Japan Box-Office: On Hiatus
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LPLC
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2019 2:27 pm
Posts: 532
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 Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update Corpse wrote: LPLC wrote: But this year, there was only one week of holidays, right ? Because the days return to normal during the new year week and even before the new year extented week. And the only holiday week was christmas week or am I wrong ? Corpse on Dec. 30th wrote: Due to how the dates aligned, the two weeks sort of meshed together like back in 2015. New Year is falling over the weekend, so a lot of its business was pushed forward to this week, meaning this week is abnormally strong, like back in 2015. And in 2015, the holidays ended almost at the start of next week (January 5th), so the week saw sharp declines. That'll likely happen again this year, but with the extended break, the drops shouldn't be as high, but next week will certainly be weaker as the extension is intended for people to travel back to work/school over a week timeframe versus one-day. I posted this before New Year to explain what was going to happen this week so everyone understood why the declines we're seeing now are normal. And schools started back on Wednesday, so that's why Tuesday was stronger. And we've learned that the extended break wasn't really a thing since the Government wasn't attempting to enforce it upon businesses, just recommending businesses to do so. Also, we do need to include COVID into the analysis moving forward. Cases are rising (almost 6,000 announced yesterday) and a state of emergency is going to be announced tomorrow in four prefectures. But again, no lockdown is expected and no businesses are expected to close; rather it'll be further measures (like closing earlier) to help prevent the spread for most or all of the month. And we don't know if theaters will be requested to follow any of these measures until tomorrow. That said, even if absolutely nothing is mentioned above theaters tomorrow, it's becoming a growing concern among the public, and some are naturally going to refrain from going out and about, which may include going to theaters. And that's why I was conservative about ¥40Bn
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| Wed Jan 06, 2021 2:59 pm |
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ren0080
Speed Racer
Joined: Tue Dec 01, 2020 4:01 am
Posts: 177
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update Tomorrow is the Big Day for me, Gintama The Final is coming and I hope that it also had some fan screening here at the very least.
That's two birds in one stone cause I'd be able to watch the movie plus get some goods.
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| Wed Jan 06, 2021 3:23 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update ren0080 wrote: Tomorrow is the Big Day for me, Gintama The Final is coming and I hope that it also had some fan screening here at the very least.
That's two birds in one stone cause I'd be able to watch the movie plus get some goods. Best of luck 
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| Wed Jan 06, 2021 7:20 pm |
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Alo12345
Star Trek XI
Joined: Fri Nov 06, 2020 10:18 am
Posts: 390
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update Slam Dunk recieves an anime movie adaptation. This series has a long time huge fanbase in Japan too it seems. Can it break the top 10 all time in Japan? >= ¥15B. If this turns out to be something like Harry Potter 1, we can expect a ¥20B....
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 2:25 am |
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Alo12345
Star Trek XI
Joined: Fri Nov 06, 2020 10:18 am
Posts: 390
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update LPLC wrote: Corpse wrote: LPLC wrote: But this year, there was only one week of holidays, right ? Because the days return to normal during the new year week and even before the new year extented week. And the only holiday week was christmas week or am I wrong ? Corpse on Dec. 30th wrote: Due to how the dates aligned, the two weeks sort of meshed together like back in 2015. New Year is falling over the weekend, so a lot of its business was pushed forward to this week, meaning this week is abnormally strong, like back in 2015. And in 2015, the holidays ended almost at the start of next week (January 5th), so the week saw sharp declines. That'll likely happen again this year, but with the extended break, the drops shouldn't be as high, but next week will certainly be weaker as the extension is intended for people to travel back to work/school over a week timeframe versus one-day. I posted this before New Year to explain what was going to happen this week so everyone understood why the declines we're seeing now are normal. And schools started back on Wednesday, so that's why Tuesday was stronger. And we've learned that the extended break wasn't really a thing since the Government wasn't attempting to enforce it upon businesses, just recommending businesses to do so. Also, we do need to include COVID into the analysis moving forward. Cases are rising (almost 6,000 announced yesterday) and a state of emergency is going to be announced tomorrow in four prefectures. But again, no lockdown is expected and no businesses are expected to close; rather it'll be further measures (like closing earlier) to help prevent the spread for most or all of the month. And we don't know if theaters will be requested to follow any of these measures until tomorrow. That said, even if absolutely nothing is mentioned above theaters tomorrow, it's becoming a growing concern among the public, and some are naturally going to refrain from going out and about, which may include going to theaters. And that's why I was conservative about ¥40Bn Isn't the ¥40Bn milestone already including the worse pandemic situation after the new year week?
