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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Predict the second weekend drop for JL
Now that the reviews are "officially" in and they are pretty much close to BvS and still falling what do you think will be JL's second weekend drop?
For reference BvS dropped 69.1% in its second weekend but ofcourse JL will open lesser and has Thanksgiving to boost its weekend.
I am thinking 3-day second weekend drop of 59%.
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Thu Nov 16, 2017 10:17 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20415 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
-61%
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Thu Nov 16, 2017 10:19 pm |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11057 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
I don't know. I think critics missed the mark on this one and there will be some back peddling. 55%
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Thu Nov 16, 2017 10:22 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67125
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
75%
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Thu Nov 16, 2017 10:26 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
^ Its Thanksgiving weekend right? I don't think it will drop that high thanks to holiday boost.
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Thu Nov 16, 2017 10:28 pm |
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Algren
now we know
Joined: Tue Oct 19, 2004 9:31 pm Posts: 67125
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
Ah, I didn't think about that. Ok, so 65%.
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Thu Nov 16, 2017 10:36 pm |
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Excel
Superfreak
Joined: Sat Aug 20, 2005 12:54 am Posts: 21927 Location: Places
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
It will be sub 50%.
_________________Ari Emmanuel wrote: I'd rather marry lindsay Lohan than represent Mel Gibson.
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Thu Nov 16, 2017 11:18 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
NO. Sub-50% is not going to happen. BGE in other thread brought the example of THG films. THG dropped 62% in its sophomore weekend after which CF dropped 53% over Thanksgiving. BvS dropped 69.1% and given that I don't see it dropping below 53% at all specially with these reviews and supposedly mixed WoM.
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Fri Nov 17, 2017 12:08 am |
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Barrabás
llegó a la casa vía marítima
Joined: Sun Aug 05, 2007 4:53 pm Posts: 6160 Location: la gran casa de la esquina
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
60%.
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Fri Nov 17, 2017 1:29 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
Darth Indiana Bond wrote: I don't know. I think critics missed the mark on this one and there will be some back peddling. 55% 55% with holiday boost is back peddling?
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Fri Nov 17, 2017 6:06 am |
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nghtvsn
Extraordinary
Joined: Fri Mar 11, 2005 7:13 pm Posts: 11015 Location: Warren Theatre Oklahoma
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
65%
_________________ 2009 World of KJ Fantasy Football World Champion Team MVP : Peyton Manning : Record 11-5 : Points 2669.00 [b]FREE KORRGAN 45TH PRESIDENT OF THE U.S.A. DONALD J. TRUMP #MAGA #KAG! 10,000 post achieved on - Posted: Wed May 16, 2018 7:49 pm
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Fri Nov 17, 2017 8:49 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
Holiday will avert a BVS-type drop. 60%.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Fri Nov 17, 2017 8:58 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
Interesting that a lot of people are still thinking around 60% drop with holidays drop.
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Fri Nov 17, 2017 10:00 am |
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tree and a half
Cream of the Crop
Joined: Mon Jan 11, 2016 11:38 am Posts: 2084
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
100%
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Fri Nov 17, 2017 10:43 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20415 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
Thanksgiving didn’t help the Twilight films or Deathly Hallows Part 1.
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Fri Nov 17, 2017 11:06 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
zwackerm wrote: Thanksgiving didn’t help the Twilight films or Deathly Hallows Part 1. Both of which were even more heavily frontloaded, especially the female-heavy Twilight.
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Fri Nov 17, 2017 11:20 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
I think those are not proper comparisons to JL because of the nature of rabid audience.
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Fri Nov 17, 2017 11:25 am |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
I am hoping for 70%+ so it can break some record.
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Fri Nov 17, 2017 12:23 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
^ Haha I am hopeful that there will be some backloading this time. It opened a good $50m+ below its potential
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Fri Nov 17, 2017 11:37 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
As per the estimates its at 56.6% and this time WB has given a good 47% Sunday drop. So as of now DIB was the closest at 55% but if it drops another 0.5% in estimates my 59% will become the closest.
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Sun Nov 26, 2017 1:20 pm |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11057 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
Do I win?
Like I said better than DCU's average WOM and on par with a low tier MCU WOM
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Mon Nov 27, 2017 10:43 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
You most likely won yes but I don't agree that the WoM is equal to low tier MCU WoM. Can you give me any reference for comparison?
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Mon Nov 27, 2017 11:50 am |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11057 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
Dark World?
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Mon Nov 27, 2017 11:55 am |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20415 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
Darth Indiana Bond wrote: Dark World? That film didn't have good WOM, so that's not saying much.
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Mon Nov 27, 2017 12:18 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Predict the second weekend drop for JL
JL needs $225m to get there. Definitely doable.
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Mon Nov 27, 2017 12:21 pm |
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