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 Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions 
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
At this point, I think we are dealing with a floor of $375 million for its total. Cannot imagine it opening below $150 million or having a multiplier worse than 2.5. I think a reasonable prediction is a $165 million 3-day opening and a $445-450 million total. The high end is $180 million/$500-520 million.

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Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:58 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
I can see it grossing 90m + Friday with previews

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Tue Feb 13, 2018 8:34 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
It will have to be naturally front loaded to an extent, cultural phenomenon or not. So $450m total sounds about right even with a monster $200m 4-day.

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Tue Feb 13, 2018 9:50 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
MadGez wrote:
It will have to be naturally front loaded to an extent, cultural phenomenon or not. So $450m total sounds about right even with a monster $200m 4-day.


That I cannot imagine. If it breaks $200 million in four days, it will hit $500 million.

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Wed Feb 14, 2018 2:23 am
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Almost 4m opening day in the UK
https://www.theguardian.com/film/2018/f ... nd-ireland


Wed Feb 14, 2018 8:44 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
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Ryan Coogler’s hotly anticipated film, which features an almost entirely black cast, pulled in £2.67m on its opening day on 13 February, Disney said, delivering the highest-grossing single day at the UK box office this year.


It is February! Of course it set the highest-grossing opening day this year.


Wed Feb 14, 2018 8:47 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Yeah this is clearing $375m total. I won't be surprised by $450m total as well but I feel it will be frontloaded enough to not get there.

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Thu Feb 15, 2018 12:38 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
FINAL PREDICTION:

Previews - $22 million
Friday - $73 million
Saturday - $57 million
Sunday - $40 million
Monday - $20 million

Opening Weekend - $170 million ($190 million 4-day)
Domestic Total - $450 million
Worldwide Total: $1 billion


Thu Feb 15, 2018 12:53 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Even with US over-performance I can't see this above $1b mark WW. Deadpool did $420m and that was with R rating. This can increase over that but I think it will top out at $500m OS.

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Thu Feb 15, 2018 1:02 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Disney is expecting BP to open in the $75m-115m range. :funny:


Thu Feb 15, 2018 1:30 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Rolling Thunder wrote:
Disney is expecting BP to open in the $75m-115m range. :funny:

:lol: for Friday or the weekend?

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Thu Feb 15, 2018 1:32 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
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Black Panther blasted off to a lordly $23.2 million overseas after opening in 17 locations opened to $7.2 million in the U.K., $4.7 million in South Korea, $2 million in Taiwan, $1.6 million in France, and $1.1 million in Hong Kong. In many key markets, “Black Panther” is outpacing previous comic-book movie hits such as “Doctor Strange,” “Wonder Woman,” and “Guardians of the Galaxy,” all of which augurs for a healthy opening weekend and much to celebrate in the halls of Marvel.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/movies/news/b ... ar-BBJbaMl


Thu Feb 15, 2018 2:45 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Passionate Thug wrote:
Quote:
Black Panther blasted off to a lordly $23.2 million overseas after opening in 17 locations opened to $7.2 million in the U.K., $4.7 million in South Korea, $2 million in Taiwan, $1.6 million in France, and $1.1 million in Hong Kong. In many key markets, “Black Panther” is outpacing previous comic-book movie hits such as “Doctor Strange,” “Wonder Woman,” and “Guardians of the Galaxy,” all of which augurs for a healthy opening weekend and much to celebrate in the halls of Marvel.

https://www.msn.com/en-us/movies/news/b ... ar-BBJbaMl


Good sign because I think this film has more appeal for American culture than Intl. For example Straight Outta Compton only made 40 mil overseas after 162 domestic.


Thu Feb 15, 2018 3:19 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Opening in 4,020 theaters. Was hoping it would crack 4K.


Thu Feb 15, 2018 3:47 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Nice!
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The only Marvel film that has made more money in Korea on opening day is “Avengers: Age of Ultron,” but the start for “Black Panther” is 77 percent bigger than that of “Doctor Strange,” 251 percent bigger than “Ant-Man,” and a staggering 422 percent ahead of the first “Guardians of the Galaxy.”


https://www.thewrap.com/pyeongchang-oly ... ox-office/


Thu Feb 15, 2018 4:29 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Come on you racist Asians :lol: go see BP!!!!!

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Thu Feb 15, 2018 4:46 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Final predictions:

Previews - $31 million
Opening Day - $86 milion
Opening Weekend (3-day) - $197 million
Opening Weekend (4-day) - $221 million
Total Gross - $512 million

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Thu Feb 15, 2018 9:08 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
We’re totally gonna get a WWW thread if this only does 175m 4-day..

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Thu Feb 15, 2018 9:44 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
I think this will trend towards $185 mil 3-day, but I think the OW multiplier will be terrible. But after the OW, it should do great.

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Thu Feb 15, 2018 10:53 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Some of these total sounds like over predictions to me but let's hope people are not disappointed if BP opens below AoU

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Fri Feb 16, 2018 1:18 am
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Dr. Lecter wrote:
MadGez wrote:
It will have to be naturally front loaded to an extent, cultural phenomenon or not. So $450m total sounds about right even with a monster $200m 4-day.


That I cannot imagine. If it breaks $200 million in four days, it will hit $500 million.


Both these are still in play :cool:

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Sat Feb 17, 2018 5:15 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther Predictions
Rev wrote:
Fri May 13, 2016 10:02 pm

November 2017 right?

It's going to do 100m OW for sure


Believer from the beginning, where's my cookie???? :lol:

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Sun Feb 18, 2018 11:51 am
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
I feel with these estimates its almost a guarantee that BP goes up on Sunday (specially with the holiday on Monday). $230m 4-day pretty much locks up $500m total.

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Sun Feb 18, 2018 2:20 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
Dr. Lecter wrote:
Final predictions:

Previews - $31 million
Opening Day - $86 milion
Opening Weekend (3-day) - $197 million
Opening Weekend (4-day) - $221 million
Total Gross - $512 million


Jesus Christ, expect for the previews and the opening day, I actually UNDERPREDICTED it. Holy fuck.

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Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:10 pm
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Post Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
And by 20m at that! Unreal!


Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:15 pm
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