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Friday Numbers - UPDATED with BOM Numbers
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Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:07 pm ]
Post subject:  Friday Numbers - UPDATED with BOM Numbers
1. Meet the Fockers - $11,800,000 - -0.8% - $132,247,000
2. Lemony Snicket's A Series of Unfortunate Events - $4,430,000 - -11.8% - $84,455,000
3. The Aviator - $3,760,000 - +47.5% - $23,830,000
4. Fat Albert - $2,870,000 - -13.2% - $25,992,000
5. Ocean's Twelve - $2,785,000 - +0.4% - $100,390,000
6. National Treasure - $2,320,000 - +21.5% - $150,065,000
7. The Polar Express - $2,045,000 - -10.5% - $151,550,000
8. Spanglish - $1,610,000 - -9.8% - $26,345,000
9. The Phantom of the Opera - $1,530,000 - +16.8% - $12,936,000
10. The Incredibles - $1,400,000 - +3.7% - $248,890,000
11. The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou - $985,000 - -24.5% - $11,359,000
12. Darkness - $840,000 - -37.1% - $12,803,000
Beyond the Sea - $415,000 - +71.1% - $992,000
Author:  jb007 [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:11 pm ]
Post subject: 
Maybe BJ is right on MTF :)
Author:  mary [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:12 pm ]
Post subject: 
PHANTOM OF THE OPERA :D
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:14 pm ]
Post subject: 
Weird numbers, The Aviator had a 60% increase?! :?
Author:  jb007 [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:21 pm ]
Post subject: 
Could MTF get over 45 mil. this weekend?
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:22 pm ]
Post subject: 
jb007 wrote:
Could MTF get over 45 mil. this weekend?


Very likely. I wonder how much it'll increase today :?
Author:  jb007 [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:25 pm ]
Post subject: 
Dr. Lecter wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Could MTF get over 45 mil. this weekend?


Very likely. I wonder how much it'll increase today :?


In 1999 all adult movies increased over 100% on Saturday, but they also decreased on Friday though :? I would guess about 75%.
Author:  Mister Ecks [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:26 pm ]
Post subject: 
:shock: I thought everyone predicted these big drops all around. I don't see no freakin' drops. Mostly steady.
Author:  jb007 [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:27 pm ]
Post subject: 
Mr. X wrote:
:shock: I thought everyone predicted these big drops all around. I don't see no freakin' drops. Mostly steady.


It was based on 1999.
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:28 pm ]
Post subject: 
Maybe the decreases had to do with the fact that the New Year's Eve 1999 was a more "important" one because of the beginning of a new millenium. Maybe more people were partying or busy with something else? :? I don't kno, there must be an explanation for these numbers. I am looking forward to BOM numbers, maybe they'll be different.
Author:  Goldie [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:30 pm ]
Post subject: 
Looking at the cumulative totals, what do you think? Discuss.

1. Meet the Fockers - $133,200,000 - Incredible
2. A Series of Unfortunate Events - $84,400,000 - what were people expecting.
3. The Aviator - $25,100,000 - not sure - is this still limited.
4. Fat Albert - $27,000,000 - go Fat Albert - better than some thought?
5. Ocean's Twelve - $100,700,000 - forget its start date - disappointing at all, what did the first one get, even though sequals usually don't do better.
6. National Treasure - $150,500,000 - keeps moving along
7. The Polar Express - $151,700,000 - keeps moving along.
8. Spanglish - $26,600,000 - how is this for Sandler?
9. The Phantom of the Opera - $12,700,000 - Whatever to the haters, I knew this wouldn't do close to Chicago numbers or even 100 million.
10. The Incredibles - $249,000,000 - Is coming short of 300 disappointing, maybe just alittle.
Author:  mary [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:52 pm ]
Post subject: 
Goldie wrote:
9. The Phantom of the Opera - $12,700,000 - Whatever to the haters, I knew this wouldn't do close to Chicago numbers or even 100 million.


As I said before, according to Variety, Warner Bros paid $19 million to acquire North America distribution rights.

