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 KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest 
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest
I know I am not eligible, but wanted to answer the questions anyway. :thumbsup:

Predict the Following Films' Total Gross
---------top half predicted a few days before deadline-----------
American Made $64m
A Bad Moms Christmas $83m
Battle of the Sexes $34m (predicted today)
Blade Runner 2049 $114m
Call Me By Your Name $13m
Coco $184m
Daddy's Home 2 $88m
The Disaster Artist $11m
Downsizing $48m (predicted today)
Ferdinand $90m
The Foreigner $40m
Geostorm $38m
The Greatest Showman $148m
Happy Death Day $43m
It $84m
Jigsaw $76m
Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle $123m
Justice League $388m
Kingsman: The Golden Circle $145m
--------------------- films below this line were predicted today unless stated---------------------
mother! $37m
The Mountain Between Us $38m (predicted a few days before deadline)
Murder on the Orient Express $67m
My Little Pony $17m
Ninjago $111m
Pitch Perfect 3 $108m
The Shape of Water $18m
Star Wars: The Last Jedi $478m
Suburbicon $36m
Thor: Ragnorak $248m
Tyler Perry's Boo 2! A Madea Halloween $68m

Backups
Flatliners $71m
The Snowman $68m

Predict the Top 5 Grossing Movies of Fall/Winter 2017
#1: The Last Jedi
#2: Justice League
#3: Thor: Ragnarok
#4: Coco
#5: The Greatest Showman

The 10 Box Office Questions

#1: Which will gross more in total - Star Wars: The Last Jedi, double the total gross of Justice League, or triple the total gross of Thor: Ragnorak?
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Ninjago or the combination of Coco and Ferdinand?
#3: Which 2 of the following films will gross closest to each other in total in dollars - Blade Runner 2049, Geostorm, It, and Murder on the Orient Express? (based off previous predictions)
#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - A Bad Moms Christmas, Daddy's Home 2, Jigsaw, Kingsman: The Golden Circle, Pitch Perfect 3, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Thor: Ragnorak, or Tyler Perry's Boo 2: A Madea Halloween?
#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - A Bad Moms Christmas, Daddy's Home 2, Jigsaw, Kingsman: The Golden Circle, Pitch Perfect 3, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Thor: Ragnorak, or Tyler Perry's Boo 2: A Madea Halloween?
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends? The Greatest Showman
#7: What movie will have lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend? Geostorm
#8: How many films will gross over $100 million? 9
#9: How many films will gross over $200 million? 3
#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)? Bastards
Haven't actually watched any trailers besides the ones in MGKC's playlist, so just chose this. :whaa:

Anyway, see how I do, having been out of it for months now. Good luck to the actual competitors and thanks MGKC for running this game again.

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Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m


Thu Sep 14, 2017 4:41 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Woo! Besides The Greatest Showman, IT and Star Wars, my predictions seem in line with the average predictions of all the players.

I just think something feel good would do well at Christmas.

Haven't followed anything on IT before it blew up, so no idea it was so popular.

Forgot how much Star Wars grossed, lol. Thought it was $500m or something, or maybe that was Rogue One. Anyway, hopefully it plummets? Haha

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Calls
Ghost Rider + Clash of the Titans = 2x Wrath of the Titans + Ghost Rider 2
Lorax over Despicable Me
Men in Black 3 Under 100m
Madagascar 3 Under 100m
Rise of the Guardians over 250m


Thu Sep 14, 2017 4:47 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Yep - feel free to make a copy of my Google Doc and add yourself to the database tab, then you can keep track of how you would have done. :)

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/ ... sp=sharing


Thu Sep 14, 2017 7:49 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
This is how you run a forum movie game. Props to you, MGKC. :thumbsup:


Thu Sep 14, 2017 8:02 am
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Weekly Ranking for September 17

Image

Total Gross Projections
It - $330 million
mother! - $16 million

Current Top 5
1. It - $218.7 million
2. mother! - $7.5 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • Home Again (currently $17.1 million)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • One (It)

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
  • One (It)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • Home Again (currently $17.1 million)


Sun Sep 17, 2017 12:13 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
I'm glad nobody picked Three Billboards for #10 because I bet that takes it. Wish I would have.

