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Scores with actuals...
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=2723		 Page 1 of 1
Author:  Anonymous [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 6:19 pm ]
Post subject:  Scores with actuals...
Derby

Meet The Fockers - (32 / 46.1) -- Accuracy: 69.41%
Lemony Snicket - (16.7 / 12.6) -- Accuracy: 67.46%
Fat Albert - (8.4 / 10) -- Accuracy: 84.00%
The Aviator - (8.4 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 97.67%
Ocean's Twelve - (10 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 80.95%
The Polar Express - (7.2 / 6.5) -- Accuracy: 89.23%
Darkness - (5.5 / 6.2) -- Accuracy: 88.71%
Spanglish - (5.5 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 80.43%
The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou - (5.5 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 77.78%
The Phantom of the Opera - (4.7 / 4) -- Accuracy: 82.50%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 81.82%

New Release: 81.16%
Still in Theater: 82.26%

UC5

Meet The Fockers - (30.0 / 46.1) -- Accuracy: 65.08%
Lemony Snicket - (16.0 / 12.6) -- Accuracy: 73.02%
Fat Albert - (8.0 / 10) -- Accuracy: 80.00%
The Aviator - (8.0 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 93.02%
Ocean's Twelve - (10.0 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 80.95%
The Polar Express - (7.1 / 6.5) -- Accuracy: 90.77%
Darkness - (5.0 / 6.2) -- Accuracy: 80.65%
Spanglish - (5.0 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 91.30%
The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou - (5.0 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 88.89%
The Phantom of the Opera - (5.0 / 4) -- Accuracy: 75.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 81.87%

New Release: 75.18%
Still in Theater: 86.33%
Author:  matatonio [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 6:24 pm ]
Post subject: 
mine its pretty bad.......
Author:  Samweis Gamdschie [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 6:43 pm ]
Post subject: 
Well, moonreflection still needs to update my predictions for UC5. So my score would be:

Meet The Fockers - (35.5 / 46.1) -- Accuracy: 77.01%
Lemony Snicket - (15.5 / 12.6) -- Accuracy: 76.98%
Fat Albert - (8.5 / 10) -- Accuracy: 85.00%
The Aviator - (8.5 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 98.84%
Ocean's Twelve - (10.5 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 75.00%
The Polar Express - (7.5 / 6.5) -- Accuracy: 84.62%
Darkness - (4.5 / 6.2) -- Accuracy: 72.58%
Spanglish - (5.5 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 80.43%
The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou - (4.5 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
The Phantom of the Opera - (4.5 / 4) -- Accuracy: 87.50%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 83.80%

New Release: 80.52%
Still in Theater: 85.98%

Because of the different between the studio estimate and the actual number.
You've loss a 0.05% in your average.


But my Derby sucks big time:

Meet The Fockers - (37 / 46.1) -- Accuracy: 80.26%
Lemony Snicket - (21 / 12.6) -- Accuracy: 33.33%
Fat Albert - (9 / 10) -- Accuracy: 90.00%
The Aviator - (10 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 83.72%
Ocean's Twelve - (12 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 57.14%
The Polar Express - (7.5 / 6.5) -- Accuracy: 84.62%
Darkness - (4 / 6.2) -- Accuracy: 64.52%
Spanglish - (6 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 69.57%
The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou - (5 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 88.89%
The Phantom of the Opera - (5 / 4) -- Accuracy: 75.00%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 72.70%

New Release: 77.44%
Still in Theater: 69.54%

Because of the different between the studio estimate and the actual number.
You've loss a 0.36% in your average.

:)
Author:  John Doe [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 6:58 pm ]
Post subject: 
You guys think you have it bad...

Look at Brandon's score:

Meet The Fockers - (30.8 / 46.1) -- Accuracy: 66.81%
Lemony Snicket - (17.2 / 12.6) -- Accuracy: 63.49%
Fat Albert - (5.0 / 10) -- Accuracy: 50.00%
The Aviator - (12.4 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 55.81%
Ocean's Twelve - (11.7 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 60.71%
The Polar Express - (9.4 / 6.5) -- Accuracy: 55.38%
Darkness - (4.2 / 6.2) -- Accuracy: 67.74%
Spanglish - (5.7 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 76.09%
The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou - (5.2 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 84.44%
The Phantom of the Opera - (9.2 / 4) -- Accuracy: 0.00%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 58.05%

New Release: 46.14%
Still in Theater: 65.99%

I'm glad I missed this one due to the Wednesday deadline... ;)
Author:  Animosity Reigns [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 7:15 pm ]
Post subject: 
lol well I dont feel so bad now after seeing Brandons, at least my 65.84% looks better than that 50 something...whew I should have skipped this week...overall % going bye bye, hope I can still stay in the top 10
Author:  Samweis Gamdschie [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 7:22 pm ]
Post subject: 
Animosity Reigns wrote:
lol well I dont feel so bad now after seeing Brandons, at least my 65.84% looks better than that 50 something...whew I should have skipped this week...overall % going bye bye, hope I can still stay in the top 10


Thats why Scott Vasquez isn't #1 in the All-Time-Derby-Charts - he played all games and at the beginning it was quite common to get a '60- or 70-something-score'... :)
My 72%-score will definately screw my All-time-score, but I don't mind - all I care is to win the next weekend! :wink:
Author:  The Scottie [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 7:36 pm ]
Post subject: 
John Doe wrote:
You guys think you have it bad...

Look at Brandon's score:

Meet The Fockers - (30.8 / 46.1) -- Accuracy: 66.81%
Lemony Snicket - (17.2 / 12.6) -- Accuracy: 63.49%
Fat Albert - (5.0 / 10) -- Accuracy: 50.00%
The Aviator - (12.4 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 55.81%
Ocean's Twelve - (11.7 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 60.71%
The Polar Express - (9.4 / 6.5) -- Accuracy: 55.38%
Darkness - (4.2 / 6.2) -- Accuracy: 67.74%
Spanglish - (5.7 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 76.09%
The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou - (5.2 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 84.44%
The Phantom of the Opera - (9.2 / 4) -- Accuracy: 0.00%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 58.05%

New Release: 46.14%
Still in Theater: 65.99%

I'm glad I missed this one due to the Wednesday deadline... ;)


Wow, it looks like I barely beat him. I score a 58.94%, which makes it my all time worse game :evil: .
Author:  xiayun [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 7:42 pm ]
Post subject: 
I have 64%, so Brandon, Scott, and Animosity, I guess we do well together, and we do bad together.
Author:  MGKC [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 7:43 pm ]
Post subject: 
Meet The Fockers - (43.4 / 46.1) -- Accuracy: 94.14%
Lemony Snicket - (21.0 / 12.6) -- Accuracy: 33.33%
Fat Albert - (6.9 / 10) -- Accuracy: 69.00%
The Aviator - (9.4 / 8.6) -- Accuracy: 90.70%
Ocean's Twelve - (11.6 / 8.4) -- Accuracy: 61.90%
The Polar Express - (7.4 / 6.5) -- Accuracy: 86.15%
Darkness - (2.8 / 6.2) -- Accuracy: 45.16%
Spanglish - (6.5 / 4.6) -- Accuracy: 58.70%
The Life Aquatic with Steve Zissou - (4.2 / 4.5) -- Accuracy: 93.33%
The Phantom of the Opera - (4.9 / 4) -- Accuracy: 77.50%

OVERALL ACTUAL ACCURACY: 70.99%

New Release: 71.45%
Still in Theater: 70.69%

Because of the different between the studio estimate and the actual number.
You've loss a 0.13% in your average.

Grrr.... I didn't think I could have such massive overprediction AND underprediction in one game...
Author:  xiayun [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 7:45 pm ]
Post subject: 
Derby Results. Congrats Nebs for being No. 2! And look at Tinman38's prediction history! I guess in such a weird weekend where Brandon and Scott scored below 60%, you come to expect a person like that wins.
Author:  xiayun [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 7:47 pm ]
Post subject: 
Also as I speculated, 70% will get you in the top 52. Congrats everyone who scored over 70%.
Author:  The Scottie [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 7:48 pm ]
Post subject: 
xiayun wrote:
I have 64%, so Brandon, Scott, and Animosity, I guess we do well together, and we do bad together.


Actually, I think it is the fact that this weekend was too hard to predict where the grosses will end up, especially with Christmas Eve. It looks a random predictor got it right this time.
Author:  Anonymous [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 8:13 pm ]
Post subject: 
Thanks xiayun. :)

I'm very pleased with this result, my best score.

And as for Tinman, he atleast doesn't skip games, so am happy for him.

Wonder if OSHO skipped again.
Author:  xiayun [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 8:27 pm ]
Post subject: 
Nebs wrote:
Thanks xiayun. :)

I'm very pleased with this result, my best score.

And as for Tinman, he atleast doesn't skip games, so am happy for him.

Wonder if OSHO skipped again.


He did, and just becomes the No. 1 again. :evil:

Updated all-time chart

redrum, IGOR MOJAEV(a.k.a OSHO again), and Hedlund also missed last week and benefited as result.
Author:  xiayun [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 8:30 pm ]
Post subject: 
14 points separates Brandon and Scott in the yearly chart. Down to the final week. Go Scott!
Author:  Samweis Gamdschie [ Mon Dec 27, 2004 9:17 pm ]
Post subject: 
xiayun wrote:
14 points separates Brandon and Scott in the yearly chart. Down to the final week. Go Scott!


YAY, GO SCOTT!!!

And congrats to Mario (aka Nebs) - its just a matter of time until you get the #1-spot! :wink: :P
Author:  The Scottie [ Tue Dec 28, 2004 1:33 am ]
Post subject: 
Samweis Gamdschie wrote:
xiayun wrote:
14 points separates Brandon and Scott in the yearly chart. Down to the final week. Go Scott!


YAY, GO SCOTT!!!

And congrats to Mario (aka Nebs) - its just a matter of time until you get the #1-spot! :wink: :P


Thanks guys, but I am not sure if the next game will count as this year's game or 2005's game (since it would be game 53 or back to game 1). I e-mailed Sean to get the comfirmation. Did you guys know what game the next derby will count towards?
Author:  Animosity Reigns [ Tue Dec 28, 2004 8:57 pm ]
Post subject: 
xiayun wrote:
I have 64%, so Brandon, Scott, and Animosity, I guess we do well together, and we do bad together.


Just goes to show we all thinking on the same level....we just got screwed this week :P

Bring on new years...
Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Wed Dec 29, 2004 11:28 am ]
Post subject: 
I got somewhat over 84% with my UC4 predictions :) Hopefully moon will update them soon.
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