World of KJ :: View topic - 2004 most overpredicted movies

BJ wrote:

Spider-Man 2 with 460m

and pretty much every other film :wink:

Dr. Lecter wrote:

Overall Troy is by far and away the most overpredicted movie of 2004. I mean pretty much everyone (with the exception of DP07) predicted $180+ million for it.

MadGez wrote:

Im ashamed to say I overpredicted Troy by over $150m!! Was predicting $310m at one stage.

Dr. Lecter wrote:

Overall Troy is by far and away the most overpredicted movie of 2004. I mean pretty much everyone (with the exception of DP07) predicted $180+ million for it.

Other overpredicted:

Team America: World Police
The Terminal
The Ladykillers
Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban
The Village
Blade: Trinity

Mr. X wrote:

Definitely Alexander. I was about to call everyone a moron for including The Day After Tomorrow... then I recalled predicting $300 million. Oops... definitely Team America.

Libs wrote:

Mr. X wrote:

Definitely Alexander. I was about to call everyone a moron for including The Day After Tomorrow... then I recalled predicting $300 million. Oops... definitely Team America.

Hehe. I believe I said Alexander would only make $15M over Thanksgiving when others were saying $25M+.

It feels good to be right sometimes \:D/

Author:	El Maskado [ Mon Jan 03, 2005 8:24 pm ]
Post subject:	2004 most overpredicted movies
Im not sure if this thread is made but back in march I saw many predictions for DAT at 350 million and Troy at over 240 million. Van Helsing had some predictions at 200 million but they werent as badly overpredicted as the latter two I mentioned. I dont know if I should include bombs like Alexander since I dont think anyone expected it to bomb. Heres what I think were the most overpredicted movies of 2004 1. Troy 2. The Village 3. Day After Tommorrow 4. Sponge Bob Square Pants 5. Van Helsing 6. Blade 3 7. Oceans 12 8. Team America I think I had one of the worst predictions for Village and Chronicles of Riddick

Author:	zingy [ Mon Jan 03, 2005 9:16 pm ]
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Troy The Village The Day After Tomorrow Blade: Trinity Team America: World Police Alexander Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban (not too overpredicted, though I saw a lot of $350+ predictions) Hellboy The Chronicles of Riddick Anchorman The Incredibles (a whole lot of $350+ predictions)

Author:	sako [ Mon Jan 03, 2005 9:52 pm ]
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For Me it had to be Harry Potter 3- I was predicting 320+ I predicted 150m for Troy, but I saw prediction as high as 300m

Author:	zingy [ Mon Jan 03, 2005 9:55 pm ]
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Oh, and these were some of my early predictions for the movies I said were overpredicted. Troy - $220 million The Village - $160 million The Day After Tomorrow - $240 million Blade: Trinity - $100 million Team America: World Police - $70 million Alexander - $140 million Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban - $270 million Hellboy - $80 million The Chronicles of Riddick - $130 million Anchorman - $130 million The Incredibles - $280 million

Author:	Algren [ Mon Jan 03, 2005 10:32 pm ]
Post subject:
I overpredicted Troy at $240 Million, and suprisingly DAt at $300 Million

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2004 most overpredicted movies http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=2932	Page 1 of 2

Author:	newfoundglorysp [ Mon Jan 03, 2005 11:14 pm ]
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i overpredicted spongebob thinking itd get 150.

Author:	Kris K [ Tue Jan 04, 2005 9:21 am ]
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I overpredicted INCREDIBLES, OPEN WATER, 13 GOING ON 30, CLUB DREAD, SEED OF CHUCKY, and some more i can't remember. I UNDERPREDICTED mean girls, grudge, saw and forgotten. But i love those movies.

Author:	MGKC [ Tue Jan 04, 2005 6:37 pm ]
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Others that weren't mentioned: -The Ladykillers (many thought this was a lock for 100 million) -Sky Captain -Open Water -The Punisher -Closer (total wise)

Author:	Bodrul [ Tue Jan 04, 2005 6:59 pm ]
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Hero

Author:	Tyler [ Tue Jan 04, 2005 8:55 pm ]
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hans wrote: Hero You're kidding, right?

Author:	Joker's Thug #3 [ Tue Jan 04, 2005 9:43 pm ]
Post subject:
Stupid Village

Author:	Dr. Lecter [ Sun Jan 16, 2005 3:57 am ]
Post subject:
Overall Troy is by far and away the most overpredicted movie of 2004. I mean pretty much everyone (with the exception of DP07) predicted $180+ million for it. Other overpredicted: Team America: World Police The Terminal The Ladykillers Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban The Village Blade: Trinity

Author:	BJ [ Sun Jan 16, 2005 4:03 am ]
Post subject:
Spider-Man 2 with 460m and pretty much every other film :wink:

Author:	sako [ Sun Jan 16, 2005 4:13 am ]
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BJ wrote: Spider-Man 2 with 460m and pretty much every other film :wink: I agree, some people were predicting 500m+

Author:	Libs [ Sun Jan 16, 2005 10:40 am ]
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I think I underpredicted SpongeBob SquarePants more than anything else. Its $80M total was less than half what I thought it would make.

