 1:54 pm ]
Post subject:
Hitch - (20.4 / 21) -- Accuracy: 97.14% Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (5.9 / 19.6) -- Accuracy: 30.10% Constantine - (14.3 / 12.5) -- Accuracy: 85.60% Cursed - (18.2 / 10) -- Accuracy: 18.00% Man of the House - (8.4 / 9) -- Accuracy: 93.33% Million Dollar Baby - (5.8 / 8.1) -- Accuracy: 71.60% Because of Winn-Dixie - (6.6 / 6.9) -- Accuracy: 95.65% Are We There Yet? - (4.4 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 95.24% The Aviator - (3.6 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 85.71% Son of the Mask - (4.1 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 92.11% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 76.45% New Release: 47.15% Still in Theater: 89.01%

Author:	Animosity Reigns [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 1:56 pm ]
Post subject:
my new movie % is 30.5% :razz: at least my still in theatre is 89.6% :razz:

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Author:	Vovanik [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 2:05 pm ]
Post subject:
81.85%

Author:	Plot [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 2:49 pm ]
Post subject:
Hitch - (20 / 20.5) -- Accuracy: 97.56% Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (7.5 / 19.6) -- Accuracy: 38.27% Constantine - (16 / 12.2) -- Accuracy: 68.85% Cursed - (18 / 10.1) -- Accuracy: 21.78% Man of the House - (8 / 9) -- Accuracy: 88.89% Million Dollar Baby - (6 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 77.92% Because of Winn-Dixie - (7 / 7) -- Accuracy: 100.00% Are We There Yet? - (4.5 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00% The Aviator - (3.2 / 4) -- Accuracy: 80.00% Son of the Mask - (4 / 3.8) -- Accuracy: 94.74% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 76.80% New Release: 49.65% Still in Theater: 88.44%

Author:	xiayun [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 2:52 pm ]
Post subject:
Son of the Mask probably won't gross 3.8M since at best it had $0.9M on Friday, although it should have an over 4 multiplier. I shouldn't have lowered my predictions for the oscar movies. ](*,)

Author:	matatonio [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 2:54 pm ]
Post subject:
Hitch - (19.8 / 20.5) -- Accuracy: 96.59% Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (4 / 19.6) -- Accuracy: 20.41% Constantine - (14.2 / 12.2) -- Accuracy: 83.61% Cursed - (20.8 / 10.1) -- Accuracy: 0.00% Man of the House - (7.2 / 9) -- Accuracy: 80.00% Million Dollar Baby - (6.1 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 79.22% Because of Winn-Dixie - (6.3 / 7) -- Accuracy: 90.00% Are We There Yet? - (4.8 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 93.33% The Aviator - (3.8 / 4) -- Accuracy: 95.00% Son of the Mask - (4.1 / 3) -- Accuracy: 63.33% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 70.15% New Release: 33.47% Still in Theater: 85.87%

Author:	Wildbill [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 3:32 pm ]
Post subject:
Hitch - (19 / 19.5) -- Accuracy: 97.44% Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (3 / 19.1) -- Accuracy: 15.71% Constantine - (15.5 / 11.8) -- Accuracy: 68.64% Cursed - (13.4 / 10) -- Accuracy: 66.00% Man of the House - (6.8 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 79.07% Because of Winn-Dixie - (6.5 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 86.67% Million Dollar Baby - (5.9 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 83.10% Are We There Yet? - (4.4 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 97.78% The Aviator - (3.5 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 83.33% Son of the Mask - (3.7 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 91.18% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 76.89% New Release: 53.59% Still in Theater: 86.88% Around 78% with the 12 movies.

Author:	The Scottie [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 3:50 pm ]
Post subject:
With these projection for the top ten movies, my score would be an 80.98%. I think it will be higher once the real numbers come in for Son of the Mask, Sideways, and Boogeyman.

Author:	Impact [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 5:17 pm ]
Post subject:
I cant get my score on box office factor. although i did predict.