If this movie can gross $38+ million in US, it is good.
Author:  BJ [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:55 pm ]
Post subject: 
thease numbers are amazing :shock: increases or very samll decreases all across the board :shock: does anyone thin that the fridays could muffle the saturday increase :?:
Author:  zingy [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:57 pm ]
Post subject: 
That's just plain awesome. No significant drops. Though I have doubts that the increase will be big today, it's still some nice numbers. Meet the Fockers might pass the original one this weekend! :shock:

Friday: $12,100,000
Saturday: $22,200,000 (+85%)
Sunday: $14,430,000 (-35%)

Weekend: $48,730,000
Total Gross: $169,830,000

That increase might be too much, though, since it did not have a big decrease on Friday. But still... :shock:
Author:  BJ [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:57 pm ]
Post subject: 
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Maybe the decreases had to do with the fact that the New Year's Eve 1999 was a more "important" one because of the beginning of a new millenium. Maybe more people were partying or busy with something else? :? I don't kno, there must be an explanation for these numbers. I am looking forward to BOM numbers, maybe they'll be different.


if thats true than new years day should have affected the films also. This could be a big wknd 8)
Author:  jb007 [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 1:59 pm ]
Post subject: 
BJ wrote:
thease numbers are amazing :shock: increases or very samll decreases all across the board :shock: does anyone thin that the fridays could muffle the saturday increase :?:


Yes. Most movies will not have the huge increase percentage wise on Saturday. They will increase a little more than a normal Saturday for this time of the year. I think MTF will still get to around 20 mil. on Saturday 8)
Author:  BJ [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 2:00 pm ]
Post subject: 
jb007 wrote:
Maybe BJ is right on MTF :)


even with a 150% increase today the film will have a saturday over 30m :shock: well maybe I was right :? I dont know :? this year has been incredible wow 8)
Author:  jb007 [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 2:03 pm ]
Post subject: 
BJ wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Maybe BJ is right on MTF :)


even with a 150% increase today the film will have a saturday over 30m :shock: well maybe I was right :? I dont know :? this year has been incredible wow 8)


You are right. These numbers are great and a good way to close out 2004 :)
Author:  jb007 [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 2:06 pm ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
That's just plain awesome. No significant drops. Though I have doubts that the increase will be big today, it's still some nice numbers. Meet the Fockers might pass the original one this weekend! :shock:

Friday: $12,100,000
Saturday: $22,200,000 (+85%)
Sunday: $14,430,000 (-35%)

Weekend: $48,730,000
Total Gross: $169,830,000

That increase might be too much, though, since it did not have a big decrease on Friday. But still... :shock:


In 1999 most adult movies increases on Saturday was over 150%. So 85% could be right.
Author:  BJ [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 2:06 pm ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
That's just plain awesome. No significant drops. Though I have doubts that the increase will be big today, it's still some nice numbers. Meet the Fockers might pass the original one this weekend! :shock:

Friday: $12,100,000
Saturday: $22,200,000 (+85%)
Sunday: $14,430,000 (-35%)

Weekend: $48,730,000
Total Gross: $169,830,000

That increase might be too much, though, since it did not have a big decrease on Friday. But still... :shock:


:? only an 85% increase :? dont get me wrong thats still an awesome wknd number showing that the increase I was predicting was indeed right but an 85% does not seem posible. I would go for the 120%-150% range even with the friday increase I dont know how big it was but it couldnt have afected the sauturday increase that much :shock: Anyway they films increase and Im dancing with joy :D
Author:  BJ [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 2:15 pm ]
Post subject: 
jb007 wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
That's just plain awesome. No significant drops. Though I have doubts that the increase will be big today, it's still some nice numbers. Meet the Fockers might pass the original one this weekend! :shock:

Friday: $12,100,000
Saturday: $22,200,000 (+85%)
Sunday: $14,430,000 (-35%)

Weekend: $48,730,000
Total Gross: $169,830,000

That increase might be too much, though, since it did not have a big decrease on Friday. But still... :shock:


In 1999 most adult movies increases on Saturday was over 150%. So 85% could be right.


