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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92095
Location: Bonn, Germany
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 Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions At this point, I think we are dealing with a floor of $375 million for its total. Cannot imagine it opening below $150 million or having a multiplier worse than 2.5. I think a reasonable prediction is a $165 million 3-day opening and a $445-450 million total. The high end is $180 million/$500-520 million.
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| Tue Feb 13, 2018 7:58 pm |
 
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 29092
Location: the last free city
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions I can see it grossing 90m + Friday with previews
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| Tue Feb 13, 2018 8:34 pm |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 20050
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions It will have to be naturally front loaded to an extent, cultural phenomenon or not. So $450m total sounds about right even with a monster $200m 4-day.
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| Tue Feb 13, 2018 9:50 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92095
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions MadGez wrote: It will have to be naturally front loaded to an extent, cultural phenomenon or not. So $450m total sounds about right even with a monster $200m 4-day. That I cannot imagine. If it breaks $200 million in four days, it will hit $500 million. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Wed Feb 14, 2018 2:23 am |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am
Posts: 5151
Location: Wakanda
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions
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| Wed Feb 14, 2018 8:44 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm
Posts: 61873
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions Quote: Ryan Coogler’s hotly anticipated film, which features an almost entirely black cast, pulled in £2.67m on its opening day on 13 February, Disney said, delivering the highest-grossing single day at the UK box office this year. It is February! Of course it set the highest-grossing opening day this year.
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| Wed Feb 14, 2018 8:47 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
Why is the rum gone???
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 29299
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions Yeah this is clearing $375m total. I won't be surprised by $450m total as well but I feel it will be frontloaded enough to not get there.
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| Thu Feb 15, 2018 12:38 pm |
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Dil
Forum General
Joined: Wed Oct 28, 2009 9:48 pm
Posts: 7484
Location: Houston, Texas
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions FINAL PREDICTION:
Previews - $22 million
Friday - $73 million
Saturday - $57 million
Sunday - $40 million
Monday - $20 million
Opening Weekend - $170 million ($190 million 4-day)
Domestic Total - $450 million
Worldwide Total: $1 billion
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| Thu Feb 15, 2018 12:53 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
Why is the rum gone???
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 29299
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions Even with US over-performance I can't see this above $1b mark WW. Deadpool did $420m and that was with R rating. This can increase over that but I think it will top out at $500m OS.
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| Thu Feb 15, 2018 1:02 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 8699
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions Disney is expecting BP to open in the $75m-115m range. 
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| Thu Feb 15, 2018 1:30 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 29092
Location: the last free city
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions Rolling Thunder wrote: Disney is expecting BP to open in the $75m-115m range.  for Friday or the weekend?
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| Thu Feb 15, 2018 1:32 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am
Posts: 5151
Location: Wakanda
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions Quote: Black Panther blasted off to a lordly $23.2 million overseas after opening in 17 locations opened to $7.2 million in the U.K., $4.7 million in South Korea, $2 million in Taiwan, $1.6 million in France, and $1.1 million in Hong Kong. In many key markets, “Black Panther” is outpacing previous comic-book movie hits such as “Doctor Strange,” “Wonder Woman,” and “Guardians of the Galaxy,” all of which augurs for a healthy opening weekend and much to celebrate in the halls of Marvel.
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| Thu Feb 15, 2018 2:45 pm |
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Shack
No pride
Joined: Sun Jul 31, 2005 2:30 am
Posts: 30051
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions Passionate Thug wrote: Quote: Black Panther blasted off to a lordly $23.2 million overseas after opening in 17 locations opened to $7.2 million in the U.K., $4.7 million in South Korea, $2 million in Taiwan, $1.6 million in France, and $1.1 million in Hong Kong. In many key markets, “Black Panther” is outpacing previous comic-book movie hits such as “Doctor Strange,” “Wonder Woman,” and “Guardians of the Galaxy,” all of which augurs for a healthy opening weekend and much to celebrate in the halls of Marvel. Good sign because I think this film has more appeal for American culture than Intl. For example Straight Outta Compton only made 40 mil overseas after 162 domestic.
