DP07 & Jack Sparrow Discuss Box Office
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Corpse
Don't Dream It, Be It
Joined: Wed Aug 02, 2006 12:45 pm Posts: 37152 Location: The Graveyard
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DP07 & Jack Sparrow Discuss Box Office
1 N Tyler Perry's Boo 2! A Madea Halloween LGF $21,650,000 - 2,388 - $9,066 $21,650,000 $25 1 2 N Geostorm WB $13,300,000 - 3,246 - $4,097 $13,300,000 $120 1 3 1 Happy Death Day Uni. $9,375,000 -64.0% 3,298 +149 $2,843 $40,683,365 $4.8 2 4 2 Blade Runner 2049 WB $7,155,000 -53.8% 3,203 -855 $2,234 $74,005,203 $150 3 5 N Only The Brave Sony $6,010,000 - 2,577 - $2,332 $6,010,000 $38 1 6 3 The Foreigner STX $5,450,000 -58.4% 2,515 - $2,167 $22,844,253 $35 2 7 4 It WB (NL) $3,500,000 -42.2% 2,560 -616 $1,367 $320,234,616 $35 7 8 N The Snowman Uni. $3,442,000 - 1,812 - $1,900 $3,442,000 $35 1 9 6 American Made Uni. $3,162,000 -42.5% 2,559 -539 $1,236 $45,503,735 $50 4 10 7 Kingsman: The Golden Circle Fox $3,000,000 -44.2% 2,318 -664 $1,294 $94,568,932 $104 5 11 5 The Mountain Between Us Fox $2,750,000 -52.2% 3,151 -108 $873 $25,528,885 $35 3 12 N Same Kind of Different as Me PFR $2,560,000 - 1,362 - $1,880 $2,560,000 - 1 http://www.boxofficemojo.com/weekend/chart/
_________________Japan Box Office “Gods are great ... but the heart is greater. For it is from our hearts they come, and to our hearts they shall return.” “We were like gods at the dawning of the world, & our joy was so bright we could see nothing else but the other.” “There are three things all wise men fear: the sea in storm, a night with no moon, and the anger of a gentle man.” “You have to pretend you get an endgame. You have to carry on like you will; otherwise, you can't carry on at all.” "Paper is dead without words / Ink idle without a poem / All the world dead without stories."
Last edited by Corpse on Tue Nov 28, 2017 9:34 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Sun Oct 22, 2017 2:19 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23778 Location: Classified
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
I thought Blade Runner would have a decent drop, having strong dailies and little competition. I guess losing the imax screens to another flop killed any momentum it had built up.
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Sun Oct 22, 2017 2:49 pm |
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zwackerm
Hold the door!
Joined: Sun Jun 01, 2014 10:26 pm Posts: 20345 Location: Where they shot Knock at the Cabin
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
Blade Runner will stall around 90 million, but at least Kingsman will hit 100m barring some huge drops.
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Sun Oct 22, 2017 3:37 pm |
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Spidey
Teenage Dream
Joined: Mon Oct 18, 2004 8:13 pm Posts: 10677
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
Same Kind of Different As Me was quite frontloaded. It fell 46.7% on Saturday and had the 7th largest Friday share of an opening weekend ever.
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Sun Oct 22, 2017 5:11 pm |
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thompsoncory
Rachel McAdams Fan
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:13 am Posts: 14544 Location: LA / NYC
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
Only The Brave should have decent legs. Not like it matters much with that low of an opening, but it's the kind of movie audiences typically eat up.
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Sun Oct 22, 2017 9:33 pm |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
Spidey wrote: Same Kind of Different As Me was quite frontloaded. It fell 46.7% on Saturday and had the 7th largest Friday share of an opening weekend ever. Was trying to figure out what that was the case? Very unusual for a faith-based film. Maybe lots of churches organized group outings on Friday.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Mon Oct 23, 2017 8:06 am |
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Rolling Thunder
Forum General
Joined: Fri Nov 19, 2004 12:11 pm Posts: 9148 Location: Kentucky Bluegrass
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
thompsoncory wrote: Only The Brave should have decent legs. Not like it matters much with that low of an opening, but it's the kind of movie audiences typically eat up. I doubt it. With such a poor OW, theaters will dump it quickly even though the film itself is good. Hopefully it finds an audience on streaming.
