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 KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - FINAL RESULTS 
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now we know
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Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Overview on page 4
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
Musical fans will see anything that does not have Tom Cruise in it.


:er: Why would a musical fan go and see, say, a horror film, just because Tom Cruise isn't in it?


Wed May 02, 2018 10:26 pm
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Hold the door!

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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Overview on page 4
I’m a musical fan who’s won’t see Mamma Mia 2.


Wed May 02, 2018 10:32 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Overview on page 4
Algren wrote:
Flava'd vs The World wrote:
Musical fans will see anything that does not have Tom Cruise in it.


:er: Why would a musical fan go and see, say, a horror film, just because Tom Cruise isn't in it?
Was just referring to Rock of Ages being the only big musical to disappoint recently.

Though I forgot that Clint Eastwood made a Jersey Boys movie. :funny:


Wed May 02, 2018 11:47 pm
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Wallflower
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Overview on page 4
zwackerm wrote:
I’m a musical fan who’s won’t see Mamma Mia 2.


Your loss :P.


Thu May 03, 2018 11:17 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Overview on page 4
Magic Mike wrote:
zwackerm wrote:
I’m a musical fan who’s won’t see Mamma Mia 2.


Your loss :P.

It just seems like a sequel no one asked for coming way too late. Mamma Mia isn’t exactly a beloved classic.


Thu May 03, 2018 12:42 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Overview on page 4
Enough people like the first. I had a great time seeing it in theaters. Definitely one of the better modern musicals. The sequel looks like one of the highlights of the summer as far as wide releases go. The trailer has been with everything and everyone I've ever seen it with in front of a movie has said they want to see it.


Thu May 03, 2018 7:20 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Overview on page 4
People like the first yeah. I’d say few love it outside of its fan base.

I also think the market for Mamma Mia is way older than for the Greatest Showman and way harder to get to come to the theater. And this one is not even based on a stage show.


Thu May 03, 2018 7:25 pm
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Weekly Ranking for May 20

First points update of the season! :)

Image

Total Gross Projections
Avengers: Infinity War - $675 million
Book Club - $35 million
Breaking In - $41 million
Deadpool 2 - $300 million
Life of the Party - $42 million


Current Top 5
1. Avengers: Infinity War - $595.8 million
2. Deadpool 2 - $125.5 million
3. Overboard - $36.9 million
4. Life of the Party - $30.9 million
5. Breaking In - $29.1 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#1: Which will gross more in total - Avengers: Infinity War, the combination of The Incredibles 2 and Mission: Impossible - Fallout, the combination of Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom and Ant-Man and the Wasp?
  • Avengers: Infinity War (currently $595.8 million)

#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - Deadpool 2, The First Purge, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, The Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, or Sicario 2: Soldado?
  • Deadpool 2 (currently -65.4%)

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - Deadpool 2, The First Purge, Hotel Transylvania 3: Summer Vacation, The Incredibles 2, Jurassic World: Fallen Kingdom, Mamma Mia: Here We Go Again!, Mission: Impossible - Fallout, or Sicario 2: Soldado?
  • Deadpool 2 (currently -65.4%)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • Overboard (currently $36.9 million)

#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
  • Bad Samaritan (-1,498 theaters)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • Two (Avengers: Infinity War, Deadpool 2)

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
  • One (Avengers: Infinity War)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Tully (currently $8.4 million)


Tue May 22, 2018 10:15 pm
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KJ's Leading Idiot

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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Overview on page 4
Start with #19..this is going to be brutal. Might actually finish #30.


Tue May 22, 2018 10:16 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update May
Hm. Not a great start by me. I should've done better with some of those predictions, especially Deadpool 2.


Tue May 22, 2018 10:19 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update May
Too bad I misjudged IW's legs.


Wed May 23, 2018 1:12 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update May
I know anything can change, but Vanilla is just the all-time best predictor at this game, so it's no wonder he is already in first place and looking ripe to continue his dominance. BK is usually pretty good too, and he's second. Surprising to see Magic Mike, Star Lord, and exdee13 so low. But it's early days.

What's no surprise? Chippy being 28th. :rofl:


Wed May 23, 2018 8:59 am
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Deshi Basara
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update May
KC, I had 35 for Breaking In, not 28. That's the only one I see for me that's off.

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Top 10 Most Impressive Box Office Opening Weekends

Most Impressive Openings: Honorable Mentions


Wed May 23, 2018 9:55 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update May
Proud Ryu wrote:
KC, I had 35 for Breaking In, not 28. That's the only one I see for me that's off.


Yeah, and I put $34m, not $16m, also for Breaking In.


Wed May 23, 2018 9:59 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update May
While we're on the subject, I predicted $38m for that (not 23)


Wed May 23, 2018 10:06 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update May
Looks like maybe everyone's Overboard predictions are there instead of Breaking In...

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Top 10 Most Impressive Box Office Opening Weekends

Most Impressive Openings: Honorable Mentions


Wed May 23, 2018 10:42 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update May
Damn it! Went too high on DP2. I knew better but my optimism got the better of me again.

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Wed May 23, 2018 12:28 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update May
Not giving up on points for Book Club. It should be close to the projected total of 35M by the end of the holiday weekend.


Wed May 23, 2018 11:19 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update May
I predicted $44m for Breaking In not $20m MGKC :)

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Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m


Thu May 24, 2018 2:33 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update May
Damn Deadpool. I predicted a higher OW so the legs brought it over $400m, but forgot it was boosted by V-Day.

Oh well.

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Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m


Thu May 24, 2018 2:34 am
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I heet the canadian!
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018
MGKC wrote:
As expected, a pretty non-diverse set of Top 5 predictions for 29 players:

Image

More charts will be up over the next few days. If you want to take a look at the database of predictions (maybe to check to make sure I entered yours in correctly), click here:
https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing

No one left Solo off. I'm getting a feeling that's the deal breaker on anyone getting the top 5 correct this time.


Thu May 24, 2018 5:06 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update May
First glance, Price's group has the best shot at the Top 5. With geek/zwack right behind.

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Thu May 24, 2018 5:49 pm
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The Kramer
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update May
The top 5 curse doomed Solo more than anything else. Ant-Man breakout incoming.


Sun May 27, 2018 3:18 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update May
Chippy wrote:
First glance, Price's group has the best shot at the Top 5. With geek/zwack right behind.

Yep.


Sun May 27, 2018 6:17 am
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Post Re: KJ's Summer Box Office Contest 2018 - Points Update May
UGH.

I bumped up Deadpool & Solo when I predicted OWs and got the total through expected multipliers from thereon.

Really annoying. I mean, I still would've overpredicted for both, but maybe might have been able to get points for Solo with a sub-$300m gross as opposed to $50m over that.

Was also thinking of leaving it off for Ant Man, unfortunately the 3 who do have them in have Solo ahead of that, so looks like Top 5 is a bust again.

hahaha incredible no one has gotten it yet.

_________________
Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m


Sun May 27, 2018 1:29 pm
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