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 3:57 am |
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ren0080
Speed Racer
Joined: Tue Dec 01, 2020 4:01 am
Posts: 177
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update Alo12345 wrote: Slam Dunk recieves an anime movie adaptation. This series has a long time huge fanbase in Japan too it seems. Can it break the top 10 all time in Japan? >= ¥15B. If this turns out to be something like Harry Potter 1, we can expect a ¥20B.... Depends if they adapt the last match of the manga Or just a noncanon material like the other movies. But I doubt that they will adapt the last match because they said that they want to change the ending. And if they change the ending, then that would be a spit in the face for Inoue. If it was a noncanon material, then it wouldn't even beat One Piece movies tbh
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:01 am |
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NezuKo
Speed Racer
Joined: Sun Nov 15, 2020 8:43 am
Posts: 123
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update demon slayer is fourth highest grossing movie of 2020
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:09 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update Alo12345 wrote: Slam Dunk recieves an anime movie adaptation. This series has a long time huge fanbase in Japan too it seems. Can it break the top 10 all time in Japan? >= ¥15B. If this turns out to be something like Harry Potter 1, we can expect a ¥20B.... There is a lot of uncertainty around it but I believe it might not get to all time record breaking numbers if it not a canon movie and even then its not given.
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 5:59 am |
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LPLC
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2019 2:27 pm
Posts: 532
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update 29k-30k today at the usual locations, around ¥65mn ($0,6mn) and 45k admissions
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 8:05 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update For the weakest weekday I think its great number
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 8:07 am |
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ymblcza
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Thu Oct 29, 2020 12:32 pm
Posts: 99
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update TOHO stopped presales until midnight of the day so no presale data from now on……
Edit: some theaters still provide presale service so I'll keep tracking
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 10:21 am |
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ymblcza
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Thu Oct 29, 2020 12:32 pm
Posts: 99
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update Friday presales: 1455 (presales for 36% theaters, including most busiest locations aren't available)
No idea what tomorrow will look like but I'm thinking ~18k
Gintama: 5951 sold
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 10:30 am |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update The state of emergency includes a request for theaters to go back to capacity restrictions (likely 50%) in the four affected prefectures (Tokyo, Kanagawa, Chiba, Saitama). The declaration is in effect until Feb. 7th.
These prefectures account for at least 75/80% of the box office. When theaters reopened nationwide last June, they moved to 50% capacity in July and remained there until September (some until October). Aeon has been at 50% this entire time.
The box office performed well over the summer and early fall under the 50% restriction (which was nationwide then), so that alone isn't going to impact the box office too much, mostly just limiting opening weekends.
What may hurt business is Covid concerns now among the public as cases have grown considerably this past week. I do expect things to slow down a bit from this weekend until probably March.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 10:34 am |
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ymblcza
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Thu Oct 29, 2020 12:32 pm
Posts: 99
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update Saturday presales:
Kimetsu No Yaiba 1951
GINTAMA 4166
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 10:39 am |
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Alo12345
Star Trek XI
Joined: Fri Nov 06, 2020 10:18 am
Posts: 390
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update ymblcza wrote: Saturday presales:
Kimetsu No Yaiba 1951
GINTAMA 4166 These presale reflect 100% of the picture like some previous days you provided? Or they just reflect 50%?
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 10:58 am |
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orionbuble
Newbie
Joined: Sun Jan 03, 2021 8:14 am
Posts: 4
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update ymblcza wrote: Saturday presales:
Kimetsu No Yaiba 1951
GINTAMA 4166 How about sailor moon eternal?
