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 March 15-17 predictions 
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Extraordinary
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Post March 15-17 predictions
Wonder Park - 3,500
Five Feet Apart - 2,600
Captive State - 2,200


Fri Mar 08, 2019 8:47 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
Wonder Park looks so blah. I can't imagine it doing more than low teens.

Not sure if Cole Sprouse can generate movie tickets but I guess we'll see.

Wonder Park - 12
Five Feet Apart - 12
Captive State - a little


Fri Mar 08, 2019 8:49 pm
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
Gonna go with a slightly bigger drop than IW for Captain Marvel, 56% drop, $67.3m.


Sun Mar 10, 2019 3:47 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
WONDER PARK - 11.35 Million
FIVE FEET APART - 5.8 Million
CAPTIVE STATE - 2.77 Million

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Mon Mar 11, 2019 5:28 pm
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
Wonder Park 10m
Five Feet Apart - 6m
Captive State - 4m

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Mon Mar 11, 2019 5:54 pm
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now we know
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
Just saw a Captive State TV spot and it's different than what I remember from the trailer. They're definitely targeting the black demo now. Everything's all "let's get 'em dawg" instead of what I remember being a cool looking sci-fi movie.


Mon Mar 11, 2019 6:36 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
1. CAPTAIN MARVEL - 67.5 MILLION (-56%)
2. WONDER PARK - 10.597 MILLION (New)
3. HOW TO TRAIN YOUR DRAGON: THE HIDDEN WORLD - 8.22 MILLION (-44%)
4. FIVE FEET APART - 7.82 MILLION (New)
5. A MADEA FAMILY FUNERAL - 6.1 MILLION (-51%)
6. NO MANCHES FRIDA 2 - 2.886 MILLION (New)
7. CAPTIVE STATE - 2.77 MILLION (New)
8. LEGO MOVIE 2: THE SECOND PART - 2.088 MILLION (-46%)
9. ALITA: BATTLE ANGEL - 1.5 MILLION (-53%)
10. GREEN BOOK - 1.255 MILLION (-50%)
11. ISN'T IT ROMANTIC - 1.1 MILLION (-51%)
12. FIGHTING WITH MY FAMILY - $960,964 (-56%)
13. GRETA - $897,256 (-59%)


Increased my prediction for Five Feet Apart.

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Last edited by Magic Mike on Fri Mar 15, 2019 1:59 am, edited 1 time in total.



Wed Mar 13, 2019 2:55 am
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Hold the door!
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
I think Captain Marvel drops 60%. I think WOM is just okay, and there seems to have been significant rush for it. The only thing helping it avoid that IMO is lack of a big opener.

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Wed Mar 13, 2019 11:34 am
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Indiana Jones IV
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
No way WOM (I’m talking true WOM) is good enough to withstand a steep drop. I am predicting mid $60s.

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Fri Mar 15, 2019 3:04 am
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now we know
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
Everyone I know that's seen it has criticised it.


Fri Mar 15, 2019 8:11 am
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
CM actually increased 8% yesterday. Surprising.

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Fri Mar 15, 2019 12:04 pm
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
Wonder Park is poorly reviewed. Too bad, it looked cute for what it is.

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Fri Mar 15, 2019 12:24 pm
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote:
CM actually increased 8% yesterday. Surprising.


I've randomly asked people what they thought of Captain Marvel after their shows. Two people were meh on it. Around 10 liked it. Five loved it. WOM will be better than people realize. Supporting this is the continued increase in RT audience score and IMDB score after it's initial scores, which usually trend down, not up, as time goes on. Whether it's reflected in box office remains to be seen. Any drop under 60% is fine, if it's drop is less than 55% that would be very good considering the size of the opening.


Fri Mar 15, 2019 3:39 pm
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
Yeah CM is going to hold really well, but Wonder Park possible opening to $20M+ is a pretty big surprise IMO. I know I went high for it in the Spring Contest, but I had little to no faith in it after seeing so little marketing for it and of course the terrible reviews. I never saw any marketing for Captive State and Five Feet Apart either.


Fri Mar 15, 2019 9:58 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
$18-19M Friday for Captain Marvel. Should get close to $70M weekend with that.


Sat Mar 16, 2019 12:07 am
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
The first THG with $18.6m Friday (with a much lower Thursday) did $58m second weekend. Yes CM will skew more families still $70m is not yet locked with that number.


Sat Mar 16, 2019 12:33 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
I knew Five Feet Apart would do 10m+. Cole Sprouse's Riverdale fans showed up, he has a big following online.


Sat Mar 16, 2019 11:28 am
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Extraordinary
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Post Re: March 15-17 predictions
publicenemy#1 wrote:
Gonna go with a slightly bigger drop than IW for Captain Marvel, 56% drop, $67.3m.


Damn, .7 off lol


Tue Mar 19, 2019 2:44 am
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