_________________ Making Predictions Great Again!
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Mon Oct 23, 2017 8:08 am |
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i.hope
Defeats all expectations
Joined: Fri May 26, 2006 5:04 pm Posts: 6665
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
Spidey wrote: Same Kind of Different As Me was quite frontloaded. It fell 46.7% on Saturday and had the 7th largest Friday share of an opening weekend ever. http://www.boxofficemojo.com/news/?id=4337&p=.htmQuote: Outside the top ten is where we find Pure Flix's Same Kind of Different as Me, which debuted in 1,362 theaters and kicked things off with a strong $1.36 million on Friday, but most of that was due to a large number of early group sales. As a result, Saturday and Sunday are estimated to only add an additional $1.2 million for just $2.56 million for the weekend and a twelfth place finish. The nearly 47% drop from Friday to Saturday is currently the twelfth largest all-time.
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Mon Oct 23, 2017 11:54 am |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
Flava'd vs The World wrote: I thought Blade Runner would have a decent drop, having strong dailies and little competition. I guess losing the imax screens to another flop killed any momentum it had built up. The one quadrant dark sci-fi movie can't develop staying power. Surprise.
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Tue Oct 24, 2017 7:11 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
zwackerm wrote: Blade Runner will stall around 90 million, but at least Kingsman will hit 100m barring some huge drops. BR will lose too many theaters. 85m will be a challenge.
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Tue Oct 24, 2017 7:13 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
BR2049 is at $74m with a $7m+ weekend. It should be good for $90m eventual total.
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Tue Oct 24, 2017 7:29 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
Jack Sparrow wrote: BR2049 is at $74m with a $7m+ weekend. It should be good for $90m eventual total. WTF? No way. It won't get over a 3 mult from here while losing screens. 2.5 is more realistic (if even that).
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Wed Oct 25, 2017 7:53 am |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
Its not going to loose all screens for the amount of money it is making now. Its not doing terrible after its release just that the opening wasn't as big as many thought. Its easier to get better multipliers after initial weekends and I think WB will keep this in theaters for a long time to generate awards buzz.
Last edited by Jack Sparrow on Wed Oct 25, 2017 8:27 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Wed Oct 25, 2017 12:01 pm |
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Darth Indiana Bond
007
Joined: Wed Jul 20, 2005 11:43 pm Posts: 11008 Location: Wouldn't you like to know
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
This Halloween movie season is pretty spooky
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Wed Oct 25, 2017 12:04 pm |
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Flava'd vs The World
The Kramer
Joined: Sat Oct 23, 2004 11:36 am Posts: 23778 Location: Classified
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
DP07 wrote: Flava'd vs The World wrote: I thought Blade Runner would have a decent drop, having strong dailies and little competition. I guess losing the imax screens to another flop killed any momentum it had built up. The one quadrant dark sci-fi movie can't develop staying power. Surprise. Yeah, yeah. But a few drops in the 40s before the Thor ragnarok doesn't seem much to ask of it.
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Wed Oct 25, 2017 1:42 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
Jack Sparrow wrote: Its not going to loose all screens for the amount of money it is making now. Its not doing terrible after its release just that the opening wasn't as big as many thought. Its easier to get better multipliers after initial weekends and I think WB will keep this in theaters for a long time to generate awards buzz. Its PTA was $2,300 this week. It's going to lose theaters.
Last edited by DP07 on Thu Oct 26, 2017 10:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Thu Oct 26, 2017 10:04 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
Flava'd vs The World wrote: DP07 wrote: Flava'd vs The World wrote: I thought Blade Runner would have a decent drop, having strong dailies and little competition. I guess losing the imax screens to another flop killed any momentum it had built up. The one quadrant dark sci-fi movie can't develop staying power. Surprise. Yeah, yeah. But a few drops in the 40s before the Thor ragnarok doesn't seem much to ask of it. A drop under 55% was good for the 2nd week.
