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Scores with Projections.
http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=2051
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Author:  The Scottie [ Sat Dec 04, 2004 4:40 pm ]
Post subject:  Scores with Projections.

Using Xiayun's projections.

National Treasure 16.5
Christmas with Kranks 11.5
Polar Express 10.6
The Incredibles 9.5
Closer 7.9
Spongebob 7.7
Alexander 5.0
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason 3.0
Finding Neverland 2.9

And for Sideways, let's just use a 1.6 million projection (unless you want to change it).

With this, I would get an 85.36%. Not bad at all.

Author:  Groucho [ Sat Dec 04, 2004 4:47 pm ]
Post subject: 

National Treasure - (15.8 / 16.5) -- Accuracy: 95.76%
Christmas with the Kranks - (9.1 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 79.13%
The Polar Express - (9.0 / 11) -- Accuracy: 81.82%
The Incredibles - (12.0 / 9.5) -- Accuracy: 73.68%
Closer - (6.1 / 7.9) -- Accuracy: 77.22%
The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie - (7.1 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 92.21%
Alexander - (6.9 / 4.8) -- Accuracy: 56.25%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (3.1 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 93.10%
Finding Neverland - (4.1 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 58.62%
Sideways - (1.9 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 88.24%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 79.60%

New Release: 77.22%
Still in Theater: 79.87%


Yuk.

Author:  Animosity Reigns [ Sat Dec 04, 2004 4:52 pm ]
Post subject: 

with these projections I had an 83.24%

somehow my wife (hepburngirl) managed to get a 91.02% ...im like wtf :P

Author:  Anonymous [ Sat Dec 04, 2004 5:02 pm ]
Post subject: 

National Treasure - (12.9 / 16.5) -- Accuracy: 78.18%
Christmas with the Kranks - (8.6 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 74.78%
The Polar Express - (8.7 / 11) -- Accuracy: 79.09%
The Incredibles - (9.1 / 9.5) -- Accuracy: 95.79%
Closer - (4.6 / 7.9) -- Accuracy: 58.23%
The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie - (7.1 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 92.21%
Alexander - (4.2 / 4.8) -- Accuracy: 87.50%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (2.5 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 86.21%
Finding Neverland - (2.5 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 86.21%
Sideways - (2 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 82.35%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 82.05%

New Release: 58.23%
Still in Theater: 84.70%


Well, over my overall accuracy, so pretty good.

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sat Dec 04, 2004 5:10 pm ]
Post subject: 

Decent weekend, I wish I stuck with my original prediction for Closer.


National Treasure - (14.9 / 16.5) -- Accuracy: 90.30%
Christmas with the Kranks - (8.3 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 72.17%
The Polar Express - (10.4 / 11) -- Accuracy: 94.55%
The Incredibles - (8.8 / 9.5) -- Accuracy: 92.63%
Closer - (5.9 / 7.9) -- Accuracy: 74.68%
The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie - (5.4 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 70.13%
Alexander - (5.2 / 4.8) -- Accuracy: 91.67%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (3.4 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 82.76%
Finding Neverland - (3.4 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 82.76%
Sideways - (1.8 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 94.12%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 84.58%

New Release: 74.68%
Still in Theater: 85.68%

Author:  John Doe [ Sat Dec 04, 2004 5:48 pm ]
Post subject: 

National Treasure - (16.4 / 16.5) -- Accuracy: 99.39%
Christmas with the Kranks - (9.1 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 79.13%
The Polar Express - (10.1 / 11) -- Accuracy: 91.82%
The Incredibles - (9.6 / 9.5) -- Accuracy: 98.95%
Closer - (5.1 / 7.9) -- Accuracy: 64.56%
The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie - (6.3 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 81.82%
Alexander - (6.7 / 4.8) -- Accuracy: 60.42%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (3.4 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 82.76%
Finding Neverland - (3.7 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 72.41%
Sideways - (2.1 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 76.47%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 80.77%

New Release: 64.56%
Still in Theater: 82.57%

Not happy, not happy at all... :x :x :x Hope to stay above 80.00% with actuals...

BTW, here is Brandon:

National Treasure - (14.1 / 16.5) -- Accuracy: 85.45%
Christmas with the Kranks - (9.6 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 83.48%
The Polar Express - (10.7 / 11) -- Accuracy: 97.27%
The Incredibles - (9.2 / 9.5) -- Accuracy: 96.84%
Closer - (4.2 / 7.9) -- Accuracy: 53.16%
The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie - (5.6 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 72.73%
Alexander - (4.7 / 4.8) -- Accuracy: 97.92%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (2.9 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Finding Neverland - (2.6 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 89.66%
Sideways - (1.7 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 100.00%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 87.65%

New Release: 53.16%
Still in Theater: 91.48%

Author:  xiayun [ Sat Dec 04, 2004 6:03 pm ]
Post subject: 

