It blows my mind how many pissy pants "leftists" are willing to let Trump have 1-2 more SCOTUS seats just to say screw you to the "Dem establishment".

Good run, Bernie!

The Republicans and their paid trolls are doing all they can to get the Democrats to argue with each other and stop talking about their failings. Using pejoratives won't help to convince people.

VP picks:

Stacey Abrams
Kamala Harris
Amy Kobuchar
Elizabeth Warren
Katie Porter
Tulsi Gabbard
Tammy Baldwin

Who else?

It's gotta be Abrams, right? Warren/Harris are too important in the Senate (with Warren hopefully being the new Majority Leader if it flips [oh god]).

Klobuchar I could see, but she's too weird. Tulsi is NO. No thank you.

Hey, just like Sanders supporters told Warren after she complained about online trolls... it's just the internet. It's not real life.

Hopefully the VP pick will not be Tim Kaine-boring. Abrams is a good choice; her advocacy in voting rights issues should help win the support of everyday people. She also feels fresh to voters.

I want to see Warren challenge Schumer for Senate leadership.

Don’t forget Hillary

New enemy of the Republicans Gretchen Whitmer had one of the best betting odds after Abrams/Harris/Warren/Klobuchar who seem like the best picks.

At his age I think he should pick someone people would be ok with as president and not go off the board with someone like Val Demings (also has decent odds). I say Harris or Klobuchar.

Klobuchar or Whitmer.

Harris seems to get the most speculation, and might be the favorite, but Klobuchar and Whitmer just add more to the ticket in ways to win the electoral map.

Abrams just doesn't seem particularly interested in this lane of politics. I don't believe she's in this contest.

Warren is also a possibility. She's the go-to choice if a significant attempt is to be made of appealing to the left-wing of the party, but she may not be interested either. I like to believe she wants to make the effort of making real change, and the VP position isn't that job at her age.

Trump won MI by .2% in 2016. Between his ridiculous recent feud with the state and Biden's ability to tout saving the auto industry, Biden should easily win Michigan if he pays attention to it. No need for the Governor.



The Dems should forcing Abrams and Beto to run for the senate. Biden's picks should basically be Warren or Harris.

Warren has raw intelligence but is also polarizing. Yes, Warren may motivate some Dems who could use but she would be a turn-off to the voters who specifically avoided her and Bernie's political brand in favor of moderation. Everyone knows who she is. She is almost too big of a name for the spot.

Harris would seriously need to work on her communication and coming across more humble. But if she could do that, she could be a big impact player and just what the Biden campaign needs. Harris doesnt feel nearly as "mature" as Warren in a good way for this role.

I would bet Kamala is the pick and it is probably the best bet as well.

Cutting out all of the bullshit, I think we should generally expect Biden to over perform Hillary and Trump to underperform his 2016 numbers. To what extent is debatable, but those are likely to be the trends.

At a minimum, I think the odds are very strong with a scenario of Biden keeping all of Hillary's states and also winning PA (DT won .5%) MI (DT win by .2%), and WI (DT won by .7%)

If that happens, Biden is the winner with 278 electoral votes. Everything is gravy.

The bolded states were Trump victories in 2016. Polls show Biden currently leading DT in:

-Florida
-Ohio
-Michigan
-Pennsylvania
-Wisconsin
-Virginia
-North Carolina
-Arizona
-Nevada
-New Hampshire

This would give Biden a gargantuan 351 electoral votes

Biden is within the margin of error in:
-Texas
-South Carolina

Biden is also not far behind in Georgia. Winning all the bolded gives Biden an unimaginable electoral vote total of 414.

If Biden doesn't get arrogant, stays respectful to everyone, remains moderate on most issues other than the ones which are clearly swinging left ala healthcare, campaigns his heart out, gets Bernie and Obama on board, picks a reasonable person for VP...he has many, many paths to victory as things stand to day, and that is a fact of life. The President, on the other hand, appears to have some serious work to do.

I Definitely think Clinton’s overall numbers will be more than Biden’s will be. No one seems to think Biden is anything other than “Not Trump”. Hillary has a much stronger personality and had the first woman president thing going for her. And she’s never been accused of sexual harassment.

Well Excel has guaranteed another Four years of the orange one

Trump is pretty much hopeless on winning Michigan. Pennsylvania most likely will go to Biden. Florida is a real tossup and depends on how the people in Florida are perceiving Governor Desantis.

Desantis was so late in closing down beaches and issuing the stay-at home order. Not to mention the unemployment system in place makes it very hard for the Floridians to obtain unemployment benefits. Their so called 70 million dollar website crashed when close to half a million people tried to file unemployment.

Bernie officially endorsed Biden.

This time Bernie took the threats posed by Trump more seriously.

Joe Biden’s sexual assault scandal is heating up. It’d probably be the top story right now if not for Rona.

If he has to step down what happens? Hilary 3.0???

I honestly have no clue what would happen. But he should 100% back out.

House representative Justin Amash (independent, formerly Republican) from Michigan is seeking a third-party presidential run. He is fairly critical of Trump's abnormal behavior and violating the Constitution and conservative principles.

Ohio primary turnout:





Add in 250k in outstanding absentees and provisional ballots. Turnout was still down over 40% from 2016 primary. States should now prepare for expanding vote-by-mail in November in case the virus is still around.

I switched to vote by mail in 2016 and it was a godsend. So much nicer and easier.

Ultra Bernie bros pushing the nonsensical Reade story want another Trump term over Biden. Insane.

I have no problem believing the Tara Reade story, between some of the latest developments (telling people in the 90s, her mom calling into Larry King, etc.) and her getting fired. But the real reason it's believable is that it's well documented Biden is creepy and has no boundaries.

Yeah the Tara Reade thing is pretty obvious.

I would err on the side of caution about the sexual allegation. When Reade openly spoke and wrote about it in April 2019, it was about Biden inappropriately holding his hands on her shoulder and running his finger on her neck. In March 2020, her account of events became Biden putting his hands underneath her clothing and touching her vagina. Harassment and sexual assault are on two different levels of severity.