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Sun Sep 17, 2017 5:00 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Magic Mike wrote:
I'm glad nobody picked Three Billboards for #10 because I bet that takes it. Wish I would have.


I think it will be a leggy hit. It has become a serious awards contender after all these glowing reviews and film fest attention. It has the right ingredients for a crowd-pleaser: family, crime, quirky comedy. $50m+ likely.

I also think Stronger and Only the Brave are good for #10. Heroic, inspirational, feel-good, politically correct. Can't go wrong with them unless they are really lazy bad films.


Sun Sep 17, 2017 9:12 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Eh. Three Billboards... doesn't seem huge to me, even if Frances McDormand wins Best Actress. It is a quirky, violent indie comedy. It will easily be bigger than In Bruges and Seven Psychopaths, but I don't see a total higher than 50 million, which would be terrific for it.

I believe question no. 10 will go to either The Post (Steven Spielberg, Tom Hanks, Meryl Streep--it will at least match Bridge of Spies' total) or the Christmas-themed animated film The Star.

Jonathan made an interesting choice with Roman J. Israel, Esq., the Denzel Washington legal drama from the director of Nightcrawler. Washington is a consistent draw, though this is more Fences than The Equalizer.

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Sun Sep 17, 2017 9:15 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Is Three Billboards a violent film, as in Coen brothers style? If yes, it is unlikely to be a crowd-pleaser. But $50m+ is not hard to achieve with those reviews.


Sun Sep 17, 2017 9:21 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
I assume so based on McDonagh's prior films. A murder or two, 500 f-bombs, a lot of mordant wit.

Even if it does 60m, do you believe Spielberg's The Post will earn less?

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Sun Sep 17, 2017 9:38 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
I think it will be a crowd-pleaser. It's getting a Best Picture nomination and McDormand will likely win Best Actress. I think it should do 70+, ala No Country For Old Men.

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Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:35 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
David wrote:
Eh. Three Billboards... doesn't seem huge to me, even if Frances McDormand wins Best Actress. It is a quirky, violent indie comedy. It will easily be bigger than In Bruges and Seven Psychopaths, but I don't see a total higher than 50 million, which would be terrific for it.

I believe question no. 10 will go to either The Post (Steven Spielberg, Tom Hanks, Meryl Streep--it will at least match Bridge of Spies' total) or the Christmas-themed animated film The Star.



Those were the two I was thinking. I went with The Post but The Star could breakout. It won't help it that Coco premieres a week later though.

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Sun Sep 17, 2017 11:37 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
David wrote:
I assume so based on McDonagh's prior films. A murder or two, 500 f-bombs, a lot of mordant wit.

Even if it does 60m, do you believe Spielberg's The Post will earn less?


Just watched the red band trailer, very Coens-esque. If they play up the mother character arc, it still has a chance to surprise.

I completely forgot about The Post. It should have enough prestige and buzz to do Bridge of Spies number. Given the dry subject, it needs really good reviews and relevant marketing to break out like Lincoln.


Mon Sep 18, 2017 12:15 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Booo! Missed out on mother! by 1M :( It's cursing me until the end.

To me, The Post felt like Spotlight and Truth. I think audiences are going to be tired of journalism dramas. We'll see.
I went with Wonder. It's based on a popular book, and looks like an dark horse awards contender. It could crossover, so that's what I went with


Mon Sep 18, 2017 1:14 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
I didn't choose THE POST because I didn't know it was THE PAPERS. :pinch:


Mon Sep 18, 2017 2:59 pm
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Weekly Ranking for September 24

Image

Total Gross Projections
It - $330 million
Kingsman: The Golden Circle - $110 milion
The LEGO Ninjago Movie - $60 million
mother! - $16 million


Current Top 5
1. It - $266.3 million
2. Kingsman: The Golden Circle - $39.0 million
3. The LEGO Ninjago Movie - $21.2 million
4. mother! - $13.4 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Ninjago or the combination of Coco and Ferdinand?
  • Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Ninjago (currently $21.2 million)

