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Monday Numbers
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=4271		 Page 1 of 1
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Tue Feb 08, 2005 4:06 pm ]
Post subject:  Monday Numbers
1. Boogeyman - $1,086,578 - -56.6% - $20,107,233
2. Million Dollar Baby - $779,129 - -50.1% - $35,215,131
3. The Wedding Date - $719,955 - -63.2% - $11,849,535
4. Hide and Seek - $653,271 - -54.5% - $36,367,880
5. Are We There Yet? - $507,984 - -78.8% - $51,780,351
6. The Aviator - $430,000 - -56.3% - $76,326,000
7. Sideways - $410,036 - -47.7% - $47,075,731
8. Meet the Fockers - $337,125 - -55.9% - $265,500,670
9. Coach Carter - $276,588 - -53.3% - $59,615,002
10. Hotel Rwanda - $226,367 - -48.5% - $11,452,178
11. In Good Company - $213,730 - -58.5% - $40,984,412
12. The Phantom of the Opera - $212,200 - -59.8% - $43,016,636
Author:  xiayun [ Tue Feb 08, 2005 4:14 pm ]
Post subject: 
Week-to-week:

Million Dollar Baby -27.1%
Hide and Seek -52.8%
Are We There Yet? -20.3%
The Aviator -16.8%
Sideways -10.2%
Meet the Fockers -27.8%
Coach Carter -32.7%
In Good Company -36%
The Phantom of the Opera -31.8%
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Tue Feb 08, 2005 4:23 pm ]
Post subject: 
Amazing for Sideways. If, by any (impossible) chance, it happnes to win Best Picture or Best Director, it'll possibly cross $90-100 million, but as of now, I think it'll settle for $80 million.


Watch Boogeyman drop at last 55% next weekend, if not more.
Author:  Kris K [ Tue Feb 08, 2005 4:23 pm ]
Post subject: 
If BOOGEYMAN grosses $8M next weekend, i rekon it will have a 2nd weekend total of:

Around $32M.

Nice one.
Author:  Kris K [ Tue Feb 08, 2005 4:26 pm ]
Post subject: 
Not that bad a drop for BOOGEYMAN.

Boogeyman -56.5%

Grudge -69.2%
Saw -65%
White Noise -73.5%
Hide and Seek -74.2%

I suppose it had SUPERBOWL killing it's sunday, but if you take that way, it's similar, if not better than all those recent horror movies.
Author:  Algren [ Tue Feb 08, 2005 4:41 pm ]
Post subject: 
Glad the Aviator is doing well :)
Author:  Anonymous [ Tue Feb 08, 2005 5:01 pm ]
Post subject: 
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Amazing for Sideways. If, by any (impossible) chance, it happnes to win Best Picture or Best Director, it'll possibly cross $90-100 million, but as of now, I think it'll settle for $80 million.


Mission Impossible.

But I have faith. [-o< :wink:
Author:  DP07 [ Tue Feb 08, 2005 8:28 pm ]
Post subject: 
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Watch Boogeyman drop at last 55% next weekend, if not more.


I think it will do a bit better then that. The deflated superbowl numbers will soften the drop. Darkness Falls dropped around 42% I believe, and while Boogeyman won't hold up that well, it might drop around 50%, maybe less.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Tue Feb 08, 2005 9:03 pm ]
Post subject: 
DP07 wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Watch Boogeyman drop at last 55% next weekend, if not more.


I think it will do a bit better then that. The deflated superbowl numbers will soften the drop. Darkness Falls dropped around 42% I believe, and while Boogeyman won't hold up that well, it might drop around 50%, maybe less.


Well, Darkness Falls was the only horror movie around, I think while Boogeyman will be hurt by the higher-profile Hide and Seek in the long run, I think. Also Darkness Falls had a better Saturday increase and a smaller Sunday drop. Moreover, it opened just smaller than Boogeyman, so there wasn't that much space for it to drop anyway. I don't see Boogeyman making more than $8.5 million in its second weekend.
Author:  DP07 [ Tue Feb 08, 2005 9:46 pm ]
Post subject: 
Dr. Lecter wrote:
DP07 wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Watch Boogeyman drop at last 55% next weekend, if not more.


I think it will do a bit better then that. The deflated superbowl numbers will soften the drop. Darkness Falls dropped around 42% I believe, and while Boogeyman won't hold up that well, it might drop around 50%, maybe less.


Well, Darkness Falls was the only horror movie around, I think while Boogeyman will be hurt by the higher-profile Hide and Seek in the long run, I think. Also Darkness Falls had a better Saturday increase and a smaller Sunday drop. Moreover, it opened just smaller than Boogeyman, so there wasn't that much space for it to drop anyway. I don't see Boogeyman making more than $8.5 million in its second weekend.


I would think that the effect from Hide and Seek will fade in the long run. After next weekend the film will nearly be done since it is declining so quickly. As for the stronger increases and decreases, I agree that DF certainly did have better legs then this film will have, but so far I don't think there is an indication of a massive difference. Boogeyman won't drop 41.6%, but I don't think it will drop 60% either.

As for the size of the opening, I haven't seen any evidence to suggest that openers of around 20m drop harder then openers of 12m.
Author:  zingy [ Tue Feb 08, 2005 10:01 pm ]
Post subject: 
Movies like Elektra, Alone in the Dark, and others all didn't have much to drop from, but they dropped... BIG! :wink:
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Tue Feb 08, 2005 10:09 pm ]
Post subject: 
DP07 wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
DP07 wrote:
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Watch Boogeyman drop at last 55% next weekend, if not more.


I think it will do a bit better then that. The deflated superbowl numbers will soften the drop. Darkness Falls dropped around 42% I believe, and while Boogeyman won't hold up that well, it might drop around 50%, maybe less.


Well, Darkness Falls was the only horror movie around, I think while Boogeyman will be hurt by the higher-profile Hide and Seek in the long run, I think. Also Darkness Falls had a better Saturday increase and a smaller Sunday drop. Moreover, it opened just smaller than Boogeyman, so there wasn't that much space for it to drop anyway. I don't see Boogeyman making more than $8.5 million in its second weekend.


I would think that the effect from Hide and Seek will fade in the long run. After next weekend the film will nearly be done since it is declining so quickly. As for the stronger increases and decreases, I agree that DF certainly did have better legs then this film will have, but so far I don't think there is an indication of a massive difference. Boogeyman won't drop 41.6%, but I don't think it will drop 60% either.

As for the size of the opening, I haven't seen any evidence to suggest that openers of around 20m drop harder then openers of 12m.


It won't drop 60%, but that only because it'll be the post-Superbowl weekend (then again, if it didn't open on the Superbowl-weekend, the opening would have been $20+ million). But I definitely see a 55% drop. I expect it to decrease on each of the weekdays leading to a $0.85 million Thursday, then have a 195-200% increase on Friday (a bit higher than Hide and Seek) and have an okay weekend multiplier ;)
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