I dont know :? comeing into the wknd I thought for shure if the film fell 35%-40% on friday that a 200% increase on saturday would be close to a lock considering its a comedy and the only comedy in 1999 decreased 45% on friday and increased around 240%-260% on saturday. That would be Deuce Bigalow: Male Gigolo. I expect an increase today in the 140%-160% area for MTF 8)
Author:  jb007 [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 2:24 pm ]
Post subject: 
BJ wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
That's just plain awesome. No significant drops. Though I have doubts that the increase will be big today, it's still some nice numbers. Meet the Fockers might pass the original one this weekend! :shock:

Friday: $12,100,000
Saturday: $22,200,000 (+85%)
Sunday: $14,430,000 (-35%)

Weekend: $48,730,000
Total Gross: $169,830,000

That increase might be too much, though, since it did not have a big decrease on Friday. But still... :shock:


In 1999 most adult movies increases on Saturday was over 150%. So 85% could be right.


I dont know :? comeing into the wknd I thought for shure if the film fell 35%-40% on friday that a 200% increase on saturday would be close to a lock considering its a comedy and the only comedy in 1999 decreased 45% on friday and increased around 240%-260% on saturday. That would be Deuce Bigalow: Male Gigolo. I expect an increase today in the 140%-160% area for MTF 8)


Even it does a 100% increase on Saturday, it could pass 50 mil. :shock:
Author:  zingy [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 2:26 pm ]
Post subject: 
BJ wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
That's just plain awesome. No significant drops. Though I have doubts that the increase will be big today, it's still some nice numbers. Meet the Fockers might pass the original one this weekend! :shock:

Friday: $12,100,000
Saturday: $22,200,000 (+85%)
Sunday: $14,430,000 (-35%)

Weekend: $48,730,000
Total Gross: $169,830,000

That increase might be too much, though, since it did not have a big decrease on Friday. But still... :shock:


In 1999 most adult movies increases on Saturday was over 150%. So 85% could be right.


I dont know :? comeing into the wknd I thought for shure if the film fell 35%-40% on friday that a 200% increase on saturday would be close to a lock considering its a comedy and the only comedy in 1999 decreased 45% on friday and increased around 240%-260% on saturday. That would be Deuce Bigalow: Male Gigolo. I expect an increase today in the 140%-160% area for MTF 8)


The average increase in 1999 was about 150%. But that was after an average 25%-30% drop. If it doesn't drop, which it didn't, I would expect an increase of 80%-110% on Saturday.
Author:  BJ [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 2:38 pm ]
Post subject: 
Well this is waht the wknd for MTF could look like, most may take this to be unlikely but i think it is very posible 8)

Fri: 12.1m +6%

Sat: 30.65m +145%

Sun: 20.84m -32%

Wknd: 63.59m +59.5% from last wknd

8)
Author:  BJ [ Sat Jan 01, 2005 2:45 pm ]
Post subject: 
Zingaling wrote:
BJ wrote:
jb007 wrote:
Zingaling wrote:
That's just plain awesome. No significant drops. Though I have doubts that the increase will be big today, it's still some nice numbers. Meet the Fockers might pass the original one this weekend! :shock:

Friday: $12,100,000
Saturday: $22,200,000 (+85%)
Sunday: $14,430,000 (-35%)

Weekend: $48,730,000
Total Gross: $169,830,000

That increase might be too much, though, since it did not have a big decrease on Friday. But still... :shock:


In 1999 most adult movies increases on Saturday was over 150%. So 85% could be right.


I dont know :? comeing into the wknd I thought for shure if the film fell 35%-40% on friday that a 200% increase on saturday would be close to a lock considering its a comedy and the only comedy in 1999 decreased 45% on friday and increased around 240%-260% on saturday. That would be Deuce Bigalow: Male Gigolo. I expect an increase today in the 140%-160% area for MTF 8)


The average increase in 1999 was about 150%. But that was after an average 25%-30% drop. If it doesn't drop, which it didn't, I would expect an increase of 80%-110% on Saturday.


I was not going by the average i was going by what the majestic and Deuce Bigolo did because they were more comedy genre than the other films in the top ten. Thats how I came up with that massive 205% increase I gave the film on my wknd prediction which is obviously an under prediction now. I now say 145% increase today, that subtracts about 60% of my origonal 205% increase. More than i needed to subtact considering it only increased 6% yesterday but fare enough all the same.
you based your prediction of around a 140%-160% saturday increase i based mine of a 200%+ saturday increase so the oucomes will be very differnet no matter what.
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