Incredible for Conan. Great to see TGS holding well and inside Top 10 before Golden Week. It won't loose an alarming rate of screens next week.

After checking showtimes at various locations this weekend, Avengers: Infinity War and Detective Conan: Zero the Enforcer (despite being in its third week) appear to have similar showings/seating allocation over the weekend. Avengers has the advantage on Friday by occupying the biggest screens (the 500-700+ auditoriums) at the majority of locations, but Detective Conan is taking most of them back on Saturday and Sunday, as Golden Week begins.

If Detective Conan holds off the Avengers debut in its third weekend, it's possible it stays atop the box-office until late-May, but the May release schedule is weak as usual, so I'm not certain if anything next month can dethrone it either.

From most OD's in other markets, it's broken OD records in many Asia markets and will likely outgross Ultron in most.

Europe, so far, seems to be on par with Ultron but far below Star Wars.

Since Japan is typically like Europe more so than Asia, where do you see Infinity War opening to and total in Yen?

I'll have a Weekend Forecast posted tomorrow.

It obviously won't break any opening records of any kind (besides maybe biggest opening for an Avengers film), but Japan isn't a Marvel/DC market, so no surprise there. I'm sure it'll do well, early ticket sales are solid, and ultimately it'll probably open to and finish around the first two Avengers film.

I'll give it the slight edge over its predecessors right now due to the more creative marketing tie-ins with domestic properties (like My Hero Academia and Final Fantasy), and for having that "finale" factor.

So IW is getting over 200k less seatings than Conan on Saturday (328 914 vs 531 474). Is that any good and how does it compared to its predecessors ?

Based on admissions so far in the 68%, I think it's going for about ¥275M OD, which would be fantastic, and about $2.5m.

I went for an avg. ticket price of ¥1400, because ¥1300 is avg. but the fan event is doing 1/4 of the overall business, and I'd assume the fan event is much more expensive.

EDIT: After reading around and deliberating with Olive from BOT, I've got ¥320M OD, which uses a ¥1700 avg. price since theres a large % of IMAX and 4DX.

¥320 million ($2.9 million), though probably a little lower (¥310/315 million), sounds about right. I don't believe the avg. ticket price will be as high as ¥1,700 (thinking more along the norm of ¥1,550/1,600 for a premium release), which is why I'd go a little lower. The premium showings (3D/IMAX/etc.) were fine, but the 2D showings easily outpaced them.

It's certainly a good/great first day, and is encouraging as the weekend begins. Unfortunately, there isn't a good comparison among other Marvel/DC films. Obviously, aside from Spider-Man, the Avengers films are much bigger than any other Marvel/DC property, so it's going to be bigger than any of them, but the previous Avengers films didn't open on a Friday. The only recent comparison, I guess, is Spider-Man: Homecoming, and if we use it, then Infinity War's first day is about 15% below it. This isn't a perfect comparison, either, though, because Homecoming was released in the middle of Summer.

I'll have the Weekend Forecast up later.

It's actually 417,012, not 328,917 for Avengers. It's still less than Detective Conan, though, and is less than both of its predecessors. However, the first two films weren't released while a major film was still doing huge numbers like Detective Conan is. The first Avengers opened at the end of Golden Week (mid/late-August), several weeks after all the Summer tentpoles had already been released and were slowing down; while the second film was released at the beginning of Summer (first week of July) after a dead month (June is one of the weakest months in Japan) and before any major films were released.

Here are the Marvel/DC opening weekends for reference:

