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Russia and CIS: Prediction on May 5-8

A first place, no doubt, will retain Fast Five with $4.29M. Excellent reviews will help avoid a catastrophic meltdown like the fourth part, which lost 75% in the second weekend. Thor will try to fight for second place. We expect from him $2.32M with 61% drop. Clash of the Titans lost 59% last year, Wolverine fell two years ago in a similar weekend by 64%.

The most significant new release is the Priest coming on 900 screens. Movie with Paul Bettany in the lead role will go in 3D, and, as stated in the advertising campaign, strictly from 7 to 17 May. Among the closest analogs we select Legion ($4.27M, 598 screens) and The Book of Eli ($2.06M, 489 screens). It is quite possible to rely on the result of Thor (3D, high budget science fiction, spurned protagonist saving the world). The post-apocalyptic vampire action movie will be just two days in the current weekend, for which it could earn about $2.32M.

Action Joe Wright's Hanna with Saoirse Ronan and Eric Bana will debut on 506 screens - the widest release distributor "Volga". In the world among major territories, Hanna announced in South Korea, where took $0.82 M in the first weekend. Competitive environment is incredibly strong and in the best case it will be able to get close to the results of Kick-Ass ($1.26M, 330 screens).

The second part of the sequel to "Burnt by the Sun" (http://kino-n-sport.ru/repository/calendar/film/filmid/723directed by Nikita Mikhalkov has doubled fewer screens than the first part of a year ago, which received mostly negative reviews. The practice of separation of Russian films ("The Inhabited Island", "Hooked", "Paragraph 78") while only leads to a reduction box office the second parts in 2-3 times. Not escape this fate, and "Burnt by the Sun 2: The Citadel" and will take about $1.25M against $3.74M by "Prestanding".

For the female audience distributors release romantic comedy Something Borrowed (domestic title - "Bridegroom for hire") with Kate Hudson. My Best Friends Girl with her ​​in 2008 earned $1.25M. Plan B last year during the same weekend took $1.15M. Similar movies for one time, to pass the evening, appear constantly. Something Borrowed can not boast a "zest" or a strong actor's party, but below a certain plank for the genre will not fall. Our prediction - $0.96M.

And the latest release of the week, the German-Chinese cartoon Little Big Panda, which parasitize on the blockbuster success of Kung Fu Panda, will go mostly to the morning session on 285 screens. We expect from it about $0.43M. Although China gave him as much as $3.97M for the first weekend.

1. Fast Five (1000 screens) - $4.29M (-63%)
2. Priest (900) - $2.50M (NEW)
3. Thor (1013) - $2.32M (-61%)
4. Hanna (506) - $1.29M (NEW)
5. Burnt by the Sun 2: The Citadel (Russia) (570) - $1.25M (NEW)
6. Something Borrowed (370) - $0.96M (NEW)
7. Little Big Panda (285) - $0.43M (NEW)
8. Rio (350) - $0.25M (-66%)
9-10. Hall Pass (115) - $0.07M (-85%)
9-10. Water for Elephants (200) - $0.07M (-87%)

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Total Comments: 2
kenzonar
kenzonar    Jul 25 2011 12:59am
Fast Five no 1 :))

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kenzonar
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