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 11:14 am |
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ymblcza
Full Fledged Member
Joined: Thu Oct 29, 2020 12:32 pm
Posts: 99
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update Alo12345 wrote: ymblcza wrote: Saturday presales:
Kimetsu No Yaiba 1951
GINTAMA 4166 These presale reflect 100% of the picture like some previous days you provided? Or they just reflect 50%? That's the total tickets sold in TOHO cinemas but presale for 36% cinemas aren't available until the day starts so the number is deflated orionbuble wrote: How about sailor moon eternal? Fri 906 Sat 439
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 11:59 am |
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ren0080
Speed Racer
Joined: Tue Dec 01, 2020 4:01 am
Posts: 177
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update ymblcza wrote: Saturday presales:
Kimetsu No Yaiba 1951
GINTAMA 4166 Very noice for the both of them Very hype for what's about to come
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 1:27 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box-Office: Demon Slayer Obliterating Record Books  Demon Slayer: Mugen Train - Daily Performance Tracker10/16 - Fri.: ¥1,268,724,700 ($12.0 million) / 910,507
10/17 - Sat.: ¥1,701,723,350 ($16.2 million) / 1,270,234
10/18 - Sun.: ¥1,652,669,400 ($15.7 million) / 1,239,752
10/19 - Mon.: ¥735,000,000 ($7.0 million) / 545,000
10/20 - Tues.: ¥545,000,000 ($5.1 million) / 395,000
10/21 - Wed.: ¥635,000,000 ($6.0 million) / 505,000
10/22 - Thur.: ¥465,000,000 ($4.5 million) / 340,000
10/23 - Fri.: ¥700,000,000 ($6.7 million) / 510,000
10/24 - Sat.: ¥1,500,944,600 ($14.3 million) / 1,115,182
10/25 - Sun.: ¥1,540,504,150 ($14.7 million) / 1,157,654
10/26 - Mon.: ¥620,000,000 ($5.9 million) / 460,000
10/27 - Tues.: ¥410,000,000 ($3.9 million) / 300,000
10/28 - Wed.: ¥575,000,000 ($5.5 million) / 430,000
10/29 - Thur.: ¥390,000,000 ($3.7 million) / 285,000
10/30 - Fri.: ¥555,000,000 ($5.3 million) / 405,000
10/31 - Sat.: ¥1,212,312,550 ($11.6 million) / 887,893
11/01 - Sun.: ¥1,286,354,600 ($12.3 million) / 1,140,390 *Discount Day*
11/02 - Mon: ¥820,000,000 ($7.8 million) / 605,000 *Holiday Boosted*
11/03 - Tues.: ¥1,185,000,000 ($11.3 million) / 900,000 *Holiday*
11/04 - Wed.: ¥350,000,000 ($3.3 million) / 260,000
11/05 - Thur.: ¥230,000,000 ($2.2 million) / 170,000
11/06 - Fri.: ¥325,000,000 ($3.1 million) / 240,000
11/07 - Sat.: ¥863,827,750 ($8.3 million) / 628,614
11/08 - Sun.: ¥909,098,150 ($8.8 million) / 667,179
11/09 - Mon.: ¥315,000,000 ($3.0 million) / 230,000
11/10 - Tues.: ¥220,000,000 ($2.1 million) / 160,000
11/11 - Wed.: ¥295,000,000 ($2.8 million) / 230,000
11/12 - Thur.: ¥200,000,000 ($1.9 million) / 145,000
11/13 - Fri.: ¥310,000,000 ($3.0 million) / 225,000
11/14 - Sat.: ¥795,343,500 ($7.6 million) / 611,418
11/15 - Sun.: ¥726,313,550 ($6.9 million) / 535,986
11/16 - Mon.: ¥265,000,000 ($2.5 million) / 195,000
11/17 - Tues.: ¥165,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 120,000
11/18 - Wed.: ¥240,000,000 ($2.3 million) / 185,000
11/19 - Thur.: ¥165,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 120,000
11/20 - Fri.: ¥240,000,000 ($2.3 million) / 170,000
11/21 - Sat.: ¥439,606,550 ($4.2 million) / 314,726
11/22 - Sun.: ¥592,738,550 ($5.7 million) / 433,315
11/23 - Mon.: ¥460,110,250 ($4.4 million) / 357,741 *Holiday*
11/24 - Tues.: ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million) / 90,000
11/25 - Wed.: ¥160,000,000 ($1.5 million) / 120,000
11/26 - Thur.: ¥120,000,000 ($1.1 million) / 85,000
11/27 - Fri.: ¥195,000,000 ($1.9 million) / 130,000
11/28 - Sat.: ¥556,443,300 ($5.3 million) / 392,017
11/29 - Sun: ¥448,060,450 ($4.3 million) / 320,031
11/30 - Mon.: ¥140,000,000 ($1.3 million) / 105,000
12/01 - Tues.: ¥170,000,000 ($1.6 million) / 145,000 *Discount Day*
12/02 - Wed.: ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million) /100,000
12/03 - Thur.: ¥x95,000,000 ($0.9 million) / x70,000
12/04 - Fri.: ¥145,000,000 ($1.4 million) / 105,000
12/05 - Sat.: ¥319,013,550 ($3.1 million) / 225,976
12/06 - Sun.: ¥336,505,700 ($3.2 million) / 239,874
12/07 - Mon.: ¥100,000,000 ($1.0 million) / x75,000
12/08 - Tues.: ¥x85,000,000 ($0.8 million) / x55,000
12/09 - Wed.: ¥115,000,000 ($1.1 million) / x90,000
12/10 - Thur.: ¥x85,000,000 ($0.8 million) / x60,000
12/11 - Fri.: ¥115,000,000 ($1.1 million) / x80,000
12/12 - Sat.: ¥588,408,200 ($5.7 million) / 407,286
12/13 - Sun.: ¥351,003,000 ($3.4 million) / 248,024
12/14 - Mon.: ¥120,000,000 ($1.2 million) / x85,000
12/15 - Tues.: ¥x85,000,000 ($0.8 million) / x60,000
12/16 - Wed.: ¥110,000,000 ($1.1 million) / x85,000
12/17 - Thur.: ¥x75,000,000 ($0.7 million) / x55,000
12/18 - Fri.: ¥x90,000,000 ($0.9 million) / x65,000