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Thu Oct 26, 2017 10:07 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
DP07 wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: Its not going to loose all screens for the amount of money it is making now. Its not doing terrible after its release just that the opening wasn't as big as many thought. Its easier to get better multipliers after initial weekends and I think WB will keep this in theaters for a long time to generate awards buzz. Its PTA was $2,300 this week. It's going to lose theaters. Sure but its not going to loose a substantial amount of theaters to not get regular multiplier from here on and nothing suggests that the legs will be god-awful.
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Thu Oct 26, 2017 10:09 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
Jack Sparrow wrote: DP07 wrote: Jack Sparrow wrote: Its not going to loose all screens for the amount of money it is making now. Its not doing terrible after its release just that the opening wasn't as big as many thought. Its easier to get better multipliers after initial weekends and I think WB will keep this in theaters for a long time to generate awards buzz. Its PTA was $2,300 this week. It's going to lose theaters. Sure but its not going to loose a substantial amount of theaters to not get regular multiplier from here on and nothing suggests that the legs will be god-awful. Regular multiplier?!?!?!! The regular multiplier for this type of movie at this point is closer to 2.5. The multiplier you are predicting would be spectacular.
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Thu Oct 26, 2017 10:14 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
Late multiplier after 3-4 weeks of release. Regardless let's just wait and see if it looses too many theaters this week as some/many of you are expecting.
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Thu Oct 26, 2017 11:57 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
Jack Sparrow wrote: Late multiplier after 3-4 weeks of release. Regardless let's just wait and see if it looses too many theaters this week as some/many of you are expecting. Late multiplier, duh. Like I said, 2.5 is normal with the weekdays at this time of the year and theater losses. There was no need to wait, it was obvious how many theaters it would lose more or less. As if you didn’t know before, you should know now, it not going to reach 90m.
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Sat Oct 28, 2017 7:16 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
I see a lot of hostility in that statement for no reason. I don't understand the need to be so aggressive for such a petty thing. BR2049 did $3.9m as per the estimates and I think it will reach $90m with this.
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Sun Oct 29, 2017 9:28 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
It's annoying "debating" you. And facts too would probably seem aggressive if you didn't like them. Ask Alex Jones or Trump.
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Mon Oct 30, 2017 10:45 pm |
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Jack Sparrow
KJ's Leading Idiot
Joined: Thu Dec 31, 2009 8:15 pm Posts: 36923
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
I didn't start the "debate" with you, I don't understand why you have to be rude or jump in if you are so annoyed. Not only that you have literally stated no facts. BR2049 dropped 800 theaters and that's not out of the norm but you seem to suggest otherwise.
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Mon Oct 30, 2017 11:49 pm |
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DP07
Homo Dperious
Joined: Tue Oct 12, 2004 2:26 am Posts: 14480 Location: Everywhere
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Re: Weekend Estimates (October 20-22, 2017)
Jack Sparrow wrote: I didn't start the "debate" with you, I don't understand why you have to be rude or jump in if you are so annoyed. Not only that you have literally stated no facts. BR2049 dropped 800 theaters and that's not out of the norm but you seem to suggest otherwise. I said it would drop a normal number of theaters. That was my whole point. ~25% is significant, and it will be more next week. You seem to think I was suggesting otherwise, because you thought I was predicting below normal legs. But I've repeated, I'm predicting normal holds given all the factors in for this type of film and situation. You think I'm predicting below normal because you feel my predictions are below normal. It's your circle. My statements describe facts. Facts are useless if you are unable to interpret them. There was no reasonable thing I could have meant besides a late multiplier. Why should I be patient to clarify something that’s needed for the debate to not be completely pointless? You’re offended because you’re defending unrealistic expectations. You’re surprised/upset because you can’t accept the reasons I’m saying what I’m saying.
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Tue Oct 31, 2017 12:22 am |
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