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November 19-21 Predictions http://worldofkj.com/forum/viewtopic.php?f=12&t=1383	Page 1 of 2

Author:	zingy [ Sat Nov 13, 2004 2:33 pm ]
Post subject:	November 19-21 Predictions
You guys know what to do. Spongebob Squarepants- $48.5 million National Treasure- $23.2 million Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason- $21.0 million

Author:	MGKC [ Sat Nov 13, 2004 5:59 pm ]
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1. The Spongebob Squarepants Move - $62.3 (I know it can go higher) 2. The Incredibles - $31.2 (-35%) 3. National Treasure - $26.9 (Looks good as well) 4. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $16.1 (+89%) 5. The Polar Express - $13.9 (-36%) 6. After the Sunset - $5.6 (-47%) National Treasure competition 7. Ray - $5.4 (-36%) 8. Seed of Chucky - $2.9 (-64%)

Author:	Dr. Lecter [ Sat Nov 13, 2004 6:05 pm ]
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Only the openers for now: Spongebob Squarepants - $31.5 million National Treasure - $24.8 million Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $18.8 million

Author:	Libs [ Sat Nov 13, 2004 6:31 pm ]
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Spongebob Squarepants: $47 million National Treasure: $20 million Bridget Jones 2: $19 million

Author:	Alex Y. [ Sat Nov 13, 2004 9:53 pm ]
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Has Spongebob Nielsen ratings ever surpassed The Rugrats at its peak? 1. The Incredibles - $31.3 million 2. Spongebob Squarepants - $28 million (slightly higher than The Rugrats Movie opening, which didn't even have competition back then) 3. National Treasure - $18 million 4. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $13.3 million (big PTA drop is expected) 5. The Polar Express - $12.4 million 6. After the Sunset - $5.7 million 7. Ray - $4.4 million 8. The Grudge - $3.9 million 9. Saw - $3.4 million 10. Seed of Chucky - $2.8 million **Sideways - $1.9 million

Author:	Jeff [ Sat Nov 13, 2004 10:54 pm ]
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The Incredibles: $33.0 million Spongebob Squarpants: $27 million (I've posted other predictions, but I've also felt this movie wasn't going to open with more than $30 million) National Treasure: $22 million Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason: $17 million

Author:	Flava'd vs The World [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 12:19 am ]
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Spongebob - $62M (slightly optimistic, but I think it can do it and possibly more) Incredibles - $31M National Treasure - $28M (low for now) Spongebobs marketing has been great. It's been appealing to kids and adults alike. Think any of it's "target" Nick crowd has any idea who David Hasselhoff is?

Author:	Bodrul [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 9:41 am ]
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1. The Spongebob Squarepants Move - $34.3 2. The Incredibles - $33.2 3. National Treasure - $28.0 4. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $23.1 5. The Polar Express - $134 6. After the Sunset - $5.6 7. Ray - $5.5 8. Seed of Chucky - $2.7

Author:	Libs [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 11:53 am ]
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I really think National Treasure is being over-predicted. Hmm.

Author:	Alex Y. [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 12:12 pm ]
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Don't forget people that this is Bridget Jones' second weekend. A lot of these predictions look like an opening weekend prediction (excessively high especially since the movie's biggest fans already saw it this weekend).

Author:	El Maskado [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 1:19 pm ]
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Sponge Bob 28.5 million National Treasure 19.0 million Bridget Jones 20.0 million

Author:	Dr. Lecter [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 1:34 pm ]
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Hmmm....Bridget Jones' estimated threatre count was revised to 1800+ My new prediction: $15.9 million

Author:	Mister Ecks [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 5:36 pm ]
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The Incredibles: $33.8m Spongebob: $32.3m Spongebob is popular, but really, it's not THAT popular that it will appeal to anyone except their own audience.

