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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67125
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 Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions publicenemy#1 wrote: I'm feeling the hype for Bohemian Rhapsody, everyone around me wants to see it. Gay people want to see it. Shocker. 
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| Wed Oct 31, 2018 4:53 am |
 
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Going to be some disappointed folks when BR falls a bit flat OW. I don't think a mid 20's OW is anything to be upset about, though.
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| Wed Oct 31, 2018 8:10 am |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23909
Location: Classified
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Why say that when everything is pointing towards a huge breakout?
Also, what do we think Dark Phoenix makes here if it had stayed? Assuming it stuck with that lame first trailer, then has a better one in space, followed by a desperate third that spoils the whole movie; I’d give it right around $50M. Basically the lowest an X-Men movie can go.
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| Wed Oct 31, 2018 2:09 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Flava'd vs The World wrote: Why say that when everything is pointing towards a huge breakout? The only signs I see suggesting a breakout are robust presales, strong tracking, blistering social media activity, and escalating real-world chatter.
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| Wed Oct 31, 2018 2:17 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18932
Location: San Diego
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Um...
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| Wed Oct 31, 2018 2:36 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am
Posts: 23909
Location: Classified
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions  Well done.
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| Wed Oct 31, 2018 3:58 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Rhapsody theater count estimate bumped to 4,000.
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| Wed Oct 31, 2018 6:33 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions bl1222 wrote: Magic Mike wrote: 1. BOHEMIAN RHAPSODY - 48.895 MILLION (New)
2. THE NUTCRACKER & THE FOUR REALMS - 19.3 MILLION (New)
3. NOBODY'S FOOL - 14.086 MILLION (New)
4. HALLOWEEN - 11.625 MILLION (-63%)
5. A STAR IS BORN - 8 MILLION (-43%)
6. VENOM - 5.965 MILLION (-44%)
7. HUNTER KILLER - 3.792 MILLION (-43%)
8. THE HATE U GIVE - 3.265 MILLION (-36%)
9. SMALLFOOT - 3.19 MILLION (-33%)
10. GOOSEBUMPS: HAUNTED HALLOWEEN - 3.059 MILLION (-58%)
11. FIRST MAN - 2.092 MILLION (-57%)
12. MID90'S - 1.46 MILLION (-51%)
13. NIGHT SCHOOL - 1.39 MILLION (-57%)
14. THE OLD MAN & THE GUN - 1.357 MILLION (-23%)
15. SUSPIRIA - 1.2 MILLION Gone Girl held well against Interstellar and Argo held well against Skyfall. I think a drop closer to the very high 30s is more sensible. As for Nutcracker, it's presales on Fandango are tracking above CR (according to BOT). We'll see how reviews go for it but I doubt it's going sub-20m. We'll see. But both of these being music films makes it feel more like a direct hit. Star will recover for sure. I did up my Nutcracker prediction to 23.3 Million. I won't be shocked if it goes higher though. Ticket sales through Fandango are similar to House With A Clock In Its Walls.
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| Wed Oct 31, 2018 7:44 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67125
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Rolling Thunder wrote: Rhapsody theater count estimate bumped to 4,000. 
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| Wed Oct 31, 2018 8:19 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18932
Location: San Diego
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Guess all those theaters will be filled up with gay people.
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| Wed Oct 31, 2018 9:06 pm |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm
Posts: 6161
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions publicenemy#1 wrote: Guess all those theaters will be filled up with gay people. Queen isn't a gay thing, it's a four quadrant universal thing. Everyone loves Queen. Do people even automatically equate Freddie Mercury with 'gay'? It's not the first thing that comes to mind for most people, unlike say Elton John.
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| Wed Oct 31, 2018 11:41 pm |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18932
Location: San Diego
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Uh... look at the first post on this page. I was joking in regards to that. 
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| Wed Oct 31, 2018 11:45 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67125
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Barrabás wrote: publicenemy#1 wrote: Guess all those theaters will be filled up with gay people. Queen isn't a gay thing Sure, but Freddie Mercury is. He's a huge gay thing.
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| Thu Nov 01, 2018 1:06 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions publicenemy#1 wrote: Guess all those theaters will be filled up with gay people. I'm only going to go in hopes of finding love. 
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| Thu Nov 01, 2018 2:05 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions With ghastly reviews and muted anticipation, Nutcracker is going to have an ugly domestic run. Guess Disney had nowhere else to stick it.
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| Thu Nov 01, 2018 2:35 pm |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Rolling Thunder wrote: With ghastly reviews and muted anticipation, Nutcracker is going to have an ugly domestic run. Guess Disney had nowhere else to stick it. It's looking to open well at least but The Grinch was always going to cut its legs short.
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| Fri Nov 02, 2018 1:52 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm
Posts: 6161
Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Disney has been FLOPPING this year outside of Marvel and animation.
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| Fri Nov 02, 2018 2:25 am |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 67125
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions I hope it bombs for the title alone. Plus it looks shit.
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| Fri Nov 02, 2018 4:03 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Surprised so many theaters already dumped The Hate U Give. 37% decline is steep considering how well it performed last week.
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| Fri Nov 02, 2018 7:58 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Rooting for Boy Erased this weekend. Definitely gaining momentum.
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| Fri Nov 02, 2018 8:39 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Rolling Thunder wrote: Rooting for Boy Erased this weekend. Definitely gaining momentum. Gained momentum how? I'm also surprised. Maybe you meant Beautiful Boy. I get mixing those two up.
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| Fri Nov 02, 2018 10:36 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Magic Mike wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: Rooting for Boy Erased this weekend. Definitely gaining momentum. Gained momentum how? I'm also surprised. Maybe you meant Beautiful Boy. I get mixing those two up. Seen ads on multiple channels, our poll interest is surprisingly high for a film that is opening limited in 5 locations. Kidman's still got it!
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| Fri Nov 02, 2018 10:37 am |
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Magic Mike
Wallflower
Joined: Mon Oct 25, 2004 4:53 am
Posts: 34876
Location: Minnesota
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions That's impressive. It's supposed to be Nationwide on the 16th.
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| Fri Nov 02, 2018 10:59 am |
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publicenemy#1
Extraordinary
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 12:25 am
Posts: 18932
Location: San Diego
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions Rolling Thunder wrote: Going to be some disappointed folks when BR falls a bit flat OW. I don't think a mid 20's OW is anything to be upset about, though. So disappointed. Looks like it may get a near 20m opening day.
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| Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:25 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 9148
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: November 2 - 4 Predictions publicenemy#1 wrote: Rolling Thunder wrote: Going to be some disappointed folks when BR falls a bit flat OW. I don't think a mid 20's OW is anything to be upset about, though. So disappointed. Looks like it may get a near 20m opening day. It rocked me.
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| Fri Nov 02, 2018 12:33 pm |
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