National Treasure - (14 / 16.5) -- Accuracy: 84.85%
Christmas with the Kranks - (9.7 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 84.35%
The Polar Express - (10.8 / 11) -- Accuracy: 98.18%
The Incredibles - (9.5 / 9.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Closer - (7 / 7.9) -- Accuracy: 88.61%
The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie - (5.7 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 74.03%
Alexander - (4.7 / 4.8) -- Accuracy: 97.92%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (2.8 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 96.55%
Finding Neverland - (2.5 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 86.21%
Sideways - (1.6 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 94.12%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 90.48%

New Release: 88.61%
Still in Theater: 90.69%

Well, has been close a couple of times. Hope the actuals can break my way. :)

Author:  BJ [ Sat Dec 04, 2004 6:36 pm ]
Post subject: 

I got a great score this wknd with projections 8)

BJs score - 86.30% 8)

awesome thats my first wknd over 80% since the first wknd of october :)

Author:  BJ [ Sat Dec 04, 2004 6:37 pm ]
Post subject: 

xiayun wrote:
National Treasure - (14 / 16.5) -- Accuracy: 84.85%
Christmas with the Kranks - (9.7 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 84.35%
The Polar Express - (10.8 / 11) -- Accuracy: 98.18%
The Incredibles - (9.5 / 9.5) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Closer - (7 / 7.9) -- Accuracy: 88.61%
The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie - (5.7 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 74.03%
Alexander - (4.7 / 4.8) -- Accuracy: 97.92%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (2.8 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 96.55%
Finding Neverland - (2.5 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 86.21%
Sideways - (1.6 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 94.12%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 90.48%

New Release: 88.61%
Still in Theater: 90.69%

Well, has been close a couple of times. Hope the actuals can break my way. :)


totaly awesome score 8)

Author:  xiayun [ Sat Dec 04, 2004 6:49 pm ]
Post subject: 

BJ wrote:
totaly awesome score 8)


Thanks! :)

Author:  MGKC [ Sat Dec 04, 2004 8:58 pm ]
Post subject: 

National Treasure - (14.8 / 16.5) -- Accuracy: 89.70%
Christmas with the Kranks - (8.4 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 73.04%
The Polar Express - (8.4 / 11) -- Accuracy: 76.36%
The Incredibles - (9.0 / 9.5) -- Accuracy: 94.74%
Closer - (5.1 / 7.9) -- Accuracy: 64.56%
The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie - (5.4 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 70.13%
Alexander - (4.7 / 4.8) -- Accuracy: 97.92%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (2.2 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 75.86%
Finding Neverland - (3.0 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 96.55%
Sideways - (2.0 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 82.35%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 82.12%

New Release: 64.56%
Still in Theater: 84.07%

Not too good, not too bad...

Author:  Dr. Lecter [ Sat Dec 04, 2004 9:22 pm ]
Post subject: 

Seriously, amazing score xiayun, congrats! :)

Author:  JMorphin [ Sat Dec 04, 2004 11:59 pm ]
Post subject: 

National Treasure - (16.1 / 16.5) -- Accuracy: 97.58%
Christmas with the Kranks - (9.7 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 84.35%
The Polar Express - (10.7 / 11) -- Accuracy: 97.27%
The Incredibles - (9.4 / 9.5) -- Accuracy: 98.95%
Closer - (5.5 / 7.9) -- Accuracy: 69.62%
The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie - (6.2 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 80.52%
Alexander - (5 / 4.8) -- Accuracy: 95.83%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (2.5 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 86.21%
Finding Neverland - (3.3 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 86.21%
Sideways - (2 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 82.35%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 87.89%

New Release: 69.62%
Still in Theater: 89.92%

Finally, my slump may be over :wink:

Author:  xiayun [ Sun Dec 05, 2004 12:04 am ]
Post subject: 

Dr. Lecter wrote:
Seriously, amazing score xiayun, congrats! :)


:) I figured everyone who has all daily charts should come up with similar numbers for the holdovers, so I took a gamble on Closer, and it paid off. I felt confident before Friday since with no other new releases, it's a perfect setting for a high PTA. As Friday went on, my confidence eroded somewhat because it was such a quiet day. Glad it worked out.

Author:  Samweis Gamdschie [ Sun Dec 05, 2004 9:37 am ]
Post subject: 

NOOOO, I should have stuck with my original prediction for Closer (= $7.7m!) :cry: :x :x :x

National Treasure - (15.0 / 16.5) -- Accuracy: 90.91%
Christmas with the Kranks - (9.0 / 11.5) -- Accuracy: 78.26%
The Polar Express - (10.0 / 11) -- Accuracy: 90.91%
The Incredibles - (9.0 / 9.5) -- Accuracy: 94.74%
Closer - (4.6 / 7.9) -- Accuracy: 58.23%
The SpongeBob SquarePants Movie - (6.4 / 7.7) -- Accuracy: 83.12%
Alexander - (4.6 / 4.8) -- Accuracy: 95.83%
Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - (2.9 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 100.00%
Finding Neverland - (2.5 / 2.9) -- Accuracy: 86.21%
Sideways - (1.5 / 1.7) -- Accuracy: 88.24%

OVERALL ESTIMATE ACCURACY: 86.64%

New Release: 58.23%
Still in Theater: 89.80%


F***!!! :x :evil:

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