Author:	RB652 [ Sun Nov 14, 2004 6:57 pm ]
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Spongebob Squarepants- $42.5 million National Treasure- $21.7 million Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason- $16.9 million

Author:	Futureboy [ Mon Nov 15, 2004 3:14 pm ]
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Opening - SPONGEBOB SQUAREPANTS: $42.2M (What a wild card! This is the best guess...could do under $30M or over $55M!) BRIDGET JONES 2: $19.6M (If 2000+ screens...high hopes for a significant bump!) NATIONAL TREASURE: $17.2M (Why would someone pay for this?) Holdovers - THE INCREDIBLES: $30.5M (Probably the biggest drop of its leggy run) POLAR EXPRESS: $16.2M (Needs this small drop for it to do $125M+...which it needs to be considered a mild success)

Author:	Libs [ Mon Nov 15, 2004 6:48 pm ]
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1. The Spongebob Squarepants Movie - $41.7 million 2. The Incredibles - $30.3 million 3. National Treasure - $19.9 million 4. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $16.1 million 5. The Polar Express - $15.8 million 6. After the Sunset - $6.5 million 7. Ray - $5.6 million 8. The Grudge - $4.4 million 9. Saw - $3.9 million 10. Seed of Chucky - $3.8 million

Author:	Groucho [ Thu Nov 18, 2004 7:18 pm ]
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I think everyone is overpredicting Spongebob and underpredicting National Treasure. But we'll see in a few days... :wink:

Author:	Dr. Lecter [ Thu Nov 18, 2004 9:53 pm ]
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I think people really underpredict The Polar Express' second weekend. I see it making $17.5+ million.

Author:	The Scottie [ Thu Nov 18, 2004 10:27 pm ]
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My predicitons and analysis will be posted on KJ site tomorrow.

Author:	MGKC [ Thu Nov 18, 2004 10:47 pm ]
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Derby 1. The Spongebob Squarepants Movie - $64.9 (NEW) 2. The Incredibles - $32.0 (-36.4%) 3. National Treasure - $28.1 (NEW) 4. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $16.3 (+88%) 5. The Polar Express - $14.8 (-36.7%) 6. After the Sunset - $5.6 (-50%) 7. Ray - $5.4 (-38%) 8. The Grudge - $3.8 (-46%) 9. Seed of Chucky - $3.5 (-60%) 10. Saw - $3.4 (-47%) Top 10 Total: $177.6 My total is the only thing that makes me cautious. Could we really have a weekend this big?

Author:	zingy [ Thu Nov 18, 2004 11:46 pm ]
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*Final Predictions* 1. The Spongebob Squarepants Movie - $40.2 million (NEW) 2. The Incredibles - $32.7 million (-34.9%) 3. National Treasure - $21.1 million (NEW) 4. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $18.4 million (+111.5%) 5. The Polar Express - $15.6 million (-33.1%) 6. After The Sunset - $6.1 million (-45.0%) 7. Ray - $5.7 million (-32.1%) 8. The Grudge - $4.1 million ( -41.4%) 9. Seed of Chucky - $3.8 million (-56.8%) 10. Saw - $3.6 million (-44.0%) 11. Sideways - $1.9 million (+35.7%) 12. Finding Neverland - $.855 million (+388%) Total Weekend Gross: $152.4 million

Author:	DP07 [ Thu Nov 18, 2004 11:46 pm ]
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Scott Vasquez wrote: My predicitons and analysis will be posted on KJ site tomorrow. Same here.

Author:	Ragnarok [ Fri Nov 19, 2004 7:30 am ]
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Final Predictions: 1. The Incredibles - $32.1 mil 2. The Spongebob Squarepants Movie - $25.5 mil 3. National Treasure - $24.3 mil 4. The Polar Express - $17.2 mil 5. Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason - $15.4 mil 6. After the Sunset - $6 mil 7. Ray - $5.3 mil 8. The Grudge - $4 mil 9. Saw - $3.6 mil 10. Seed of Chucky - $3.5 mil

Author:	DP07 [ Fri Nov 19, 2004 7:56 am ]
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Here is what I went with for Survivor: The Incredibles $33.42 m Spongebob Squarepants $32.45 m National Treasure $32.45 m Bridget Jones: The Edge of Reason $19.64 m The Polar Express $17.12 m After The Sunset $6.19 m Ray $5.27 m The Grudge $3.67 m Saw - 3.2m (for the derby) Seed of Chucky $3.17 m Sideways $1.763 m Finding Neverland $0.770 m I was thinking of going much lower for National Treasure, but I have confidence in this movie, so I'll take the risk. BTW, I can't make up my mind about which film will get the number 2 spot. :wink:

Author:	Anonymous [ Fri Nov 19, 2004 11:16 am ]
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Survivor... The Incredibles $34.1m Spongebob $30.1m National Treasure $22.1m Polar Express $15.1m Bridget Jones $14.8m After the sunset $6.2m Ray $5.3m Seed of Chucky $3.6m Sideways $1.8m Finding Neverland $1.11m For Derby Saw $3.7m and The Grudge $4.4m iirc.

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