12/19 - Sat.: ¥187,788,050 ($1.8 million) / 133,068
12/20 - Sun.: ¥202,627,400 ($2.0 million) / 148,780
12/21 - Mon.: ¥x75,000,000 ($0.7 million) / x55,000
12/22 - Tues.: ¥x65,000,000 ($0.6 million) / x45,000
12/23 - Wed.: ¥x90,000,000 ($0.9 million) / x65,000
12/24 - Thur.: ¥x70,000,000 ($0.7 million) / x50,000
12/25 - Fri.: ¥105,000,000 ($1.0 million) / x75,000
12/26 - Sat.: ¥554,583,650 ($5.3 million) / 355,697
12/27 - Sun.: ¥353,034,550 ($3.4 million) / 219,946
12/28 - Mon.: ¥290,000,000 ($2.8 million) / 190,000
12/29 - Tues.: ¥325,000,000 ($3.2 million) / 205,000
12/30 - Wed.: ¥335,000,000 ($3.3 million) / 240,000
12/31 - Thur.: ¥210,000,000 ($2.0 million) / 135,000
01/01 - Fri.: ¥320,000,000 ($3.1 million) / 230,000 *Holiday, Discount Day*
01/02 - Sat.: ¥351,200,000 ($3.4 million) / 220,150 *Bank Holiday*
01/03 - Sun.: ¥326,800,000 ($3.2 million) / 204,850 *Bank Holiday*
01/04 - Mon.: ¥270,000,000 ($2.6 million) / 175,000 *est.*
01/05 - Tues.: ¥150,000,000 ($1.5 million) / x95,000 *est.*
01/06 - Wed.: ¥125,000,000 ($1.2 million) / x90,000 *est.*
01/07 - Thur.: ¥x70,000,000 ($0.7 million) / x45,000 *est.*84-Day Cumulative Total: ¥35,257,166,000 ($337.3 million) / 25,889,000 Note: Mon.-Fri. are rounded estimates (excluding Holiday Mondays), therefore adding up each day won't equal the actual total._________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 2:02 pm |
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LPLC
The Incredible Hulk
Joined: Tue Dec 03, 2019 2:27 pm
Posts: 532
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update ymblcza wrote: Friday presales: 1455 (presales for 36% theaters, including most busiest locations aren't available)
No idea what tomorrow will look like but I'm thinking ~18k
Gintama: 5951 sold 18k tomorrow ? It's not much, especially for a Friday (it will be a drop of almost 90%). The first day below $500k will therefore arrive tomorrow, earlier than expected. I feel like the numbers for the last few days are lower than expected (I knew there was going to be a 50%-60% drop this week but I never imagined 70%-80%), are these the effects of covid ? Finally, I did well to stay conservative with ¥37Bn-¥38Bn.
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 3:54 pm |
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm
Posts: 37152
Location: The Graveyard
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update It's become 100% pointless to project anything now with reservations only allowed the day-off at locations that make up ~75/80% of the box office (in terms of business, not locations), and capacity restrictions beginning this weekend. Not to mention the effect that Covid could be having on the general public to refrain from coming out for awhile.
Finally, we can take this on a day-by-day basis.
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.”
“We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.”
“There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.”
“You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.”
"Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 4:01 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update 40B is still happening.
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 8:03 pm |
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NezuKo
Speed Racer
Joined: Sun Nov 15, 2020 8:43 am
Posts: 123
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update Jack Sparrow wrote: 40B is still happening. Hope it is
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 10:53 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 36923
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update You guys worry too much. Let's just enjoy its run on a day-to-day basis and be in awe of the numbers it is still pulling. A lot of openers in the market would be lucky to have 45K admissions and 0.7m Thursday on their opening weeks. Its doing fine and yes COVID would impact it a little but it will also help increase its legs if the demand is still there to watch this movie. At this point in its run DS is not using 100% seats over weekdays anyways so a 50% allocation is fine for now.
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| Thu Jan 07, 2021 11:24 pm |
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charlie jat
Star Trek XI
Joined: Thu Oct 15, 2020 1:22 am
Posts: 393
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Re: Japan Box-Office: WKND Actuals (01/02-03); Charts Update So its down to normal, which isn't bad per se, but I thought the New Year holidays were to last till Jan 14th. This has rather normal drop post January 4th.
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| Fri Jan 08, 2021 4:18 am |
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