Author:	Impact [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 5:19 pm ]
Post subject:
well heres mine Rank Film Predicted Estimate Est. Accuracy 1 Hitch 21.2 19.5 91.28% 2 Diary of a Mad Black Woman 6 19.1 31.41% 3 Constantine 12.9 11.8 90.68% 4 Cursed 16 10 40.00% 5 Man of the House 8 8.6 93.02% 6 Because of Winn-Dixie 7.8 7.5 96.00% 7 Million Dollar Baby 5.9 7.1 83.10% 8 Are We There Yet? 4.8 4.5 93.33% 9 The Aviator 3.7 4.2 88.10% 10 Son of the Mask 2.7 3.4 79.41% Average OVERALL (estimate) 78.63% New Release 54.81% Still in Theater 88.84%

Author:	Eagle [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 6:48 pm ]
Post subject:
Hitch - (19.8 / 19.5) -- Accuracy: 98.46% Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (5.9 / 19.1) -- Accuracy: 30.89% Constantine - (13.2 / 11.8) -- Accuracy: 88.14% Cursed - (17.5 / 10) -- Accuracy: 25.00% Man of the House - (10.0 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 83.72% Because of Winn-Dixie - (6.8 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 90.67% Million Dollar Baby - (6.0 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 84.51% Sideways - (3.3 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 80.49% The Aviator - (3.8 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 90.48% Son of the Mask - (3.2 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 94.12% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 76.65% New Release: 46.54% Still in Theater: 89.55% Diary and Cursed Murdered my derby, I am calling the police.

Author:	Ghostooze [ Sun Feb 27, 2005 2:03 pm ]
Post subject:
BUMP FOR ESTIMATES

Author:	The Scottie [ Sun Feb 27, 2005 2:12 pm ]
Post subject:
I did pretty good. I got an 81.78%. Based on some of the socre I am seeing here, I can't really complain.

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Author:	newfoundglorysp [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 7:15 pm ]
Post subject:
Eagle wrote: Hitch - (19.8 / 19.5) -- Accuracy: 98.46% Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (5.9 / 19.1) -- Accuracy: 30.89% Constantine - (13.2 / 11.8) -- Accuracy: 88.14% Cursed - (17.5 / 10) -- Accuracy: 25.00% Man of the House - (10.0 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 83.72% Because of Winn-Dixie - (6.8 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 90.67% Million Dollar Baby - (6.0 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 84.51% Sideways - (3.3 / 4.1) -- Accuracy: 80.49% The Aviator - (3.8 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 90.48% Son of the Mask - (3.2 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 94.12% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 76.65% New Release: 46.54% Still in Theater: 89.55% Diary and Cursed Murdered my derby, I am calling the police. PSHHHT. you got off easy. im too embarassed to post my score, but lets say myprediction for DOAMBW was <b> 4.2 </b> and my cursed was <b> 18.2 </b>. Yeahhh beat you on both those. my score= pathetic.

Author:	BJ [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 10:34 pm ]
Post subject:
I got a 75.58% I also think that every film was under predicted in those projections.

Author:	newfoundglorysp [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 10:45 pm ]
Post subject:
BJ wrote: I got a 75.58% I also think that every film was under predicted in those projections. what did you predict for diary of a mad black woman? im curious to find out something.

Author:	BJ [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 11:15 pm ]
Post subject:
newfoundglorysp wrote: BJ wrote: I got a 75.58% I also think that every film was under predicted in those projections. what did you predict for diary of a mad black woman? im curious to find out something. I predicted 7m, lol that was its opening day.

Author:	Groucho [ Sat Feb 26, 2005 11:27 pm ]
Post subject:
Absolutely awful. Hitch - (18.6 / 19.5) -- Accuracy: 95.38% Diary of a Mad Black Woman - (8.0 / 19.1) -- Accuracy: 41.88% Constantine - (14.1 / 11.8) -- Accuracy: 80.51% Cursed - (18.8 / 10) -- Accuracy: 12.00% Man of the House - (8.7 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 98.84% Because of Winn-Dixie - (7.9 / 7.5) -- Accuracy: 94.67% Million Dollar Baby - (6.0 / 7.1) -- Accuracy: 84.51% Are We There Yet? - (4.9 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 91.11% The Aviator - (3.6 / 4.2) -- Accuracy: 85.71% Son of the Mask - (5.6 / 3.4) -- Accuracy: 35.29% OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 71.99% New Release: 50.91% Still in Theater: 81.03%

Author:	BJ [ Sun Feb 27, 2005 3:00 am ]
Post subject:
newfoundglorysp wrote: BJ wrote: newfoundglorysp wrote: BJ wrote: I got a 75.58% I also think that every film was under predicted in those projections. what did you predict for diary of a mad black woman? im curious to find out something. I predicted 7m the day that BJ underpredicts a movie. wowwwwza. haha that makes me soo happy. its crazy. lol, I will be back to over predicting next wknd :wink: