This wasn't addressed to me but if you want to know, I actually posted my review of the movie in the Critics sub-forum.

Aftershock

That's huge, do you have an alltime chart Xia of openings in local dollars.

Don't have one handy yet, but I remember a chart at a Chinese forum somewhere. Will see if I could find it.

Hmm, do you think it'll break $100 million in China? WoM seems very solid...

Done in IMAX or screened in IMAX?

http://online.wsj.com/article/SB1245019 ... %3Darticle
"The first film, "Aftershock," will become the first big commercial film made outside of the U.S. to play on Imax screens when it hits theaters in China and all over Asia next summer." - this is not true.

Actual numbers for Aftershock:

Midnight - 3m yuan (not a record)
Thursday including midnight - 36.2m yuan (new opening day record, surpassing Transformers 2's 33.71m and Avatar's 33.03m)
Saturday - 52.5m yuan (didn't break Avatar's single day record)

4-day total - 180m yuan ($26.6m)

Based on what you told me about multipliers being slightly weaker than your average multiplier in the States, is a final gross of 450-500m Yuan or $65-75m reasonable?

Since it's a Thursday opening (instead of Tue or Wed), in the summer, and with IMAX and good WOM, I think the multiplier could be better. 550m yuan ($80m+) is quite attainable.

Sounds great.

Do you happen to know the current top 5/10 films of 2010?

Jul 19 - 25:

1. Aftershock（唐山大地震）- 180m ($26.55m), New, 52,293, 4,668,049, 180m ($26.55m)
2. Knight & Day（危情谍战）- 16m ($2.36m), -45.9%, 16,515, 500,782, 81.6m ($12.04m)
3. Triple Tap（枪王之王）- 12m ($1.77m), -55.6%, 16,279, 389,105, 123.5m ($18.23m)
4. Tang Bo Hu Dian Qiu Xiang 2（唐伯虎点秋香2）- 12m ($1.77m), -50%, 16,198, 394,088, 51m ($7.53m)
5. Toy Story 3（玩具总动员3）- 6.2m ($0.91m), -32.6%, 5,405, 141,423, 106.4m ($15.68m)
6. Seven Arhat（七小罗汉）- 4.5m ($0.66m), New, 3,804, 137,028, 4.5m ($0.66m)
7. CJ-7 2（长江七号爱地球）- 3.8m ($0.56m), -42.4%, 9,219, 145,315, 16.2m ($2.39m)
8. Chernaya Molniya（黑色闪电）- 3.4m ($0.50m), -15.0%, 6,521, 115,489, 7.4m ($1.09m)
9. Xi You Ji（嘻游记）- 3.1m ($0.46m), -54.4%, 6,148, 117,691, 27.7m ($4.09m)

Hmm, your gross predictions suggest that it could beat Titanic's admissions.

The latest new says Inception may be moved up to 09/02; not confirmed yet.

BEIJING, Aug. 2 (Xinhua) -- A film telling the story of an earthquake that devastated a Chinese city more than three decades ago has raked in 400 million yuan (58.6 million U.S. dollars) in the Chinese mainland as of Sunday, the film's distributors announced Monday.

A statement from Huayi Brothers Media Corporation said more than 10 million tickets had been sold since the July 22 premiere.

On the release day, "Aftershock" took in a record 36.2 million yuan -- the highest ever box office for a mainland movie on its opening day.

Prior to the release, director Feng Xiaogang repeatedly stated that the film's final box office would reach 500 million yuan, a mark no Chinese movie ever achieved.

The film's budget was some 150 million yuan (22 million U.S. dollars), according to officials.

At the popular Chinese art website douban.com, 43,103 users have given the film a respectable rating of 7.5 out of 10, with 21.5 percent rating it full stars.

http://news.xinhuanet.com/english2010/e ... 426650.htm

Er, what? That's huge.

Huge, but expected.

$100m does appear to be a distinct possibility now.

Aftershock's second week: 234m yuan ($34.5m), +30%, 414m total ($61.1m)

When is the release of Shrek 4,Xia?.Thanks.

I think with the lack of competition, Aftershock could end up hitting $120m.

7/26 - 8/1:

1. Aftershock（唐山大地震）- 234m ($34.54m), +30.0%, 89,254, 6,268,416, 414m ($61.1m)
2. Seven Arhat（七小罗汉）- 9.8m ($1.45m), +117.8%, 9,549, 313,499, 14.3m ($2.11m)
3. Knight & Day（危情谍战）- 7.0m ($1.03m), -56.3%, 6,903, 209,330, 88.6m ($13.07m)
4. OceanWorld 3D（深海探奇）- 6.1m ($0.90m), New, 3,981, 137,853, 6.1m ($0.90m)
5. The Haunting Lover（等着你回来）- 5.0m ($0.74m), New, 6,393, 174,398, 5.0m ($0.74m)
6. My Belle Boss（我的美女老板）- 4.8m ($0.71m), New, 4,832, 161,073, 4.8m ($0.71m)
7. Di Yi Shu Ji（第一书记）- 3.2m ($0.47m), +400%, 727, 127,490, 4.0m ($0.59m)
8. Toy Story 3（玩具总动员3）- 3.0m ($0.44m), -51.6%, 2,359, 66,137, 109.4m ($16.12m)
9. Tang Bo Hu Dian Qiu Xiang 2（唐伯虎点秋香2）- 3.0m ($0.44m), -75.0%, 5,135, 96,930, 54.0m ($7.97m)

Quite decent for Toy Story 3 afterall.

What's OceanWorld 3D?

Some release dates for Hollywood films:

Shrek Forever After - 8/16
The Expendables - 8/20
The Last Airbender - 8/23
Inception - 9/2
Wall Street 2 - 10/15

I guess expendables will do well in china with jet li plus vintage action stars? How about airbender? will it bomb.

Do you think inception's release bump by couple of weeks might help it make few more yuan?

It should definitely help. One article at mtime.com claimed Inception should get 100m yuan total for sure and have a shot at 200m yuan. I'm not that optimistic. Similar to Toy Story 3, 100m yuan should be considered a great achievement already.