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| Thu Feb 15, 2018 3:19 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm
Posts: 8699
Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions Opening in 4,020 theaters. Was hoping it would crack 4K.
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| Thu Feb 15, 2018 3:47 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am
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Location: Wakanda
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions Nice! Quote: The only Marvel film that has made more money in Korea on opening day is “Avengers: Age of Ultron,” but the start for “Black Panther” is 77 percent bigger than that of “Doctor Strange,” 251 percent bigger than “Ant-Man,” and a staggering 422 percent ahead of the first “Guardians of the Galaxy.”
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| Thu Feb 15, 2018 4:29 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 29092
Location: the last free city
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions Come on you racist Asians go see BP!!!!!
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| Thu Feb 15, 2018 4:46 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92095
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions Final predictions:
Previews - $31 million
Opening Day - $86 milion
Opening Weekend (3-day) - $197 million
Opening Weekend (4-day) - $221 million
Total Gross - $512 million
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| Thu Feb 15, 2018 9:08 pm |
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Magnus
KJ's Most Embarssing Misspeller
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 4:20 pm
Posts: 55562
Location: The District
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions We’re totally gonna get a WWW thread if this only does 175m 4-day..
_________________MadGez wrote: Listen to Magnus he knows his shit. Darth Indiana Bond wrote: Magnus is right trixster wrote: magnus is my hero Loyal wrote: Dr. Lecter wrote: Magnus is the fucking voice of reason. That's scary. zwackerm wrote: You're incredibly overrated and and if they made a Pixar film about you it would gross less than The Good Dinosaur.
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| Thu Feb 15, 2018 9:44 pm |
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Chippy
KJ's Leading Pundit
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 4:45 pm
Posts: 60705
Location: Tonight... YOU!
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions I think this will trend towards $185 mil 3-day, but I think the OW multiplier will be terrible. But after the OW, it should do great.
_________________trixster wrote: shut the fuck up zwackerm, you're out of your fucking element trixster wrote: chippy is correct
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| Thu Feb 15, 2018 10:53 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
Why is the rum gone???
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 29299
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions Some of these total sounds like over predictions to me but let's hope people are not disappointed if BP opens below AoU
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| Fri Feb 16, 2018 1:18 am |
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MadGez
Dont Mess with the Gez
Joined: Sun Oct 24, 2004 9:54 am
Posts: 20050
Location: Melbourne Australia
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions Dr. Lecter wrote: MadGez wrote: It will have to be naturally front loaded to an extent, cultural phenomenon or not. So $450m total sounds about right even with a monster $200m 4-day. That I cannot imagine. If it breaks $200 million in four days, it will hit $500 million. Both these are still in play 
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| Sat Feb 17, 2018 5:15 pm |
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Rev
Romosexual!
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 3:06 am
Posts: 29092
Location: the last free city
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Re: Black Panther Predictions Rev wrote: Fri May 13, 2016 10:02 pm
November 2017 right?
It's going to do 100m OW for sure Believer from the beginning, where's my cookie????
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| Sun Feb 18, 2018 11:51 am |
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Jack Sparrow
Why is the rum gone???
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm
Posts: 29299
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions I feel with these estimates its almost a guarantee that BP goes up on Sunday (specially with the holiday on Monday). $230m 4-day pretty much locks up $500m total.
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| Sun Feb 18, 2018 2:20 pm |
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Dr. Lecter
You must have big rats
Joined: Sat Oct 16, 2004 4:28 pm
Posts: 92095
Location: Bonn, Germany
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions Dr. Lecter wrote: Final predictions:
Previews - $31 million
Opening Day - $86 milion
Opening Weekend (3-day) - $197 million
Opening Weekend (4-day) - $221 million
Total Gross - $512 million Jesus Christ, expect for the previews and the opening day, I actually UNDERPREDICTED it. Holy fuck. _________________The greatest thing on earth is to love and to be loved in return!
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| Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:10 pm |
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Passionate Thug
Top Poster
Joined: Sun Oct 17, 2004 1:01 am
Posts: 5151
Location: Wakanda
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Re: Black Panther (2/16/18) Predictions And by 20m at that! Unreal!
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| Tue Feb 20, 2018 12:15 pm |
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