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Author:	DP07 [ Sun Jan 16, 2005 6:10 am ]
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Overall Troy is by far and away the most overpredicted movie of 2004. I mean pretty much everyone (with the exception of DP07) predicted $180+ million for it. My Troy under 150m club at BOM had about 5 members. Torrino was in it. I think our thread creator was too. I think I'm the only person who underpredicted both Troy and The Village. I overpredicted: Eurotrip - Let's just say it earned a fraction of my prediction. Secret Window - By about 13m. Ladykillers - By 25m or so, I think Hellboy - By about 30m 13 Going on 30 - I don't remember exactly, but by alot. 3400+ theaters. Van Helsing - Early predictions by about 70m-80m. Before release by about 40m-50m. The Day After Tomorrow - By 25m-30m. Riddick - I predicted about double the actual. The Terminal - Early predictions by 70m. Before release by about 40m. King Arthur - I'll put it this way: my most overpredicted of the year. Harold and Kumar - See Eurotrip AVP - By about 20m-25m. More frontloaded then I expected. Resident Evil 2 - By 10m. Shark Tale - Don't ask, although I lowered it alot by release. Taxi - I predicted more then double. Team America - Quite a bit, don't remember exactly. This is the one I regret the most actually since I was thinking for a while that it would bomb. Then I changed my mind. The Incredibles - By nearly 100m. Spongebob - By about 20m. Blade: Trinity - See Riddick. Lemony Snicket - By about 50m early on. Later that was by over 80m. Spanglish - By about 30m-40m I think. The Aviator - Still have to see. I think that's every one of them.

Author:	Algren [ Sun Jan 16, 2005 8:22 am ]
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Defo Troy, i over-predicted that like crazy! I gave it like $240M prediction

Author:	MadGez [ Sun Jan 16, 2005 9:04 am ]
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Im ashamed to say I overpredicted Troy by over $150m!! Was predicting $310m at one stage. Others I overpredicted: EuroTrip - $30m Girl Next Door - $70m Harold and Kumar $105m Van Helsing $175m Anchorman $130m Oceans 12 - $220m

Author:	Kris K [ Sun Jan 16, 2005 9:07 am ]
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Harold And Kumar, $105M??!?

Author:	MadGez [ Sun Jan 16, 2005 9:12 am ]
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haha yeah a month or so before it opened I was convinced it would be a sleeper - im ashamed - one of my worst predictions ever.

Author:	Algren [ Sun Jan 16, 2005 10:25 am ]
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MadGez wrote: Im ashamed to say I overpredicted Troy by over $150m!! Was predicting $310m at one stage. You overpredicted it by $180 Million, get it right, that is terrible mate! :razz:

Author:	torrino [ Sun Jan 16, 2005 11:33 am ]
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Dr. Lecter wrote: Overall Troy is by far and away the most overpredicted movie of 2004. I mean pretty much everyone (with the exception of DP07) predicted $180+ million for it. Other overpredicted: Team America: World Police The Terminal The Ladykillers Harry Potter and the Prisoner of Azkaban The Village Blade: Trinity cough. I predicted $134m, I think. Go check BOM! :razz: What about Thunderbirds? The Girl Next Door? - Don't forget about the "smaller" movies.

Author:	Mister Ecks [ Sun Jan 16, 2005 1:02 pm ]
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Definitely Alexander. I was about to call everyone a moron for including The Day After Tomorrow... then I recalled predicting $300 million. Oops... definitely Team America.

Author:	Libs [ Sun Jan 16, 2005 1:04 pm ]
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Mr. X wrote: Definitely Alexander. I was about to call everyone a moron for including The Day After Tomorrow... then I recalled predicting $300 million. Oops... definitely Team America. Hehe. I believe I said Alexander would only make $15M over Thanksgiving when others were saying $25M+. It feels good to be right sometimes \:D/

Author:	Mister Ecks [ Sun Jan 16, 2005 1:08 pm ]
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Libs wrote: Mr. X wrote: Definitely Alexander. I was about to call everyone a moron for including The Day After Tomorrow... then I recalled predicting $300 million. Oops... definitely Team America. Hehe. I believe I said Alexander would only make $15M over Thanksgiving when others were saying $25M+. It feels good to be right sometimes \:D/ Remember when I really UNDERpredicted The Stepford Wives, and started a whole thread on it? Hopefully I can be right like that someday, with a bold prediction. Someday... someday... :wink: