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February 25-27 Predictions
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Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sat Feb 19, 2005 11:35 pm ]
Post subject:  February 25-27 Predictions
Well, you know the drill.

Something tells me that Cursed will be really big.

I'll do the openers for now.

Cursed - $26.1 million
Man of the House - $8.5 million
Diary of a mad black Woman - $6.8 million
Author:  El Maskado [ Sat Feb 19, 2005 11:43 pm ]
Post subject:  Re: February 25-27 Predictions
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Diary of a mad black Woman - $6.8 million


Is this a movie about Star Jones?
Author:  Mister Ecks [ Sat Feb 19, 2005 11:44 pm ]
Post subject: 
Cursed: $18.5m

Something tells me movie-goers are catching on to the new fad of subpar to downright awful horror movies. If Cursed is actually good, maybe about $20 million.
Author:  Jeff [ Sat Feb 19, 2005 11:49 pm ]
Post subject: 
Cursed: $24.7 million -- Wes Craven, PG-13 and great advertising, it is bound to have a great opening
Man of the House: $11.5 million -- Might have some appeal but I wouldn't expect it to do much beyond a 2.0x multiplier
Diary of a Mad Black Woman: $11.5 million -- A commonly underestimated niche market, this will have appeal to the urban market and to woman. Should do fairly well and have decent legs.
Author:  Plot [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 12:17 am ]
Post subject: 
The problem is, every time a horror movie comes out, the day before I always think "OK, if I predict a huge opening for this movie, it'll be the one that breaks the pattern and it'll bomb", so ever since the Grudge, I've underpredicted every single horror movie (except for Alone in the Dark).

I'll probably underpredict Cursed as well.
Author:  rusty [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 12:18 am ]
Post subject:  Re: February 25-27 Predictions
El_masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Diary of a mad black Woman - $6.8 million


Is this a movie about Star Jones?


LMAO! great one!!!!!!!!!
Author:  zingy [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 12:32 am ]
Post subject: 
Cursed will be pretty big. It's got an actual horror look to it. It's from Wes Craven, it's PG-13, and the marketing has been strong.
Author:  Libs [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 12:42 am ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
Cursed will be pretty big. It's got an actual horror look to it. It's from Wes Craven, it's PG-13, and the marketing has been strong.


It also looks terrible.

Oh, wait. That doesn't mean a thing anymore!

Cursed: $16 million
Man of the House: $9 million
Diary of a Mad Black Woman: $8 million
Author:  jb007 [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 12:43 am ]
Post subject: 
Zing,

Let me take a wild guess. Your favorite genre is horror :wink:
Author:  zingy [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 12:43 am ]
Post subject: 
jb007 wrote:
Zing,

Let me take a wild guess. Your favorite genre is horror :wink:


Your wild guess is accurate. :wink:

I know a horror hit when I see it. I'm from "that group" that runs out to see stupid horror movies on Friday nights. :razz:
Author:  jb007 [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 12:51 am ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Zing,

Let me take a wild guess. Your favorite genre is horror :wink:


Your wild guess is accurate. :wink:

I know a horror hit when I see it. I'm from "that group" that runs out to see stupid horror movies on Friday nights. :razz:


I don't get much information from teenagers regarding movies. My nephews and nieces are of the belief that watching movies affects your success in school (ASU), which is ridiculous. My wife's nieces and nephews are goofballs. They are more interested in fixing cars. In fact they call me for information.

You are my source of teenage interest in horror movies. I thought The Grudge would fail after watching it. You were correct. :smile:
Author:  zingy [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 12:56 am ]
Post subject: 
jb007 wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Zing,

Let me take a wild guess. Your favorite genre is horror :wink:


Your wild guess is accurate. :wink:

I know a horror hit when I see it. I'm from "that group" that runs out to see stupid horror movies on Friday nights. :razz:


I don't get much information from teenagers regarding movies. My nephews and nieces are of the belief that watching movies affects your success in school (ASU), which is ridiculous. My wife's nieces and nephews are goofballs. They are more interested in fixing cars. In fact they call me for information.

You are my source of teenage interest in horror movies. I thought The Grudge would fail after watching it. You were correct. :smile:


My source is never my interest in a movie, but purely crowd responses to the trailers, and the "buzz" around my school. They tell me how high to predict. When people began to say "people are losing interest in these horror movies" when Boogeyman came out, I kept with my prediction, even if it was Superbowl weekend.
Author:  Jason Ng [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 1:15 am ]
Post subject: 
Plot wrote:
The problem is, every time a horror movie comes out, the day before I always think "OK, if I predict a huge opening for this movie, it'll be the one that breaks the pattern and it'll bomb", so ever since the Grudge, I've underpredicted every single horror movie (except for Alone in the Dark).

I'll probably underpredict Cursed as well.


Horror movies since The Grudge have been so successful, one after the other, that it's surprising. I can't believe I'm STILL underpredicting them. I guess I'm expecting something to break the pattern soon...
Author:  Kris K [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 8:11 am ]
Post subject: 
Cursed will break that very pattern you talk about....

Cursed- $16,000,000
Man Of The House- $5,000,000
Diary Of A Mad Black Woman- $6,000,000

Put it this way, i thought CURSED was the sole opener this weekend. i have never heard of the other two movies, at all.


I really Hope CURSED is bigger than $16M.
Author:  Animosity Reigns [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 12:14 pm ]
Post subject: 
Ummm dont underestimate Man of the House... basically the entire state of Texas is a lock to see this film.... you just dont understand how big UT/A&M thing is out there, hook em horns :razz:

depending on screen counts anywhere from 10-15 m
Author:  El Maskado [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 1:44 pm ]
Post subject: 
Think Hitch can hold on to the number #1 spot here? I see alot of predictions under 20 million for Cursed here
Author:  Libs [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 1:46 pm ]
Post subject: 
El_masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
Think Hitch can hold on to the number #1 spot here? I see alot of predictions under 20 million for Cursed here


I think it will.
Author:  zingy [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 1:47 pm ]
Post subject: 
It won't. Unless it drops under 30%, it'll be #2.
Author:  Libs [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 2:17 pm ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
It won't. Unless it drops under 30%, it'll be #2.


Not necessarily. If Cursed opens with under $20M (which I think will happen), Hitch would most likely stay on top.
Author:  El Maskado [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 2:31 pm ]
Post subject: 
I do hope Cursed will bomb to stop the trend of every freaking horror film reaching number 1. Probably unlikely since that Shitee film Boogeyman managed to open in the high teens. If this trend continues with horrors doing so well, we will see a PG-13 Leprechaun saved from straight to video hitting the movie theaters near you
Author:  Kris K [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 3:24 pm ]
Post subject: 
I really don't want CURSED to bomb, because i like horror movies doing well.

But i think CURSED will dissapoint with about $16M. Anything over $20M would be fab.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 9:26 pm ]
Post subject: 
El_masked_esteROIDe_user wrote:
If this trend continues with horrors doing so well, we will see a PG-13 Leprechaun saved from straight to video hitting the movie theaters near you


:lol: :lol: :lol:

Post of the day =D>
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 9:35 pm ]
Post subject: 
Seriously, though. Cursed is going to be just another underpredicted horror movie. Let's see...

The Grudge was majorly underpredicted. All I saw were openings ranging from $20-25 million with a few exceptions. The Grudge opened close to $40 million.

Everyone expected Darkness to be an utter bomb and open with less than $4 million in 2 days. I believe it opened with $6 million and that considering it has been delayed for around 2 years and didn't have much of anything going for it.

White Noise...very underpredicted as well. Most predictions ranged from $12 million to $16 million with some daredevils going for $20 million (and BKB for $40 million, but that doesn't count because it's BKB). It opened to 24 million.

Hide & Seek was predicted pretty well actually, yet surprised many with another $20+ million openeing.

Then we had Boogeyman which many, including myself, thought would break the pattern. It had no stars, it was originally supposed to go DTV, the trailers didn't look too good and the reviews were anything, but encouraging. Yet it opened to $19 million on a Superbowl weekend. On a normal weekend, it'd have made $20+ million.

I won't even bring Constantine into this discussion because it has not been marketed as horror.


Cursed has the "From the creators of Scream" going for it and you have to realize how popular Scream is among young crowds. Just see at the opening weekends of Scream 2 and Scream 3, both above $30 million. It is also openeing in 3,000+ theatres. Why, I ask you, shall Cursed open with less than what Boogeyman opened with? What did Boogeyman have going for it that Cursed doesn't have?

Having said that, I am pretty certain that Cursed will make $20+ million on the opening weekend.
Author:  misterglass [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 10:14 pm ]
Post subject: 
I have to agree with those who think Cursed will make less than $20 million. I might even go so far as to say that Hitch will be #1 again next weekend.

The last time Wes Craven's name was attached to something (They) it bombed, and not only does Cursed look like crap, but he's pretty much washed his hands of the movie because he wasn't happy with how it turned out when edited down for a PG-13. True horror fans will know this. Also, Scream 3 was five years ago...the young people who were into that are now five years older and not into the whole teen horror thing, a genre which was played out by the number of imitators. This looks like a return to that sort of horror rather than the more modern kind...which is generally remaking a classic or something very strange like the Japanese horror phenom. I love werewolves and I would love to see Craven get a third wind in his career (the second being Scream) but I just don't think this will be the movie to do it.
Author:  mary [ Sun Feb 20, 2005 11:07 pm ]
Post subject: 
shades033 wrote:
I have to agree with those who think Cursed will make less than $20 million. I might even go so far as to say that Hitch will be #1 again next weekend.

The last time Wes Craven's name was attached to something (They) it bombed, and not only does Cursed look like crap, but he's pretty much washed his hands of the movie because he wasn't happy with how it turned out when edited down for a PG-13. True horror fans will know this. Also, Scream 3 was five years ago...the young people who were into that are now five years older and not into the whole teen horror thing, a genre which was played out by the number of imitators. This looks like a return to that sort of horror rather than the more modern kind...which is generally remaking a classic or something very strange like the Japanese horror phenom. I love werewolves and I would love to see Craven get a third wind in his career (the second being Scream) but I just don't think this will be the movie to do it.



However, Horror movies is more popular than it were in 2002.

If White Noise can get $24 million opening, why CURSED can't?
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