Marvel/DC - Biggest Opening Weekends:
¥1.226 billion ($9.6 million) - Spider-Man (2002)
¥1.207 billion ($10.1 million) - Spider-Man 3 (2007)
¥1.084 billion ($10.0 million) - Spider-Man 2 (2004)
¥793.9 million ($6.5 million) - Avengers: Age of Ultron (2015)
¥580.9 million ($7.4 million) - The Amazing Spider-Man (2012)
¥500.9 million ($6.3 million) - The Avengers (2012)
¥448.8 million ($4.2 million) - Captain America: Civil War (2016)
¥448.5 million ($4.1 million) - Spider-Man: Homecoming (2017)
¥420.3 million ($4.1 million) - The Amazing Spider-Man 2 (2014)
¥414.7 million ($4.3 million) - Iron Man 3 (2013)
¥394.1 million ($3.4 million) - Doctor Strange (2017)
¥390.1 million ($3.8 million) - Suicide Squad (2016)
¥383.3 million ($3.6 million) - Deadpool (2016)
¥372.0 million ($4.6 million) - The Dark Knight Rises (2012)
¥371.3 million ($3.3 million) - Batman vs Superman: Dawn of Justice (2016)
¥368.9 million ($3.4 million) - Superman Returns (2006)
¥361.9 million ($3.1 million) - X2: X-Men United (2003)
¥333.2 million ($3.1 million) - The Dark Knight (2008)
¥309.7 million ($2.9 million) - Black Panther (2018)
¥290.2 million ($2.7 million) - Batman Begins (2005)
¥276.6 million ($2.4 million) - X-Men: The Last Stand (2006)
¥272.5 million ($2.7 million) - X-Men: Days of Future Past (2014)
¥268.3 million ($2.8 million) - Man of Steel (2013)
¥266.5 million ($2.4 million) - Wonder Woman (2017)
¥264.6 million ($2.9 million) - Iron Man 2 (2010)
¥249.4 million ($2.2 million) - Guardians of the Galaxy Vol. 2 (2017)
¥247.5 million ($2.1 million) - Fantastic Four: Rise of the Silver Surfer (2007)
¥230.6 million ($2.0 million) - Thor: Ragnarok (2017)
¥224.1 million ($2.1 million) - Guardians of the Galaxy (2014)
¥211.7 million ($2.0 million) - Iron Man (2008)
¥204.7 million ($1.9 million) - Fantastic Four (2005)
¥204.4 million ($1.8 million) - Justice League (2017)
¥200.4 million ($1.7 million) - Ant-Man (2015)
¥198.4 million ($1.9 million) - Captain America: The Winter Soldier (2014)
¥194.3 million ($1.6 million) - Daredevil (2003)
¥187.1 million ($1.8 million) - Thor: The Dark World (2014)
¥184.3 million ($1.9 million) - The Wolverine (2013)
¥176.8 million ($1.9 million) - X-Men Origins: Wolverine (2009)
¥163.3 million ($1.4 million) - Logan (2017)
¥160.9 million ($1.4 million) - Hulk (2003)
¥158.5 million ($1.9 million) - X-Men: First Class (2011)
¥153.1 million ($1.5 million) - X-Men: Apocalypse (2016)
¥129.9 million ($1.6 million) - Thor (2011)
¥109.7 million ($1.2 million) - Watchmen (2009)
¥88.3 million ($1.1 million) - Captain America: The First Avenger (2011)
¥65.1 million ($0.6 million) - Catwoman (2004)
¥42.6 million ($0.6 million) - The Green Lantern (2011)
¥41.5 million ($0.4 million) - The Incredible Hulk (2008)

Avengers: Infinity War is pretty much guaranteed to debut as the 5th biggest opener for a Marvel/DC film, but it'll be aiming to beat its predecessor to claim the 4th spot and become the biggest non-Spider-Man Marvel/DC opener.

So IW's OW is also going to get boosted by a holiday thought the Golden week started on Monday or something but still good as it should have a STRONG week.

Wow, great for Infinity War. It has out-grossed the entire gross of Pacific Rim Uprising with just two days of play.

Corpse, do you think Deadpool 2 can get near any of the Spider-Man films? Is the first fairly well-received?

It always begins April 29th, Showa Day, which is Sunday this year. However, since it's landing on a Sunday, that means that Monday becomes a holiday as well in observance of Showa Day. If any national holiday lands on the weekend, the following Monday becomes a holiday in Japan, too.



Deadpool performed well in the market for a Marvel/DC film, but it may have been due to the novelty factor and the increased awareness/buzz following its performance in the U.S. by the time it was released in Japan. The sequel should do fine, I'm expecting numbers a little lower than the original, so it won't come anywhere close to comparing to a Spider-Man or Avengers film.

Avengers: Infinity War looks to have earned around ¥350 million ($3.2 million) on Saturday, and assuming Sunday does see a nice boost due to the holiday, is still aiming for an opening weekend around ¥750-800 million ($6.9-7.3 million). It needs to beat Avengers: Age of Ultron's ¥793.9 million opening in order to achieve the biggest non-Spider-Man opening weekend for a Marvel/DC film in the market.

Today I've a good time with Avengers (easily the best Avengers movie yet), but in the evening I found out that cinema also has Free! Take Your Marks (debut at no.8 10/28-29/2017 and sadly only in the top10 chart in that week) so I buy a ticket and realized that watching theatrical version of TV anime* in cinema is really much better than watching at home. I become one with the audience, the hundred of people that wish fictional character to have a good life and enjoy their youth to the fullest extent.

*I'm not talking about anime that specifically made for cinema release like Ghibli, Makoto Shinkai, or Mamoru Hosoda.

Disney has $9.0M which I suppose is for the 3 day period. Looks a bit low to me though.

Hmm... I'll have the Weekend Estimates up soon, and while I think $9 million over the 3-day is a little low, it could be accurate. I'm getting a $9.3/9.4 million 3-day total.

The film unfortunately didn't get a significant boost on Sunday. It increased, which is nice, but the increase was pretty small. It actually may have just debuted in 2nd place in terms of weekend admissions.

Corpse are you busy or will you be doing weekdays for Golden Week?