#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - A Bad Moms Christmas, Daddy's Home 2, Jigsaw, Kingsman: The Golden Circle, Pitch Perfect 3, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Thor: Ragnorak, or Tyler Perry's Boo 2: A Madea Halloween?
  • Kingsman: The Golden Circle (currently -69.6%)

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - A Bad Moms Christmas, Daddy's Home 2, Jigsaw, Kingsman: The Golden Circle, Pitch Perfect 3, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Thor: Ragnorak, or Tyler Perry's Boo 2: A Madea Halloween?
  • Kingsman: The Golden Circle (currently -69.6%)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • American Assassin (currently $26.2 million)

#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
  • Home Again (-351 theaters)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • One (It)

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
  • One (It)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • American Assassin (currently $26.2 million)


Sun Sep 24, 2017 2:40 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Pathetic. Hope this picks up soon. :(


Sun Sep 24, 2017 7:03 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
I'm a contender now but pretty sure i'll tumble down the order quickly.

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Mon Sep 25, 2017 1:14 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Mother! will surely be a serious contender for question #7 (no one picked it).


Mon Sep 25, 2017 6:54 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
scoobydelite wrote:
Mother! will surely be a serious contender for question #7 (no one picked it).


Definitely won't be mother! now. It's not losing enough theaters for that. Friend Request could take it though. We'll see next weekend.

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Thu Sep 28, 2017 6:38 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Friend Request is losing 492 this weekend. Otherwise it probably would be a slam dunk for question 7.


Thu Sep 28, 2017 7:08 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
If it's losing that many this weekend imagine how many it will lose next weekend. A lot of theaters have to keep it for two weeks. They'll dump it as soon as they can. Mine cut it down to one showtime starting tomorrow.

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Thu Sep 28, 2017 7:14 pm
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
Flatliners looks to be a solid contender for #7.


Fri Sep 29, 2017 11:34 am
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Post Re: KJ's Fall/Winter 2017 Box Office Contest - Charts up!
You guys beat me to the punch. Was going to comment Friend Request has to be a serious contender also (2 million on 2,573 screens on opening weekend is really pathetic). I was going to check out mother! this weekend and sadly its already been pulled from all my area theaters, might check out Wind River instead.


Fri Sep 29, 2017 7:28 pm
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Weekly Ranking for October 1

Image

Total Gross Projections
American Made - $49 million
Battle of the Sexes - $12 million
It - $330 million
Kingsman: The Golden Circle - $100 milion
The LEGO Ninjago Movie - $60 million
mother! - $18.5 million


Current Top 5
1. It - $291.2 million
2. Kingsman: The Golden Circle - $66.7 million
3. The LEGO Ninjago Movie - $35.6 million
4. American Made - $17.0 million
5. mother! - $16.3 million

Current Answers to Box Office Questions
#2: Which will gross more in total - the combination of Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Ninjago or the combination of Coco and Ferdinand?
  • Jumanji: Welcome to the Jungle and Ninjago (currently $35.6 million)

#4: Which sequel will fall the most from its predecessor (%-wise) - A Bad Moms Christmas, Daddy's Home 2, Jigsaw, Kingsman: The Golden Circle, Pitch Perfect 3, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Thor: Ragnorak, or Tyler Perry's Boo 2: A Madea Halloween?
  • Kingsman: The Golden Circle (currently -48.0%)

#5: Which sequel will gross the closest to its predecessor (%-wise) - A Bad Moms Christmas, Daddy's Home 2, Jigsaw, Kingsman: The Golden Circle, Pitch Perfect 3, Star Wars: The Last Jedi, Thor: Ragnorak, or Tyler Perry's Boo 2: A Madea Halloween?
  • Kingsman: The Golden Circle (currently -48.0%)

#6: What will be the highest grossing film to not hit #1 on any of its weekends?
  • The LEGO Ninjago Movie (currently $35.6 million)

#7: What movie will lose the largest number of theaters in its 3rd weekend?
  • mother! (-528 theaters)

#8: How many films will gross over $100 million?
  • One (It)

#9: How many films will gross over $200 million?
  • One (It)

#10: What will be the highest grossing film not predicted in the total gross section (including the backup films)?
  • American Assassin (currently $31.9 million)


Sun Oct 01, 2017 4:35 pm
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